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2022-01-06 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1435
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.2%
in alpha space · 66.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.22621.3106+6.89%0.4421-63.95%1.0519✗0.883.9M2022-02-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3860.406757+5.38%0.265-31.35%0.3999✗0.7239k2022-02-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076780.080861+5.32%0.0405-47.25%0.6421✗1.2420.3M2022-02-05
TRXTRONTron0.0710750.074278+4.51%0.064762-8.88%0.0993✗0.95589k2022-02-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63850.666701+4.42%0.5995-6.11%0.0557✗1.274.7M2022-02-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum79.0282.1938+4.02%56.8-28.12%0.3289✗1.026.3M2022-02-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09230.095907+3.91%0.069-25.24%0.2749✗1.371.4M2022-02-05
NANOnanopayBase3.36643.4793+3.36%2.1933-34.85%0.4185✗1.08754k2022-02-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.6732.7151+3.30%29.42-7.10%0.0646✗1.043.4M2022-02-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.352.4237+3.13%1.79-23.83%0.2608✗1.063.7M2022-02-05
XVSVenusEthereum14.5314.9852+3.13%8.67-40.33%0.5019✗1.143.5M2022-02-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,220.9044,418.17+2.77%41,460.80-4.07%0.0299✗0.9810k2022-02-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0262.0737+2.35%1.761-13.08%0.1186✗1.132.5M2022-02-05
QTUMQtumQtum8.36218.5547+2.30%6.9281-17.15%0.1543✗1.42268k2022-02-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1600070.163533+2.20%0.147026-8.11%0.0627✗1.104.6M2022-02-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.16620.169589+2.04%0.1181-28.94%0.3134✗1.222.0M2022-02-05
DODODODOEthereum0.8220.837822+1.92%0.533-35.16%0.3944✗1.468.1M2022-02-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.1633.7599+1.81%22.45-32.30%0.3476✗1.521.1M2022-02-05
XYMSymbolnative0.19190.195185+1.71%0.1855-3.34%0.0258✗0.63428k2022-02-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.421.443+1.62%0.976-31.27%0.3386✗1.323.4M2022-02-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.8162.855+1.39%2.562-9.02%0.0731✗0.8936k2022-02-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107790.109243+1.35%0.10107-6.23%0.0331✗1.1226k2022-02-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,083.7643,638.95+1.29%41,404.85-3.90%0.0128✓1.00743.8M2022-02-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0306510.031042+1.27%0.02206-28.03%0.3009✗1.027.0M2022-02-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.013.0455+1.18%2.17-27.91%0.2866✗1.323.0M2022-02-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3384.3891+1.18%3.6-17.01%0.1675✗0.771.1M2022-02-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.9137.457+1.15%121.8-10.38%0.0672✗1.3536.7M2022-02-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin32.9833.2898+0.94%21.97-33.38%0.3737✗1.0522.1M2022-02-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6867.7557+0.91%6.514-15.25%0.1250✗1.25315k2022-02-05
GTGateEthereum6.27766.3232+0.73%7.0234+11.88%0.1386✓0.843.9M2022-02-05
XMRMoneroMonero205.35206.817+0.71%168.71-17.84%0.1631✗1.023.2M2022-02-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.776.8135+0.64%5.47-19.20%0.1942✗0.64743k2022-02-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080650.081163+0.64%0.05888-26.99%0.2634✗1.452.7M2022-02-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.218.259+0.60%6.46-21.32%0.2209✗0.62811k2022-02-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18710.188128+0.55%0.1293-30.89%0.3262✗1.234.6M2022-02-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.15242.1639+0.53%1.8014-16.31%0.1386✗1.13102k2022-02-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash400.02400.427+0.10%320.74-19.82%0.1814✗1.029.0M2022-02-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7980090.797102-0.11%0.652675-18.21%0.1548✓1.142.8M2022-02-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.3529.3033-0.16%28.35-3.41%0.0058✓0.69385k2022-02-05
ZENHorizenBase57.7957.6376-0.26%45.61-21.08%0.1745✓1.50805k2022-02-05
XECeCashnative0.000103440.000103058-0.37%0.0000839-18.89%0.1661✓1.007.0M2022-02-05
ETHEthereumEthereum3,406.033,388.35-0.52%3,014.50-11.50%0.0753✓1.05619.8M2022-02-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63650.633145-0.53%0.4481-29.60%0.2944✓1.2911.8M2022-02-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8054.7785-0.55%4.51-6.14%0.0329✓0.63498k2022-02-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.00212.9829-0.64%3.2266+7.48%0.1261✗1.202.7M2022-02-05
