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2022-01-04 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0589
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.8%
in alpha space · 50.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4090.469542+14.80%0.254-37.90%0.4647✗0.7339k2022-02-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09910.112902+13.93%0.0616-37.84%0.3268✗1.361.5M2022-02-03
MOVRMoonriverBase185.4543210.6376+13.58%74.5146-59.82%0.8008✗1.16574k2022-02-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06950.077925+12.12%0.0321-53.81%0.5999✗1.401.6M2022-02-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.083880.092864+10.71%0.03949-52.92%0.6056✗1.2220.9M2022-02-03
DODODODOEthereum0.8730.966385+10.70%0.526-39.75%0.3064✗1.478.1M2022-02-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.44841.5969+10.25%0.3716-74.34%1.2897✗0.824.4M2022-02-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.8339.2375+9.51%19.28-46.19%0.3975✗1.531.1M2022-02-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69450.759899+9.42%0.5436-21.73%0.0751✓1.275.2M2022-02-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19950.216928+8.74%0.1138-42.96%0.3908✗1.244.8M2022-02-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.482.6954+8.69%1.66-33.06%0.2675✗1.064.0M2022-02-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2398.8517+7.44%6.085-26.14%0.1163✗1.26336k2022-02-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.641.7615+7.41%1.24-24.39%0.0018✓1.72964k2022-02-03
XVSVenusEthereum15.9217.0329+6.99%8.19-48.56%0.4970✗1.153.5M2022-02-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1136.4289+6.80%27.88-18.26%0.0545✓1.043.7M2022-02-03
QTUMQtumQtum8.99399.5357+6.02%6.0981-32.20%0.1570✗1.42268k2022-02-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089270.094012+5.31%0.05362-39.94%0.2639✗1.452.9M2022-02-03
TRXTRONTron0.0759890.079985+5.26%0.05985-21.24%0.0975✗0.94556k2022-02-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.19430.20424+5.12%0.1064-45.24%0.4097✗1.182.1M2022-02-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06176.3376+4.55%4.7256-22.04%0.0476✗1.20553k2022-02-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0334060.034862+4.36%0.020346-39.09%0.3287✗1.027.3M2022-02-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.8896.8735+4.30%48.5-47.78%0.4948✗0.966.3M2022-02-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5074.6972+4.22%3.2104-28.77%0.1163✗1.294.7M2022-02-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67840.703759+3.74%0.4067-40.05%0.2847✗1.2911.4M2022-02-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.34271.3914+3.63%2.0312+51.28%0.6043✓1.10922k2022-02-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1684740.174149+3.37%0.13787-18.17%0.0082✓1.104.6M2022-02-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.18721.2216+2.89%0.6171-48.02%0.3957✗1.401.7M2022-02-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.44150.6009+2.84%111.02-24.19%0.0291✗1.3536.7M2022-02-03
LSKLiskEthereum2.33982.4062+2.84%1.6279-30.43%0.1609✗1.12100k2022-02-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09033.1776+2.82%3.0916+0.04%0.2174✓1.202.9M2022-02-03
XECeCashnative0.000112920.0001159+2.64%0.0000764-32.34%0.2153✗0.987.2M2022-02-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.30250.310448+2.63%0.1839-39.21%0.2569✗1.304.6M2022-02-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06230.063906+2.58%0.036103-42.05%0.2861✗1.397.4M2022-02-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.1337.0087+2.43%20.37-43.62%0.3853✗1.0322.7M2022-02-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2282.2812+2.39%1.629-26.89%0.1070✗1.122.5M2022-02-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.167.3303+2.38%5.17-27.79%0.2188✗0.64801k2022-02-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.423.4942+2.17%1.89-44.74%0.3491✗1.303.0M2022-02-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.768.9397+2.05%6.17-29.57%0.2470✗0.60828k2022-02-03
XYMSymbolnative0.21010.214401+2.05%0.1775-15.52%0.0676✗0.59441k2022-02-03
ZENHorizenBase64.4265.7208+2.02%38.69-39.94%0.2219✗1.50807k2022-02-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1075.209+2.00%4.136-19.01%0.1072✗0.60549k2022-02-03
UMAUMAEthereum9.039.2095+1.99%5.71-36.77%0.2493✗1.123.9M2022-02-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0224.4932+1.97%13.95-41.92%0.3520✗1.031.2M2022-02-03
