2022-01-29 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2014

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+30.15%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

41.4%

in alpha space · 57.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+13.10%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.31	2.0427	-11.57%	1.84	-20.35%	0.2276	✓	1.00	3.5M	2022-02-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0907	0.080287	-11.48%	0.0703	-22.49%	0.4407	✓	2.50	23.2M	2022-02-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2936	1.1563	-10.61%	0.7584	-41.37%	0.5449	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05525	0.049847	-9.78%	0.03503	-36.60%	0.4758	✓	1.00	6.4M	2022-02-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.173	5.6237	-8.90%	2.664	-56.84%	0.8702	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.12	0.109912	-8.41%	0.132	+10.00%	0.0601	✓	1.00	155k	2022-02-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5693	0.530645	-6.79%	0.5607	-1.51%	0.0893	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.51	1.4122	-6.48%	1.25	-17.22%	0.2450	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6022	0.56331	-6.46%	0.3657	-39.27%	0.6625	✓	1.87	48.9M	2022-02-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.4	5.1044	-5.47%	4.154	-23.07%	0.3625	✓	1.27	3.1M	2022-02-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.04515	0.042801	-5.20%	0.022655	-49.82%	0.8050	✓	1.37	266k	2022-02-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7284	1.6615	-3.87%	2.4391	+41.12%	0.2898	✗	0.76	2.8M	2022-02-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.69	3.5491	-3.82%	7.529	+104.04%	0.7256	✗	0.22	837k	2022-02-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.1	28.0012	-3.78%	31.38	+7.84%	0.0243	✓	1.12	130.3M	2022-02-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.258	3.1571	-3.10%	3.233	-0.77%	0.0829	✓	0.87	884k	2022-02-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.36	2.2958	-2.72%	1.352	-42.71%	0.7186	✓	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,297.65	23,685.77	-2.52%	21,589.29	-11.15%	0.2062	✓	0.92	19.5M	2022-02-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.31	0.302448	-2.44%	0.2321	-25.13%	0.4575	✓	1.57	4.2M	2022-02-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.18	19.7333	-2.21%	20.13	-0.25%	0.1342	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.19	4.0995	-2.16%	3.54	-15.51%	0.3122	✓	1.34	10.7M	2022-02-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0362	0.035494	-1.95%	0.029	-19.89%	0.3833	✓	1.47	836k	2022-02-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.73	41.0341	-1.67%	45.95	+10.11%	0.0366	✓	1.22	35.1M	2022-02-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.17	9.0297	-1.53%	10.15	+10.69%	0.0248	✗	0.75	709k	2022-02-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.667	2.6288	-1.43%	3.317	+24.37%	0.0438	✗	1.53	986k	2022-02-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7736	6.6777	-1.42%	6.71	-0.94%	0.1098	✓	0.93	4.2M	2022-02-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9037	0.893064	-1.18%	1.6754	+85.39%	0.4424	✗	1.52	107k	2022-02-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.372	2.3443	-1.17%	2.8507	+20.18%	0.0795	✗	0.94	2.8M	2022-02-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4878	3.4478	-1.15%	5.9258	+69.90%	0.5441	✗	-0.02	350k	2022-02-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.84787	0.838833	-1.07%	0.74117	-12.58%	0.3341	✓	1.71	610k	2022-02-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4988	0.493544	-1.05%	0.504	+1.04%	0.1602	✓	1.47	2.1M	2022-02-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.851	4.8021	-1.01%	4.2345	-12.71%	0.2774	✓	1.23	430k	2022-02-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014518	0.014383	-0.93%	0.012148	-16.32%	0.3152	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.364	1.3516	-0.91%	1.164	-14.66%	0.3065	✓	1.28	3.6M	2022-02-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022029	0.021831	-0.90%	0.0214	-2.86%	0.1593	✓	1.13	3.2M	2022-02-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2671	0.264979	-0.79%	0.2945	+10.26%	0.0342	✓	1.14	