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2022-01-05 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1355
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.2%
in alpha space · 52.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GITCOINGITCOIN13.4612.0127-10.75%7.996-40.59%0.4058✓0.0382k2022-02-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.3111.9452-10.25%8.01-39.82%0.3958✓0.093.9M2022-02-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73890.672237-9.02%0.5318-28.03%0.1592✓1.7635.9M2022-02-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.693.3985-7.90%2.29-37.94%0.3519✓1.003.3M2022-02-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.6735.8033-7.41%31.13-19.50%0.1003✓0.9243.4M2022-02-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.17561.098-6.60%0.89908-23.52%0.1241✓1.771.1M2022-02-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.0465-5.72%0.8-27.93%0.2258✓1.001.9M2022-02-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018340.017296-5.69%0.00663-63.85%0.9160✓1.0029.0M2022-02-04
LUNATerraTerra 278.4173.95-5.69%54.06-31.05%0.2705✓1.007.4M2022-02-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.45.1018-5.52%3.43-36.48%0.3370✓1.4029.4M2022-02-04
HIVEHivenative1.51491.432-5.47%1.1073-26.91%0.1982✓1.385.2M2022-02-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.55621.476-5.16%0.9987-35.82%0.3422✓1.1330.0M2022-02-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.1810.6042-5.15%6.47-42.13%0.4662✓0.651.2M2022-02-04
XTZTezosTezos4.50934.2773-5.15%4.0141-10.98%0.0056✓1.354.9M2022-02-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.36011.2934-4.90%1.172-13.83%0.0566✓0.983.6M2022-02-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10170.096902-4.72%0.0798-21.53%0.1513✓1.0030.6M2022-02-04
BANDBandEthereum6.235.9388-4.67%3.84-38.36%0.3896✓1.082.1M2022-02-04
SUSHISushiEthereum7.647.2833-4.67%4.47-41.49%0.4323✓1.3018.2M2022-02-04
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.6844-4.55%2.71-29.79%0.2637✓1.02626k2022-02-04
API3Api3Ethereum4.143.9523-4.53%3.57-13.77%0.0589✓1.00962k2022-02-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.6838.292-4.50%6.123-29.48%0.2759✓0.64286k2022-02-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche97.3693.0357-4.44%77.91-19.98%0.1291✓1.13115.7M2022-02-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95030.908466-4.40%0.964+1.44%0.1022✗1.00144k2022-02-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018560.017786-4.17%0.01363-26.56%0.2376✓0.6733k2022-02-04
UMAUMAEthereum11.0110.571-3.99%6.19-43.78%0.4944✓0.953.9M2022-02-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5331.4736-3.88%1.458-4.89%0.0482✗1.375.7M2022-02-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55930.538896-3.65%0.5994+7.17%0.1671✗1.42650k2022-02-04
XEMNEMnative0.12970.125042-3.59%0.1096-15.50%0.0872✓1.04115k2022-02-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.102190.098548-3.56%0.08239-19.38%0.1504✓0.6755k2022-02-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.33.1857-3.46%2.65-19.70%0.1420✓0.98995k2022-02-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.4277-3.44%2.14-39.72%0.4149✓1.3110.7M2022-02-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.046810.045228-3.38%0.03121-33.33%0.3321✓0.918.2M2022-02-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,578.7631,499.80-3.31%24,905.44-23.55%0.2066✓0.6620.1M2022-02-04
RADRadworksEthereum10.089.7491-3.28%5.44-46.03%0.5456✓0.881.2M2022-02-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.4441.0664-3.24%29.67-30.09%0.2564✓1.602.8M2022-02-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13574.006-3.14%3.4217-17.26%0.1256✓0.7517k2022-02-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.376.1722-3.11%5.53-13.19%0.0614✓1.133.3M2022-02-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV114.04110.5001-3.10%95.61-16.16%0.1037✓0.963.0M2022-02-04
IMXImmutableEthereum4.414.279-2.97%3-31.97%0.3123✓1.002.5M2022-02-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.36710.356214-2.97%0.3098-15.61%0.0762✓1.483.4M2022-02-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.2224.4792-2.94%17.51-30.57%0.2822✓1.2369.2M2022-02-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0672.9828-2.75%2.734-10.86%0.0197✓1.571.5M2022-02-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1711.1392-2.72%0.9567-18.30%0.1329✓0.9721.2M2022-02-04
KSMKusamaHydration266.77260.0349-2.52%180.53-32.33%0.3160✓1.141.3M2022-02-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6430.626801-2.52%0.4872-24.23%0.1944✓1.342.8M2022-02-04
