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2022-02-01 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2622
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.73%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.8%
in alpha space · 56.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum8.138.5014+4.57%9.34+14.88%0.0286✓1.332.8M2022-03-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021760.000022628+3.99%0.00002507+15.21%0.0281✓1.411.6M2022-03-03
TRXTRONTron0.0598310.062106+3.80%0.060032+0.34%0.1201✗0.93411k2022-03-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04460.046053+3.26%0.01525-65.81%1.2078✗1.119.1M2022-03-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.18683.2862+3.12%2.9519-7.37%0.2116✗1.132.7M2022-03-03
SOLSolanaSolana110.1113.3971+2.99%95.61-13.16%0.2813✗1.20181.0M2022-03-03
NANOnanopayBase2.15182.2147+2.92%1.868-13.19%0.2849✗1.24888k2022-03-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,716.8839,816.03+2.84%42,464.41+9.68%0.0280✓1.00717.4M2022-03-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.666.8416+2.73%6.42-3.60%0.0848✗0.231.1M2022-03-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009570.009816+2.57%0.01199+25.29%0.0802✓1.302.1M2022-03-03
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1111.3937+2.55%9.55-14.04%0.3019✗1.3612.9M2022-03-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.4258+2.32%6.33+0.80%0.0954✗0.87529k2022-03-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.4754.6669+2.24%53.31-0.30%0.1327✗1.168.0M2022-03-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08220.083998+2.19%0.072-12.41%0.2684✗1.24299k2022-03-03
DASHDashDash97.2399.3274+2.16%96.75-0.49%0.1355✗1.182.9M2022-03-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,691.9039,501.89+2.09%42,572.60+10.03%0.0190✓1.0251k2022-03-03
QTUMQtumQtum6.17976.3088+2.09%6.3922+3.44%0.1220✗1.46174k2022-03-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040340.041158+2.03%0.03967-1.66%0.1402✗1.1229k2022-03-03
QNTQuantEthereum104.95107.0471+2.00%127.04+21.05%0.0732✓1.067.5M2022-03-03
KSMKusamaHydration170.69173.9024+1.88%131.9-22.73%0.3860✗1.191.3M2022-03-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006840.006966+1.84%0.00456-33.33%0.6387✗2.3323.2M2022-03-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3280.333961+1.82%0.295-10.06%0.2503✗1.371.8M2022-03-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,789.662,837.44+1.71%2,833.66+1.58%0.1038✗1.11560.6M2022-03-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4880.49588+1.61%0.448-8.20%0.2434✗1.544.7M2022-03-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5251.5491+1.58%1.523-0.13%0.1285✗1.211.6M2022-03-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.6614.8804+1.50%13.32-9.14%0.2021✗0.99795k2022-03-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.246.3321+1.48%7.63+22.28%0.1129✓0.80504k2022-03-03
ZECZcashZcash98.97100.3356+1.38%129.17+30.51%0.1273✓1.366.6M2022-03-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24560.248961+1.37%0.249+1.38%0.1082✗1.171.9M2022-03-03
XECeCashnative0.000077220.000078267+1.36%0.00007449-3.54%0.1537✗1.135.7M2022-03-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.030080.030486+1.35%0.02753-8.48%0.1855✗0.908.7M2022-03-03
XEMNEMnative0.1040.105357+1.30%0.1029-1.06%0.1178✗1.0243k2022-03-03
XLMStellarStellar0.2020280.204501+1.22%0.187901-6.99%0.1807✗1.0426.2M2022-03-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.18850.190803+1.22%0.1971+4.56%0.0916✗1.343.7M2022-03-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11610.11743+1.15%0.1221+5.17%0.0839✗1.333.8M2022-03-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.9670.977264+1.06%0.7967-17.61%0.3131✗1.1834.5M2022-03-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14250.143984+1.04%0.1559+9.40%0.0117✗0.99337k2022-03-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.827.0539+0.95%30.25+12.87%0.0106✓1.093.3M2022-03-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.3819.5633+0.95%14.3-26.21%0.4836✗1.843.9M2022-03-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.65.6523+0.93%5.51-1.61%0.1226✗1.051.0M2022-03-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche73.3774.0238+0.89%78.49+6.98%0.0659✗1.3587.3M2022-03-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.6992.4977+0.88%83.45-8.99%0.1905✗0.951.6M2022-03-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9320.93902+0.75%0.852-8.58%0.2247✗1.382.3M2022-03-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9586.0028+0.75%5.231-12.20%0.2163✗0.85118k2022-03-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash287.95290.112+0.75%315.29+9.49%0.0135✗1.056.8M2022-03-03