604k	2022-02-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.67	152.468	-0.78%	170.31	+10.83%	0.0142	✓	1.01	2.1M	2022-02-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8302	0.824011	-0.75%	0.7967	-4.04%	0.1694	✓	1.10	18.7M	2022-02-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5251	0.521219	-0.74%	0.5696	+8.47%	0.0789	✓	1.36	2.6M	2022-02-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.758	1.7459	-0.69%	1.566	-10.92%	0.2688	✓	1.30	1.5M	2022-02-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06396	0.063591	-0.58%	0.04871	-23.84%	0.4460	✓	1.46	1.7M	2022-02-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.11	0.109369	-0.57%	0.0857	-22.09%	0.4293	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.0631	3.0459	-0.56%	2.1929	-28.41%	0.4360	✓	0.87	21k	2022-02-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	154.04	153.1894	-0.55%	145.83	-5.33%	0.2170	✓	1.36	12.7M	2022-02-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.542	17.4498	-0.53%	20.677	+17.87%	0.0168	✓	1.52	10.7M	2022-02-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.83	2.8153	-0.52%	1.564	-44.73%	0.7768	✓	1.54	2.2M	2022-02-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.08	6.0491	-0.51%	7.228	+18.88%	0.0460	✗	1.07	2.3M	2022-02-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	27.09	26.9873	-0.38%	26.36	-2.69%	0.2306	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-02-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.35	7.3224	-0.38%	6.79	-7.62%	0.1117	✓	0.29	1.9M	2022-02-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.93	50.7385	-0.38%	91.38	+79.42%	0.3875	✗	1.63	8.8M	2022-02-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0636	0.063369	-0.36%	0.078	+22.64%	0.0322	✗	1.43	577k	2022-02-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.99	2.9793	-0.36%	2.442	-18.33%	0.3714	✓	1.40	25.0M	2022-02-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1739	0.173298	-0.35%	0.1531	-11.96%	0.2069	✓	0.67	536k	2022-02-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.009	3.0008	-0.27%	3.115	+3.52%	0.0606	✓	0.80	397k	2022-02-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0603	1.0584	-0.18%	0.964	-9.08%	0.2324	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01347	0.013454	-0.12%	0.01231	-8.61%	0.2008	✓	0.91	21k	2022-02-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.245	2.2444	-0.03%	2.477	+10.33%	0.0349	✓	1.08	23k	2022-02-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.29	20.2879	-0.01%	21.72	+7.05%	0.0781	✓	1.19	13.0M	2022-02-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.34	2.3423	+0.10%	1.36	-41.88%	0.7351	✗	1.56	2.4M	2022-02-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.73	20.7553	+0.12%	21.16	+2.07%	0.1735	✗	1.57	775k	2022-02-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.661172	+0.18%	0.75	+13.64%	0.1036	✗	1.87	1.2M	2022-02-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.24	26.304	+0.24%	30.9	+17.76%	0.0649	✓	0.78	430k	2022-02-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.15	13.1838	+0.26%	16.18	+23.04%	0.1207	✓	0.68	801k	2022-02-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0653	0.065491	+0.29%	0.0695	+6.43%	0.0790	✗	1.12	21k	2022-02-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.92	1.927	+0.36%	1.86	-3.12%	0.2046	✗	1.37	2.8M	2022-02-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.42	2.4298	+0.41%	2.44	+0.83%	0.1216	✗	1.02	794k	2022-02-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9824	2.9951	+0.43%	3.1196	+4.60%	0.0877	✗	1.04	1.9M	2022-02-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.042	4.06	+0.44%	4.565	+12.94%	0.0204	✓	0.79	367k	2022-02-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18677	0.187651	+0.47%	0.16639	-10.91%	0.3140	✗	1.57	23k	2022-02-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.51	3.5269	+0.48%	3.934	+12.08%	0.0442	✗	1.25	2.5M	2022-02-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0727	0.073051	+0.48%	0.07201	-0.95%	0.1115	✗	0.79	67k	2022-02-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	299.03	300.4804	+0.49%	339.27	+13.46%	0.0071	✗	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.128	