KCSKuCoinnative21.22620.6991-2.48%19.447-8.38%0.0066✓1.6113.6M2022-02-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana109.7565-2.44%9.89-1.10%0.0459✗0.751.2M2022-02-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.6329.8946-2.40%22.27-27.29%0.2343✓1.4024.2M2022-02-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4422.388-2.21%1.823-25.35%0.2245✓1.061.9M2022-02-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79773.7184-2.09%5.1583+35.83%0.3227✗-0.11364k2022-02-04
COMPCompoundEthereum204.79200.5676-2.06%132.7-35.20%0.3634✓1.16211k2022-02-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.91412.8579-1.93%2.8185-3.28%0.0282✗0.985.6M2022-02-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0675530.066289-1.87%0.0408-39.60%0.4298✓1.307.4M2022-02-04
ZECZcashZcash136.6134.2304-1.73%107.21-21.52%0.1667✓1.369.4M2022-02-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35540.349861-1.56%0.2513-29.29%0.2772✓1.253.0M2022-02-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2814.0647-1.51%14.97+4.83%0.0921✗0.691.1M2022-02-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.7410.5814-1.48%7.38-31.28%0.3654✓-0.122.0M2022-02-04
MOVRMoonriverBase198.6558196.2823-1.19%88.7362-55.33%0.7477✓1.08574k2022-02-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.446-0.99%20.51-23.21%0.1988✓1.2971.0M2022-02-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.077.9989-0.88%6.46-19.95%0.1808✓0.77771k2022-02-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030370.000030117-0.83%0.0000222-26.90%0.2518✓1.241.7M2022-02-04
XVGVergenative0.016010.015884-0.78%0.01084-32.29%0.3308✓1.202.2M2022-02-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.186070.184758-0.71%0.20472+10.02%0.1698✗1.576,3502022-02-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.0991.0923-0.61%0.6793-38.19%0.4150✓1.401.7M2022-02-04
LRCLoopringEthereum1.80481.7946-0.57%0.9113-49.51%0.5955✓1.921.4M2022-02-04
ETHEthereumEthereum3,539.003,522.07-0.48%2,998.19-15.28%0.1162✓1.05619.8M2022-02-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1781.1725-0.46%0.772-34.47%0.3781✓0.932.4M2022-02-04
AAVEAaveEthereum230.12229.2257-0.39%166.87-27.49%0.2679✓1.1614.0M2022-02-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017680.017624-0.32%0.0106-40.05%0.4533✓1.292.2M2022-02-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.27870.277869-0.30%0.2023-27.41%0.2611✓1.314.6M2022-02-04
QNTQuantEthereum166.2165.709-0.30%134.25-19.22%0.1689✓0.977.9M2022-02-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08190.081834-0.08%0.0704-14.04%0.1050✓1.0618k2022-02-04
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1117.0979-0.07%11.18-34.66%0.3700✓1.2814.1M2022-02-04
SCSiacoinnative0.014460.014462+0.02%0.01119-22.61%0.2151✗0.97783k2022-02-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.6322.6417+0.05%15.13-33.14%0.3591✗1.031.2M2022-02-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.33050.330739+0.07%0.3064-7.29%0.0329✗1.02293k2022-02-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18320.183351+0.08%0.1601-12.61%0.0963✗0.92503k2022-02-04
SOLSolanaSolana154.44154.6121+0.11%112.69-27.03%0.2698✗1.08211.5M2022-02-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.62911.6318+0.17%1.2494-23.31%0.2308✗0.85668k2022-02-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8083.8168+0.23%3.234-15.07%0.1363✗0.69454k2022-02-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12290.123388+0.40%0.0871-29.13%0.3018✗1.09304k2022-02-04
XLMStellarStellar0.266040.267152+0.42%0.209216-21.36%0.2009✗1.0224.9M2022-02-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.8233.9874+0.49%20.65-38.94%0.4197✗1.835.4M2022-02-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5950.598742+0.63%0.352-40.84%0.4763✗1.282.2M2022-02-04
FTTFTXEthereum38.0638.3495+0.76%46.03+20.94%0.2282✓1.0719.4M2022-02-04
ZENHorizenBase60.3360.8371+0.84%43.19-28.41%0.2785✗1.50807k2022-02-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05010.050545+0.89%0.04407-12.04%0.0889✗1.1316k2022-02-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0204890.020686+0.96%0.016562-19.17%0.1703✗1.212.4M2022-02-04
ADACardanoCardano1.23041.2447+1.16%1.1398-7.36%0.0411✗1.1097.2M2022-02-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.60045.6677+1.20%4.9837-11.01%0.0770✗1.21522k2022-02-04
XMRMoneroMonero206.96209.4713+1.21%165.31-20.12%0.1930✗1.023.2M2022-02-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.561.5803+1.30%1.24-20.51%0.1699✗1.69928k2022-02-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.7630.1483+1.30%29.4-1.21%0.0042✓0.69385k2022-02-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8265020.837912+1.38%0.647332-21.68%0.2095✗1.132.8M2022-02-04
