2022-01-12 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2469

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+24.49%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

80.6%

in alpha space · 83.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-3.49%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6228	0.557457	-10.49%	0.5956	-4.37%	0.1170	✗	1.43	736k	2022-02-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7422	0.666424	-10.21%	0.4503	-39.33%	0.3284	✓	1.79	38.7M	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.081805	0.074878	-8.47%	0.032124	-60.73%	0.8107	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	40.25	37.1048	-7.81%	26.56	-34.01%	0.3016	✓	0.92	72.1M	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.605	3.3624	-6.73%	2.754	-23.61%	0.1380	✓	1.73	1.2M	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.904	11.1278	-6.52%	7.923	-33.44%	0.3364	✓	0.09	54k	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12	11.3242	-5.63%	7.97	-33.58%	0.3459	✓	0.15	2.8M	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01576	0.014884	-5.56%	0.0062	-60.66%	0.7914	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.99	33.0741	-5.48%	19.82	-43.36%	0.4628	✓	1.38	31.1M	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.75	3.5476	-5.40%	1.95	-48.00%	0.5524	✓	1.29	9.1M	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.12	6.7433	-5.29%	4.09	-42.56%	0.4537	✓	1.30	17.7M	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6859	0.650401	-5.18%	0.4583	-33.18%	0.3001	✓	1.41	2.7M	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3384	0.321932	-4.87%	0.2842	-16.02%	0.0887	✓	1.01	397k	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.1869	1.1292	-4.86%	0.6358	-46.43%	0.5397	✓	0.97	3.1M	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0214	0.972085	-4.83%	1.1483	+12.42%	0.2019	✗	0.99	116k	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,839.55	32,243.26	-4.72%	23,115.13	-31.69%	0.3099	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	39.17	37.3338	-4.69%	29.96	-23.51%	0.1615	✓	1.65	2.7M	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0897	2.9453	-4.67%	2.9222	-5.42%	0.0278	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.91	4.681	-4.66%	2.89	-41.14%	0.4321	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.64	5.3792	-4.62%	4.25	-24.65%	0.1953	✓	1.14	2.4M	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4989	1.4323	-4.44%	0.9169	-38.83%	0.4051	✓	1.15	30.5M	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3542	0.338836	-4.34%	0.2888	-18.46%	0.1062	✓	1.51	3.6M	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.79	3.6265	-4.31%	3.97	+4.75%	0.1170	✗	0.75	481k	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1158	1.0682	-4.26%	0.82329	-26.22%	0.1973	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	59.25	56.7312	-4.25%	40.36	-31.88%	0.2872	✓	1.50	711k	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.1221	-4.10%	0.92	-21.37%	0.1311	✓	1.90	1.7M	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9279	3.7669	-4.10%	3.5941	-8.50%	0.0202	✓	0.75	2,942	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0716	1.0279	-4.08%	0.6537	-39.00%	0.4029	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.76	25.7035	-3.95%	16.22	-39.39%	0.4187	✓	1.17	70.9M	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.416	4.2417	-3.95%	3.29	-25.50%	0.2261	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.521	2.423	-3.89%	1.833	-27.29%	0.2397	✓	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.93	78.7461	-3.89%	50.35	-38.55%	0.4117	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.667	1.6036	-3.81%	1.1623	-30.28%	0.2910	✓	0.87	581k	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6995	0.673484	-3.72%	0.5696	-18.57%	0.1224	✓	1.27	4.4M	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3521	1.303	-3.63%	1.0976	-18.83%	0.1345	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1883	1.1462	-3.55%	0.8754	-26.33%	0.2345	✓	0.98	23.2M	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.4643	-3.50%	2.54	-29.25%	0.2727	✓	1.06	807k	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.52	10.1665	-3.36%	10.1	-3.99%	0.0203	✓	0.75	994k	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4029	1.357	-3.27%	1.9151	+36.51%	0.3753	✗	0.87	922k	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.43	5.2559	-3.21%	4.9	-9.76%	0.0285	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.372	19.7292	-3.16%	19.087	-6.31%	0.0242	✓	1.61	12.5M	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.452	8.1865	-3.14%	6.01	-28.89%	0.2853	✓	0.67	209k	2022-02-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09754	0.094515	-3.10%	0.07747	-20.58%	0.1735	✓	0.71	48k	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.89	8.6212	-3.02%	5.96	-32.96%	0.3352	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.21	9.9024	-3.01%	5.99	-41.33%	0.4779	✓	0.70	1.1M	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01729	0.016771	-3.00%	0.01359	