2022-02-03 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2184

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+6.25%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

31.3%

in alpha space · 76.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+11.48%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.39	3.3526	-1.10%	3	-11.50%	0.2719	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-04
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0312	2.0174	-0.68%	2.0881	+2.80%	0.0438	✓	0.72	3.5M	2022-02-04
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.118252	-0.63%	0.124	+4.20%	0.0612	✓	1.00	118k	2022-02-04
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.944495	-0.58%	1.01	+6.32%	0.0416	✓	1.00	391k	2022-02-04
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04805	0.047796	-0.53%	0.05094	+6.01%	0.0450	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-04
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0779	0.07749	-0.53%	0.0798	+2.44%	0.2452	✓	2.53	26.7M	2022-02-04
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.456	3.4401	-0.46%	3.56	+3.01%	0.0618	✓	0.88	766k	2022-02-04
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.2348	-0.42%	1.24	+0.00%	0.1528	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-04
STX	Stacks	native	1.43	1.424	-0.42%	1.55	+8.39%	0.0239	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-04
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0602	1.0559	-0.40%	1.1073	+4.44%	0.1201	✓	1.54	1.9M	2022-02-04
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.72	29.6119	-0.36%	31.13	+4.74%	0.0796	✓	1.19	114.8M	2022-02-04
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.16	134.6739	-0.36%	134.25	-0.67%	0.1154	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-04
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.559245	-0.35%	0.5994	+6.81%	0.0577	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-04
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2058	1.2017	-0.34%	1.2609	+4.57%	0.0606	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-04
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2929	0.291958	-0.32%	0.3064	+4.61%	0.0765	✓	1.15	590k	2022-02-04
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000207	0.000002064	-0.29%	0.00000223	+7.73%	0.0313	✓	1.00	18.2M	2022-02-04
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.01	2.0047	-0.27%	2.1	+4.48%	0.0622	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-04
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1115	4.1012	-0.25%	5.1583	+25.46%	0.2289	✗	0.00	376k	2022-02-04
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	5.0798	-0.20%	5.53	+8.64%	0.0513	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-04
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.366	2.3618	-0.18%	2.495	+5.45%	0.0623	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-04
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.6768	-0.17%	2.8185	+5.12%	0.0526	✓	0.96	3.1M	2022-02-04
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.613557	0.612665	-0.15%	0.647332	+5.50%	0.0768	✓	1.21	3.5M	2022-02-04
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.3956	-0.13%	3.57	+5.00%	0.0248	✗	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-04
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.77	42.7198	-0.12%	46.03	+7.62%	0.0587	✓	1.23	35.8M	2022-02-04
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9279	0.926879	-0.11%	0.9567	+3.10%	0.0901	✓	1.12	14.7M	2022-02-04
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.57	9.5603	-0.10%	9.89	+3.34%	0.0485	✓	0.76	706k	2022-02-04
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.45	14.4383	-0.08%	14.97	+3.60%	0.0402	✓	0.70	879k	2022-02-04
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8358	3.8329	-0.08%	4.0141	+4.65%	0.1042	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-04
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2853	0.285083	-0.08%	0.3098	+8.59%	0.0945	✓	1.64	4.2M	2022-02-04
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,620.52	23,605.32	-0.06%	24,905.44	+5.44%	0.0524	✓	0.98	13.6M	2022-02-04
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7329	6.7303	-0.04%	7.0386	+4.54%	0.0573	✓	0.94	4.1M	2022-02-04
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.09	3.0889	-0.03%	3.234	+4.66%	0.0427	✓	0.82	237k	2022-02-04
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014662	0.014657	-0.03%	0.016562	+12.96%	0.0034	✓	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-04
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09321	0.093191	-0.02%	0.09859	+5.77%	0.0564	✓	1.04	47k	2022-02-04
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.81	20.8083	-0.01%	22.27	+7.02%	0.0638	✓	1.21	31.5M	2022-02-04