GTGateEthereum6.18546.2823+1.57%7.0386+13.79%0.1499✓0.853.9M2022-02-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3954.4691+1.69%3.56-19.00%0.1943✗0.771.1M2022-02-04
DASHDashDash122.47124.6034+1.74%103.07-15.84%0.1346✗1.291.9M2022-02-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.13.1541+1.74%2.1-32.26%0.3504✗1.323.0M2022-02-04
XECeCashnative0.000104690.00010652+1.75%0.00008267-21.03%0.2108✗1.007.2M2022-02-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.846.9793+2.04%5.39-21.20%0.2310✗0.64778k2022-02-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,436.0444,330.85+2.06%41,614.64-4.19%0.0204✓1.00727.0M2022-02-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7274.8254+2.08%4.373-7.49%0.0715✗0.63498k2022-02-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4651.4961+2.13%0.978-33.24%0.3687✗1.323.4M2022-02-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.24981.2766+2.14%2.0881+67.07%0.5398✓1.11922k2022-02-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.083690.085604+2.29%0.05692-31.99%0.3461✗1.452.8M2022-02-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109130.111733+2.39%0.09859-9.66%0.0770✗1.1226k2022-02-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash399.79409.3658+2.40%306.37-23.37%0.2461✗1.029.0M2022-02-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.198.4027+2.60%6.43-21.49%0.2409✗0.62828k2022-02-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.18862.2459+2.62%1.7925-18.10%0.1772✗1.13100k2022-02-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62980.646841+2.71%0.4406-30.04%0.3286✗1.2911.4M2022-02-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.8612.9385+2.71%2.495-12.79%0.1257✗0.8939k2022-02-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.28734.4163+3.01%3.373-21.33%0.2152✗1.274.5M2022-02-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19040.196174+3.03%0.1262-33.72%0.3885✗1.234.8M2022-02-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.85032.9433+3.26%3.186+11.78%0.1305✓1.202.7M2022-02-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8668.1237+3.28%6.454-17.95%0.1768✗1.24336k2022-02-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.031940.032994+3.30%0.0224-29.87%0.3435✗1.027.3M2022-02-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin33.0934.2405+3.48%21.63-34.63%0.4142✗1.0522.7M2022-02-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0792.1532+3.57%1.721-17.22%0.1757✗1.132.5M2022-02-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,367.5044,975.41+3.71%40,457.70-6.71%0.0638✗0.9810k2022-02-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.32140.5068+3.83%121.42-10.27%0.0881✗1.3536.7M2022-02-04
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.198037+4.01%0.1886-0.95%0.0217✓0.63441k2022-02-04
XVSVenusEthereum15.1715.7794+4.02%8.72-42.52%0.5444✗1.143.5M2022-02-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.17230.179262+4.04%0.1207-29.95%0.3434✗1.222.1M2022-02-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1589360.16551+4.14%0.147947-6.91%0.0650✗1.104.6M2022-02-04
DODODODOEthereum0.8290.870939+5.06%0.543-34.50%0.4101✗1.468.1M2022-02-04
NANOnanopayBase3.38543.5724+5.52%2.207-34.81%0.4353✗1.08754k2022-02-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.4235.358+5.80%21.99-34.20%0.4098✗1.521.1M2022-02-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06760.071701+6.07%0.0408-39.64%0.5055✗1.361.6M2022-02-04
TRXTRONTron0.0711530.075532+6.15%0.06445-9.42%0.1180✗0.95556k2022-02-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9633.987+6.34%29.7-7.07%0.0901✗1.043.6M2022-02-04
QTUMQtumQtum8.23288.7554+6.35%6.8761-16.48%0.1806✗1.42268k2022-02-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.40.428377+7.09%0.27-32.50%0.4309✗0.7239k2022-02-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6460.692015+7.12%0.5902-8.64%0.1047✗1.275.0M2022-02-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.3786.393+7.49%51.33-36.13%0.4769✗1.026.3M2022-02-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.322.5007+7.79%1.77-23.71%0.2999✗1.073.8M2022-02-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076530.084265+10.11%0.04226-44.78%0.6370✗1.2420.3M2022-02-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09120.10105+10.80%0.0663-27.30%0.3628✗1.371.5M2022-02-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.28131.4263+11.32%0.41-68.00%1.2092✗0.884.1M2022-02-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.