SCSiacoinnative0.010110.010186+0.75%0.00902-10.78%0.2178✗1.04565k2022-03-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.5819.7182+0.71%18.03-7.92%0.2187✗1.4048.3M2022-03-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.12.1146+0.69%1.24-40.95%0.6771✗1.552.3M2022-03-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2550.256738+0.68%0.273+7.06%0.0270✗0.9667k2022-03-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5821330.585939+0.65%0.534619-8.16%0.2046✗1.223.3M2022-03-03
HIVEHivenative0.95490.961007+0.64%0.9796+2.59%0.1224✗1.531.9M2022-03-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7560.760421+0.58%0.714-5.56%0.1620✗1.071.8M2022-03-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47370.47634+0.56%0.381-19.57%0.3527✗1.402.2M2022-03-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum1717.0902+0.53%14.89-12.41%0.2501✗1.2288.8M2022-03-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1424890.143216+0.51%0.129579-9.06%0.1985✗1.077.1M2022-03-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.60481.6127+0.49%2.1075+31.33%0.1643✓1.1282k2022-03-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089020.08945+0.48%0.09337+4.89%0.0580✗1.0946k2022-03-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96520.969626+0.46%0.7864-18.52%0.3783✗1.83852k2022-03-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.038340.038463+0.32%0.046937+22.42%0.0838✓1.259.4M2022-03-03
ZENHorizenBase39.2139.3227+0.29%38.18-2.63%0.1793✗1.62626k2022-03-03
BANDBandEthereum3.493.4993+0.27%3.962+13.52%0.0069✓1.272.5M2022-03-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.15121.153+0.15%1.0476-9.00%0.1900✗1.02346k2022-03-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin115.11115.2456+0.12%111.69-2.97%0.1565✗1.3533.8M2022-03-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.206590.206813+0.11%0.16147-21.84%0.3975✗1.6225k2022-03-03
COMPCompoundEthereum128.16128.2378+0.06%116.89-8.79%0.2142✗1.3259k2022-03-03
XVGVergenative0.010180.010183+0.03%0.01001-1.67%0.1406✗1.341.6M2022-03-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.71.6999-0.00%1.437-15.47%0.2880✓1.302.1M2022-03-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.4725.4562-0.05%30.05+17.98%0.0937✗0.78462k2022-03-03
MOVRMoonriverBase76.287476.2214-0.09%66.5878-12.71%0.2529✓1.27383k2022-03-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.375.365-0.09%5.38+0.19%0.0653✓0.74429k2022-03-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09593.092-0.12%2.95-4.71%0.1438✓1.052.0M2022-03-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9795.9714-0.13%5.584-6.61%0.1636✓1.04341k2022-03-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2284.2175-0.25%4.418+4.49%0.0285✓0.81351k2022-03-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.276.2525-0.28%4.42-29.51%0.4342✓0.95835k2022-03-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012830.012793-0.29%0.01236-3.66%0.1166✓0.8913k2022-03-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43930.437872-0.33%0.3647-16.98%0.3045✓1.3210.0M2022-03-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.6726.5677-0.38%25.18-5.59%0.2068✓1.662.6M2022-03-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.2472.2376-0.42%2.212-1.56%0.1121✓1.0922k2022-03-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06580.065438-0.55%0.0725+10.18%0.0001✓1.1121k2022-03-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0620.06164-0.58%0.0725+16.94%0.0409✗1.31556k2022-03-03
GITCOINGITCOIN8.0528.0046-0.59%6.363-20.98%0.2520✓0.2441k2022-03-03
ADACardanoCardano1.09651.0897-0.62%0.9021-17.73%0.2950✓1.15113.2M2022-03-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.70.695497-0.64%0.72+2.86%0.1387✓1.881.1M2022-03-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.078360.077842-0.66%0.06983-10.89%0.1761✓0.7380k2022-03-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9220.7813-0.66%20.13-3.78%0.1440✓1.2112.4M2022-03-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.532.5118-0.72%2.38-5.93%0.1478✓1.02697k2022-03-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.14751.1389-0.75%1.4091+22.80%0.0992✗1.232.4M2022-03-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3161.3049-0.84%1.174-10.79%0.2221✓1.263.5M2022-03-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.058110.057618-0.85%0.05073-12.70%0.2592✓1.431.6M2022-03-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.981.962-0.91%1.85-6.57%0.1794✓1.312.5M2022-03-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88340.874831-0.97%1.6497+86.74%0.4940✗1.52103k2022-03-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4614.3197-0.97%16.42+13.55%0.0721✗0.70841k2022-03-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0209540.020744-1.00%0.01877-10.42%0.1943✓1.023.0M2022-03-03
UMAUMAEthereum5.985.913-1.12%9.598+60.50%0.3840✗1.092.1M2022-03-03
LUNATerraTerra 252.2151.5695-1.23%90.56+73.45%0.4069✗1.698.8M2022-03-03
XMRMoneroMonero146.32144.5219-1.23%172.04+17.58%0.0801✗1.021.8M2022-03-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.28260.279069-1.25%0.2824-0.07%0.0944✓1.15557k2022-03-03