6.1604	+0.53%	5.875	-4.13%	0.1694	✗	0.99	320k	2022-02-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143169	0.143966	+0.56%	0.133451	-6.79%	0.2051	✗	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.251	0.252417	+0.56%	0.236	-5.98%	0.1860	✗	0.96	67k	2022-02-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.84	111.5104	+0.60%	113.82	+2.69%	0.1438	✗	1.34	33.8M	2022-02-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.1	6.1372	+0.61%	4.86	-20.33%	0.3520	✗	0.96	953k	2022-02-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08979	0.090351	+0.62%	0.09213	+2.61%	0.1279	✗	1.20	46k	2022-02-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4104	0.412968	+0.63%	0.3772	-8.09%	0.2489	✗	1.29	10.2M	2022-02-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.154	1.1612	+0.63%	1.0426	-9.65%	0.2320	✗	1.01	376k	2022-02-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	41.64	41.9103	+0.65%	37.91	-8.96%	0.2963	✗	1.59	639k	2022-02-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0479	1.055	+0.68%	1.3278	+26.71%	0.0714	✓	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.16	5.1959	+0.70%	5.51	+6.78%	0.0308	✗	0.73	413k	2022-02-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.3265	+0.71%	2.21	-4.33%	0.1971	✗	1.18	602k	2022-02-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	123.06	123.9983	+0.76%	120.75	-1.88%	0.1836	✗	1.28	68k	2022-02-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.001	6.0472	+0.77%	5.63	-6.18%	0.1742	✗	0.83	125k	2022-02-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6081	1.621	+0.80%	1.7163	+6.72%	0.0799	✗	1.11	82k	2022-02-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.01002	0.010104	+0.84%	0.01037	+3.49%	0.1382	✗	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.72	1.7364	+0.95%	1.505	-12.50%	0.3008	✗	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9684	0.977853	+0.98%	0.823	-15.01%	0.4135	✗	1.96	1.1M	2022-02-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.324	7.3957	+0.98%	6.75	-7.84%	0.1224	✗	0.25	38k	2022-02-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.731	0.738178	+0.98%	0.697	-4.65%	0.1934	✗	1.10	1.8M	2022-02-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.039999	0.040392	+0.98%	0.049264	+23.16%	0.0473	✓	1.23	10.1M	2022-02-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0915	3.1232	+1.03%	3.5483	+14.78%	0.0405	✗	1.37	2.5M	2022-02-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.121	0.12225	+1.03%	0.1303	+7.69%	0.0978	✗	1.31	3.8M	2022-02-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		92.7	93.6605	+1.04%	88.67	-4.35%	0.1715	✗	0.95	1.7M	2022-02-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01015	0.010261	+1.09%	0.00968	-4.63%	0.1883	✗	1.06	593k	2022-02-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.1047	0.105843	+1.09%	0.1081	+3.25%	0.1087	✗	1.05	43k	2022-02-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.565434	0.571976	+1.16%	0.575051	+1.70%	0.1452	✗	1.22	3.7M	2022-02-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	71.95	72.8231	+1.21%	84.59	+17.57%	0.0144	✗	1.33	85.3M	2022-02-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4637	0.469509	+1.25%	0.3943	-14.97%	0.3446	✗	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1844	0.186736	+1.27%	0.1925	+4.39%	0.1371	✗	1.36	3.9M	2022-02-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00723	0.007325	+1.31%	0.00439	-39.28%	0.8032	✗	2.37	22.6M	2022-02-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.24	16.4546	+1.32%	15.14	-6.77%	0.2333	✗	1.22	81.3M	2022-02-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.924	0.936284	+1.33%	0.877	-5.09%	0.2353	✗	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.07	20.3422	+1.36%	15.37	-23.42%	0.5069	✗	1.84	3.9M	2022-02-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.952	0.965884	+1.46%	0.9803	+2.97%	0.1717	✗	1.52	2.1M	2022-02-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.75	19.0381	+1.54%	18.95	+1.07%	0.1742	✗	1.38	50.2M	2022-02-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.203491	0.206629	+1.54%	0.197675	-2.86%	0.1722	✗	1.04	26.2M	2022-02-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9693	