8=======>

2022-01-08 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1216
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.2%
in alpha space · 64.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.63360.578518-8.69%0.602-4.99%0.0505✓1.7740.0M2022-02-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49410.454581-8.00%0.6257+26.63%0.2473✗1.41650k2022-02-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos35.8733.161-7.55%31.63-11.82%0.0942✓0.9245.6M2022-02-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.07670.07108-7.33%0.038389-49.95%0.6671✓1.003.0M2022-02-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.931.2135-5.13%24.04-26.93%0.3324✓1.4024.8M2022-02-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60221.5222-4.99%1.9987+24.75%0.2269✗0.89922k2022-02-07
GITCOINGITCOIN10.83910.3124-4.86%8.971-17.23%0.1419✓0.0568k2022-02-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,111.9831,511.88-4.83%26,559.72-19.79%0.2037✓0.6423.0M2022-02-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.7610.2665-4.59%9.06-15.80%0.1306✓0.112.8M2022-02-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014690.014023-4.54%0.00701-52.28%0.8151✓2.3827.8M2022-02-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.523.3654-4.39%2.26-35.80%0.4609✓1.2310.4M2022-02-07
API3Api3Ethereum3.813.651-4.17%3.79-0.52%0.0016✓0.70848k2022-02-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3034.1286-4.05%3.76-12.62%0.1336✓0.78942k2022-02-07
MANADecentralandEthereum2.9332.8152-4.02%3.2878+12.10%0.1038✗1.015.5M2022-02-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.31250.30022-3.93%0.3267+4.54%0.0336✓1.00293k2022-02-07
SUSHISushiEthereum6.566.3139-3.75%4.96-24.39%0.3073✓1.2918.2M2022-02-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.614.4373-3.75%3.56-22.78%0.2921✓1.4130.4M2022-02-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.38541.3379-3.43%1.0706-22.72%0.2811✓1.1430.5M2022-02-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.01970.986373-3.27%0.96686-5.18%0.1109✓1.781.0M2022-02-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.3124.4874-3.25%18.88-25.40%0.3215✓1.2069.2M2022-02-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum3533.8867-3.18%32.06-8.40%0.1385✓1.632.8M2022-02-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.062.9638-3.14%2.38-22.22%0.2822✓1.233.2M2022-02-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092310.089436-3.11%0.08985-2.66%0.0304✓0.6952k2022-02-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2572.1879-3.06%2.094-7.22%0.0989✓1.081.8M2022-02-07
BANDBandEthereum4.934.7834-2.97%4.06-17.65%0.2204✓1.102.1M2022-02-07
LUNATerraTerra 266.8464.859-2.96%59.48-11.01%0.1376✓1.007.2M2022-02-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09440.091661-2.90%0.0901-4.56%0.0682✓1.0033.0M2022-02-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.10030.097415-2.88%0.06292-37.27%0.5116✓1.462.5M2022-02-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88540.861168-2.74%1.2268+38.56%0.3028✗1.00137k2022-02-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.31510.306695-2.67%0.3247+3.05%0.0190✓1.493.8M2022-02-07
QNTQuantEthereum172.86168.349-2.61%154.1-10.85%0.1370✓0.957.7M2022-02-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77373.677-2.56%4.8233+27.81%0.2754✗-0.08364k2022-02-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.010.984278-2.55%0.95-5.94%0.1252✓1.761.7M2022-02-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63660.620723-2.49%0.6374+0.13%0.0374✓1.254.5M2022-02-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0598660.058391-2.46%0.042745-28.60%0.3784✓1.307.3M2022-02-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07561.0492-2.45%0.9985-7.17%0.0995✓0.9821.4M2022-02-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.449.2107-2.43%7.38-21.82%0.2555✓0.661.2M2022-02-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.779.5338-2.42%10.4+6.45%0.0494✗0.741.1M2022-02-07
ZECZcashZcash143.63140.2141-2.38%128.86-10.28%0.1525✓1.3310.6M2022-02-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.25570.249715-2.34%0.2345-8.29%0.1301✓1.324.6M2022-02-07
ZENHorizenBase54.3653.1117-2.30%48.2-11.33%0.1731✓1.49802k2022-02-07
UMAUMAEthereum8.868.6601-2.26%6.61-25.40%0.3188✓0.954.3M2022-02-07
KCSKuCoinnative18.94618.524-2.23%20.309+7.19%0.0090✓1.6313.6M2022-02-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8152.7531-2.20%2.945+4.62%0.0121✓1.561.3M2022-02-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.19981.1739-2.15%1.3002+8.37%0.0508✗1.013.4M2022-02-07
