2022-02-02 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0607

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.52%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

52.4%

in alpha space · 73.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.10%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.37	0.373782	+1.02%	0.3716	+0.43%	0.0242	✗	1.67	1.9M	2022-02-03
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.037204	0.037476	+0.73%	0.03828	+2.89%	0.0046	✓	1.52	149k	2022-02-03
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0418	0.042029	+0.55%	0.03949	-5.53%	0.0745	✗	1.11	9.1M	2022-02-03
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	73.5972	73.9961	+0.54%	74.5146	+1.25%	0.0071	✗	1.29	383k	2022-02-03
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00607	0.0061	+0.49%	0.00612	+0.82%	0.0222	✗	2.33	22.6M	2022-02-03
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.081	5.1049	+0.47%	4.748	-6.55%	0.0834	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-03
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058639	0.058892	+0.43%	0.05985	+2.07%	0.0061	✓	0.92	403k	2022-02-03
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.83	7.8635	+0.43%	8.19	+4.60%	0.0263	✓	1.31	2.7M	2022-02-03
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002064	0.000020728	+0.42%	0.00002075	+0.53%	0.0143	✗	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-03
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.034143	+0.42%	0.0321	-5.59%	0.0777	✗	1.46	513k	2022-02-03
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.465	0.466914	+0.41%	0.526	+13.12%	0.1025	✓	1.52	4.6M	2022-02-03
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00952	0.009559	+0.41%	0.00935	-1.79%	0.0362	✗	1.29	1.9M	2022-02-03
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.99	102.4	+0.40%	101.93	-0.06%	0.0179	✗	1.22	187.6M	2022-02-03
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.53	10.5713	+0.39%	10.39	-1.33%	0.0321	✗	1.35	12.5M	2022-02-03
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.1051	+0.37%	4.09	+0.00%	0.0190	✗	1.40	8.8M	2022-02-03
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.31	162.9073	+0.37%	162.76	+0.28%	0.0138	✗	1.18	1.3M	2022-02-03
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.05	6.0714	+0.35%	6.12	+1.16%	0.0016	✓	0.87	529k	2022-02-03
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6281	0.630272	+0.35%	0.6171	-1.75%	0.0380	✗	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-03
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.9	1.9065	+0.34%	2.04	+7.37%	0.0511	✓	1.51	3.9M	2022-02-03
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.49	5.5085	+0.34%	5.71	+4.01%	0.0239	✓	1.10	2.1M	2022-02-03
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4277	0.429145	+0.34%	0.4435	+3.69%	0.0173	✓	1.43	2.2M	2022-02-03
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.79	15.8417	+0.33%	16.31	+3.29%	0.0157	✓	1.22	85.9M	2022-02-03
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.12	49.2802	+0.33%	48.5	-1.26%	0.0290	✗	1.19	8.0M	2022-02-03
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1357	3.1458	+0.32%	3.2104	+2.38%	0.0083	✓	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-03
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.883	0.88583	+0.32%	0.874	-1.02%	0.0285	✗	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-03
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1064	2.113	+0.32%	2.0772	-1.39%	0.0305	✗	1.22	888k	2022-02-03
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.77	5.7881	+0.31%	5.65	-2.08%	0.0345	✗	0.95	835k	2022-02-03
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.53	6.5505	+0.31%	6.88	+5.36%	0.0465	✓	0.24	1.1M	2022-02-03
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.05	93.3381	+0.31%	95.23	+2.34%	0.0072	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-02-03
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.035872	0.035982	+0.31%	0.036103	+0.64%	0.0103	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-03
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,923.39	37,034.34	+0.30%	37,329.91	+1.10%	0.0030	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-03
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1125	1.1158	+0.30%	1.1541	+3.74%	0.0227	✓	1.01	338k	2022-02-03
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8664	0.868915	+0.29%	0.8505	-1.84%	0.0415	✗	1.83	852k	2022-02-03
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2314	0.232059	+0.28%	0.2361	+2.03%	0.0045	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-03