0.984795	+1.60%	0.8684	-10.41%	0.2693	✗	1.17	36.8M	2022-02-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.34	25.7617	+1.66%	30.53	+20.48%	0.0370	✓	1.08	3.3M	2022-02-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.493	1.5193	+1.76%	1.571	+5.22%	0.1126	✗	1.19	1.6M	2022-02-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03035	0.030895	+1.80%	0.02937	-3.23%	0.1656	✗	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	79.3124	80.8329	+1.92%	67.763	-14.56%	0.3278	✗	1.23	410k	2022-02-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0104	0.010602	+1.94%	0.01099	+5.67%	0.1214	✗	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2425	0.247392	+2.02%	0.2454	+1.20%	0.1610	✗	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	96.39	98.3822	+2.07%	118.68	+23.12%	0.0237	✓	1.33	7.0M	2022-02-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04089	0.041751	+2.11%	0.04194	+2.57%	0.1350	✗	1.13	30k	2022-02-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007692	0.000078543	+2.11%	0.00007869	+2.30%	0.1359	✗	1.12	5.8M	2022-02-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.12	14.4216	+2.14%	14.2	+0.57%	0.1376	✗	0.99	886k	2022-02-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.34	5.4551	+2.16%	4.85	-9.18%	0.2395	✗	0.99	978k	2022-02-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.333	0.340357	+2.21%	0.308	-7.51%	0.2705	✗	1.39	1.7M	2022-02-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.508	0.519459	+2.26%	0.461	-9.25%	0.3088	✗	1.54	5.2M	2022-02-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,181.60	39,069.37	+2.33%	43,136.20	+12.98%	0.0258	✗	1.01	53k	2022-02-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	171.16	175.1894	+2.35%	130.28	-23.88%	0.4441	✗	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.93	6.0703	+2.37%	7.55	+27.32%	0.1217	✓	0.78	470k	2022-02-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0817	0.083665	+2.41%	0.073	-10.65%	0.2884	✗	1.24	317k	2022-02-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,603.74	2,668.29	+2.48%	2,923.08	+12.26%	0.0456	✗	1.11	560.6M	2022-02-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	96.55	98.9861	+2.52%	100.51	+4.10%	0.1306	✗	1.19	3.0M	2022-02-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05052	0.051824	+2.58%	0.01796	-64.45%	1.2244	✗	1.34	9.2M	2022-02-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5968	0.612231	+2.59%	0.5007	-16.10%	0.3900	✗	1.54	1.3M	2022-02-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	11.4525	+2.62%	10.53	-5.65%	0.2483	✗	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.51	100.0714	+2.63%	115.74	+18.70%	0.0176	✓	1.04	7.3M	2022-02-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1205	0.123694	+2.65%	0.1612	+33.78%	0.1471	✓	0.96	312k	2022-02-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.9616	6.1341	+2.89%	6.4925	+8.91%	0.1206	✗	1.44	221k	2022-02-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.08	6.2686	+3.10%	6.6	+8.55%	0.0529	✗	0.85	503k	2022-02-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,191.10	39,405.00	+3.18%	43,192.66	+13.10%	0.0313	✓	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.65	6.8724	+3.34%	6.6	-0.75%	0.0679	✗	0.22	1.2M	2022-02-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.58	51.2791	+3.43%	54.42	+9.76%	0.0839	✗	1.17	7.5M	2022-02-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3362	2.4177	+3.49%	1.9381	-17.04%	0.3738	✗	1.24	888k	2022-02-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1573	3.2755	+3.74%	3.1104	-1.49%	0.1869	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.060341	0.062649	+3.83%	0.061786	+2.39%	0.1306	✗	0.95	460k	2022-02-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.85	0.884175	+4.02%	1.236	+45.41%	0.1490	✓	1.51	523k	2022-02-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002166	0.000022655	+4.59%	0.00002579	+19.07%	0.0442	✓	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	96.25	101.0374	+4.97%	99.74	+3.63%	0.1596	✗	1.19	164.2M	2022-02-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.22	8.6708	+5.48%	9.33	+13.50%	0.0883	✗	1.31	2.8M	2022-02-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.