8=======>

2022-02-05 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1788
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.5%
in alpha space · 19.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.44%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44210.44264+0.12%0.5826+31.78%0.2354✓1.631.8M2022-02-06
XVSVenusEthereum8.678.6798+0.11%8.91+2.77%0.0037✗1.242.3M2022-02-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.0420.0511+0.06%20.86+4.09%0.0022✗1.733.8M2022-02-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04050.040516+0.04%0.0408+0.74%0.0178✗1.039.0M2022-02-06
TRXTRONTron0.0647620.064784+0.03%0.066256+2.31%0.0008✓0.90379k2022-02-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96820.968509+0.03%1.1222+15.91%0.1077✓1.64725k2022-02-06
NANOnanopayBase2.19332.193-0.01%2.2381+2.04%0.0074✓1.15845k2022-02-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.2381-0.03%7.25+0.14%0.0058✓0.311.1M2022-02-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022540.000022534-0.03%0.0000285+26.44%0.2042✗1.271.3M2022-02-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,014.503,013.53-0.03%3,058.22+1.45%0.0116✓1.09557.7M2022-02-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,404.8541,390.73-0.03%42,415.16+2.44%0.0003✓1.00648.0M2022-02-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.315.2924-0.05%15.56+1.70%0.0059✓0.96663k2022-02-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,460.8041,439.74-0.05%41,902.90+1.07%0.0123✓0.9740k2022-02-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1470260.146942-0.06%0.1538+4.61%0.0212✗1.017.1M2022-02-06
SOLSolanaSolana113.8113.7232-0.07%115.32+1.34%0.0148✓1.19187.6M2022-02-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.49320.49286-0.07%0.5074+2.88%0.0039✓1.372.0M2022-02-06
RADRadworksEthereum5.485.4762-0.07%5.79+5.66%0.0319✗0.99875k2022-02-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7282.7258-0.08%2.784+2.05%0.0109✓1.33911k2022-02-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59950.598936-0.09%0.5976-0.32%0.0328✓1.272.7M2022-02-06
GTGateEthereum7.02347.0164-0.10%7.1624+1.98%0.0004✓0.844.1M2022-02-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006740.006733-0.10%0.007+3.86%0.0100✓2.0320.1M2022-02-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin121.8121.6716-0.11%127.68+4.83%0.0169✗1.3031.3M2022-02-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3540.3536-0.11%0.367+3.67%0.0063✗1.281.7M2022-02-06
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2711.2572-0.11%11.7+3.82%0.0078✗1.2812.5M2022-02-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7780.777105-0.12%0.816+4.88%0.0239✗1.041.6M2022-02-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4636-0.12%5.46-0.18%0.0180✓0.72377k2022-02-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.205310.205067-0.12%0.23556+14.73%0.1023✗1.5132k2022-02-06
XVGVergenative0.011220.011206-0.12%0.01152+2.67%0.0029✓1.261.4M2022-02-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.031040.030999-0.13%0.03208+3.35%0.0146✗0.827.6M2022-02-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.48813.4834-0.14%3.4668-0.61%0.0250✓0.8426k2022-02-06
QTUMQtumQtum6.92816.9187-0.14%7.1257+2.85%0.0047✓1.42174k2022-02-06
XMRMoneroMonero168.71168.4812-0.14%173.8+3.02%0.0067✗1.011.7M2022-02-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.022060.02203-0.14%0.02203-0.14%0.0254✓1.052.7M2022-02-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.74320.2967-0.14%324.8+1.27%0.0105✓1.027.6M2022-02-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08690.086776-0.14%0.0894+2.88%0.0014✗1.18244k2022-02-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9760.974611-0.14%1.016+4.10%0.0092✗1.342.3M2022-02-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34043.3356-0.14%3.4089+2.05%0.0033✓1.042.6M2022-02-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0596.05-0.15%6.279+3.63%0.0173✗0.8391k2022-02-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.4229.3755-0.15%29.89+1.60%0.0074✓1.033.8M2022-02-06
DODODODOEthereum0.5330.53218-0.15%0.556+4.32%0.0107✗1.374.6M2022-02-06
XECeCashnative0.00008390.000083769-0.16%0.00008613+2.66%0.0012✓1.105.5M2022-02-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2650.264581-0.16%0.27+1.89%0.0017✓0.9163k2022-02-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.11810.11791-0.16%0.129+9.23%0.0545✗1.471.6M2022-02-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0690.068889-0.16%0.0712+3.19%0.0034✗1.23540k2022-02-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.44810.447372-0.16%0.473+5.56%0.0251✗1.279.4M2022-02-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12930.129084-0.17%0.131+1.31%0.0162✓1.283.3M2022-02-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15510.154837-0.17%0.154-0.71%0.0304✓1.04337k2022-02-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013530.013507-0.17%0.01348-0.37%0.0234✓0.8913k2022-02-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0403820.040312-0.17%0.039748-1.57%0.0443✓1.258.4M2022-02-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9721.932-0.17%22.46+2.23%0.0037✓1.1410.4M2022-02-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.32211.3198-0.17%1.3479+1.95%0.0028✓0.99333k2022-02-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044650.044571-0.18%0.04503+0.85%0.0158✓1.0828k2022-02-06