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7256	4.7254	-0.00%	4.9837	+5.46%	0.0883	✓	1.30	364k	2022-02-04
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0916	3.0915	-0.00%	3.186	+3.05%	0.0819	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-04
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5436	0.543623	+0.00%	0.5902	+8.57%	0.0610	✗	1.32	2.7M	2022-02-04
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.618	2.6181	+0.00%	2.734	+4.43%	0.1195	✗	1.50	986k	2022-02-04
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.927	17.9289	+0.01%	19.447	+8.48%	0.0823	✗	1.51	10.5M	2022-02-04
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8308	0.830913	+0.01%	0.964	+16.03%	0.0081	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-04
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.49	2.4905	+0.02%	2.71	+8.84%	0.0486	✗	1.22	524k	2022-02-04
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.629	1.6295	+0.03%	1.721	+5.65%	0.0729	✗	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-04
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19482	0.194888	+0.03%	0.20472	+5.08%	0.1280	✗	1.63	29k	2022-02-04
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.085	6.0875	+0.04%	6.454	+6.06%	0.0536	✗	1.03	341k	2022-02-04
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1064	0.106448	+0.04%	0.1207	+13.44%	0.0361	✗	1.49	1.6M	2022-02-04
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.23	51.2534	+0.05%	54.06	+5.52%	0.1347	✗	1.73	8.8M	2022-02-04
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0657	0.065731	+0.05%	0.0704	+7.15%	0.0509	✗	1.10	21k	2022-02-04
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01236	0.012366	+0.05%	0.01363	+10.28%	0.0023	✓	0.87	13k	2022-02-04
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.695	1.6959	+0.05%	1.823	+7.55%	0.0649	✗	1.26	1.3M	2022-02-04
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.061	1.0616	+0.05%	1.1398	+7.43%	0.0544	✗	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-04
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.88	27.8962	+0.06%	29.7	+6.53%	0.0553	✗	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-04
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.69	38.7138	+0.06%	43.19	+11.63%	0.0648	✗	1.60	596k	2022-02-04
XVG	Verge	native	0.00994	0.009946	+0.06%	0.01084	+9.05%	0.0577	✗	1.32	1.4M	2022-02-04
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.136	4.1388	+0.07%	4.373	+5.73%	0.0348	✗	0.83	351k	2022-02-04
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1775	0.177621	+0.07%	0.1886	+6.25%	0.0146	✗	0.69	423k	2022-02-04
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.86	152.9723	+0.07%	166.87	+9.17%	0.0671	✗	1.42	11.9M	2022-02-04
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.294	1.295	+0.07%	1.458	+12.67%	0.0169	✗	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-04
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07603	0.076087	+0.08%	0.08239	+8.37%	0.0010	✗	0.74	80k	2022-02-04
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.1123	+0.08%	3.43	+10.29%	0.0624	✗	1.47	22.3M	2022-02-04
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0898	1.0907	+0.08%	1.172	+7.54%	0.0661	✗	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-04
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8263	0.827042	+0.09%	0.89908	+8.81%	0.1037	✗	1.72	378k	2022-02-04
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020346	0.020365	+0.09%	0.0224	+10.10%	0.0172	✗	1.04	2.7M	2022-02-04
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.46	23.4818	+0.09%	29.4	+25.32%	0.1381	✓	0.80	484k	2022-02-04
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4067	0.407079	+0.09%	0.4406	+8.34%	0.0669	✗	1.34	9.7M	2022-02-04
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.1745	3.1776	+0.10%	3.4217	+7.79%	0.0197	✗	0.86	26k	2022-02-04
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6279	1.6295	+0.10%	1.7925	+10.12%	0.0234	✗	1.09	76k	2022-02-04
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.44	2.4425	+0.10%	2.65	+8.61%	0.0292	✗	1.02	644k	2022-02-04
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.28	19.2996	+0.10%	21.99	+14.06%	0.0395	✗	1.56	422k	2022-02-04
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.04	2.0422	+0.11%	2.14	+4.90%	0.1199	✗	1.53	3.9M	2022-02-04
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	281.46	281.7656	+0.11%	306.37	+8.85%	0.0293	✗	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-04
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.89	147.051	+0.11%	165.31	+12.54%	0.0082	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-04
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4765	0.477029	+0.11%	0.5318	+11.61%	0.1004	✗	1.92	44.4M	2022-02-04
