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2022-01-03 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0780
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.4%
in alpha space · 52.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-20.53%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4140.473621+14.40%0.25-39.61%0.4708✗0.7341k2022-02-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10040.114256+13.80%0.0599-40.34%0.3325✗1.361.6M2022-02-02
MOVRMoonriverBase191.896214.2923+11.67%73.5972-61.65%0.8019✗1.16574k2022-02-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70480.772658+9.63%0.5398-23.41%0.0671✓1.275.3M2022-02-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.50621.644+9.15%0.37-75.43%1.3037✗0.824.5M2022-02-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07310.079778+9.13%0.034-53.49%0.5317✗1.401.7M2022-02-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017360.018899+8.87%0.00952-45.16%0.3894✗1.292.2M2022-02-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum36.4139.6319+8.85%20.09-44.82%0.3281✗1.531.1M2022-02-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08550.093058+8.84%0.0418-51.11%0.5208✗1.2220.9M2022-02-02
DODODODOEthereum0.9040.976318+8.00%0.465-48.56%0.4036✗1.478.1M2022-02-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20520.220589+7.50%0.1092-46.78%0.4182✗1.244.8M2022-02-02
XVSVenusEthereum15.5216.6497+7.28%7.83-49.55%0.4891✗1.153.5M2022-02-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3168.8548+6.48%5.883-29.26%0.1185✗1.26354k2022-02-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.65820.699172+6.22%0.4048-38.50%0.2493✗1.2911.4M2022-02-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.562.7159+6.09%1.63-36.33%0.2674✗1.064.0M2022-02-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.7236.7243+5.77%26.29-24.28%0.0954✗1.043.9M2022-02-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.1970.208285+5.73%0.11-44.16%0.3662✗1.192.4M2022-02-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.090080.095236+5.72%0.05325-40.89%0.2472✗1.453.0M2022-02-02
TRXTRONTron0.0769880.081071+5.30%0.058639-23.83%0.1080✗0.94552k2022-02-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.721.8105+5.26%1.36-20.93%0.1090✓1.721.0M2022-02-02
QTUMQtumQtum9.20529.6826+5.19%6.025-34.55%0.1492✗1.42273k2022-02-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.640.670623+4.78%0.316-50.63%0.4626✗1.262.2M2022-02-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.2830.6762+4.77%21.59-26.26%0.0278✓1.4124.2M2022-02-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.18286.4596+4.48%4.6307-25.10%0.0569✗1.20577k2022-02-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum94.3898.4681+4.33%49.12-47.96%0.4746✗0.966.3M2022-02-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.62794.8235+4.23%3.1357-32.24%0.1339✗1.295.0M2022-02-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338370.035178+3.96%0.020246-40.17%0.3172✗1.027.8M2022-02-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.30050.311538+3.67%0.1803-40.00%0.2471✗1.304.6M2022-02-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.0836.2774+3.41%20.19-42.45%0.3469✗1.0422.7M2022-02-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.253.3568+3.29%1.87-42.46%0.2853✗1.303.0M2022-02-02
NANOnanopayBase3.57923.696+3.26%2.1064-41.15%0.3174✗1.07754k2022-02-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1701030.175616+3.24%0.137104-19.40%0.0055✓1.104.7M2022-02-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11773.214+3.09%3.0352-2.65%0.2181✓1.203.1M2022-02-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin148.43152.7252+2.89%108.36-27.00%0.0336✗1.3538.3M2022-02-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.217.4108+2.78%5.04-30.10%0.2390✗0.64861k2022-02-02
ZENHorizenBase63.4465.1489+2.69%38.13-39.90%0.1892✗1.51837k2022-02-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2652.3226+2.54%1.589-29.85%0.1219✗1.122.7M2022-02-02
XYMSymbolnative0.20580.210929+2.49%0.1756-14.67%0.0462✗0.60428k2022-02-02
LSKLiskEthereum2.35452.4103+2.37%1.6005-32.02%0.1512✗1.12100k2022-02-02
BANDBandEthereum5.565.6882+2.31%3.37-39.39%0.2498✗1.192.1M2022-02-02
ADACardanoCardano1.31861.3469+2.14%1.0268-22.13%0.0195✓1.1098.5M2022-02-02