IMXImmutableEthereum2.882.8431-1.28%1.46-49.31%0.8114✓1.572.2M2022-03-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.20913.1669-1.31%2.2899-28.64%0.4079✓0.9123k2022-03-03
KCSKuCoinnative18.49618.2468-1.35%19.526+5.57%0.0731✓1.5210.6M2022-03-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1253.0821-1.37%2.882-7.78%0.1424✓0.81299k2022-03-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43270.426743-1.38%0.4722+9.13%0.0464✓1.602.0M2022-03-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.89914.829-1.43%4.2636-12.97%0.2402✓1.25406k2022-03-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.9420.6395-1.43%19.77-5.59%0.1898✓1.59465k2022-03-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8371.8097-1.49%1.479-19.49%0.3163✓1.241.4M2022-03-03
XYMSymbolnative0.18250.179738-1.51%0.146-20.00%0.2705✓0.68472k2022-03-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83910.82569-1.60%0.7596-9.47%0.1876✓1.1316.8M2022-03-03
GTGateEthereum6.93646.8218-1.65%6.7949-2.04%0.0916✓0.954.3M2022-03-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.6052-1.69%2.04-23.02%0.3571✓1.22577k2022-03-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.843670.829333-1.70%0.7113-15.69%0.3136✓1.73458k2022-03-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5650.554632-1.84%0.8058+42.62%0.2499✗1.342.7M2022-03-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6832.6326-1.88%2.873+7.08%0.0538✓1.53986k2022-03-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.147-1.96%1.176+0.51%0.1205✓1.57490k2022-03-03
XTZTezosTezos3.74793.6733-1.99%3.3937-9.45%0.2091✓1.412.5M2022-03-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.72310.707694-2.13%0.4943-31.64%0.5030✓1.561.2M2022-03-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.729.5074-2.19%10.07+3.60%0.0123✓0.76744k2022-03-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.031.984-2.27%1.545-23.89%0.3915✓1.534.2M2022-03-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.11890.116153-2.31%0.095-20.10%0.3393✓1.501.7M2022-03-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.30870.301531-2.32%0.2283-26.04%0.4276✓1.624.2M2022-03-03
AAVEAaveEthereum164.05160.1508-2.38%129.96-20.78%0.3382✓1.4012.5M2022-03-03
FTTFTXEthereum45.244.0838-2.47%44.86-0.75%0.0968✓1.2439.5M2022-03-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.067.8572-2.52%6.34-21.34%0.2409✓0.291.8M2022-03-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.68032.5997-3.01%2.6368-1.62%0.0752✓0.973.1M2022-03-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.463.3547-3.04%2.508-27.51%0.4256✓1.4624.0M2022-03-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1519.5249-3.10%19.97-0.89%0.0955✓1.2834.3M2022-03-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0151730.014667-3.34%0.011953-21.22%0.3132✓1.182.7M2022-03-03
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.4445-3.52%7.315+104.90%0.7346✗0.201.4M2022-03-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.25894.1087-3.53%5.6206+31.97%0.3134✗-0.00375k2022-03-03
SUSHISushiEthereum4.354.1908-3.66%3.3-24.14%0.3684✓1.408.9M2022-03-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03580.034482-3.68%0.0283-20.95%0.3335✓1.47540k2022-03-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.87421.7988-4.02%2.773+47.96%0.3658✗0.733.1M2022-03-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3373.2017-4.05%2.941-11.87%0.1640✓0.86819k2022-03-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,472.1824,387.49-4.26%21,698.86-14.81%0.2042✓0.9515.1M2022-03-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.8627.6022-4.36%34.01+17.84%0.1021✗1.15120.6M2022-03-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.52960.503341-4.96%0.3687-30.38%0.4851✓1.8848.9M2022-03-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.375.0961-5.10%3.808-29.09%0.4111✓1.303.0M2022-03-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55750.522958-6.20%0.5501-1.33%0.0576✓1.171.8M2022-03-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0426170.039916-6.34%0.020258-52.46%0.8150✓1.48163k2022-03-03
STXStacksnative1.51.3967-6.89%1.21-19.33%0.2359✓1.001.8M2022-03-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.048290.043903-9.08%0.03435-28.87%0.3378✓1.005.4M2022-03-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08610.07795-9.47%0.0637-26.02%0.4412✓2.5925.7M2022-03-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.120227-9.60%0.118-11.28%0.1111✓1.00133k2022-03-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20441.0689-11.25%0.865-28.18%0.3041✓1.003.0M2022-03-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.3654.76-11.28%3.084-42.52%0.5264✓1.001.4M2022-03-03
PROPropyEthereum2.231.9447-12.79%1.92-13.90%0.1052✓1.003.1M2022-03-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.