2022-01-10 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2656

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+16.20%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

77.0%

in alpha space · 67.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+6.20%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.065327	+2.90%	0.069943	+10.17%	0.0122	✓	0.93	552k	2022-02-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.081141	+2.19%	0.0867	+9.19%	0.0168	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	183.8737	+0.75%	185.83	+1.82%	0.0469	✗	0.96	2.9M	2022-02-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.144008	+0.61%	0.159048	+11.12%	0.0344	✓	1.08	4.8M	2022-02-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	41,768.48	+0.35%	44,492.60	+6.89%	0.0044	✓	0.98	12k	2022-02-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.63336	+0.25%	0.6233	-1.35%	0.0900	✗	1.23	4.4M	2022-02-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.8908	+0.23%	2.4	-16.79%	0.2506	✗	1.07	665k	2022-02-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	41,918.56	+0.23%	44,416.35	+6.20%	0.0023	✗	1.00	750.1M	2022-02-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.7851	+0.00%	1.832	+2.63%	0.0422	✗	1.13	2.3M	2022-02-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.06887	-0.06%	0.041	-40.50%	0.5914	✓	1.21	16.9M	2022-02-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	13.1673	-0.10%	10.06	-23.67%	0.3369	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-02-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	6.1371	-0.20%	7.0423	+14.52%	0.0903	✗	0.79	3.7M	2022-02-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	28.3276	-0.54%	33.84	+18.82%	0.1177	✗	1.00	3.2M	2022-02-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.7153	-0.54%	2.28	-16.48%	0.2533	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.1927	-0.59%	7.2042	-0.43%	0.0801	✓	1.36	268k	2022-02-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	3,065.14	-0.60%	3,246.22	+5.28%	0.0046	✓	1.03	591.9M	2022-02-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.5217	-0.64%	7.14	-5.68%	0.0881	✓	0.60	714k	2022-02-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	4.1745	-0.68%	3.796	-9.68%	0.1413	✓	0.77	1.1M	2022-02-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.000089768	-0.69%	0.00009721	+7.55%	0.0204	✗	0.99	6.7M	2022-02-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.097657	-0.69%	0.10785	+9.67%	0.0330	✗	1.10	23k	2022-02-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.139882	-0.72%	0.1237	-12.21%	0.1972	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-02-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	125.4914	-0.81%	140.21	+10.82%	0.0312	✗	1.33	35.1M	2022-02-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.339561	-1.00%	0.288	-16.03%	0.2074	✓	0.71	38k	2022-02-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	2.0488	-1.02%	1.93	-6.76%	0.1219	✓	1.03	3.4M	2022-02-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.027361	-1.03%	0.024233	-12.34%	0.1828	✓	1.02	6.3M	2022-02-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.6732	-1.14%	3.083	+14.02%	0.0489	✗	1.56	1.2M	2022-02-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.538	-1.15%	3.347	-6.48%	0.0962	✓	0.68	514k	2022-02-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.3342	-1.18%	6	-6.40%	0.0922	✓	0.63	645k	2022-02-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	27.6424	-1.31%	25.8	-7.89%	0.1564	✓	1.45	1.0M	2022-02-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.4535	-1.32%	4.801	+6.38%	0.0379	✗	0.62	474k	2022-02-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	357.8987	-1.56%	346.21	-4.77%	0.0931	✓	1.00	8.5M	2022-02-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.7959	-1.58%	3.885	+36.75%	0.2592	✗	1.16	2.5M	2022-02-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.6816	-1.61%	6.8052	+81.86%	0.6192	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-02-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	196.6106	-1.65%	188.2	-5.85%	0.1106	✓	1.11	17.6M	2022-02-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.248874	-1.65%	0.238854	-5.61%	0.1018	✓	1.01	24.0M	2022-02-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.06953	-1.65%	0.0794	+12.31%	0.0708	✗	1.03	19k	2022-02-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	14.8592	-1.66%	12.33	-18.40%	0.2626	✓	1.26	13.1M	2022-02-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.6776	-1.67%	0.706728	+2.56%	0.0234	✓	1.09	2.6M	2022-02-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.692257	-1.67%	0.591	-16.05%	0.2422	✓	1.40	7.7M	2022-02-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.293901	-1.71%	0.2963	-0.90%	0.0675	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	133.5497	-1.72%	114.04	-16.08%	0.2190	✓	1.02	194.0M	2022-02-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.4705	-1.83%	7.18	-5.65%	0.0832	✓	0.72	705k	2022-02-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.017822	-1.85%	0.017007	-6.34%	0.1207	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-02-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000026186	-1.92%	0.00003298	+23.52%	0.1564	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.1649	-1.95%	1.086	-8.59%	0.1493	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.539269	-1.95%	0.5406	-1.71%	0.0782	