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2022-01-10 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2644
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.08%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.7%
in alpha space · 67.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.086370.078616-8.98%0.03747-56.62%0.8012✓1.003.0M2022-02-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.60170.549198-8.73%0.5665-5.85%0.0751✓1.7638.7M2022-02-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.132.8617-8.57%2.21-29.39%0.3353✓1.283.2M2022-02-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.79.8486-7.96%9.31-12.99%0.0630✓0.112.8M2022-02-09
GITCOINGITCOIN10.6459.844-7.52%9.329-12.36%0.0569✓0.0556k2022-02-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.483.2427-6.82%2.28-34.48%0.4270✓1.249.3M2022-02-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62490.583292-6.66%0.6017-3.71%0.0574✓1.47650k2022-02-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.013950.013073-6.29%0.00744-46.67%0.7064✓2.3726.8M2022-02-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.80770.756936-6.28%1.3852+71.50%0.5442✗1.00129k2022-02-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36241.2794-6.09%1.0371-23.88%0.2785✓1.1432.1M2022-02-09
LUNATerraTerra 269.4665.3062-5.98%57.56-17.13%0.1864✓1.007.2M2022-02-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.883797-5.98%1.09+15.96%0.1047✗1.751.6M2022-02-09
UOSUltraEthereum1.13191.0652-5.89%1.2907+14.03%0.1317✗1.003.3M2022-02-09
SUSHISushiEthereum6.566.1791-5.81%4.76-27.44%0.3389✓1.3018.2M2022-02-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.8335.6353-5.80%30.94-18.21%0.1965✓0.9257.0M2022-02-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.324.0711-5.76%3.5-18.98%0.2353✓1.4030.4M2022-02-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0810820.076563-5.57%0.05819-28.23%0.3538✓1.327.3M2022-02-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.1672.0472-5.53%2.16-0.32%0.0111✓1.081.9M2022-02-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.999380.945383-5.40%0.94117-5.82%0.1114✓1.781.0M2022-02-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.928.4466-5.31%7.06-20.85%0.2191✓0.661.2M2022-02-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.72583.5296-5.27%3.8694+3.85%0.0469✓0.753,3552022-02-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07720.073177-5.21%0.086+11.40%0.1013✗1.0033.0M2022-02-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.086020.08173-4.99%0.08573-0.34%0.0067✓0.6852k2022-02-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum34.2932.6014-4.92%23.1-32.63%0.4290✓1.4028.0M2022-02-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,010.2430,454.82-4.86%26,293.98-17.86%0.1853✓0.6426.4M2022-02-09
HIVEHivenative1.26791.2065-4.84%1.1728-7.50%0.1119✓1.394.5M2022-02-09
LRCLoopringEthereum1.4681.3974-4.81%1.0976-25.23%0.3571✓1.921.4M2022-02-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.4680.4021-4.80%90.18+6.77%0.0455✓1.15115.7M2022-02-09
MINAMina Protocolnative3.23.0494-4.71%2.94-8.12%0.0989✓1.04715k2022-02-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.31280.298182-4.67%0.3185+1.82%0.0058✓1.00397k2022-02-09
QNTQuantEthereum166.33158.5787-4.66%150.18-9.71%0.1115✓0.957.6M2022-02-09
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.4077-4.55%4.04+13.17%0.1283✗0.70493k2022-02-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.11151.062-4.46%1.0216-8.09%0.0977✓0.9822.7M2022-02-09
XEMNEMnative0.11160.106638-4.45%0.1212+8.60%0.0651✗1.0567k2022-02-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.042070.040205-4.43%0.0312-25.84%0.3086✓0.928.2M2022-02-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.5077.183-4.32%6.897-8.13%0.0790✓0.64231k2022-02-09
IMXImmutableEthereum3.793.63-4.22%2.81-25.86%0.3424✓1.442.4M2022-02-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.079340.075998-4.21%0.05941-25.12%0.3326✓1.442.5M2022-02-09
CBKCobakEthereum2.7172.6026-4.21%2.609-3.97%0.0518✓0.9031k2022-02-09
ZENHorizenBase53.3351.108-4.17%47.83-10.31%0.1558✓1.49736k2022-02-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2613.6671-4.16%18.16+27.35%0.2446✗0.661.1M2022-02-09
XTZTezosTezos4.03243.8675-4.09%4.4429+10.18%0.0576✗1.354.6M2022-02-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0310.988905-4.08%0.827-19.79%0.2363✓0.962.2M2022-02-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot23.7222.7537-4.07%21.97-7.38%0.1132✓1.3070.4M2022-02-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum68.465.6358-4.04%67.62-1.14%0.0323✓1.036.4M2022-02-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01540.014781-4.02%0.01324-14.03%0.1510✓0.6829k2022-02-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum25.3824.376-3.96%21.27-16.19%0.2462✓1.835.4M2022-02-09