IMXImmutableEthereum3.423.348-2.10%2.86-16.37%0.2291✓1.402.5M2022-02-07
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.1723-2.09%3.09-4.63%0.0792✓1.04715k2022-02-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.6042.5502-2.06%2.656+2.00%0.0050✓0.8933k2022-02-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.5151.4851-1.98%1.3981-7.72%0.1039✓0.85663k2022-02-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.441.4118-1.96%1.24-13.89%0.2157✓1.68831k2022-02-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.0887.9345-1.90%6.962-13.92%0.1637✓0.64231k2022-02-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014950.01468-1.81%0.01584+5.95%0.0098✓1.302.2M2022-02-07
SCSiacoinnative0.013260.013021-1.80%0.01211-8.67%0.1224✓0.98764k2022-02-07
HIVEHivenative1.32081.297-1.80%1.2317-6.75%0.1228✓1.394.8M2022-02-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.72513.6612-1.72%3.7993+1.99%0.0011✓0.754,3322022-02-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.041.0222-1.71%0.854-17.88%0.2286✓0.952.2M2022-02-07
LSKLiskEthereum2.05092.0167-1.67%1.9231-6.23%0.1041✓1.1190k2022-02-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7083990.696694-1.65%0.67955-4.07%0.0829✓1.142.8M2022-02-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016230.015966-1.63%0.01354-16.57%0.1996✓0.6830k2022-02-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.024.9385-1.62%5.9+17.53%0.1192✗1.153.3M2022-02-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3540.348599-1.53%0.285-19.49%0.2382✓0.7239k2022-02-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57320.564616-1.50%0.5065-11.64%0.1748✓1.3012.2M2022-02-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.479.3296-1.48%7.41-21.75%0.2268✓-0.071.8M2022-02-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0290050.028581-1.46%0.023054-20.52%0.2671✓1.026.6M2022-02-07
AAVEAaveEthereum212.32209.2324-1.45%182.29-14.14%0.1970✓1.1617.6M2022-02-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.9182.702-1.44%83.23-0.81%0.0523✓1.15115.7M2022-02-07
GTGateEthereum6.17896.0902-1.44%7.3085+18.28%0.1394✗0.843.7M2022-02-07
DASHDashDash141.79139.7572-1.43%115.9-18.26%0.2505✓1.241.9M2022-02-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176620.174125-1.41%0.22724+28.66%0.1860✗1.575,9572022-02-07
COMPCompoundEthereum189.37186.7466-1.39%145.96-22.92%0.3058✓1.16195k2022-02-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.96060.948202-1.29%0.7902-17.74%0.2536✓1.401.6M2022-02-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57550.568094-1.29%0.535-7.04%0.1290✓1.352.8M2022-02-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5150.508936-1.18%0.384-25.44%0.3475✓1.292.1M2022-02-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin129.51128.1308-1.06%137.43+6.12%0.0014✓1.3436.2M2022-02-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.073.0386-1.02%2.82-8.14%0.1248✓0.98977k2022-02-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash372.84369.4012-0.92%343.12-7.97%0.1256✓1.028.8M2022-02-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6573.6246-0.89%3.306-9.60%0.1265✓0.68483k2022-02-07
XVGVergenative0.013920.013799-0.87%0.01222-12.21%0.1832✓1.212.1M2022-02-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.102440.101561-0.86%0.10441+1.92%0.0297✓1.1223k2022-02-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1640.162634-0.83%0.1382-15.73%0.2259✓1.244.5M2022-02-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.752.7286-0.78%2.27-17.45%0.2514✓1.323.2M2022-02-07
XMRMoneroMonero183.67182.2801-0.76%185.08+0.77%0.0369✓1.023.0M2022-02-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.043460.043155-0.70%0.03323-23.54%0.3083✓0.928.2M2022-02-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.310812-0.67%0.2714-13.26%0.1999✓1.262.2M2022-02-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.8428.6685-0.59%25.54-11.44%0.1930✓1.521.0M2022-02-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.846.7999-0.59%7.753+13.35%0.0668✗1.26291k2022-02-07
XLMStellarStellar0.2550910.253615-0.58%0.239623-6.06%0.1086✓1.0224.9M2022-02-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.556.5137-0.55%5.62-14.20%0.1800✓0.63686k2022-02-07
XEMNEMnative0.11410.113485-0.54%0.1175+2.98%0.0187✓1.0569k2022-02-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.35735.3293-0.52%5.4029+0.85%0.0472✓1.19457k2022-02-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11150.11095-0.49%0.0948-14.98%0.2139✓1.11296k2022-02-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.071.0649-0.48%0.6483-39.41%0.5428✓0.913.7M2022-02-07
