2022-01-12 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1886

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+11.65%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

87.1%

in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-3.49%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068101	0.069514	+2.07%	0.063958	-6.08%	0.0498	✗	0.94	536k	2022-02-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0875	0.088411	+1.04%	0.0869	-0.69%	0.0323	✓	1.39	1.2M	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07298	0.073622	+0.88%	0.03653	-49.95%	0.6580	✗	1.20	16.9M	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	199.2	200.8127	+0.81%	169.21	-15.06%	0.1368	✗	0.97	2.9M	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.9176	7.9463	+0.36%	6.5603	-17.14%	0.1431	✗	1.37	273k	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2877	3.2892	+0.05%	2.1819	-33.63%	0.3712	✗	1.10	699k	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,982.00	43,999.37	+0.04%	42,347.70	-3.72%	0.0034	✗	0.98	14k	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.905	1.9047	-0.02%	1.637	-14.07%	0.1111	✓	1.14	2.3M	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.23	14.1907	-0.28%	8.92	-37.32%	0.4239	✓	1.14	3.2M	2022-02-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.24	2.2335	-0.29%	1.71	-23.66%	0.2299	✓	1.05	3.1M	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.89	2.8798	-0.35%	2.07	-28.37%	0.2839	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,920.37	43,759.86	-0.37%	42,386.47	-3.49%	0.0037	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.379	0.377452	-0.41%	0.301	-20.58%	0.2001	✓	0.74	40k	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.416	4.3927	-0.53%	3.29	-25.50%	0.2616	✓	0.77	1.1M	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6995	0.695644	-0.55%	0.5696	-18.57%	0.1556	✓	1.25	4.4M	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8813	6.8427	-0.56%	6.7399	-2.05%	0.0136	✗	0.81	3.8M	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.162908	0.161962	-0.58%	0.14485	-11.08%	0.0723	✓	1.11	5.4M	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11114	0.11009	-0.94%	0.09752	-12.25%	0.0813	✓	1.12	25k	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.13	8.052	-0.96%	5.4	-33.58%	0.3679	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1668	0.165177	-0.97%	0.149	-10.67%	0.0603	✓	1.20	4.2M	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5942	0.587687	-1.10%	0.4181	-29.64%	0.2976	✓	1.21	12.2M	2022-02-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,373.64	3,335.36	-1.13%	2,929.08	-13.18%	0.0928	✓	1.04	569.1M	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	383.83	379.253	-1.19%	321.01	-16.37%	0.1312	✓	1.00	8.3M	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009819	0.000097006	-1.21%	0.00008391	-14.54%	0.1094	✓	1.00	6.6M	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	31.51	31.0781	-1.37%	22.36	-29.04%	0.2769	✓	1.47	1.0M	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.15	30.7119	-1.41%	32.74	+5.10%	0.1001	✗	1.02	3.0M	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01979	0.019503	-1.45%	0.015872	-19.80%	0.1620	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8595	3.7974	-1.61%	6.1868	+60.30%	0.4857	✗	-0.07	364k	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.99	27.5386	-1.61%	17.24	-38.41%	0.4033	✓	1.83	4.5M	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.363	1.3404	-1.66%	0.96	-29.57%	0.2860	✓	1.34	2.8M	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.88	20.4801	-1.92%	14.96	-28.35%	0.2881	✓	0.73	1.0M	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.19	8.0306	-1.95%	6.24	-23.81%	0.2302	✓	0.62	675k	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029842	0.02926	-1.95%	0.022611	-24.23%	0.2213	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.752838	0.738108	-1.96%	0.616904	-18.06%	0.1403	✓	1.10	2.6M	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	218.61	214.3269	-1.96%	163.71	-25.11%	0.2295	✓	1.12	17.6M	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.89	28.2961	-2.06%	28.06	-2.87%	0.0155	✓	0.67	360k	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	30.77	30.1372	-2.06%	21.09	-31.46%	0.3194	✓	1.06	16.7M	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2011	0.196807	-2.13%	0.1735	-13.72%	0.1020	✓	0.68	441k	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1488	2.1014	-2.21%	1.7756	-17.37%	0.1316	✓	1.04	83k	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.29	15.9212	-2.26%	10.65	-34.62%	0.3570	✓	1.27	12.7M	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	151.56	148.0753	-2.30%	96.5	-36.33%	0.3913	✓	1.04	191.4M	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.922	3.8295	-2.36%	3.154	-19.58%	0.1692	✓	0.70	526k	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	142.02	138.6159	-2.40%	125.69	-11.50%	0.0501	✓	1.34	33.4M	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060875	0.059392	-2.44%	0.047719	-21.61%	0.1776	✓	1.16	7.4M	2022-02-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000315	