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.76	13.7983	+0.28%	13.95	+1.38%	0.0000	✓	1.00	762k	2022-02-03
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.19	20.2461	+0.28%	20.37	+0.89%	0.0071	✗	1.20	11.3M	2022-02-03
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.02	6.0367	+0.28%	6.17	+2.49%	0.0131	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-03
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1803	0.1808	+0.28%	0.1839	+2.00%	0.0024	✓	1.33	3.7M	2022-02-03
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,682.66	2,689.95	+0.27%	2,697.59	+0.56%	0.0093	✗	1.11	575.5M	2022-02-03
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03913	0.039234	+0.27%	0.04063	+3.83%	0.0228	✓	1.11	29k	2022-02-03
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.22	5.2339	+0.27%	5.12	-1.92%	0.0335	✗	1.05	1000k	2022-02-03
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,883.40	37,983.62	+0.26%	37,210.50	-1.78%	0.0316	✗	1.01	51k	2022-02-03
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.754	5.7692	+0.26%	5.773	+0.33%	0.0086	✗	0.85	116k	2022-02-03
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007582	0.000076015	+0.26%	0.0000764	+0.76%	0.0074	✗	1.14	5.7M	2022-02-03
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.025	6.0405	+0.26%	6.0981	+1.21%	0.0063	✗	1.44	174k	2022-02-03
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.01	18.0556	+0.25%	18.42	+2.28%	0.0001	✓	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-03
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0794	0.079595	+0.25%	0.0807	+1.64%	0.0004	✓	1.22	299k	2022-02-03
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1092	0.109467	+0.24%	0.1138	+4.21%	0.0243	✓	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-03
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.316	0.316763	+0.24%	0.328	+3.80%	0.0200	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-03
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.64149	+0.23%	0.66	+3.12%	0.0079	✓	1.87	1.0M	2022-02-03
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.76	18.8037	+0.23%	18.93	+0.91%	0.0086	✗	1.40	47.3M	2022-02-03
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	67.87	68.0264	+0.23%	68.49	+0.91%	0.0082	✗	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-03
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1348	0.13511	+0.23%	0.139	+3.12%	0.0175	✓	1.00	337k	2022-02-03
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.37	3.3778	+0.23%	3.38	+0.30%	0.0130	✗	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-03
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.22	121.4968	+0.23%	125	+3.12%	0.0141	✓	1.31	59k	2022-02-03
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9235	0.925583	+0.23%	0.936	+1.35%	0.0016	✓	1.17	34.5M	2022-02-03
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.35	98.5701	+0.22%	101.02	+2.71%	0.0100	✓	1.33	7.0M	2022-02-03
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.04	5.0509	+0.22%	5.17	+2.58%	0.0150	✓	0.75	404k	2022-02-03
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00983	0.009851	+0.22%	0.01026	+4.37%	0.0294	✓	1.03	565k	2022-02-03
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6335	+0.21%	1.66	+1.84%	0.0019	✓	1.30	2.0M	2022-02-03
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.193151	0.19355	+0.21%	0.19506	+0.99%	0.0035	✗	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-03
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	47.6	47.6981	+0.21%	51.23	+7.63%	0.0527	✓	1.71	8.8M	2022-02-03
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05325	0.053359	+0.21%	0.05362	+0.69%	0.0107	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-03
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0599	0.060022	+0.20%	0.0616	+2.84%	0.0119	✓	1.29	554k	2022-02-03
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.137104	0.137381	+0.20%	0.13787	+0.56%	0.0081	✗	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-03
XMR	Monero	Monero	145.08	145.3731	+0.20%	146.89	+1.25%	0.0006	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-03
XEM	NEM	native	0.1015	0.101691	+0.19%	0.1027	+1.18%	0.0011	✓	1.00	41k	2022-02-03
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.87	1.8735	+0.19%	1.89	+1.07%	0.0055	✗	1.31	2.8M	2022-02-03
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.719	0.720309	+0.18%	0.718	-0.14%	0.0149	✗	1.07	1.7M	2022-02-03
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90	90.1618	+0.18%	89.8	-0.22%	0.0143	✗	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-03
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0423	1.0441	+0.18%	1.0898	+4.56%	0.0290	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-03