-21.40%	0.1851	✓	0.71	25k	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	96.02	93.1993	-2.94%	81.81	-14.80%	0.0887	✓	1.17	110.4M	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.02	2.9319	-2.92%	1.99	-34.11%	0.3447	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8595	3.7483	-2.88%	6.1868	+60.30%	0.4987	✗	-0.07	364k	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01401	0.013607	-2.88%	0.01056	-24.63%	0.2184	✓	0.99	730k	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.73	3.6236	-2.85%	2.31	-38.07%	0.4017	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.752838	0.731483	-2.84%	0.616904	-18.06%	0.1296	✓	1.15	2.6M	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2778	0.269985	-2.81%	0.2056	-25.99%	0.2253	✓	1.33	4.4M	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	196.42	190.928	-2.80%	124.54	-36.60%	0.3857	✓	1.17	153k	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.853	2.7736	-2.78%	2.354	-17.49%	0.1319	✓	0.90	27k	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060875	0.059186	-2.77%	0.047719	-21.61%	0.1730	✓	1.19	7.4M	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.895	5.7447	-2.55%	4.7016	-20.24%	0.1567	✓	1.23	446k	2022-02-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0875	0.085272	-2.55%	0.0869	-0.69%	0.0682	✗	1.39	1.2M	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1554	0.151461	-2.53%	0.1086	-30.12%	0.2879	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	218.61	213.1296	-2.51%	163.71	-25.11%	0.2224	✓	1.17	17.6M	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.3943	-2.50%	1.1	-23.08%	0.1774	✓	1.68	657k	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8813	6.7102	-2.49%	6.7399	-2.05%	0.0351	✗	0.86	3.8M	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.363	1.3295	-2.46%	0.96	-29.57%	0.2775	✓	1.35	2.8M	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.539	0.525902	-2.43%	0.375	-30.43%	0.2922	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0819	0.079932	-2.40%	0.0654	-20.15%	0.1651	✓	1.00	28.2M	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5942	0.580301	-2.34%	0.4181	-29.64%	0.2814	✓	1.30	12.2M	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.779	7.5995	-2.31%	7.219	-7.20%	0.0048	✓	1.31	271k	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.084	1.0597	-2.25%	0.771	-28.87%	0.2839	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	168.76	165.1078	-2.16%	129.51	-23.26%	0.2095	✓	0.94	7.3M	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.282353	0.276277	-2.15%	0.215393	-23.71%	0.2120	✓	1.04	24.9M	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3807	1.3511	-2.14%	1.074	-22.21%	0.1802	✓	1.39	4.3M	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	275.54	269.6819	-2.13%	165.1	-40.08%	0.4489	✓	1.18	1.3M	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.922	3.8388	-2.12%	3.154	-19.58%	0.1716	✓	0.70	526k	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.49	141.4698	-2.09%	116.54	-19.34%	0.1472	✓	1.31	10.9M	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01542	0.015105	-2.04%	0.01244	-19.33%	0.1474	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	31.51	30.8691	-2.03%	22.36	-29.04%	0.2679	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01475	0.014453	-2.01%	0.01151	-21.97%	0.1840	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1488	2.1057	-2.00%	1.7756	-17.37%	0.1310	✓	1.11	83k	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.2076	-1.91%	2.58	-21.10%	0.1828	✓	0.98	949k	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3843	4.3011	-1.90%	4.3129	-1.63%	0.0509	✗	1.36	4.6M	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	142.02	139.35	-1.88%	125.69	-11.50%	0.0548	✓	1.36	33.4M	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.98	6.8498	-1.86%	5.47	-21.63%	0.2015	✓	0.66	643k	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1826	0.179287	-1.81%	0.1566	-14.24%	0.1027	✓	0.92	450k	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.379	0.372169	-1.80%	0.301	-20.58%	0.1857	✓	0.75	40k	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029842	0.029317	-1.76%	0.022611	-24.23%	0.2233	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.33	15.0684	-1.71%	16.98	+10.76%	0.1435	✗	0.68	1.1M	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.313	1.2906	-1.71%	1.0803	-17.72%	0.1376	✓	1.13	95.6M	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.89	2.8413	-1.69%	2.07	-28.37%	0.2698	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.32	26.902	-1.53%	18.99	-30.49%	0.3011	✓	1.33	68.4M	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.49	1.4674	-1.52%	1.257	-15.64%	0.1062	✓	1.37	4.9M	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	10.07	9.9214	-1.48%	7.7	-23.54%	0.2549	✓	-0.04	1.6M	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	383.83	378.2158	-1.46%	321.01	-16.37%	0.1278	✓	1.02	8.3M	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	143.32	141.2367	-1.45%	103.99	-27.44%	0.2630	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11114	