SOLSolanaSolana150.23149.1654-0.71%113.8-24.25%0.2275✓1.09203.4M2022-02-05
XLMStellarStellar0.26750.265307-0.82%0.213222-20.29%0.1782✓1.0224.9M2022-02-05
AAVEAaveEthereum220.94219.1075-0.83%166.2-24.78%0.2303✓1.1616.0M2022-02-05
DASHDashDash124.32123.2872-0.83%103.6-16.67%0.1229✓1.291.9M2022-02-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08020.079498-0.88%0.0763-4.86%0.0012✓1.0616k2022-02-05
UNIUniswapEthereum17.0616.8925-0.98%11.27-33.94%0.3539✓1.2814.1M2022-02-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8763.8352-1.05%3.231-16.64%0.1442✓0.68454k2022-02-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0209680.020743-1.07%0.016433-21.63%0.1847✓1.212.5M2022-02-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30481.2906-1.09%2.054+57.42%0.5088✗1.11922k2022-02-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18120.179089-1.17%0.1551-14.40%0.1074✓0.92490k2022-02-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0621160.061333-1.26%0.040382-34.99%0.3663✓1.307.4M2022-02-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017060.01683-1.35%0.01113-34.76%0.3623✓1.292.2M2022-02-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052120.051406-1.37%0.04465-14.33%0.0963✓1.1216k2022-02-05
FTTFTXEthereum38.6438.1036-1.39%46.16+19.46%0.2341✗1.0620.0M2022-02-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5522.2152-1.48%15.3-32.15%0.3321✓1.031.2M2022-02-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030790.000030326-1.51%0.00002254-26.79%0.2474✓1.241.7M2022-02-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3410.335621-1.58%0.2627-22.96%0.1951✓1.252.9M2022-02-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.64761.6213-1.59%1.3221-19.75%0.1704✓0.84663k2022-02-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.1132.5614-1.66%20.04-39.47%0.4125✓1.835.4M2022-02-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07041.0525-1.67%0.7727-27.81%0.2534✓1.401.6M2022-02-05
MOVRMoonriverBase185.613182.4418-1.71%85.8205-53.76%0.7112✓1.08574k2022-02-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.3210.143-1.72%7.24-29.84%0.3418✓-0.121.9M2022-02-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12150.119361-1.76%0.0869-28.48%0.2742✓1.09304k2022-02-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.773.702-1.80%4.7941+27.16%0.2542✗-0.11364k2022-02-05
SCSiacoinnative0.01450.014218-1.95%0.01154-20.41%0.1702✓0.97777k2022-02-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.182170.178568-1.98%0.20531+12.70%0.2020✗1.575,9572022-02-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.157.9871-2.00%6.52-20.00%0.1725✓0.77771k2022-02-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.63885.5208-2.09%5.1203-9.20%0.0274✓1.20480k2022-02-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.33460.327093-2.24%0.3148-5.92%0.0021✓1.02293k2022-02-05
ZECZcashZcash137.22134.0703-2.30%116.08-15.41%0.0902✓1.368.6M2022-02-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1631.1363-2.30%0.778-33.10%0.3417✓0.932.3M2022-02-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.651.6108-2.38%1.21-26.67%0.2189✓1.69881k2022-02-05
XVGVergenative0.015760.015382-2.40%0.01122-28.81%0.2679✓1.202.1M2022-02-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4514.3401-2.49%3.3404-24.95%0.2115✓1.274.5M2022-02-05
ADACardanoCardano1.27941.2475-2.49%1.1255-12.03%0.0595✓1.0997.2M2022-02-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5910.576227-2.50%0.354-40.10%0.4363✓1.282.2M2022-02-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.019.7528-2.57%10.1+0.90%0.0649✗0.751.2M2022-02-05
KCSKuCoinnative20.96820.4139-2.64%19.686-6.11%0.0277✗1.6113.6M2022-02-05
LRCLoopringEthereum1.8411.792-2.66%0.9682-47.41%0.5395✓1.921.4M2022-02-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.28110.273553-2.68%0.2088-25.72%0.2179✓1.314.6M2022-02-05
UMAUMAEthereum9.769.4974-2.69%6.4-34.43%0.3566✓0.964.1M2022-02-05
RADRadworksEthereum9.599.3294-2.72%5.48-42.86%0.4969✓0.881.2M2022-02-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.965.7895-2.86%5.76-3.36%0.0400✗1.133.3M2022-02-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.514.085-2.86%15.87+9.45%0.1468✗0.691.1M2022-02-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7125.9272-2.93%21.35-20.07%0.1428✓1.2971.0M2022-02-05
