8=======>

2022-02-01 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3282
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
39.3%
in alpha space · 90.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum8.138.1333+0.04%7.83-3.69%0.0250✓1.332.8M2022-02-02
XMRMoneroMonero146.32146.3581+0.03%145.08-0.85%0.0396✓1.021.8M2022-02-02
NANOnanopayBase2.15182.1518+0.00%2.1064-2.11%0.0375✓1.24888k2022-02-02
TRXTRONTron0.0598310.059822-0.02%0.058639-1.99%0.0242✗0.93411k2022-02-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,691.9038,681.06-0.03%37,883.40-2.09%0.0274✗1.0251k2022-02-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.666.6579-0.03%6.53-1.95%0.0085✓0.231.1M2022-02-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04460.044584-0.04%0.0418-6.28%0.0118✓1.119.1M2022-02-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43270.432463-0.05%0.37-14.49%0.0802✓1.602.0M2022-02-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.15121.1505-0.06%1.1125-3.36%0.0148✗1.02346k2022-02-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,716.8838,692.05-0.06%36,923.39-4.63%0.0006✓1.00717.4M2022-02-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash287.95287.7325-0.08%278-3.46%0.0152✗1.056.8M2022-02-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009570.009562-0.08%0.00952-0.52%0.0571✗1.302.1M2022-02-02
MOVRMoonriverBase76.287476.213-0.10%73.5972-3.53%0.0255✗1.27383k2022-02-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.60481.6032-0.10%1.6005-0.27%0.0513✗1.1282k2022-02-02
QTUMQtumQtum6.17976.173-0.11%6.025-2.50%0.0451✗1.46174k2022-02-02
DODODODOEthereum0.4880.487464-0.11%0.465-4.71%0.0257✗1.544.7M2022-02-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1424890.142332-0.11%0.137104-3.78%0.0131✗1.077.1M2022-02-02
QNTQuantEthereum104.95104.833-0.11%113.54+8.18%0.1301✗1.067.5M2022-02-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11610.11597-0.11%0.1092-5.94%0.0029✗1.333.8M2022-02-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2550.254713-0.11%0.25-1.96%0.0267✗0.9667k2022-02-02
ETHEthereumEthereum2,789.662,786.25-0.12%2,682.66-3.84%0.0147✗1.11560.6M2022-02-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.038340.038293-0.12%0.035872-6.44%0.0061✓1.259.4M2022-02-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.826.767-0.12%26.29-1.90%0.0339✗1.093.3M2022-02-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6832.6794-0.13%2.582-3.76%0.0355✗1.53986k2022-02-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47370.473063-0.13%0.4277-9.71%0.0344✓1.402.2M2022-02-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin115.11114.9548-0.13%108.36-5.86%0.0052✗1.3533.8M2022-02-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3280.327537-0.14%0.316-3.66%0.0290✗1.371.8M2022-02-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021760.000021729-0.14%0.00002064-5.15%0.0157✗1.411.6M2022-02-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3161.3141-0.14%1.279-2.81%0.0327✗1.263.5M2022-02-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5251.5228-0.15%1.589+4.20%0.0998✗1.211.6M2022-02-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.20913.204-0.16%3.3042+2.96%0.0737✗0.9123k2022-02-02
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1111.0925-0.16%10.53-5.22%0.0123✗1.3612.9M2022-02-02
XVGVergenative0.010180.010163-0.16%0.00978-3.93%0.0249✗1.341.6M2022-02-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0620.061895-0.17%0.0599-3.39%0.0296✗1.31556k2022-02-02
KSMKusamaHydration170.69170.3978-0.17%162.31-4.91%0.0076✗1.191.3M2022-02-02
SCSiacoinnative0.010110.010092-0.18%0.00983-2.77%0.0231✗1.04565k2022-02-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.030080.030025-0.18%0.02927-2.69%0.0174✗0.908.7M2022-02-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9320.930307-0.18%0.883-5.26%0.0132✗1.382.3M2022-02-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9585.9471-0.18%5.754-3.42%0.0074✗0.85118k2022-02-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.6726.6184-0.19%26.55-0.45%0.0760✗1.662.6M2022-02-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040340.040262-0.19%0.03913-3.00%0.0246✗1.1229k2022-02-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006840.006826-0.20%0.00607-11.26%0.0070✓2.3323.2M2022-02-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.18683.1804-0.20%3.1357-1.60%0.0394✗1.132.7M2022-02-02
DASHDashDash97.2397.0302-0.21%93.05-4.30%0.0142✗1.182.9M2022-02-02
XECeCashnative0.000077220.000077061-0.21%0.00007582-1.81%0.0373✗1.135.7M2022-02-02
XLMStellarStellar0.2020280.201605-0.21%0.193151-4.39%0.0064✗1.0426.2M2022-02-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0209540.02091-0.21%0.020246-3.38%0.0161✗1.023.0M2022-02-02