ADACardanoCardano1.12351.0793-3.94%1.1947+6.34%0.0358✓1.0995.6M2022-02-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05560.053424-3.91%0.0337-39.39%0.5411✓1.341.5M2022-02-09
BANDBandEthereum5.044.8432-3.91%4.17-17.26%0.2165✓1.112.2M2022-02-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.884.6922-3.85%5.84+19.67%0.1497✗1.153.3M2022-02-09
MANADecentralandEthereum2.8182.7121-3.76%3.3415+18.58%0.1485✗1.005.5M2022-02-09
KSMKusamaHydration242.17233.1304-3.73%192.22-20.63%0.2622✓1.151.3M2022-02-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV105.99102.1972-3.58%101.5-4.24%0.0638✓0.952.6M2022-02-09
XYMSymbolnative0.18150.17503-3.56%0.1868+2.92%0.0262✓0.65410k2022-02-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.133.0185-3.56%2.83-9.58%0.1237✓0.98977k2022-02-09
COMPCompoundEthereum182.25175.7926-3.54%144.23-20.86%0.2678✓1.16180k2022-02-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37491.3262-3.54%1.9679+43.13%0.3420✗0.88922k2022-02-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3271.2804-3.51%1.43+7.76%0.0294✓1.355.2M2022-02-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.02870.992716-3.50%0.7609-26.03%0.3504✓1.401.5M2022-02-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15820.152769-3.43%0.1429-9.67%0.1411✓1.244.2M2022-02-09
DASHDashDash148.17143.2598-3.31%114.95-22.42%0.2952✓1.252.1M2022-02-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1080.104429-3.31%0.0943-12.69%0.1685✓1.11296k2022-02-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.46.1955-3.19%8.263+29.11%0.2123✗1.26271k2022-02-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.2510.24329-3.07%0.2412-3.90%0.0878✓1.324.6M2022-02-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17390.168859-2.90%0.1678-3.51%0.0612✓0.91479k2022-02-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.31290.303842-2.89%0.3218+2.84%0.0323✓1.494.1M2022-02-09
SCSiacoinnative0.012970.012602-2.84%0.01205-7.09%0.1035✓0.98756k2022-02-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04670.045388-2.81%0.0468+0.21%0.0370✓1.1217k2022-02-09
MOVRMoonriverBase155.6792151.3891-2.76%107.0699-31.22%0.4133✓1.11515k2022-02-09
UMAUMAEthereum8.378.1401-2.75%6.66-20.43%0.2579✓0.954.4M2022-02-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.59.2425-2.71%7.48-21.26%0.2076✓-0.071.8M2022-02-09
KCSKuCoinnative19.00718.4959-2.69%20.705+8.93%0.0151✓1.6213.0M2022-02-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum27.9827.2346-2.66%18.7-33.17%0.4490✓1.2169.7M2022-02-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.849.5798-2.64%10.91+10.87%0.0857✗0.74994k2022-02-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.1427.3979-2.64%24.32-13.57%0.1821✓1.0518.5M2022-02-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4970.484167-2.58%0.406-18.31%0.2535✓1.292.1M2022-02-09
ZECZcashZcash141.24137.6244-2.56%126.05-10.75%0.1679✓1.3310.9M2022-02-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.10214.9718-2.55%5.3633+5.12%0.0042✓1.19446k2022-02-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014010.013653-2.55%0.01509+7.71%0.0221✓1.302.2M2022-02-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.94910.925396-2.50%0.8202-13.58%0.1750✓0.903.2M2022-02-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.170810.166603-2.46%0.23058+34.99%0.2306✗1.574,9922022-02-09
FTTFTXEthereum38.1137.1727-2.46%47.97+25.87%0.1895✗1.0920.0M2022-02-09
RADRadworksEthereum7.857.664-2.37%6.08-22.55%0.2852✓0.891.1M2022-02-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum33.3732.6052-2.29%33.92+1.65%0.0583✓1.632.8M2022-02-09
LSKLiskEthereum2.00211.9571-2.25%1.9982-0.20%0.0458✓1.1183k2022-02-09
STORJStorjEthereum1.51561.4821-2.21%1.3519-10.80%0.1432✓0.85647k2022-02-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.341.3114-2.13%1.43+6.72%0.0145✓1.68764k2022-02-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.0919.6647-2.12%16.51-17.82%0.2374✓1.041.1M2022-02-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.86833.7872-2.10%3.8968+0.74%0.0474✓1.264.2M2022-02-09