0.109545	-1.44%	0.09752	-12.25%	0.0756	✓	1.15	25k	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3269	0.322434	-1.37%	0.2594	-20.65%	0.1725	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0604	0.059575	-1.37%	0.0319	-47.19%	0.5766	✓	1.35	1.5M	2022-02-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000315	0.000031076	-1.34%	0.00002872	-8.83%	0.0316	✓	1.33	1.7M	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.43	40.9015	-1.28%	43.46	+4.90%	0.0998	✗	1.10	21.0M	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.64	111.3213	-1.17%	94.64	-15.98%	0.1285	✓	0.95	2.4M	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1192	0.117832	-1.15%	0.1086	-8.89%	0.0442	✓	1.05	62k	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.032	4.9751	-1.13%	4.453	-11.51%	0.0872	✓	0.67	481k	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18305	0.180982	-1.13%	0.18907	+3.29%	0.0994	✗	1.57	5,360	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	169.994	168.2381	-1.03%	84.8321	-50.10%	0.6447	✓	1.13	540k	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	199.2	197.1512	-1.03%	169.21	-15.06%	0.1160	✓	1.04	2.9M	2022-02-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08196	0.081183	-0.95%	0.05622	-31.41%	0.3169	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.29	16.1413	-0.91%	10.65	-34.62%	0.3698	✓	1.29	12.7M	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.833	0.825426	-0.91%	0.52	-37.58%	0.4097	✓	1.47	8.0M	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	78.16	77.4815	-0.87%	59.07	-24.42%	0.2335	✓	1.06	6.3M	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1668	0.165405	-0.84%	0.149	-10.67%	0.0605	✓	1.24	4.2M	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1144	0.113546	-0.75%	0.0868	-24.13%	0.2292	✓	1.11	303k	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.88	20.7349	-0.70%	14.96	-28.35%	0.2894	✓	1.04	1.0M	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2451	3.2236	-0.66%	3.6	+10.94%	0.1533	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	30.77	30.5672	-0.66%	21.09	-31.46%	0.3333	✓	1.07	16.7M	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04277	0.042562	-0.49%	0.03298	-22.89%	0.2229	✓	0.90	8.5M	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	151.56	150.9501	-0.40%	96.5	-36.33%	0.4073	✓	1.13	191.4M	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009819	0.000097819	-0.38%	0.00008391	-14.54%	0.1174	✓	1.01	6.6M	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.23	14.1884	-0.29%	8.92	-37.32%	0.4233	✓	1.15	3.2M	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.13	8.1119	-0.22%	5.4	-33.58%	0.3753	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0825	0.082345	-0.19%	0.072	-12.73%	0.0950	✓	1.10	19k	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07298	0.072852	-0.18%	0.03653	-49.95%	0.6469	✓	1.22	16.9M	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.15	31.107	-0.14%	32.74	+5.10%	0.0887	✗	1.06	3.0M	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0507	0.05063	-0.14%	0.04188	-17.40%	0.1494	✓	1.14	18k	2022-02-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,373.64	3,370.90	-0.08%	2,929.08	-13.18%	0.1026	✓	1.07	569.1M	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.162908	0.162805	-0.06%	0.14485	-11.08%	0.0771	✓	1.12	5.4M	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.89	28.8859	-0.01%	28.06	-2.87%	0.0041	✓	0.70	360k	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.19	8.1917	+0.02%	6.47	-21.00%	0.2086	✗	0.77	767k	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.99	28.024	+0.12%	17.24	-38.41%	0.4207	✗	1.83	4.5M	2022-02-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.6281	1.6331	+0.30%	0.9345	-42.60%	0.4903	✗	1.91	1.4M	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2011	0.201997	+0.45%	0.1735	-13.72%	0.1282	✗	0.67	441k	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.905	1.9164	+0.60%	1.637	-14.07%	0.1168	✗	1.15	2.3M	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.2739	4.3025	+0.67%	3.4051	-20.33%	0.1882	✗	1.29	4.1M	2022-02-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.24	2.2568	+0.75%	1.71	-23.66%	0.2388	✗	1.09	3.1M	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.19	8.2827	+1.13%	6.24	-23.81%	0.2608	✗	0.63	675k	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.9176	8.0514	+1.69%	6.5603	-17.14%	0.1540	✗	1.43	273k	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2877	3.3454	+1.75%	2.1819	-33.63%	0.3874	✗	1.12	699k	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,920.37	45,009.63	+2.48%	42,386.47	-3.49%	0.0245	✗	1.00	750.1M	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01979	0.020341	+2.78%	0.015872	-19.80%	0.2044	✗	1.23	2.5M	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,982.00	45,269.35	+2.93%	42,347.70	-3.72%	0.0317	✗	0.98	14k	2022-02-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068101	0.070682	+3.79%	0.063958	-6.08%	0.0659	✗	0.96	536k	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.