XLMStellarStellar0.2132220.21284-0.18%0.223926+5.02%0.0269✗0.9924.9M2022-02-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV96.7396.5544-0.18%98.65+1.98%0.0005✓0.911.6M2022-02-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.0976.945-0.19%79.05+2.54%0.0046✓1.3187.1M2022-02-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2313.2247-0.20%3.261+0.93%0.0073✓0.77212k2022-02-06
ZECZcashZcash116.08115.8506-0.20%124.6+7.34%0.0429✗1.246.6M2022-02-06
KCSKuCoinnative19.68619.6468-0.20%20.001+1.60%0.0159✓1.4010.5M2022-02-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0395270.039448-0.20%0.038392-2.87%0.0580✓1.28120k2022-02-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.4469-0.20%6.5+0.62%0.0099✓0.75463k2022-02-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.5067-0.20%6.64+1.84%0.0004✓0.82478k2022-02-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26270.262159-0.21%0.2607-0.76%0.0321✓1.101.7M2022-02-06
SCSiacoinnative0.011540.011516-0.21%0.0116+0.52%0.0172✓1.01572k2022-02-06
DASHDashDash103.6103.3833-0.21%108.83+5.05%0.0239✗1.142.8M2022-02-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.4522.4029-0.21%24.65+9.80%0.0582✗1.55411k2022-02-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22663.2197-0.21%3.2472+0.64%0.0141✓0.942.0M2022-02-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.20880.208352-0.21%0.232+11.11%0.0763✗1.293.6M2022-02-06
BTTCBTTC0.000002260.000002255-0.22%0.00000228+0.88%0.0131✓1.0015.3M2022-02-06
KSMKusamaHydration185.88185.4641-0.22%195.98+5.43%0.0280✗1.121.0M2022-02-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.80141.7974-0.22%1.8521+2.81%0.0041✗1.0776k2022-02-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.662.654-0.23%2.73+2.63%0.0044✗0.99579k2022-02-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.5618-0.23%3.63+1.68%0.0120✗0.291.5M2022-02-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.00210.999757-0.23%1.0259+2.38%0.0009✓1.1129.4M2022-02-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.63.5916-0.23%3.637+1.03%0.0064✓0.79678k2022-02-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.058880.05874-0.24%0.05974+1.46%0.0146✓1.301.5M2022-02-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.925290.923086-0.24%0.94262+1.87%0.0181✓1.62350k2022-02-06
COMPCompoundEthereum136.68136.3461-0.24%140.8+3.01%0.0025✗1.2354k2022-02-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.101070.100822-0.25%0.10107+0.00%0.0216✓1.0047k2022-02-06
IMXImmutableEthereum2.892.8829-0.25%2.82-2.42%0.0449✓0.952.2M2022-02-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.312.3042-0.25%2.33+0.87%0.0177✓1.202.3M2022-02-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011130.011102-0.25%0.0126+13.21%0.0954✗1.291.7M2022-02-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.5146.4977-0.25%7.292+11.94%0.0920✗0.97341k2022-02-06
UMAUMAEthereum6.46.3839-0.25%6.44+0.63%0.0151✓0.991.9M2022-02-06
QNTQuantEthereum132.93132.5931-0.25%135.95+2.27%0.0032✗0.917.6M2022-02-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5191.5151-0.25%1.489-1.97%0.0471✓1.233.4M2022-02-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.7717.7243-0.26%18.06+1.63%0.0095✓1.1777.2M2022-02-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.856.6531-0.26%68.32+20.28%0.1605✗1.117.8M2022-02-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7611.7564-0.26%1.778+0.97%0.0145✓1.111.6M2022-02-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.13811.1351-0.26%1.197+5.18%0.0246✗1.182.3M2022-02-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6526750.650957-0.26%0.659906+1.11%0.0138✓1.143.5M2022-02-06
MOVRMoonriverBase85.820585.5936-0.26%91.4575+6.57%0.0338✗1.35320k2022-02-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.3521.2934-0.27%21.91+2.62%0.0035✓1.3343.5M2022-02-06
ADACardanoCardano1.12551.1225-0.27%1.1436+1.61%0.0079✓1.10110.9M2022-02-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.110.0721-0.28%10.26+1.58%0.0016✓0.70660k2022-02-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.172.1639-0.28%2.18+0.46%0.0236✓1.292.2M2022-02-06
AAVEAaveEthereum166.2165.7347-0.28%173.57+4.43%0.0134✗1.3610.9M2022-02-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0164330.016387-0.28%0.016835+2.45%0.0007✓1.152.6M2022-02-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.791.7849-0.29%1.86+3.91%0.0119✗1.221.8M2022-02-06