XEMNEMnative0.1270.129655+2.09%0.1015-20.08%0.0079✓1.10115k2022-02-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39481.4218+1.93%1.8613+33.45%0.5221✓1.10926k2022-02-02
XECeCashnative0.000116480.000118717+1.92%0.00007582-34.91%0.2229✗0.987.4M2022-02-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1525.2429+1.76%3.998-22.40%0.1324✗0.60598k2022-02-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,018.2046,820.65+1.74%37,883.40-17.68%0.0129✓0.9810k2022-02-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.899.0365+1.65%6.02-32.28%0.2673✗0.60869k2022-02-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,459.5647,214.59+1.63%36,923.39-20.53%0.0161✓1.00727.0M2022-02-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06360.064605+1.58%0.035872-43.60%0.2689✗1.397.5M2022-02-02
UMAUMAEthereum9.279.4107+1.52%5.49-40.78%0.2827✗1.123.9M2022-02-02
FTTFTXEthereum40.2240.7552+1.33%42.9+6.66%0.2936✓1.0519.4M2022-02-02
GTGateEthereum6.43926.524+1.32%6.8016+5.63%0.2350✓0.843.9M2022-02-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7774.839+1.30%3.166-33.72%0.2497✗0.761.2M2022-02-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.121060.122431+1.13%0.08941-26.14%0.0613✗1.1026k2022-02-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.724.9731+1.11%13.76-44.29%0.3597✗1.031.3M2022-02-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash434.61439.2107+1.06%278-36.03%0.2249✗1.019.1M2022-02-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033070.000033401+1.00%0.00002064-37.59%0.1952✗1.251.7M2022-02-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13520.136478+0.94%0.0794-41.27%0.2953✗1.07310k2022-02-02
SOLSolanaSolana170.13171.4912+0.80%101.99-40.05%0.2747✗1.07217.0M2022-02-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.241.2473+0.59%0.719-42.02%0.3346✗0.942.5M2022-02-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.24371.2507+0.56%0.6281-49.50%0.3673✗1.401.9M2022-02-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.6431.8098+0.54%23.57-25.51%0.1442✗0.68385k2022-02-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1524.1722+0.49%3.03-27.02%0.1676✗0.66483k2022-02-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6161.623+0.43%0.883-45.36%0.3119✗1.293.4M2022-02-02
XVGVergenative0.017310.017377+0.38%0.00978-43.50%0.3007✗1.192.2M2022-02-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.940260.942628+0.25%0.5718-39.19%0.2430✗1.122.8M2022-02-02
QNTQuantEthereum178.99179.3003+0.17%113.54-36.57%0.2367✗0.968.7M2022-02-02
DASHDashDash139.05138.9894-0.04%93.05-33.08%0.1101✓1.271.9M2022-02-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0220530.022038-0.07%0.014783-32.97%0.1225✓1.202.4M2022-02-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.0930.0486-0.14%18.76-37.65%0.1751✓1.2972.5M2022-02-02
XLMStellarStellar0.2902880.289859-0.15%0.193151-33.46%0.1723✓1.0224.9M2022-02-02
UNIUniswapEthereum18.4718.4407-0.16%10.53-42.99%0.2655✓1.2814.1M2022-02-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.198056-0.17%0.1348-32.06%0.1765✓0.91527k2022-02-02
SCSiacoinnative0.015730.015695-0.22%0.00983-37.51%0.2485✓0.96817k2022-02-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0860.085749-0.29%0.0643-25.23%0.0415✓1.0720k2022-02-02
ETHEthereumEthereum3,766.043,755.00-0.29%2,682.66-28.77%0.0977✓1.04654.8M2022-02-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37210.370561-0.41%0.2314-37.81%0.1782✓1.273.4M2022-02-02
XMRMoneroMonero231.81230.7546-0.46%145.08-37.41%0.2333✓1.003.2M2022-02-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.7223.6013-0.50%15.79-33.43%0.0978✓1.3269.2M2022-02-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199410.198346-0.53%0.19118-4.13%0.3234✗1.576,5192022-02-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.85211.8402-0.64%1.1125-39.93%0.3188✓0.80689k2022-02-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.2338.9147-0.80%18.01-54.09%0.3574✓1.805.7M2022-02-02
AAVEAaveEthereum267.25265.0177-0.84%151.26-43.40%0.3009✓1.1312.6M2022-02-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.68.5207-0.92%6.05-29.65%0.1672✓0.76773k2022-02-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum7.197.1052-1.18%5.33-25.87%0.0259✓1.143.3M2022-02-02