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.36	108.5464	+0.17%	111.02	+2.45%	0.0077	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-03
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	151.26	151.519	+0.17%	152.86	+1.06%	0.0067	✗	1.42	12.2M	2022-02-03
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02927	0.02932	+0.17%	0.02918	-0.31%	0.0143	✗	0.87	8.4M	2022-02-03
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.564	7.5765	+0.17%	7.128	-5.76%	0.0638	✗	0.26	41k	2022-02-03
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.115	+0.16%	3.11	+0.00%	0.0177	✗	1.47	23.3M	2022-02-03
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8404	0.841737	+0.16%	0.9279	+10.41%	0.0854	✓	1.10	15.7M	2022-02-03
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9455	0.94698	+0.16%	1.0602	+12.13%	0.0962	✓	1.53	1.9M	2022-02-03
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.18	2.1834	+0.16%	2.25	+3.21%	0.0143	✓	1.44	2.3M	2022-02-03
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4666	0.46732	+0.15%	0.4765	+2.12%	0.0016	✗	1.93	46.2M	2022-02-03
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07379	0.073904	+0.15%	0.07603	+3.04%	0.0203	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-03
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.41	2.4137	+0.15%	2.44	+1.24%	0.0003	✓	1.02	667k	2022-02-03
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.998	4.0041	+0.15%	4.136	+3.45%	0.0234	✓	0.82	351k	2022-02-03
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.54	7.5511	+0.15%	7.27	-3.58%	0.0412	✗	0.30	1.8M	2022-02-03
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.25	0.250368	+0.15%	0.254	+1.60%	0.0041	✓	0.94	70k	2022-02-03
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	278	278.397	+0.14%	281.46	+1.24%	0.0004	✓	1.04	6.8M	2022-02-03
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6005	1.6027	+0.14%	1.6279	+1.71%	0.0036	✓	1.09	79k	2022-02-03
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020246	0.020274	+0.14%	0.020346	+0.49%	0.0077	✗	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-03
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4048	0.405346	+0.13%	0.4067	+0.47%	0.0114	✗	1.35	10.0M	2022-02-03
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.29	26.3248	+0.13%	27.88	+6.05%	0.0456	✓	1.08	3.4M	2022-02-03
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.81012	0.811134	+0.13%	0.8263	+2.00%	0.0004	✓	1.72	419k	2022-02-03
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19118	0.191419	+0.13%	0.19482	+1.90%	0.0003	✓	1.63	25k	2022-02-03
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.279	1.2806	+0.12%	1.294	+1.17%	0.0032	✗	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-03
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	113.54	113.6765	+0.12%	135.16	+19.04%	0.1621	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-02-03
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.57	23.5979	+0.12%	23.46	-0.47%	0.0146	✗	0.80	484k	2022-02-03
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009791	+0.12%	0.00994	+1.64%	0.0006	✓	1.32	1.5M	2022-02-03
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.55	26.5811	+0.12%	25.37	-4.44%	0.0649	✗	1.66	2.5M	2022-02-03
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.883	5.8899	+0.12%	6.085	+3.43%	0.0214	✓	1.03	341k	2022-02-03
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0268	1.028	+0.11%	1.061	+3.33%	0.0190	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-03
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1756	0.175792	+0.11%	0.1775	+1.08%	0.0022	✓	0.69	457k	2022-02-03
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.13	38.1715	+0.11%	38.69	+1.47%	0.0041	✗	1.60	626k	2022-02-03
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.09	20.1094	+0.10%	19.28	-4.03%	0.0594	✗	1.57	438k	2022-02-03
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.696	1.6976	+0.10%	1.695	-0.06%	0.0154	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-03
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.46	2.4619	+0.08%	2.49	+1.22%	0.0021	✗	1.22	566k	2022-02-03
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08941	0.089477	+0.07%	0.09321	+4.25%	0.0296	✓	1.03	46k	2022-02-03
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0126	0.012609	+0.07%	0.01236	-1.90%	0.0295	✗	0.88	13k	2022-02-03
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6307	4.6337	+0.07%	4.7256	+2.05%	0.0054	✓	1.30	365k	2022-02-03
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0643	0.064342	+0.07%	0.0657	+2.18%	0.0089	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-03
