2022-02-01 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1324

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-1.42%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

65.5%

in alpha space · 35.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-4.63%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4327	0.43527	+0.59%	0.37	-14.49%	0.0867	✗	1.60	2.0M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0446	0.044787	+0.42%	0.0418	-6.28%	0.0164	✗	1.11	9.1M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059831	0.060074	+0.41%	0.058639	-1.99%	0.0200	✓	0.93	411k	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00957	0.009608	+0.39%	0.00952	-0.52%	0.0524	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.13	8.1616	+0.39%	7.83	-3.69%	0.0215	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	76.2874	76.5694	+0.37%	73.5972	-3.53%	0.0209	✓	1.27	383k	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00684	0.006865	+0.37%	0.00607	-11.26%	0.0127	✗	2.33	23.2M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002176	0.000021835	+0.34%	0.00002064	-5.15%	0.0108	✓	1.41	1.6M	2022-02-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.042617	0.042753	+0.32%	0.037204	-12.70%	0.0688	✗	1.48	163k	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.11	11.144	+0.31%	10.53	-5.22%	0.0077	✓	1.36	12.9M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1518	2.1583	+0.30%	2.1064	-2.11%	0.0345	✓	1.24	888k	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.488	0.489397	+0.29%	0.465	-4.71%	0.0217	✓	1.54	4.7M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.66	6.679	+0.29%	6.53	-1.95%	0.0117	✗	0.23	1.1M	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.28	6.2976	+0.28%	6.05	-3.66%	0.0011	✓	0.87	529k	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1868	3.1955	+0.27%	3.1357	-1.60%	0.0346	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1797	6.1949	+0.25%	6.025	-2.50%	0.0416	✓	1.46	174k	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.932	0.934254	+0.24%	0.883	-5.26%	0.0090	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.23	97.463	+0.24%	93.05	-4.30%	0.0097	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	170.69	171.0832	+0.23%	162.31	-4.91%	0.0036	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,716.88	38,804.76	+0.23%	36,923.39	-4.63%	0.0023	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1512	1.1538	+0.22%	1.1125	-3.36%	0.0120	✓	1.02	346k	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,691.90	38,777.86	+0.22%	37,883.40	-2.09%	0.0249	✓	1.02	51k	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.958	5.9711	+0.22%	5.754	-3.42%	0.0034	✓	0.85	118k	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0822	0.082378	+0.22%	0.0794	-3.41%	0.0219	✓	1.24	299k	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007722	0.000077387	+0.22%	0.00007582	-1.81%	0.0330	✓	1.13	5.7M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	110.1	110.3374	+0.22%	101.99	-7.37%	0.0219	✗	1.20	181.0M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.66	14.6909	+0.21%	13.76	-6.14%	0.0186	✗	0.99	795k	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.525	1.5282	+0.21%	1.589	+4.20%	0.0963	✓	1.21	1.6M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2456	0.246103	+0.20%	0.2314	-5.78%	0.0060	✗	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	104.95	105.1649	+0.20%	113.54	+8.18%	0.1269	✓	1.06	7.5M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04034	0.040423	+0.20%	0.03913	-3.00%	0.0206	✓	1.12	29k	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	53.47	53.5785	+0.20%	49.12	-8.14%	0.0317	✗	1.16	8.0M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1885	0.188878	+0.20%	0.1803	-4.35%	0.0172	✓	1.34	3.7M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.97	99.1613	+0.19%	98.35	-0.63%	0.0561	✓	1.36	6.6M	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.24	6.2518	+0.19%	6.02	-3.53%	0.0000	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,789.66	2,794.87	+0.19%	2,682.66	-3.84%	0.0116	✓	1.11	560.6M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.27	6.2816	+0.19%	5.77	-7.97%	0.0401	✗	0.95	835k	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	19.38	19.4153	+0.18%	18.01	-7.07%	0.0122	✓	1.84	3.9M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.92	20.9569	+0.18%	20.19	-3.49%	0.0203	✓	1.21	12.4M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.1037	+0.18%	2.18	+3.81%	0.1092	✓	1.55	2.3M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4737	0.474531	+0.18%	0.4277	-9.71%	0.0375	✗	1.40	2.2M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1161	0.1163	+0.17%	0.1092	-5.94%	0.0001	✓	1.33	3.8M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.328565	+0.17%	0.316	-3.66%	0.0258	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17	17.0292	+0.17%	15.79	-7.12%	0.0179	✗	1.22	88.8M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.03834	0.038403	+0.17%	0.035872	-6.44%	0.0090	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9652	0.96672	+0.16%	0.8664	-10.24%	0.0229	✗	1.83	852k	2022-02-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.365	