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.89	1.8921	+0.11%	2.1	+11.11%	0.0376	✗	1.31	2.5M	2022-02-04
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2525	+0.11%	2.29	+1.78%	0.1407	✗	1.45	2.5M	2022-02-04
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0616	0.061671	+0.12%	0.0663	+7.63%	0.0677	✗	1.29	548k	2022-02-04
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	111.02	111.1561	+0.12%	121.42	+9.37%	0.0591	✗	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-04
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125	125.1533	+0.12%	132.7	+6.16%	0.0841	✗	1.31	54k	2022-02-04
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.526	0.526645	+0.12%	0.543	+3.23%	0.1365	✗	1.54	4.6M	2022-02-04
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6621	+0.13%	1.77	+6.63%	0.0783	✗	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-04
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.660857	+0.13%	0.8	+21.21%	0.0129	✗	1.88	1.0M	2022-02-04
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.254331	+0.13%	0.27	+6.30%	0.0427	✗	0.94	70k	2022-02-04
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.2795	+0.13%	8.01	+10.18%	0.0642	✓	0.29	1.7M	2022-02-04
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.17	5.1769	+0.13%	5.39	+4.26%	0.0421	✗	0.76	398k	2022-02-04
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.37	25.4042	+0.13%	29.67	+16.95%	0.0240	✗	1.65	2.3M	2022-02-04
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05362	0.053694	+0.14%	0.05692	+6.15%	0.0961	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-04
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01026	0.010274	+0.14%	0.01119	+9.06%	0.0271	✗	1.03	572k	2022-02-04
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.139	0.139207	+0.15%	0.1601	+15.18%	0.0313	✓	1.00	337k	2022-02-04
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02918	0.029223	+0.15%	0.03121	+6.96%	0.0286	✗	0.87	8.0M	2022-02-04
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.13787	0.138078	+0.15%	0.147947	+7.31%	0.0461	✗	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-04
XEM	NEM	native	0.1027	0.102859	+0.15%	0.1096	+6.72%	0.0458	✗	1.01	41k	2022-02-04
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.718	0.719117	+0.16%	0.772	+7.52%	0.0453	✗	1.07	1.6M	2022-02-04
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.8	89.9415	+0.16%	95.61	+6.47%	0.0410	✗	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-04
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19506	0.195382	+0.16%	0.209216	+7.26%	0.0438	✗	1.03	25.9M	2022-02-04
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.328544	+0.17%	0.352	+7.32%	0.0792	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-04
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1138	0.11399	+0.17%	0.1262	+10.90%	0.0435	✗	1.34	3.4M	2022-02-04
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.42	18.4518	+0.17%	20.65	+12.11%	0.0868	✗	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-04
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	101.02	101.1944	+0.17%	107.21	+6.13%	0.0870	✗	1.33	6.6M	2022-02-04
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.936	0.937659	+0.18%	0.9987	+6.70%	0.0642	✗	1.17	31.5M	2022-02-04
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.93	18.964	+0.18%	20.51	+8.35%	0.0732	✗	1.39	46.2M	2022-02-04
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.3862	+0.18%	3.84	+13.61%	0.0102	✗	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-04
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.17	6.1815	+0.19%	6.43	+4.21%	0.0474	✗	0.80	504k	2022-02-04
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	68.49	68.6198	+0.19%	77.91	+13.75%	0.0216	✗	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-04
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.71	5.7208	+0.19%	6.19	+8.41%	0.0416	✗	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-04
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.88	6.8937	+0.20%	7.38	+7.27%	0.0414	✓	0.25	1.1M	2022-02-04
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04063	0.040714	+0.21%	0.04407	+8.47%	0.0419	✗	1.11	28k	2022-02-04
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.128	7.1428	+0.21%	7.996	+12.18%	0.0863	✓	0.24	40k	2022-02-04
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.37	20.413	+0.21%	21.63	+6.19%	0.0729	✗	1.20	10.4M	2022-02-04
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.31	16.345	+0.21%	17.51	+7.36%	0.0646	✗	1.23	85.9M	2022-02-04
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0807	0.080874	+0.22%	0.0871	+7.93%	0.0585	✗	1.22	299k	2022-02-04
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1839	0.184302	+0.22%	0.2023	+10.01%	0.0519	✗	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-04