✓	1.34	2.7M	2022-02-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	26.8071	-2.02%	28.48	+4.09%	0.0207	✗	0.66	370k	2022-02-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.531522	-2.02%	0.4877	-10.10%	0.1580	✓	1.20	12.5M	2022-02-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.012853	-2.04%	0.01253	-4.50%	0.0976	✓	1.20	2.1M	2022-02-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.7872	-2.10%	3.8968	+0.74%	0.0474	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-02-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	19.6652	-2.11%	16.51	-17.82%	0.2186	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-02-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.3113	-2.14%	1.43	+6.72%	0.0126	✓	1.65	764k	2022-02-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.4818	-2.23%	1.3519	-10.80%	0.1432	✓	0.85	647k	2022-02-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	1.9571	-2.25%	1.9982	-0.20%	0.0412	✓	1.03	83k	2022-02-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	32.6051	-2.29%	33.92	+1.65%	0.0580	✓	1.62	2.8M	2022-02-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.664	-2.37%	6.08	-22.55%	0.2852	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.166612	-2.46%	0.23058	+34.99%	0.2319	✗	1.55	4,992	2022-02-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	37.171	-2.46%	47.97	+25.87%	0.1924	✗	1.04	20.0M	2022-02-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.925354	-2.50%	0.8202	-13.58%	0.1771	✓	0.94	3.2M	2022-02-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.013653	-2.54%	0.01509	+7.71%	0.0235	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-02-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	4.9716	-2.56%	5.3633	+5.12%	0.0077	✓	1.13	446k	2022-02-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	137.6194	-2.56%	126.05	-10.75%	0.1635	✓	1.26	10.9M	2022-02-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.484146	-2.59%	0.406	-18.31%	0.2521	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-02-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	27.3979	-2.64%	24.32	-13.57%	0.1816	✓	1.04	18.5M	2022-02-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.5798	-2.64%	10.91	+10.87%	0.0857	✗	0.74	994k	2022-02-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	27.2347	-2.66%	18.7	-33.17%	0.4452	✓	1.15	69.7M	2022-02-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	18.4957	-2.69%	20.705	+8.93%	0.0164	✓	1.60	13.0M	2022-02-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.2427	-2.71%	7.48	-21.26%	0.2080	✓	-0.06	1.8M	2022-02-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	8.1402	-2.75%	6.66	-20.43%	0.2583	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-02-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	151.3868	-2.76%	107.0699	-31.22%	0.4050	✓	0.97	515k	2022-02-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.045389	-2.81%	0.0468	+0.21%	0.0339	✓	1.07	17k	2022-02-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.012602	-2.84%	0.01205	-7.09%	0.1029	✓	0.97	756k	2022-02-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.303846	-2.89%	0.3218	+2.84%	0.0283	✓	1.42	4.1M	2022-02-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.16886	-2.90%	0.1678	-3.51%	0.0600	✓	0.89	479k	2022-02-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.243266	-3.08%	0.2412	-3.90%	0.0865	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.1972	-3.17%	8.263	+29.11%	0.2144	✗	1.22	271k	2022-02-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.104429	-3.31%	0.0943	-12.69%	0.1685	✓	1.11	296k	2022-02-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	143.2596	-3.31%	114.95	-22.42%	0.2933	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-02-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.152768	-3.43%	0.1429	-9.67%	0.1390	✓	1.20	4.2M	2022-02-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	0.992716	-3.50%	0.7609	-26.03%	0.3504	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-02-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.2804	-3.51%	1.43	+7.76%	0.0303	✓	1.33	5.2M	2022-02-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.3263	-3.54%	1.9679	+43.13%	0.3424	✗	0.87	922k	2022-02-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	175.7946	-3.54%	144.23	-20.86%	0.2658	✓	1.13	180k	2022-02-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	3.0185	-3.56%	2.83	-9.58%	0.1224	✓	0.96	977k	2022-02-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.175028	-3.57%	0.1868	+2.92%	0.0258	✓	0.65	410k	2022-02-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	102.1973	-3.58%	101.5	-4.24%	0.0628	✓	0.93	2.6M	2022-02-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	233.1311	-3.73%	192.22	-20.63%	0.2604	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-02-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.7119	-3.77%	3.3415	+18.58%	0.1488	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-02-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.6921	-3.85%	5.84	+19.67%	0.1506	✗	1.13	3.3M	2022-02-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	4.8432	-3.91%	4.17	-17.26%	0.2144	✓	1.08	2.2M	2022-02-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.053424	-3.91%	0.0337	-39.39%	0.5411	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.0793	-3.94%	1.1947	+6.34%	0.0375	✓	1.07	95.6M	