5.3734	+0.16%	5.081	-5.29%	0.0085	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.03	2.0332	+0.16%	1.9	-6.40%	0.0049	✓	1.53	4.2M	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142489	0.142705	+0.15%	0.137104	-3.78%	0.0105	✓	1.07	7.1M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.104	0.104155	+0.15%	0.1015	-2.40%	0.0225	✓	1.02	43k	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.4951	+0.15%	3.37	-3.44%	0.0238	✓	1.27	2.5M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0358	0.035853	+0.15%	0.034	-5.03%	0.0167	✓	1.47	540k	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.69	91.8247	+0.15%	90	-1.84%	0.0249	✓	0.95	1.6M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01011	0.010124	+0.14%	0.00983	-2.77%	0.0199	✓	1.04	565k	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.967	0.968322	+0.14%	0.9235	-4.50%	0.0085	✓	1.18	34.5M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03008	0.03012	+0.13%	0.02927	-2.69%	0.0142	✓	0.90	8.7M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9549	0.956142	+0.13%	0.9455	-0.98%	0.0615	✓	1.53	1.9M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.98	5.9872	+0.12%	5.49	-8.19%	0.0352	✗	1.09	2.1M	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.58	19.6031	+0.12%	18.76	-4.19%	0.0224	✓	1.40	48.3M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.255	0.2553	+0.12%	0.25	-1.96%	0.0244	✓	0.96	67k	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202028	0.202265	+0.12%	0.193151	-4.39%	0.0032	✓	1.04	26.2M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	128.16	128.2969	+0.11%	121.22	-5.42%	0.0057	✓	1.32	59k	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.062	0.062066	+0.11%	0.0599	-3.39%	0.0268	✓	1.31	556k	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6048	1.6064	+0.10%	1.6005	-0.27%	0.0493	✓	1.12	82k	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.32	146.46	+0.10%	145.08	-0.85%	0.0389	✓	1.02	1.8M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.37	5.3749	+0.09%	5.04	-6.15%	0.0293	✗	0.74	429k	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8391	0.839859	+0.09%	0.8404	+0.15%	0.0541	✓	1.13	16.8M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	287.95	288.2106	+0.09%	278	-3.46%	0.0136	✓	1.05	6.8M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.6	5.605	+0.09%	5.22	-6.79%	0.0213	✗	1.05	1.0M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.67	26.6939	+0.09%	26.55	-0.45%	0.0732	✓	1.66	2.6M	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.7	1.7014	+0.08%	1.63	-4.12%	0.0187	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.979	5.984	+0.08%	5.883	-1.61%	0.0325	✓	1.04	341k	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.316	1.3171	+0.08%	1.279	-2.81%	0.0304	✓	1.26	3.5M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.8	26.8212	+0.08%	26.29	-1.90%	0.0319	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.756	0.756589	+0.08%	0.719	-4.89%	0.0001	✓	1.07	1.8M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	39.21	39.2381	+0.07%	38.13	-2.75%	0.0483	✓	1.62	626k	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	73.37	73.4215	+0.07%	67.87	-7.50%	0.0147	✗	1.35	87.3M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.35	4.353	+0.07%	4.09	-5.98%	0.0041	✓	1.40	8.9M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	115.11	115.1867	+0.07%	108.36	-5.86%	0.0031	✓	1.35	33.8M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.84367	0.844201	+0.06%	0.81012	-3.98%	0.0409	✓	1.73	458k	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01018	0.010186	+0.06%	0.00978	-3.93%	0.0227	✓	1.34	1.6M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1825	0.182609	+0.06%	0.1756	-3.78%	0.0070	✗	0.68	472k	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08902	0.089071	+0.06%	0.08941	+0.44%	0.0556	✓	1.09	46k	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.247	2.2483	+0.06%	2.235	-0.53%	0.0457	✓	1.09	22k	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05811	0.058142	+0.05%	0.05325	-8.36%	0.0202	✗	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07836	0.0784	+0.05%	0.07379	-5.83%	0.0260	✗	0.73	80k	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020954	0.020963	+0.05%	0.020246	-3.38%	0.0136	✓	1.02	3.0M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.228	4.2298	+0.04%	3.998	-5.44%	0.0179	✗	0.81	351k	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0658	0.065827	+0.04%	0.0643	-2.28%	0.0291	✓	1.11	21k	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.98	1.9806	+0.03%	1.87	-5.56%	0.0045	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01283	0.012834	+0.03%	0.0126	-1.79%	0.0238	✓	0.89	13k	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.53	2.5306	+0.03%	2.41	-4.74%	0.0006	✗	1.02	697k	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4393	0.439359	+0.01%	0.4048	-7.85%	0.0195	✗	1.32	10.0M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.837	1.8371	+0.01%	1.696	-7.68%	0.0211	✗	1.24	1.4M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.88	2.8801	+0.00%	3.03	+5.21%	0.1251	✓	1.57	2.2M	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.15	20.1492	-0.00%	21.59	