0.000030728	-2.45%	0.00002872	-8.83%	0.0203	✓	1.33	1.7M	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	78.16	76.2306	-2.47%	59.07	-24.42%	0.2172	✓	1.06	6.3M	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.1869	1.1576	-2.47%	0.6358	-46.43%	0.5633	✓	1.01	3.1M	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0825	0.080438	-2.50%	0.072	-12.73%	0.0729	✓	1.07	19k	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.282353	0.275273	-2.51%	0.215393	-23.71%	0.2086	✓	1.03	24.9M	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01542	0.015033	-2.51%	0.01244	-19.33%	0.1435	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.833	0.811807	-2.54%	0.52	-37.58%	0.3944	✓	1.44	8.0M	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.667	1.6233	-2.63%	1.1623	-30.28%	0.3032	✓	0.87	581k	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.081805	0.079634	-2.65%	0.032124	-60.73%	0.8723	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1554	0.151273	-2.66%	0.1086	-30.12%	0.2866	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3269	0.318143	-2.68%	0.2594	-20.65%	0.1591	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0507	0.049314	-2.73%	0.04188	-17.40%	0.1248	✓	1.08	18k	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0604	0.058719	-2.78%	0.0319	-47.19%	0.5621	✓	1.35	1.5M	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.3902	-2.78%	1.1	-23.08%	0.1756	✓	1.65	657k	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01475	0.014332	-2.83%	0.01151	-21.97%	0.1758	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.98	6.782	-2.84%	5.47	-21.63%	0.1917	✓	0.66	643k	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	10.07	9.7776	-2.90%	7.7	-23.54%	0.2401	✓	-0.04	1.6M	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	169.994	164.9487	-2.97%	84.8321	-50.10%	0.6298	✓	0.99	540k	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.49	140.1976	-2.97%	116.54	-19.34%	0.1407	✓	1.24	10.9M	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2451	3.1483	-2.98%	3.6	+10.94%	0.1769	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.76	25.9447	-3.05%	16.22	-39.39%	0.4302	✓	1.11	70.9M	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01401	0.013572	-3.13%	0.01056	-24.63%	0.2162	✓	0.98	730k	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.19	7.9334	-3.13%	6.47	-21.00%	0.1776	✓	0.74	767k	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1826	0.176824	-3.16%	0.1566	-14.24%	0.0896	✓	0.90	450k	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.43	40.1152	-3.17%	43.46	+4.90%	0.1175	✗	1.05	21.0M	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.372	19.7234	-3.18%	19.087	-6.31%	0.0238	✓	1.59	12.5M	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.43	5.256	-3.20%	4.9	-9.76%	0.0291	✓	1.16	3.3M	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18305	0.177095	-3.25%	0.18907	+3.29%	0.1203	✗	1.54	5,360	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4029	1.3569	-3.28%	1.9151	+36.51%	0.3751	✗	0.86	922k	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	143.32	138.5485	-3.33%	103.99	-27.44%	0.2449	✓	1.18	2.5M	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.2739	4.1315	-3.33%	3.4051	-20.33%	0.1477	✓	1.29	4.1M	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.52	10.1663	-3.36%	10.1	-3.99%	0.0203	✓	0.75	994k	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.853	2.757	-3.37%	2.354	-17.49%	0.1262	✓	0.90	27k	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0716	1.0349	-3.43%	0.6537	-39.00%	0.4097	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1144	0.110436	-3.46%	0.0868	-24.13%	0.2014	✓	1.11	303k	2022-02-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08196	0.079062	-3.54%	0.05622	-31.41%	0.2904	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	39.17	37.7787	-3.55%	29.96	-23.51%	0.1735	✓	1.64	2.7M	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.89	8.5718	-3.58%	5.96	-32.96%	0.3292	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3542	0.341431	-3.60%	0.2888	-18.46%	0.1162	✓	1.44	3.6M	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	196.42	189.122	-3.72%	124.54	-36.60%	0.3774	✓	1.14	153k	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2778	0.267465	-3.72%	0.2056	-25.99%	0.2166	✓	1.31	4.4M	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,839.55	32,579.10	-3.72%	23,115.13	-31.69%	0.3199	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.539	0.518868	-3.74%	0.375	-30.43%	0.2795	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.1465	-3.78%	2.58	-21.10%	0.1644	✓	0.96	949k	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.032	4.8406	-3.80%	4.453	-11.51%	0.0603	✓	0.65	481k	2022-02-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.6281	1.5658	-3.83%	0.9345	-42.60%	0.4492	✓	1.88	1.4M	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3384	0.325391	-3.84%	0.2842	-16.02%	0.0994	✓	1.01	397k	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.73	3.5851	-3.89%	2.31	-38.07%	0.3910	