2022-02-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	24.376	-3.96%	21.27	-16.19%	0.2462	✓	1.83	5.4M	2022-02-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.014781	-4.02%	0.01324	-14.03%	0.1467	✓	0.61	29k	2022-02-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	65.6312	-4.05%	67.62	-1.14%	0.0323	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-02-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	22.7536	-4.07%	21.97	-7.38%	0.1115	✓	1.27	70.4M	2022-02-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	0.988891	-4.08%	0.827	-19.79%	0.2352	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	3.8675	-4.09%	4.4429	+10.18%	0.0587	✗	1.33	4.6M	2022-02-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	13.6671	-4.16%	18.16	+27.35%	0.2451	✗	0.65	1.1M	2022-02-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	51.1	-4.18%	47.83	-10.31%	0.1505	✓	1.40	736k	2022-02-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.075998	-4.21%	0.05941	-25.12%	0.3326	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-02-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.6025	-4.22%	2.609	-3.97%	0.0513	✓	0.89	31k	2022-02-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.63	-4.22%	2.81	-25.86%	0.3424	✓	1.44	2.4M	2022-02-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.1826	-4.32%	6.897	-8.13%	0.0807	✓	0.67	231k	2022-02-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.040207	-4.43%	0.0312	-25.84%	0.3074	✓	0.89	8.2M	2022-02-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.106641	-4.44%	0.1212	+8.60%	0.0673	✗	1.01	67k	2022-02-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.062	-4.45%	1.0216	-8.09%	0.0961	✓	0.95	22.7M	2022-02-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.4077	-4.55%	4.04	+13.17%	0.1283	✗	0.70	493k	2022-02-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	158.5775	-4.66%	150.18	-9.71%	0.1102	✓	0.93	7.6M	2022-02-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.298182	-4.67%	0.3185	+1.82%	0.0058	✓	1.00	397k	2022-02-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.0494	-4.71%	2.94	-8.12%	0.0973	✓	1.01	715k	2022-02-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	80.3991	-4.81%	90.18	+6.77%	0.0492	✓	1.09	115.7M	2022-02-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.3973	-4.81%	1.0976	-25.23%	0.3555	✓	1.90	1.4M	2022-02-09
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.2065	-4.84%	1.1728	-7.50%	0.1105	✓	1.37	4.5M	2022-02-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	30,455.22	-4.86%	26,293.98	-17.86%	0.1859	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-02-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	32.602	-4.92%	23.1	-32.63%	0.4278	✓	1.38	28.0M	2022-02-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.081731	-4.99%	0.08573	-0.34%	0.0066	✓	0.68	52k	2022-02-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.073177	-5.21%	0.086	+11.40%	0.1013	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-02-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.5297	-5.26%	3.8694	+3.85%	0.0506	✓	0.69	3,355	2022-02-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.4465	-5.31%	7.06	-20.85%	0.2185	✓	0.65	1.2M	2022-02-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	0.945292	-5.41%	0.94117	-5.82%	0.1088	✓	1.74	1.0M	2022-02-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.0469	-5.54%	2.16	-0.32%	0.0098	✓	1.06	1.9M	2022-02-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.076564	-5.57%	0.05819	-28.23%	0.3518	✓	1.29	7.3M	2022-02-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	4.0711	-5.76%	3.5	-18.98%	0.2335	✓	1.37	30.4M	2022-02-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	35.6354	-5.80%	30.94	-18.21%	0.1964	✓	0.92	57.0M	2022-02-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.1789	-5.81%	4.76	-27.44%	0.3380	✓	1.28	18.2M	2022-02-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.0651	-5.90%	1.2907	+14.03%	0.1320	✗	1.00	3.3M	2022-02-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.883797	-5.98%	1.09	+15.96%	0.1047	✗	1.75	1.6M	2022-02-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	65.3062	-5.98%	57.56	-17.13%	0.1864	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-02-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.2794	-6.09%	1.0371	-23.88%	0.2760	✓	1.10	32.1M	2022-02-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.756936	-6.28%	1.3852	+71.50%	0.5442	✗	1.00	129k	2022-02-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.013073	-6.29%	0.00744	-46.67%	0.7064	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-02-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.583292	-6.66%	0.6017	-3.71%	0.0574	✓	1.47	650k	2022-02-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.2427	-6.82%	2.28	-34.48%	0.4270	✓	1.24	9.3M	2022-02-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	9.8439	-7.53%	9.329	-12.36%	0.0588	✓	0.08	56k	2022-02-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	9.848	-7.96%	9.31	-12.99%	0.0649	✓	0.14	2.8M	2022-02-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	2.8617	-8.57%	2.21	-29.39%	0.3353	✓	1.28	3.2M	2022-02-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.549229	-8.72%	0.5665	-5.85%	0.0736	✓	1.74	38.7M	2022-02-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.078616	-8.98%	0.03747	-56.62%	0.8012	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.