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,029.36	23,044.11	+0.06%	23,620.52	+2.57%	0.0141	✓	0.97	14.8M	2022-02-03
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.582	2.5836	+0.06%	2.618	+1.39%	0.0032	✗	1.50	986k	2022-02-03
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.11	0.110067	+0.06%	0.1064	-3.27%	0.0503	✗	1.50	1.6M	2022-02-03
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.03	3.0315	+0.05%	3.09	+1.98%	0.0102	✓	0.81	262k	2022-02-03
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.776	17.7843	+0.05%	17.927	+0.85%	0.0085	✗	1.51	10.6M	2022-02-03
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5398	0.54004	+0.04%	0.5436	+0.70%	0.0079	✗	1.32	2.8M	2022-02-03
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.5718	0.572028	+0.04%	0.613557	+7.30%	0.0569	✓	1.20	3.3M	2022-02-03
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014783	0.014787	+0.02%	0.014662	-0.82%	0.0211	✗	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-03
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2783	0.278341	+0.01%	0.2853	+2.52%	0.0068	✓	1.63	4.3M	2022-02-03
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.09	14.091	+0.01%	14.45	+2.56%	0.0175	✓	0.70	851k	2022-02-03
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.33	26.3315	+0.01%	29.72	+12.88%	0.1082	✓	1.17	120.6M	2022-02-03
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0352	3.0353	+0.00%	3.0916	+1.86%	0.0071	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-03
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04359	0.043584	-0.01%	0.04805	+10.23%	0.0866	✗	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-03
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.166	3.1654	-0.02%	3.456	+9.16%	0.0783	✗	0.87	766k	2022-02-03
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.36	9.358	-0.02%	9.57	+2.24%	0.0141	✗	0.76	709k	2022-02-03
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8016	6.7992	-0.04%	6.7329	-1.01%	0.0201	✓	0.94	4.2M	2022-02-03
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.537	2.5361	-0.04%	2.6813	+5.69%	0.0453	✗	0.95	3.1M	2022-02-03
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.03	3.0287	-0.04%	3.39	+11.88%	0.0968	✗	1.45	2.2M	2022-02-03
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8666	0.866184	-0.05%	0.8308	-4.13%	0.0577	✓	1.46	103k	2022-02-03
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.3042	3.302	-0.07%	3.1745	-3.93%	0.0489	✓	0.87	25k	2022-02-03
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.3969	-0.09%	3.4	+0.00%	0.0016	✓	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-03
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.9	42.8604	-0.09%	42.77	-0.30%	0.0156	✓	1.23	37.0M	2022-02-03
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.59	21.569	-0.10%	20.81	-3.61%	0.0492	✓	1.22	34.3M	2022-02-03
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.278	0.277686	-0.11%	0.2929	+5.36%	0.0409	✗	1.14	545k	2022-02-03
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7524	3.7469	-0.15%	3.8358	+2.22%	0.0083	✗	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-03
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.589	1.5859	-0.19%	1.629	+2.52%	0.0140	✗	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-03
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5361	0.53486	-0.23%	0.5612	+4.68%	0.0354	✗	1.16	1.7M	2022-02-03
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.24	1.2362	-0.30%	1.2058	-2.76%	0.0359	✓	1.00	2.9M	2022-02-03
STX	Stacks	native	1.41	1.4054	-0.32%	1.43	+1.42%	0.0064	✗	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-03
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.12	2.1131	-0.33%	2.01	-5.19%	0.0610	✓	1.00	2.9M	2022-02-03
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.235	2.2275	-0.33%	2.366	+5.86%	0.0486	✗	1.07	22k	2022-02-03
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.33	5.312	-0.34%	5.09	-4.50%	0.0566	✓	1.27	3.0M	2022-02-03
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1355	4.1207	-0.36%	4.1115	-0.58%	0.0023	✓	0.01	376k	2022-02-03
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0786	0.078295	-0.39%	0.0779	-0.89%	0.0330	✓	2.55	25.7M	2022-02-03
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8613	1.8532	-0.44%	2.0312	+9.13%	0.0840	✗	0.71	3.2M	2022-02-03
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.118348	-0.55%	0.119	+0.00%	0.0055	✓	1.00	125k	2022-02-03
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.3368	-1.71%	1.24	-8.82%	0.0912	✓	1.46	490k	2022-02-03

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.