GTGateEthereum6.93646.9218-0.21%6.8016-1.94%0.0275✗0.954.3M2022-02-02
ZENHorizenBase39.2139.1274-0.21%38.13-2.75%0.0511✗1.62626k2022-02-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06580.06566-0.21%0.0643-2.28%0.0316✗1.1121k2022-02-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.6614.6285-0.22%13.76-6.14%0.0143✓0.99795k2022-02-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.9420.8945-0.22%20.09-4.06%0.0361✗1.59465k2022-02-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012830.012802-0.22%0.0126-1.79%0.0263✗0.8913k2022-02-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089020.088823-0.22%0.08941+0.44%0.0584✗1.0946k2022-02-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.375.3581-0.22%5.04-6.15%0.0262✓0.74429k2022-02-02
ZECZcashZcash98.9798.7466-0.23%98.35-0.63%0.0603✗1.366.6M2022-02-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0151730.015139-0.23%0.014783-2.57%0.0320✗1.182.7M2022-02-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5821330.580812-0.23%0.5718-1.78%0.0423✗1.223.3M2022-02-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08220.082011-0.23%0.0794-3.41%0.0263✗1.24299k2022-02-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.6991.4742-0.24%90-1.84%0.0287✗0.951.6M2022-02-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96520.962909-0.24%0.8664-10.24%0.0189✓1.83852k2022-02-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.12.0949-0.24%2.18+3.81%0.1134✗1.552.3M2022-02-02
UMAUMAEthereum5.985.9653-0.25%5.49-8.19%0.0315✓1.092.1M2022-02-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.18850.188036-0.25%0.1803-4.35%0.0217✗1.343.7M2022-02-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.9670.964573-0.25%0.9235-4.50%0.0124✗1.1834.5M2022-02-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.2642-0.25%6.05-3.66%0.0065✗0.87529k2022-02-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.246.2242-0.25%6.02-3.53%0.0044✗0.80504k2022-02-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.3819.3306-0.25%18.01-7.07%0.0166✗1.843.9M2022-02-02
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.5609-0.26%3.4-4.76%0.0367✓0.201.4M2022-02-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83910.836952-0.26%0.8404+0.15%0.0576✗1.1316.8M2022-02-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43930.438174-0.26%0.4048-7.85%0.0168✓1.3210.0M2022-02-02
XEMNEMnative0.1040.10373-0.26%0.1015-2.40%0.0266✗1.0243k2022-02-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7560.754006-0.26%0.719-4.89%0.0033✗1.071.8M2022-02-02
HIVEHivenative0.95490.952298-0.27%0.9455-0.98%0.0655✗1.531.9M2022-02-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5650.563439-0.28%0.5398-4.46%0.0206✗1.342.7M2022-02-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum1716.9522-0.28%15.79-7.12%0.0134✓1.2288.8M2022-02-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24560.244904-0.28%0.2314-5.78%0.0011✓1.171.9M2022-02-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.532.5227-0.29%2.41-4.74%0.0025✓1.02697k2022-02-02
COMPCompoundEthereum128.16127.7898-0.29%121.22-5.42%0.0096✗1.3259k2022-02-02
BANDBandEthereum3.493.4799-0.29%3.37-3.44%0.0281✗1.272.5M2022-02-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.71.695-0.29%1.63-4.12%0.0225✗1.302.1M2022-02-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.2472.2403-0.30%2.235-0.53%0.0493✗1.0922k2022-02-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche73.3773.1518-0.30%67.87-7.50%0.0110✓1.3587.3M2022-02-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1253.1156-0.30%3.03-3.04%0.0108✗0.81299k2022-02-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.981.9741-0.30%1.87-5.56%0.0078✗1.312.5M2022-02-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9795.9606-0.31%5.883-1.61%0.0364✗1.04341k2022-02-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.5819.5185-0.31%18.76-4.19%0.0267✗1.4048.3M2022-02-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0426170.042482-0.32%0.037204-12.70%0.0625✓1.48163k2022-02-02
ADACardanoCardano1.09651.0929-0.33%1.0268-6.36%0.0079✓1.15113.2M2022-02-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.3655.3471-0.33%5.081-5.29%0.0036✓1.001.4M2022-02-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9220.8502-0.33%20.19-3.49%0.0254✗1.2112.4M2022-02-02
SOLSolanaSolana110.1109.7274-0.34%101.99-7.37%0.0163✓1.20181.0M2022-02-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1520.0813-0.34%21.59+7.15%0.1330✗1.2834.3M2022-02-02
KCSKuCoinnative18.49618.4329-0.34%17.776-3.89%0.0360✗1.5210.6M2022-02-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2284.2135-0.34%3.998-5.44%0.0140✓0.81351k2022-02-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09593.0853-0.34%3.0352-1.96%0.0333✗1.052.0M2022-02-02