ADACardanoCardano1.30921.335+1.97%1.061-18.96%0.0054✓1.0997.2M2022-02-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.674123+1.83%0.328-50.45%0.4634✗1.262.2M2022-02-03
NANOnanopayBase3.71433.7805+1.78%2.0772-44.08%0.3820✗1.06798k2022-02-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,006.0046,819.43+1.77%37,210.50-19.12%0.0297✗0.9810k2022-02-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,814.6146,595.94+1.71%37,329.91-18.52%0.0169✗1.00727.0M2022-02-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884310.902697+1.61%0.613557-30.94%0.1559✗1.122.8M2022-02-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6734.7472+1.59%3.456-26.04%0.1616✗0.761.1M2022-02-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash427.38433.9217+1.53%281.46-34.14%0.2256✗1.019.0M2022-02-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.119720.121479+1.47%0.09321-22.14%0.0394✗1.1026k2022-02-03
GTGateEthereum6.49016.5803+1.39%6.7329+3.74%0.1949✓0.843.9M2022-02-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13240.134168+1.34%0.0807-39.05%0.2885✗1.07304k2022-02-03
XEMNEMnative0.12520.126734+1.23%0.1027-17.97%0.0150✓1.10115k2022-02-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2731.6436+1.19%23.46-24.98%0.1605✗0.68385k2022-02-03
BANDBandEthereum5.665.7276+1.19%3.38-40.28%0.2844✗1.192.1M2022-02-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032450.000032767+0.98%0.00002075-36.06%0.2018✗1.251.7M2022-02-03
SOLSolanaSolana167.72168.9111+0.71%101.93-39.23%0.2866✗1.07211.5M2022-02-03
DASHDashDash134.69135.6253+0.69%95.23-29.30%0.0936✗1.271.9M2022-02-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.66.6406+0.61%5.09-22.88%0.0308✗1.153.3M2022-02-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6928.8599+0.59%18.93-34.02%0.1570✗1.2971.0M2022-02-03
XLMStellarStellar0.2793080.280949+0.59%0.19506-30.16%0.1559✗1.0224.9M2022-02-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.23+0.57%0.718-41.29%0.3456✗0.942.4M2022-02-03
FTTFTXEthereum41.3541.5122+0.39%42.77+3.43%0.2446✓1.0519.4M2022-02-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1124.1246+0.31%3.09-24.85%0.1531✗0.66483k2022-02-03
SCSiacoinnative0.015470.015495+0.16%0.01026-33.68%0.2166✗0.96783k2022-02-03
XMRMoneroMonero222.22222.4816+0.12%146.89-33.90%0.2086✗1.013.2M2022-02-03
CBKCobakEthereum3.153.1529+0.09%2.366-24.89%0.1124✗0.8541k2022-02-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.019470.019482+0.06%0.00935-51.98%0.4738✗1.272.2M2022-02-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19570.195724+0.01%0.139-28.97%0.1566✗0.91506k2022-02-03
XVGVergenative0.017210.017196-0.08%0.00994-42.24%0.3040✓1.192.2M2022-02-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6461.6445-0.09%0.874-46.90%0.3685✓1.293.4M2022-02-03
UNIUniswapEthereum18.2118.1753-0.19%10.39-42.94%0.2965✓1.2814.1M2022-02-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.79181.7874-0.24%1.1541-35.59%0.2721✓0.81668k2022-02-03
AAVEAaveEthereum251.96251.3144-0.26%152.86-39.33%0.2643✓1.1414.7M2022-02-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08560.08526-0.40%0.0657-23.25%0.0413✓1.0718k2022-02-03
QNTQuantEthereum179.48178.7519-0.41%135.16-24.69%0.0838✓0.968.3M2022-02-03
ETHEthereumEthereum3,785.003,765.63-0.51%2,697.59-28.73%0.1213✓1.04619.8M2022-02-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0223170.022189-0.57%0.014662-34.30%0.1684✓1.202.4M2022-02-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204040.202712-0.65%0.19482-4.52%0.2802✗1.566,4462022-02-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.6738.4028-0.69%18.42-52.37%0.3666✓1.805.4M2022-02-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum33.8233.5773-0.72%20.81-38.47%0.1945✓1.3924.2M2022-02-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.35740.354734-0.75%0.2929-18.05%0.0131✗1.00293k2022-02-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36730.364364-0.80%0.2361-35.72%0.1731✓1.273.0M2022-02-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.58.4218-0.92%6.12-28.00%0.1631✓0.76773k2022-02-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.4323.1971-0.99%16.31-30.39%0.0812✓1.3269.2M2022-02-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0414.8451-1.30%14.45-3.92%0.1133✗0.691.1M2022-02-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055130.054409-1.31%0.04063-26.30%0.0664✓1.1015k2022-02-03
COMPCompoundEthereum223.02219.4614-1.60%125-43.95%0.3288✓1.14211k2022-02-03
MANADecentralandEthereum3.17443.1225-1.64%2.6813-15.53%0.0414✗0.955.7M2022-02-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6932.6449-1.79%1.695-37.06%0.2347✓1.031.9M2022-02-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5111.3012-1.81%6.88-40.23%0.5304✓-0.172.2M2022-02-03