RADRadworksEthereum8.48.3657-0.41%6-28.57%0.3781✓0.891.1M2022-02-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3771.3715-0.40%1.495+8.57%0.0171✗1.355.2M2022-02-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV107.28106.8571-0.39%101.78-5.13%0.0970✓0.952.8M2022-02-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.231.2254-0.38%1.073-12.76%0.2005✓1.333.3M2022-02-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.13270.132226-0.36%0.1248-5.95%0.1195✓1.212.1M2022-02-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6134.5973-0.34%4.576-0.80%0.0371✓0.63488k2022-02-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2414.1954-0.31%16.23+13.97%0.1003✗0.661.1M2022-02-07
MOVRMoonriverBase156.3963155.9118-0.31%105.8832-32.30%0.4436✓1.11560k2022-02-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08110.080854-0.30%0.0915+12.82%0.0536✗1.371.2M2022-02-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17470.174229-0.27%0.1593-8.82%0.1362✓0.91490k2022-02-07
ADACardanoCardano1.18271.1796-0.26%1.1991+1.39%0.0396✓1.1097.2M2022-02-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.9520.9031-0.22%16.8-19.81%0.2717✓1.041.2M2022-02-07
XTZTezosTezos4.00053.9946-0.15%4.1408+3.51%0.0327✓1.354.7M2022-02-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027750.000027715-0.13%0.00003255+17.30%0.0976✗1.241.7M2022-02-07
XECeCashnative0.000096320.00009623-0.09%0.00009007-6.49%0.1171✓1.006.8M2022-02-07
KSMKusamaHydration240.09239.9842-0.04%198.23-17.44%0.2498✓1.151.3M2022-02-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05920.059204+0.01%0.0369-37.67%0.5411✗1.341.5M2022-02-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum27.7127.7482+0.14%21.81-21.29%0.3346✗1.845.4M2022-02-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048850.048924+0.15%0.04657-4.67%0.1068✗1.1316k2022-02-07
SOLSolanaSolana142.17142.5511+0.27%117.62-17.27%0.2491✗1.11203.4M2022-02-07
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9214.9671+0.32%12.38-17.02%0.2555✗1.2913.4M2022-02-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot2424.0815+0.34%22.37-6.79%0.1401✗1.3071.0M2022-02-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.073170.073429+0.35%0.04107-43.87%0.6440✗1.2319.5M2022-02-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.4629.5773+0.40%24.52-16.77%0.2410✗1.0521.2M2022-02-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8861.896+0.53%1.868-0.95%0.0735✗1.152.4M2022-02-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9428.094+0.55%28.02+0.29%0.0381✗0.69385k2022-02-07
XVSVenusEthereum13.9213.9969+0.55%10.33-25.79%0.3619✗1.143.4M2022-02-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.8601+0.64%6.79-13.06%0.1850✗0.76771k2022-02-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.8752.8985+0.82%3.4602+20.35%0.1181✓1.162.6M2022-02-07
FTTFTXEthereum35.2235.5083+0.82%47.22+34.07%0.2299✓1.0820.0M2022-02-07
ETHEthereumEthereum3,080.483,106.18+0.83%3,141.89+1.99%0.0424✗1.05619.8M2022-02-07
DODODODOEthereum0.7420.748558+0.88%0.583-21.43%0.3233✗1.447.7M2022-02-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.3729.6673+1.01%32.66+11.20%0.0430✓1.043.3M2022-02-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum70.2971.0312+1.05%68.32-2.80%0.0916✗1.036.3M2022-02-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.150790.15247+1.11%0.165291+9.62%0.0249✓1.094.6M2022-02-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07390.074756+1.16%0.079+6.90%0.0008✓1.0716k2022-02-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.99714.047+1.25%3.5646-10.82%0.1913✗1.264.4M2022-02-07
XYMSymbolnative0.1850.187312+1.25%0.1916+3.57%0.0105✓0.65441k2022-02-07
LRCLoopringEthereum1.52461.5488+1.59%1.1664-23.49%0.3820✗1.931.3M2022-02-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.857.9993+1.90%6.65-15.29%0.2158✗0.61788k2022-02-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.122.1603+1.90%1.93-8.96%0.1676✗1.083.6M2022-02-07
QTUMQtumQtum7.59727.7711+2.29%7.4703-1.67%0.1122✗1.42263k2022-02-07
NANOnanopayBase3.05413.1341+2.62%2.3627-22.64%0.3386✗1.10710k2022-02-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,892.2043,108.07+2.90%43,893.50+4.78%0.0320✗0.989,2042022-02-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0186960.019271+3.07%0.01721-7.95%0.1752✗1.222.5M2022-02-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,684.8442,985.37+3.12%43,868.07+5.24%0.0307✗1.00743.8M2022-02-07
TRXTRONTron0.0654020.06822+4.31%0.068517+4.76%0.0441✗0.95556k2022-02-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.