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2022-01-05 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1366
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.9%
in alpha space · 52.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.28131.4247+11.19%0.41-68.00%1.2063✗0.924.1M2022-02-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09120.101063+10.81%0.0663-27.30%0.3625✗1.381.5M2022-02-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076530.084192+10.01%0.04226-44.78%0.6368✗1.2220.3M2022-02-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.322.5017+7.83%1.77-23.71%0.3021✗1.023.8M2022-02-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.3786.3649+7.46%51.33-36.13%0.4764✗1.026.3M2022-02-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6460.691915+7.11%0.5902-8.64%0.1056✗1.255.0M2022-02-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.40.42843+7.11%0.27-32.50%0.4314✗0.7139k2022-02-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9633.9849+6.34%29.7-7.07%0.0918✗1.003.6M2022-02-04
QTUMQtumQtum8.23288.7513+6.30%6.8761-16.48%0.1829✗1.36268k2022-02-04
TRXTRONTron0.0711530.075534+6.16%0.06445-9.42%0.1186✗0.94556k2022-02-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06760.071701+6.07%0.0408-39.64%0.5055✗1.361.6M2022-02-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.4235.3711+5.84%21.99-34.20%0.4129✗1.461.1M2022-02-04
NANOnanopayBase3.38543.5721+5.52%2.207-34.81%0.4360✗1.06754k2022-02-04
DODODODOEthereum0.8290.87087+5.05%0.543-34.50%0.4116✗1.428.1M2022-02-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1589360.165517+4.14%0.147947-6.91%0.0656✗1.094.6M2022-02-04
XVSVenusEthereum15.1715.7963+4.13%8.72-42.52%0.5459✗1.133.5M2022-02-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.17230.179262+4.04%0.1207-29.95%0.3434✗1.222.1M2022-02-04
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.198073+4.03%0.1886-0.95%0.0216✓0.64441k2022-02-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.32140.517+3.84%121.42-10.27%0.0889✗1.3336.7M2022-02-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,367.5044,976.90+3.71%40,457.70-6.71%0.0641✗0.9810k2022-02-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0792.1527+3.54%1.721-17.22%0.1760✗1.122.5M2022-02-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin33.0934.2395+3.47%21.63-34.63%0.4146✗1.0422.7M2022-02-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8668.1362+3.44%6.454-17.95%0.1799✗1.21336k2022-02-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.031940.032985+3.27%0.0224-29.87%0.3431✗1.027.3M2022-02-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.85032.9433+3.26%3.186+11.78%0.1305✓1.202.7M2022-02-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19040.196151+3.02%0.1262-33.72%0.3899✗1.194.8M2022-02-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.28734.4163+3.01%3.373-21.33%0.2152✗1.274.5M2022-02-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62980.646842+2.71%0.4406-30.04%0.3329✗1.1911.4M2022-02-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.8612.9373+2.67%2.495-12.79%0.1256✗0.8839k2022-02-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.198.4048+2.62%6.43-21.49%0.2415✗0.61828k2022-02-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.18862.2458+2.61%1.7925-18.10%0.1805✗1.05100k2022-02-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash399.79409.5087+2.43%306.37-23.37%0.2473✗1.009.0M2022-02-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109130.111729+2.38%0.09859-9.66%0.0778✗1.1026k2022-02-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.083690.085604+2.29%0.05692-31.99%0.3461✗1.452.8M2022-02-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4651.4959+2.11%0.978-33.24%0.3688✗1.313.4M2022-02-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7274.8264+2.10%4.373-7.49%0.0723✗0.61498k2022-02-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.24981.2759+2.09%2.0881+67.07%0.5395✓1.10922k2022-02-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,436.0444,340.20+2.08%41,614.64-4.19%0.0206✓1.00727.0M2022-02-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.846.9794+2.04%5.39-21.20%0.2311✗0.64778k2022-02-04
XECeCashnative0.000104690.000106581+1.81%0.00008267-21.03%0.2117✗0.997.2M2022-02-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.13.1541+1.75%2.1-32.26%0.3510✗1.303.0M2022-02-04
DASHDashDash122.47124.6012+1.74%103.07-15.84%0.1361✗1.251.9M2022-02-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3954.4702+1.71%3.56-19.00%0.1952✗0.761.1M2022-02-04