XVGVergenative0.013120.012853-2.04%0.01253-4.50%0.0979✓1.212.1M2022-02-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.54250.531517-2.02%0.4877-10.10%0.1639✓1.2912.5M2022-02-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.3626.8071-2.02%28.48+4.09%0.0188✓0.69370k2022-02-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.550.539198-1.96%0.5406-1.71%0.0785✓1.352.7M2022-02-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1881.165-1.94%1.086-8.59%0.1500✓1.332.9M2022-02-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002670.000026186-1.92%0.00003298+23.52%0.1564✗1.241.7M2022-02-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0181580.017824-1.84%0.017007-6.34%0.1201✓1.222.5M2022-02-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.617.4704-1.83%7.18-5.65%0.0851✓0.76705k2022-02-09
SOLSolanaSolana135.89133.5533-1.72%114.04-16.08%0.2247✓1.11194.0M2022-02-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2990.293902-1.71%0.2963-0.90%0.0675✓1.262.3M2022-02-09
DODODODOEthereum0.7040.692259-1.67%0.591-16.05%0.2444✓1.437.7M2022-02-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6890860.677607-1.67%0.706728+2.56%0.0262✓1.142.6M2022-02-09
UNIUniswapEthereum15.1114.8593-1.66%12.33-18.40%0.2642✓1.2913.1M2022-02-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07070.069529-1.66%0.0794+12.31%0.0687✗1.0619k2022-02-09
XLMStellarStellar0.2530610.248876-1.65%0.238854-5.61%0.1023✓1.0224.0M2022-02-09
AAVEAaveEthereum199.9196.617-1.64%188.2-5.85%0.1132✓1.1617.6M2022-02-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.74193.6816-1.61%6.8052+81.86%0.6191✗-0.08364k2022-02-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.84092.7959-1.58%3.885+36.75%0.2592✗1.162.5M2022-02-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash363.56357.8757-1.56%346.21-4.77%0.0942✓1.018.5M2022-02-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5134.4535-1.32%4.801+6.38%0.0370✗0.63474k2022-02-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.0127.641-1.32%25.8-7.89%0.1603✓1.521.0M2022-02-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.416.3342-1.18%6-6.40%0.0924✓0.63645k2022-02-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5793.538-1.15%3.347-6.48%0.0962✓0.68514k2022-02-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7042.6732-1.14%3.083+14.02%0.0489✗1.561.2M2022-02-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.072.0486-1.03%1.93-6.76%0.1243✓1.083.4M2022-02-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0276450.027363-1.02%0.024233-12.34%0.1828✓1.026.3M2022-02-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3430.339554-1.00%0.288-16.03%0.2080✓0.7238k2022-02-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin126.52125.4912-0.81%140.21+10.82%0.0301✗1.3435.1M2022-02-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.14090.139882-0.72%0.1237-12.21%0.1972✓1.232.1M2022-02-09
XECeCashnative0.000090390.000089761-0.70%0.00009721+7.55%0.0199✗1.006.7M2022-02-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.098340.097663-0.69%0.10785+9.67%0.0318✗1.1223k2022-02-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2034.1744-0.68%3.796-9.68%0.1421✓0.781.1M2022-02-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.577.5215-0.64%7.14-5.68%0.0886✓0.61714k2022-02-09
ETHEthereumEthereum3,083.513,065.04-0.60%3,246.22+5.28%0.0060✓1.05591.9M2022-02-09
QTUMQtumQtum7.23567.1931-0.59%7.2042-0.43%0.0839✓1.42268k2022-02-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.732.7153-0.54%2.28-16.48%0.2542✓1.323.2M2022-02-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.4828.3275-0.54%33.84+18.82%0.1153✗1.043.2M2022-02-09
GTGateEthereum6.14966.1371-0.20%7.0423+14.52%0.0870✗0.843.7M2022-02-09
XVSVenusEthereum13.1813.1648-0.12%10.06-23.67%0.3373✓1.143.4M2022-02-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.068910.068875-0.05%0.041-40.50%0.5925✓1.2316.9M2022-02-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7851.7852+0.01%1.832+2.63%0.0430✗1.152.3M2022-02-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,824.0741,917.28+0.22%44,416.35+6.20%0.0022✗1.00750.1M2022-02-09
NANOnanopayBase2.88412.891+0.24%2.4-16.79%0.2519✗1.09665k2022-02-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63180.633377+0.25%0.6233-1.35%0.0914✗1.254.4M2022-02-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,624.6041,771.46+0.35%44,492.60+6.89%0.0041✓0.9812k2022-02-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1431330.144008+0.61%0.159048+11.12%0.0338✓1.094.8M2022-02-09
XMRMoneroMonero182.5183.8526+0.74%185.83+1.82%0.0508✗1.022.9M2022-02-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07940.081138+2.19%0.0867+9.19%0.0163✓1.371.2M2022-02-09
TRXTRONTron0.0634850.065326+2.90%0.069943+10.17%0.0113✓0.95552k2022-02-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.