COMPCompoundEthereum204.52198.2677-3.06%136.68-33.17%0.3259✓1.16199k2022-02-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.3924.6132-3.06%17.77-30.01%0.2768✓1.2369.2M2022-02-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8440.5276-3.14%29.81-28.75%0.2434✓1.602.8M2022-02-05
IMXImmutableEthereum4.154.0183-3.17%2.89-30.36%0.2898✓1.002.5M2022-02-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV111.16107.5587-3.24%96.73-12.98%0.0680✓0.962.8M2022-02-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.067801-3.28%0.0368-47.50%0.5569✓1.361.5M2022-02-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0642.9617-3.34%2.728-10.97%0.0197✓1.571.5M2022-02-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.37080.358366-3.35%0.3102-16.34%0.0855✓1.483.4M2022-02-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.5929.5421-3.43%22.26-27.23%0.2273✓1.4024.4M2022-02-05
XEMNEMnative0.12320.118939-3.46%0.1129-8.36%0.0107✓1.04111k2022-02-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.18411.1422-3.54%0.9491-19.85%0.1466✓0.9721.2M2022-02-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1119-3.66%2.66-17.65%0.1178✓0.98995k2022-02-05
QNTQuantEthereum178.46171.8886-3.68%132.93-25.51%0.2186✓0.977.9M2022-02-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.043.8909-3.69%3.4881-13.66%0.0795✓0.7514k2022-02-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64920.625227-3.69%0.4932-24.03%0.1839✓1.342.8M2022-02-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5530.532175-3.77%0.6186+11.86%0.2068✗1.42650k2022-02-05
KSMKusamaHydration269.76259.5468-3.79%185.88-31.09%0.2885✓1.141.3M2022-02-05
BANDBandEthereum5.835.5962-4.01%3.9-33.10%0.3179✓1.092.1M2022-02-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.0460.044084-4.17%0.03104-32.52%0.3147✓0.918.2M2022-02-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018160.017374-4.33%0.01353-25.50%0.2236✓0.6730k2022-02-05
MINAMina Protocolnative3.683.5201-4.34%2.9-21.20%0.1533✓1.02626k2022-02-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100880.096373-4.47%0.085-15.74%0.0989✓0.6755k2022-02-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5371.4682-4.48%1.519-1.17%0.0886✗1.375.5M2022-02-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.1490.6828-4.68%77.09-18.97%0.1175✓1.13114.6M2022-02-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,933.6934,227.96-4.75%25,186.77-29.91%0.2806✓0.6621.4M2022-02-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.5088.0951-4.85%6.059-28.78%0.2643✓0.64272k2022-02-05
SUSHISushiEthereum7.457.0824-4.93%4.68-37.18%0.3624✓1.3118.2M2022-02-05
XTZTezosTezos4.4554.2339-4.96%3.9423-11.51%0.0176✓1.354.9M2022-02-05
API3Api3Ethereum43.7953-5.12%3.57-10.75%0.0215✓1.00957k2022-02-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5732.4354-5.35%1.921-25.34%0.1952✓1.061.9M2022-02-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10190.09641-5.39%0.1089+6.87%0.1616✗1.0033.0M2022-02-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.910.3028-5.48%6.67-38.81%0.4089✓0.651.2M2022-02-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.493.2965-5.54%2.21-36.68%0.3477✓1.3110.7M2022-02-05
HIVEHivenative1.48681.4031-5.63%1.166-21.58%0.1303✓1.385.2M2022-02-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.415.1039-5.66%3.42-36.78%0.3447✓1.4029.4M2022-02-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95040.895516-5.77%0.9549+0.47%0.1040✗1.00143k2022-02-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.56311.4717-5.84%1.0021-35.89%0.3395✓1.1330.0M2022-02-05
MANADecentralandEthereum3.38723.184-6.00%3.0145-11.00%0.0159✓0.985.6M2022-02-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.017050.016021-6.04%0.00674-60.47%0.7725✓2.3529.0M2022-02-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.40751.321-6.15%1.1381-19.14%0.1101✓0.983.6M2022-02-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.048-6.43%0.77-31.25%0.2406✓1.701.9M2022-02-05
LUNATerraTerra 278.3973.2942-6.50%55.39-29.34%0.2403✓1.007.2M2022-02-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18021.1007-6.73%0.92529-21.60%0.1033✓1.771.1M2022-02-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.0437.2961-6.85%30.76-23.18%0.1560✓0.9243.4M2022-02-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.493.173-9.08%2.31-33.81%0.2777✓1.003.2M2022-02-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.77860.703509-9.64%0.5202-33.19%0.2322✓1.7535.9M2022-02-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.111.8302-9.69%8.15-37.79%0.3690✓0.093.5M2022-02-05
GITCOINGITCOIN13.0911.8143-9.75%8.166-37.62%0.3681✓0.0378k2022-02-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.