ZENHorizenBase45.6145.479-0.29%47.49+4.12%0.0060✗1.55568k2022-02-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.8129.7221-0.29%31.33+5.10%0.0140✗1.612.1M2022-02-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.94910.946251-0.30%0.9592+1.06%0.0113✓1.0314.2M2022-02-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07630.076065-0.31%0.0768+0.66%0.0160✓1.0621k2022-02-06
BANDBandEthereum3.93.8878-0.31%3.97+1.79%0.0095✓1.262.1M2022-02-06
STXStacksnative1.581.575-0.32%1.68+6.33%0.0404✗1.001.3M2022-02-06
XEMNEMnative0.11290.112535-0.32%0.1121-0.71%0.0275✓0.9837k2022-02-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.5622.5536-0.33%2.583+0.82%0.0127✓1.0022k2022-02-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.514.4952-0.33%4.533+0.51%0.0107✓0.79351k2022-02-06
XYMSymbolnative0.18550.184872-0.34%0.1904+2.64%0.0128✗0.69423k2022-02-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.31020.309135-0.34%0.311+0.26%0.0313✓1.554.1M2022-02-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03680.036668-0.36%0.0353-4.08%0.0754✓1.55490k2022-02-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79414.7768-0.36%5.0878+6.13%0.0570✗0.25376k2022-02-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.676.6457-0.36%6.91+3.60%0.0153✗0.98818k2022-02-06
XTZTezosTezos3.94233.9277-0.37%3.9256-0.42%0.0315✓1.282.4M2022-02-06
LUNATerraTerra 255.3955.1825-0.37%56.13+1.34%0.0171✓1.428.8M2022-02-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.770.767088-0.38%0.83+7.79%0.0338✗1.87996k2022-02-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.61860.616256-0.38%0.6191+0.08%0.0217✓1.091.5M2022-02-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.31480.313591-0.38%0.3194+1.46%0.0077✓1.08554k2022-02-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.12035.1003-0.39%5.1636+0.85%0.0173✓1.23406k2022-02-06
DIADIAEthereum1.011.006-0.39%1.01+0.00%0.0202✓1.00333k2022-02-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.0542.0459-0.39%2.076+1.07%0.0012✓0.663.5M2022-02-06
FTTFTXEthereum46.1645.9777-0.39%46.65+1.06%0.0132✓1.1534.0M2022-02-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.52020.518144-0.40%0.5305+1.98%0.0189✓1.7642.5M2022-02-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.8715.8062-0.40%16.28+2.58%0.0144✗0.63908k2022-02-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.0850.084658-0.40%0.08812+3.67%0.0219✗0.7584k2022-02-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95490.951048-0.40%1.1073+15.96%0.1174✗1.4499k2022-02-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9211.9131-0.41%2.063+7.39%0.0465✗1.201.2M2022-02-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.423.4059-0.41%3.39-0.88%0.0380✓1.3821.3M2022-02-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.2622.1679-0.41%23.36+4.94%0.0252✗1.1326.9M2022-02-06
SUSHISushiEthereum4.684.6604-0.42%4.81+2.78%0.0006✓1.348.4M2022-02-06
MANADecentralandEthereum3.01453.0012-0.44%3.3003+9.48%0.0735✗0.892.8M2022-02-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,186.7725,073.58-0.45%24,634.41-2.19%0.0396✓0.9112.4M2022-02-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.77270.769114-0.46%0.7752+0.32%0.0265✓1.431.1M2022-02-06
FIDABonfidaSolana2.242.2294-0.47%2.241+0.04%0.0189✓1.0067k2022-02-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.765.7326-0.47%5.81+0.87%0.0155✓1.203.0M2022-02-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.050510.050262-0.49%0.04888-3.23%0.0520✓1.005.3M2022-02-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.7630.6088-0.49%31.31+1.79%0.0042✓1.12109.3M2022-02-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3528.2105-0.49%27.86-1.73%0.0358✓0.97513k2022-02-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.7695.7391-0.52%6.143+6.48%0.0439✗1.001.2M2022-02-06
GITCOINGITCOIN8.1668.1214-0.55%8.466+3.67%0.0336✗0.3340k2022-02-06
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.8834-0.57%3.04+4.83%0.0246✗1.17441k2022-02-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.211.2029-0.59%1.22+0.83%0.0167✓1.28490k2022-02-06
HIVEHivenative1.1661.1591-0.59%1.2177+4.43%0.0154✗1.411.9M2022-02-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1280.127206-0.62%0.127-0.78%0.0257✓1.00102k2022-02-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.212.1963-0.62%2.17-1.81%0.0452✓1.383.5M2022-02-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.158.0979-0.64%8.58+5.28%0.0495✗0.341.6M2022-02-06
PROPropyEthereum2.222.205-0.68%2.13-4.05%0.0587✓1.002.3M2022-02-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.28631.2757-0.82%1.3266+3.13%0.0150✗1.002.7M2022-02-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10890.106721-2.00%0.0929-14.69%0.1839✓1.8726.7M2022-02-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.