GTGateEthereum6.18546.2825+1.57%7.0386+13.79%0.1475✓0.793.9M2022-02-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8265020.83768+1.35%0.647332-21.68%0.2112✗1.092.8M2022-02-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.7630.1473+1.30%29.4-1.21%0.0029✓0.65385k2022-02-04
XMRMoneroMonero206.96209.5311+1.24%165.31-20.12%0.1963✗0.953.2M2022-02-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.561.5793+1.24%1.24-20.51%0.1706✗1.66928k2022-02-04
ADACardanoCardano1.23041.2446+1.16%1.1398-7.36%0.0423✗1.0797.2M2022-02-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.60045.6643+1.14%4.9837-11.01%0.0789✗1.15522k2022-02-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0204890.020675+0.91%0.016562-19.17%0.1692✗1.232.4M2022-02-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05010.050553+0.90%0.04407-12.04%0.0913✗1.0716k2022-02-04
FTTFTXEthereum38.0638.3541+0.77%46.03+20.94%0.2261✓1.0219.4M2022-02-04
ZENHorizenBase60.3360.7751+0.74%43.19-28.41%0.2813✗1.41807k2022-02-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5950.598544+0.60%0.352-40.84%0.4769✗1.262.2M2022-02-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.8233.9874+0.49%20.65-38.94%0.4197✗1.835.4M2022-02-04
XLMStellarStellar0.266040.26713+0.41%0.209216-21.36%0.2012✗1.0124.9M2022-02-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12290.123388+0.40%0.0871-29.13%0.3018✗1.09304k2022-02-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8083.8169+0.23%3.234-15.07%0.1364✗0.69454k2022-02-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.62911.631+0.12%1.2494-23.31%0.2302✗0.85668k2022-02-04
SOLSolanaSolana154.44154.5896+0.10%112.69-27.03%0.2737✗0.99211.5M2022-02-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18320.183366+0.09%0.1601-12.61%0.0973✗0.90503k2022-02-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.33050.330739+0.07%0.3064-7.29%0.0329✗1.02293k2022-02-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.6322.6427+0.06%15.13-33.14%0.3727✗0.711.2M2022-02-04
SCSiacoinnative0.014460.014459-0.01%0.01119-22.61%0.2152✓0.96783k2022-02-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08190.081841-0.07%0.0704-14.04%0.1065✓1.0318k2022-02-04
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1117.0971-0.08%11.18-34.66%0.3711✓1.2514.1M2022-02-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017680.017626-0.31%0.0106-40.05%0.4544✓1.262.2M2022-02-04
QNTQuantEthereum166.2165.6808-0.31%134.25-19.22%0.1697✓0.957.9M2022-02-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.27870.277734-0.35%0.2023-27.41%0.2615✓1.294.6M2022-02-04
AAVEAaveEthereum230.12229.2122-0.39%166.87-27.49%0.2697✓1.1214.0M2022-02-04
ETHEthereumEthereum3,539.003,522.43-0.47%2,998.19-15.28%0.1173✓1.02619.8M2022-02-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1781.1724-0.48%0.772-34.47%0.3787✓0.912.4M2022-02-04
LRCLoopringEthereum1.80481.7941-0.59%0.9113-49.51%0.5963✓1.891.4M2022-02-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.0991.0923-0.61%0.6793-38.19%0.4150✓1.401.7M2022-02-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.186070.184799-0.68%0.20472+10.02%0.1687✗1.556,3502022-02-04
XVGVergenative0.016010.015884-0.78%0.01084-32.29%0.3310✓1.192.2M2022-02-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030370.000030117-0.83%0.0000222-26.90%0.2518✓1.241.7M2022-02-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.078.0017-0.85%6.46-19.95%0.1825✓0.74771k2022-02-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.4445-0.99%20.51-23.21%0.1999✓1.2771.0M2022-02-04
MOVRMoonriverBase198.6558196.2571-1.21%88.7362-55.33%0.7534✓0.94574k2022-02-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.7410.5816-1.48%7.38-31.28%0.3651✓-0.112.0M2022-02-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2814.0642-1.51%14.97+4.83%0.0917✗0.681.1M2022-02-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35540.34985-1.56%0.2513-29.29%0.2772✓1.253.0M2022-02-04
ZECZcashZcash136.6134.2009-1.76%107.21-21.52%0.1696✓1.289.4M2022-02-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0675530.066277-1.89%0.0408-39.60%0.4311✓1.267.4M2022-02-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.91412.8566-1.97%2.8185-3.28%0.0286✗0.985.6M2022-02-04
COMPCompoundEthereum204.79200.5568-2.07%132.7-35.20%0.3648✓1.13211k2022-02-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79773.7183-2.09%5.1583+35.83%0.3227✗-0.11364k2022-02-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4422.3866-2.27%1.823-25.35%0.2247✓1.041.9M2022-02-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.6329.8916-2.41%22.27-27.29%0.2352✓1.3824.2M2022-02-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana109.7565-2.44%9.89-1.10%0.0459✗0.751.2M2022-02-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6430.627318-2.44%0.4872-24.23%0.1955✓1.342.8M2022-02-04