ZECZcashZcash147.34144.5497-1.89%101.02-31.44%0.0816✓1.3510.1M2022-02-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.3488-2.00%9.57-9.37%0.0742✗0.741.2M2022-02-03
KCSKuCoinnative22.04621.593-2.06%17.927-18.68%0.1486✗1.6313.6M2022-02-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3633.2803-2.46%2.618-22.15%0.1007✗1.591.8M2022-02-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.39340.3834-2.54%0.2853-27.48%0.0086✓1.493.4M2022-02-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV120.8117.6838-2.58%89.8-25.66%0.0752✓0.953.2M2022-02-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.923.8177-2.61%2.04-47.96%0.3582✓1.3110.7M2022-02-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77953.6786-2.67%4.1115+8.78%0.0886✗-0.11364k2022-02-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.2926-2.87%2.44-28.02%0.0953✓1.00995k2022-02-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71330.692329-2.94%0.4435-37.82%0.1752✓1.322.8M2022-02-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.049290.047838-2.95%0.02918-40.80%0.3093✓0.908.2M2022-02-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27881.2377-3.21%0.9279-27.44%0.0943✓0.9521.2M2022-02-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110.106184-3.47%0.07603-30.88%0.2027✓0.6455k2022-02-03
IMXImmutableEthereum4.744.5735-3.51%3.39-28.48%0.0947✓1.002.5M2022-02-03
API3Api3Ethereum4.13.9535-3.57%3.4-17.07%0.0540✗1.00967k2022-02-03
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.5746-3.65%2.49-32.88%0.1413✓1.08626k2022-02-03
HIVEHivenative1.59251.5343-3.66%1.0602-33.43%0.0865✓1.385.2M2022-02-03
RADRadworksEthereum11.2710.8531-3.70%5.12-54.57%0.5797✓0.841.2M2022-02-03
KSMKusamaHydration296.29285.3135-3.70%162.76-45.07%0.3338✓1.111.3M2022-02-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.8341.1691-3.88%25.37-40.77%0.1473✓1.642.8M2022-02-03
SUSHISushiEthereum8.077.7475-4.00%4.09-49.32%0.3699✓1.3118.2M2022-02-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03510.991815-4.18%0.8308-19.74%0.0277✓1.00145k2022-02-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019730.018905-4.18%0.01236-37.35%0.2922✓0.6535k2022-02-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.11920.114189-4.20%0.0779-34.65%0.1776✓1.0033.0M2022-02-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,282.4734,746.37-4.23%23,620.52-34.90%0.2607✓0.6117.3M2022-02-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6781.6046-4.37%1.294-22.88%0.0633✗1.365.7M2022-02-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2911.7406-4.47%5.65-54.03%0.6069✓0.611.2M2022-02-03
LUNATerraTerra 284.5680.7375-4.52%51.23-39.42%0.2501✓1.006.3M2022-02-03
LRCLoopringEthereum2.06511.9712-4.54%0.8505-58.82%0.4563✓1.881.4M2022-02-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.368.9222-4.68%5.773-38.32%0.3103✓0.61299k2022-02-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.151.0959-4.70%0.66-42.61%0.3023✓1.001.8M2022-02-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.398.3407-4.80%68.49-33.70%0.1323✓1.12115.7M2022-02-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.46021.3899-4.81%1.0898-25.36%0.0471✓0.963.6M2022-02-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021110.020007-5.23%0.00612-71.01%0.9797✓1.0028.5M2022-02-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.724.4717-5.26%3.1745-32.74%0.2019✓0.6917k2022-02-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67141.5834-5.26%0.936-44.00%0.2964✓1.1230.0M2022-02-03
XTZTezosTezos5.0394.7522-5.69%3.8358-23.88%0.0573✓1.334.9M2022-02-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62060.585219-5.70%0.5612-9.57%0.2433✗1.39650k2022-02-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.28291.2075-5.88%0.8263-35.59%0.0182✓1.761.2M2022-02-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.893.6251-6.81%2.25-42.16%0.2721✓1.003.3M2022-02-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.085.6425-7.20%3.11-48.85%0.3169✓1.3629.4M2022-02-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos42.0538.8285-7.66%29.72-29.32%0.0835✓0.9043.4M2022-02-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.713.8633-11.70%7.27-53.69%0.6495✓-0.023.9M2022-02-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.83810.739568-11.76%0.4765-43.15%0.0883✓1.7233.4M2022-02-03
GITCOINGITCOIN15.67213.5497-13.54%7.128-54.52%0.6576✓-0.0786k2022-02-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.