+7.15%	0.1297	✗	1.28	34.3M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.21	52.2072	-0.01%	47.6	-8.83%	0.0122	✓	1.69	8.8M	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0965	1.0964	-0.01%	1.0268	-6.36%	0.0111	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1475	1.1473	-0.02%	1.0423	-9.17%	0.0377	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.94	20.9357	-0.02%	20.09	-4.06%	0.0341	✗	1.59	465k	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.699824	-0.03%	0.64	-8.57%	0.0004	✓	1.88	1.1M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.582133	0.581962	-0.03%	0.5718	-1.78%	0.0404	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0959	3.095	-0.03%	3.0352	-1.96%	0.0302	✗	1.05	2.0M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.683	2.682	-0.04%	2.582	-3.76%	0.0345	✗	1.53	986k	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.8991	4.8971	-0.04%	4.6307	-5.48%	0.0034	✗	1.25	406k	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.125	3.1237	-0.04%	3.03	-3.04%	0.0082	✗	0.81	299k	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.496	18.4869	-0.05%	17.776	-3.89%	0.0331	✗	1.52	10.6M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.052	8.0476	-0.06%	7.564	-6.06%	0.0504	✓	0.24	41k	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1425	0.142419	-0.06%	0.1348	-5.40%	0.0082	✓	0.99	337k	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.46	14.451	-0.06%	14.09	-2.56%	0.0080	✗	0.70	841k	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1189	0.118826	-0.06%	0.11	-7.49%	0.0062	✓	1.50	1.7M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.2091	3.2068	-0.07%	3.3042	+2.96%	0.0729	✗	0.91	23k	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7479	3.7447	-0.09%	3.7524	+0.12%	0.0688	✗	1.41	2.5M	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.47	25.447	-0.09%	23.57	-7.46%	0.0395	✓	0.78	462k	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.565	0.564448	-0.10%	0.5398	-4.46%	0.0188	✗	1.34	2.7M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.72	9.71	-0.10%	9.36	-3.70%	0.0009	✓	0.76	744k	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9364	6.9292	-0.10%	6.8016	-1.94%	0.0264	✗	0.95	4.3M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8834	0.882277	-0.13%	0.8666	-1.90%	0.0541	✗	1.52	103k	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	164.05	163.8379	-0.13%	151.26	-7.80%	0.0135	✓	1.40	12.5M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6803	2.6764	-0.15%	2.537	-5.35%	0.0076	✓	0.97	3.1M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015173	0.01515	-0.15%	0.014783	-2.57%	0.0312	✗	1.18	2.7M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.65	2.646	-0.15%	2.46	-7.17%	0.0151	✓	1.22	577k	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3087	0.308213	-0.16%	0.2783	-9.85%	0.0254	✓	1.62	4.2M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.06	8.0458	-0.18%	7.54	-6.45%	0.0514	✓	0.29	1.8M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.46	3.4536	-0.18%	3.11	-10.12%	0.0356	✓	1.46	24.0M	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5296	0.528432	-0.22%	0.4666	-11.90%	0.0352	✓	1.88	48.9M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20659	0.20605	-0.26%	0.19118	-7.46%	0.0021	✓	1.62	25k	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.337	3.3281	-0.27%	3.166	-5.12%	0.0093	✓	0.86	819k	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,472.18	25,403.52	-0.27%	23,029.36	-9.59%	0.0533	✓	0.95	15.1M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5601	-0.28%	3.4	-4.76%	0.0365	✓	0.20	1.4M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.86	28.7773	-0.29%	26.33	-8.77%	0.0341	✓	1.15	120.6M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.2	45.061	-0.31%	42.9	-5.09%	0.0095	✗	1.24	39.5M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.37	5.3521	-0.33%	5.33	-0.74%	0.0573	✗	1.30	3.0M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2826	0.281648	-0.34%	0.278	-1.63%	0.0415	✗	1.15	557k	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5575	0.555464	-0.37%	0.5361	-3.84%	0.0201	✗	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2044	1.1997	-0.39%	1.24	+2.96%	0.0805	✗	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04829	0.04808	-0.43%	0.04359	-9.73%	0.0506	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7231	0.719797	-0.46%	0.6281	-13.14%	0.0623	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8742	1.8653	-0.47%	1.8613	-0.69%	0.0323	✗	0.73	3.1M	2022-02-02
STX	Stacks	native	1.5	1.4919	-0.54%	1.41	-6.00%	0.0091	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.2589	4.2261	-0.77%	4.1355	-2.90%	0.0217	✓	-0.00	375k	2022-02-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	2.2112	-0.84%	2.12	-4.93%	0.0053	✓	1.00	3.1M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0861	0.085355	-0.86%	0.0786	-8.71%	0.0404	✗	2.59	25.7M	2022-02-02
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.133	0.131601	-1.05%	0.119	-10.53%	0.0532	✓	1.00	133k	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.17	1.1483	-1.86%	1.36	+16.24%	0.2439	✗	1.57	490k	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.