STXStacksnative1.51.4947-0.35%1.41-6.00%0.0109✓1.001.8M2022-02-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.843670.840683-0.35%0.81012-3.98%0.0451✗1.73458k2022-02-02
AAVEAaveEthereum164.05163.4495-0.37%151.26-7.80%0.0111✓1.4012.5M2022-02-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3373.3243-0.38%3.166-5.12%0.0082✓0.86819k2022-02-02
LUNATerraTerra 252.2152.0103-0.38%47.6-8.83%0.0085✓1.698.8M2022-02-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.4753.2637-0.39%49.12-8.14%0.0258✓1.168.0M2022-02-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.52960.527515-0.39%0.4666-11.90%0.0335✓1.8848.9M2022-02-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.206590.205774-0.40%0.19118-7.46%0.0034✓1.6225k2022-02-02
SUSHISushiEthereum4.354.3323-0.41%4.09-5.98%0.0089✗1.408.9M2022-02-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.729.6804-0.41%9.36-3.70%0.0022✓0.76744k2022-02-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.276.2438-0.42%5.77-7.97%0.0341✓0.95835k2022-02-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.30870.307387-0.43%0.2783-9.85%0.0227✓1.624.2M2022-02-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.4725.36-0.43%23.57-7.46%0.0361✓0.78462k2022-02-02
IMXImmutableEthereum2.882.8667-0.46%3.03+5.21%0.1298✗1.572.2M2022-02-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55750.554873-0.47%0.5361-3.84%0.0211✗1.171.8M2022-02-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.70.696684-0.47%0.64-8.57%0.0041✓1.881.1M2022-02-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88340.879214-0.47%0.8666-1.90%0.0576✗1.52103k2022-02-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.8628.7208-0.48%26.33-8.77%0.0321✓1.15120.6M2022-02-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14250.141798-0.49%0.1348-5.40%0.0038✓0.99337k2022-02-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.048290.048048-0.50%0.04359-9.73%0.0499✓1.005.4M2022-02-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8371.8275-0.52%1.696-7.68%0.0159✓1.241.4M2022-02-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.078360.077953-0.52%0.07379-5.83%0.0202✓0.7380k2022-02-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4614.3848-0.52%14.09-2.56%0.0125✗0.70841k2022-02-02
RADRadworksEthereum5.65.5708-0.52%5.22-6.79%0.0152✓1.051.0M2022-02-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03580.035612-0.53%0.034-5.03%0.0234✗1.47540k2022-02-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.89914.8732-0.53%4.6307-5.48%0.0083✗1.25406k2022-02-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.463.4414-0.54%3.11-10.12%0.0321✓1.4624.0M2022-02-02
XYMSymbolnative0.18250.181514-0.54%0.1756-3.78%0.0010✓0.68472k2022-02-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.058110.057794-0.54%0.05325-8.36%0.0142✓1.431.6M2022-02-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,472.1825,330.71-0.56%23,029.36-9.59%0.0504✓0.9515.1M2022-02-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.25894.2349-0.56%4.1355-2.90%0.0238✓-0.00375k2022-02-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.14751.1409-0.58%1.0423-9.17%0.0321✓1.232.4M2022-02-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.032.0183-0.58%1.9-6.40%0.0122✗1.534.2M2022-02-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.634-0.60%2.46-7.17%0.0106✓1.22577k2022-02-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.28260.280794-0.64%0.278-1.63%0.0446✗1.15557k2022-02-02
XTZTezosTezos3.74793.7238-0.64%3.7524+0.12%0.0744✗1.412.5M2022-02-02
FTTFTXEthereum45.244.9006-0.66%42.9-5.09%0.0131✗1.2439.5M2022-02-02
MANADecentralandEthereum2.68032.6621-0.68%2.537-5.35%0.0022✓0.973.1M2022-02-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.87421.8605-0.73%1.8613-0.69%0.0348✗0.733.1M2022-02-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.375.3296-0.75%5.33-0.74%0.0615✗1.303.0M2022-02-02
GITCOINGITCOIN8.0527.9909-0.76%7.564-6.06%0.0434✓0.2441k2022-02-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20441.1947-0.81%1.24+2.96%0.0847✗1.003.0M2022-02-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.11890.117907-0.84%0.11-7.49%0.0016✓1.501.7M2022-02-02
PROPropyEthereum2.232.2105-0.87%2.12-4.93%0.0056✓1.003.1M2022-02-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.067.989-0.88%7.54-6.45%0.0443✓0.291.8M2022-02-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.72310.716704-0.88%0.6281-13.14%0.0580✓1.561.2M2022-02-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.13147-1.15%0.119-10.53%0.0522✓1.00133k2022-02-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08610.083608-2.89%0.0786-8.71%0.0611✗2.5925.7M2022-02-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.1333-3.14%1.36+16.24%0.2570✗1.57490k2022-02-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.