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.773	5.7859	+0.22%	6.123	+6.06%	0.0356	✗	0.85	115k	2022-02-04
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.9814	+0.22%	15.13	+8.46%	0.0295	✗	1.00	731k	2022-02-04
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.1567	+0.23%	1.2494	+8.25%	0.0330	✗	1.01	338k	2022-02-04
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036103	0.036186	+0.23%	0.0408	+13.01%	0.0153	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-04
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2361	0.236657	+0.24%	0.2513	+6.44%	0.0669	✗	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-04
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	5.1321	+0.24%	5.44	+6.25%	0.0555	✗	1.05	971k	2022-02-04
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000764	0.000076582	+0.24%	0.00008267	+8.21%	0.0471	✗	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-04
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.0981	6.113	+0.24%	6.8761	+12.76%	0.0392	✗	1.44	174k	2022-02-04
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,697.59	2,704.33	+0.25%	2,998.19	+11.14%	0.0168	✗	1.10	573.1M	2022-02-04
DASH	Dash	Dash	95.23	95.4749	+0.26%	103.07	+8.23%	0.0518	✗	1.18	2.8M	2022-02-04
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4435	0.444643	+0.26%	0.4872	+9.85%	0.0641	✗	1.43	2.1M	2022-02-04
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.1007	+0.26%	4.47	+9.29%	0.0652	✗	1.39	8.5M	2022-02-04
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,329.91	37,427.45	+0.26%	41,614.64	+11.48%	0.0026	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-04
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,210.50	37,313.53	+0.28%	40,457.70	+8.73%	0.0278	✗	1.00	51k	2022-02-04
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8505	0.852859	+0.28%	0.9113	+7.15%	0.1323	✗	1.83	852k	2022-02-04
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.2104	3.2193	+0.28%	3.373	+5.06%	0.0733	✗	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-04
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6171	0.618892	+0.29%	0.6793	+10.08%	0.0741	✗	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-04
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.65	5.6665	+0.29%	6.47	+14.51%	0.0301	✓	0.94	832k	2022-02-04
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0772	2.0834	+0.30%	2.207	+6.25%	0.0745	✗	1.22	888k	2022-02-04
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.5	48.6459	+0.30%	51.33	+5.84%	0.0751	✗	1.19	7.8M	2022-02-04
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.12	6.1386	+0.30%	6.46	+5.56%	0.0437	✗	0.87	503k	2022-02-04
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.874	0.87669	+0.31%	0.978	+11.90%	0.0397	✗	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-04
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.76	163.2701	+0.31%	180.53	+10.92%	0.0279	✗	1.18	1.2M	2022-02-04
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.39	10.428	+0.37%	11.18	+7.60%	0.0765	✗	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-04
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.19	8.2206	+0.37%	8.72	+6.47%	0.0847	✗	1.32	2.5M	2022-02-04
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002075	0.000020829	+0.38%	0.0000222	+6.99%	0.0883	✗	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-04
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.93	102.3228	+0.39%	112.69	+10.56%	0.0352	✗	1.21	191.4M	2022-02-04
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05985	0.060083	+0.39%	0.06445	+7.69%	0.0301	✗	0.92	396k	2022-02-04
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00935	0.009387	+0.39%	0.0106	+13.37%	0.0182	✗	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-04
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.5146	74.8228	+0.41%	88.7362	+19.09%	0.0304	✓	1.29	351k	2022-02-04
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00612	0.006146	+0.42%	0.00663	+8.33%	0.1769	✗	2.33	21.3M	2022-02-04
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0321	0.032234	+0.42%	0.0408	+27.10%	0.0787	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-04
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.748	4.7721	+0.51%	5.748	+21.06%	0.0774	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-04
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03828	0.038492	+0.55%	0.039645	+3.57%	0.1394	✗	1.55	131k	2022-02-04
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03949	0.039711	+0.56%	0.04226	+7.01%	0.0578	✗	1.10	9.0M	2022-02-04
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3716	0.374751	+0.85%	0.41	+10.33%	0.0916	✗	1.67	1.8M	2022-02-04

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.