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.084	1.0418	-3.89%	0.771	-28.87%	0.2675	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6859	0.659172	-3.90%	0.4583	-33.18%	0.3138	✓	1.40	2.7M	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.49	1.4285	-4.13%	1.257	-15.64%	0.0799	✓	1.35	4.9M	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.64	107.9904	-4.13%	94.64	-15.98%	0.0987	✓	0.94	2.4M	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1883	1.1389	-4.15%	0.8754	-26.33%	0.2291	✓	0.96	23.2M	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.895	5.6478	-4.19%	4.7016	-20.24%	0.1418	✓	1.17	446k	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.64	5.4001	-4.25%	4.25	-24.65%	0.2004	✓	1.10	2.4M	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	168.76	161.5741	-4.26%	129.51	-23.26%	0.1886	✓	0.92	7.3M	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	59.25	56.7047	-4.30%	40.36	-31.88%	0.2898	✓	1.41	711k	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.605	3.4499	-4.30%	2.754	-23.61%	0.1637	✓	1.73	1.2M	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	96.02	91.8617	-4.33%	81.81	-14.80%	0.0764	✓	1.11	110.4M	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3843	4.1899	-4.43%	4.3129	-1.63%	0.0765	✗	1.34	4.6M	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0897	2.9484	-4.57%	2.9222	-5.42%	0.0266	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0819	0.078153	-4.58%	0.0654	-20.15%	0.1426	✓	1.00	28.2M	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.4243	-4.61%	2.54	-29.25%	0.2621	✓	1.03	807k	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04277	0.040793	-4.62%	0.03298	-22.89%	0.1812	✓	0.88	8.5M	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.12	6.7893	-4.64%	4.09	-42.56%	0.4610	✓	1.29	17.7M	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	275.54	262.6825	-4.67%	165.1	-40.08%	0.4236	✓	1.15	1.3M	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.779	7.4148	-4.68%	7.219	-7.20%	0.0185	✓	1.27	271k	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.33	14.603	-4.74%	16.98	+10.76%	0.1745	✗	0.67	1.1M	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.99	33.3218	-4.77%	19.82	-43.36%	0.4710	✓	1.36	31.1M	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01729	0.016464	-4.78%	0.01359	-21.40%	0.1691	✓	0.64	25k	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.32	26.0073	-4.80%	18.99	-30.49%	0.2683	✓	1.30	68.4M	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.91	4.6707	-4.87%	2.89	-41.14%	0.4309	✓	1.38	30.4M	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.79	3.604	-4.91%	3.97	+4.75%	0.1232	✗	0.75	481k	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1192	0.113259	-4.98%	0.1086	-8.89%	0.0059	✓	1.01	62k	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.313	1.2466	-5.06%	1.0803	-17.72%	0.1039	✓	1.10	95.6M	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	40.25	38.207	-5.08%	26.56	-34.01%	0.3309	✓	0.92	72.1M	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.452	8.023	-5.08%	6.01	-28.89%	0.2641	✓	0.70	209k	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4989	1.4192	-5.32%	0.9169	-38.83%	0.3974	✓	1.11	30.5M	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.21	9.6597	-5.39%	5.99	-41.33%	0.4535	✓	0.69	1.1M	2022-02-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09754	0.092208	-5.47%	0.07747	-20.58%	0.1487	✓	0.72	48k	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3807	1.3037	-5.58%	1.074	-22.21%	0.1453	✓	1.36	4.3M	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1158	1.0516	-5.76%	0.82329	-26.22%	0.1831	✓	1.74	1.0M	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01576	0.014852	-5.76%	0.0062	-60.66%	0.7893	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9279	3.701	-5.78%	3.5941	-8.50%	0.0047	✓	0.69	2,942	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.93	76.9754	-6.05%	50.35	-38.55%	0.3889	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-02-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6228	0.58471	-6.12%	0.5956	-4.37%	0.0693	✗	1.43	736k	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3521	1.2692	-6.13%	1.0976	-18.83%	0.1084	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.0928	-6.60%	0.92	-21.37%	0.1047	✓	1.90	1.7M	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.75	3.498	-6.72%	1.95	-48.00%	0.5384	✓	1.29	9.1M	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.521	2.3471	-6.90%	1.833	-27.29%	0.2085	✓	1.09	1.9M	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.02	2.7948	-7.46%	1.99	-34.11%	0.2968	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0214	0.939509	-8.02%	1.1483	+12.42%	0.2360	✗	0.99	116k	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12	10.984	-8.47%	7.97	-33.58%	0.3143	✓	0.18	2.8M	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.904	10.8867	-8.55%	7.923	-33.44%	0.3134	✓	0.12	54k	2022-02-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7422	0.676498	-8.85%	0.4503	-39.33%	0.3443	✓	1.76	38.7M	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.