KCSKuCoinnative21.22620.6983-2.49%19.447-8.38%0.0058✓1.5913.6M2022-02-04
KSMKusamaHydration266.77260.0378-2.52%180.53-32.33%0.3173✓1.111.3M2022-02-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1711.1392-2.71%0.9567-18.30%0.1341✓0.9521.2M2022-02-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0672.9828-2.75%2.734-10.86%0.0197✓1.571.5M2022-02-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.2224.4778-2.94%17.51-30.57%0.2850✓1.1769.2M2022-02-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.36710.356209-2.97%0.3098-15.61%0.0790✓1.413.4M2022-02-04
IMXImmutableEthereum4.414.279-2.97%3-31.97%0.3123✓1.002.5M2022-02-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV114.04110.5018-3.10%95.61-16.16%0.1045✓0.943.0M2022-02-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.376.1717-3.11%5.53-13.19%0.0618✓1.123.3M2022-02-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13574.0068-3.12%3.4217-17.26%0.1284✓0.6917k2022-02-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.4441.0667-3.24%29.67-30.09%0.2565✓1.602.8M2022-02-04
RADRadworksEthereum10.089.749-3.28%5.44-46.03%0.5455✓0.881.2M2022-02-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,578.7631,500.32-3.31%24,905.44-23.55%0.2062✓0.6720.1M2022-02-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.046810.045226-3.38%0.03121-33.33%0.3329✓0.898.2M2022-02-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.4277-3.44%2.14-39.72%0.4149✓1.3110.7M2022-02-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.33.1859-3.46%2.65-19.70%0.1431✓0.96995k2022-02-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.102190.098556-3.56%0.08239-19.38%0.1503✓0.6755k2022-02-04
XEMNEMnative0.12970.125046-3.59%0.1096-15.50%0.0889✓1.00115k2022-02-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55930.538896-3.65%0.5994+7.17%0.1671✗1.42650k2022-02-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5331.4736-3.87%1.458-4.89%0.0475✗1.365.7M2022-02-04
UMAUMAEthereum11.0110.5705-3.99%6.19-43.78%0.4939✓0.963.9M2022-02-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018560.017787-4.17%0.01363-26.56%0.2407✓0.6033k2022-02-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95030.908466-4.40%0.964+1.44%0.1022✗1.00144k2022-02-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche97.3693.0209-4.46%77.91-19.98%0.1315✓1.07115.7M2022-02-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.6838.2903-4.52%6.123-29.48%0.2743✓0.67286k2022-02-04
API3Api3Ethereum4.143.9523-4.53%3.57-13.77%0.0589✓1.00962k2022-02-04
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.6842-4.55%2.71-29.79%0.2647✓0.99626k2022-02-04
SUSHISushiEthereum7.647.2833-4.67%4.47-41.49%0.4329✓1.2918.2M2022-02-04
BANDBandEthereum6.235.9387-4.68%3.84-38.36%0.3909✓1.052.1M2022-02-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10170.096902-4.72%0.0798-21.53%0.1513✓1.0030.6M2022-02-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.36011.2931-4.93%1.172-13.83%0.0564✓0.983.6M2022-02-04
XTZTezosTezos4.50934.2771-5.15%4.0141-10.98%0.0063✓1.344.9M2022-02-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.1810.6032-5.16%6.47-42.13%0.4665✓0.641.2M2022-02-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.55621.4759-5.16%0.9987-35.82%0.3439✓1.0930.0M2022-02-04
HIVEHivenative1.51491.432-5.47%1.1073-26.91%0.1991✓1.365.2M2022-02-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.45.1026-5.51%3.43-36.48%0.3384✓1.3729.4M2022-02-04
LUNATerraTerra 278.4173.95-5.69%54.06-31.05%0.2705✓1.007.4M2022-02-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018340.017296-5.69%0.00663-63.85%0.9160✓1.0029.0M2022-02-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.0465-5.72%0.8-27.93%0.2258✓1.001.9M2022-02-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.17561.0976-6.63%0.89908-23.52%0.1255✓1.731.1M2022-02-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.6735.8036-7.41%31.13-19.50%0.1004✓0.9243.4M2022-02-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.693.3985-7.90%2.29-37.94%0.3519✓1.003.3M2022-02-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73890.672267-9.02%0.5318-28.03%0.1603✓1.7335.9M2022-02-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.3111.9436-10.27%8.01-39.82%0.3942✓0.123.9M2022-02-04
GITCOINGITCOIN13.4612.0127-10.75%7.996-40.59%0.4043✓0.0682k2022-02-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.