COMPCompoundEthereum222.2219.4898-1.22%121.22-45.45%0.3305✓1.15210k2022-02-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1814.9882-1.26%14.09-7.18%0.0957✗0.691.2M2022-02-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.69420.684628-1.38%0.4277-38.39%0.1661✓1.322.9M2022-02-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.3740.368475-1.48%0.278-25.67%0.0533✓0.99293k2022-02-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5611.3866-1.50%6.53-43.51%0.5945✓-0.172.3M2022-02-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5110.3453-1.57%9.36-10.94%0.0715✗0.751.3M2022-02-02
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25063.1907-1.84%2.537-21.95%0.0130✓0.945.9M2022-02-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056590.055535-1.86%0.03913-30.85%0.0974✓1.1015k2022-02-02
KCSKuCoinnative22.36321.9113-2.02%17.776-20.51%0.1661✗1.6314.1M2022-02-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.38880.380651-2.10%0.2783-28.42%0.0289✗1.493.4M2022-02-02
ZECZcashZcash150.55147.316-2.15%98.35-34.67%0.0938✓1.3510.3M2022-02-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV122.18119.5067-2.19%90-26.34%0.0645✓0.953.2M2022-02-02
CBKCobakEthereum3.3813.3043-2.27%2.235-33.90%0.1968✓0.8541k2022-02-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7962.7279-2.43%1.696-39.34%0.2404✓1.021.9M2022-02-02
MINAMina Protocolnative3.573.476-2.63%2.46-31.09%0.0970✓1.08626k2022-02-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79143.6909-2.65%4.1355+9.08%0.0882✗-0.11374k2022-02-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.893.7808-2.81%1.9-51.16%0.3841✓1.3211.2M2022-02-02
KSMKusamaHydration289.65281.107-2.95%162.31-43.96%0.2929✓1.121.3M2022-02-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.433.3274-2.99%2.41-29.74%0.0933✓1.00995k2022-02-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4673.3573-3.16%2.582-25.53%0.1041✗1.601.9M2022-02-02
IMXImmutableEthereum4.574.4236-3.20%3.03-33.70%0.1486✓1.002.5M2022-02-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8440.4506-3.32%26.55-36.54%0.0422✓1.652.8M2022-02-02
API3Api3Ethereum4.133.9862-3.48%3.4-17.68%0.0707✗1.001.0M2022-02-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110920.106925-3.60%0.07379-33.47%0.2237✓0.6455k2022-02-02
RADRadworksEthereum11.2910.8782-3.65%5.22-53.76%0.5416✓0.841.2M2022-02-02
LRCLoopringEthereum2.04561.9707-3.66%0.8664-57.65%0.3905✓1.881.5M2022-02-02
CELLCellframeEthereum1.00250.96538-3.70%0.8666-13.56%0.1218✗1.00146k2022-02-02
HIVEHivenative1.63031.5677-3.84%0.9455-42.00%0.1887✓1.385.5M2022-02-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.052480.050463-3.84%0.02927-44.23%0.3388✓0.908.2M2022-02-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.38421.3271-4.12%0.8404-39.29%0.2417✓0.9421.2M2022-02-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12350.118402-4.13%0.0786-36.36%0.1800✓1.0035.9M2022-02-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020230.01939-4.15%0.0126-37.72%0.2827✓0.6536k2022-02-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6821.6119-4.17%1.279-23.96%0.0814✗1.366.0M2022-02-02
SUSHISushiEthereum8.518.14-4.35%4.09-51.94%0.3877✓1.3117.7M2022-02-02
XTZTezosTezos4.81564.602-4.44%3.7524-22.08%0.1025✗1.334.9M2022-02-02
LUNATerraTerra 288.9284.8798-4.54%47.6-46.47%0.3487✓1.005.3M2022-02-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.4369.0045-4.57%5.754-39.02%0.3075✓0.61302k2022-02-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum38,753.9336,969.31-4.61%23,029.36-40.58%0.3347✓0.6015.7M2022-02-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.8112.2054-4.72%5.77-54.96%0.6108✓0.601.3M2022-02-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.141.0844-4.88%0.64-43.86%0.2976✓1.001.9M2022-02-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.53941.4598-5.17%1.0423-32.29%0.1185✓0.953.7M2022-02-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche108.09102.5006-5.17%67.87-37.21%0.1562✓1.11119.6M2022-02-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.6054.366-5.19%3.3042-28.25%0.1197✓0.6918k2022-02-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022160.020946-5.48%0.00607-72.61%1.0089✓1.0029.0M2022-02-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.30191.225-5.91%0.81012-37.77%0.0085✓1.761.3M2022-02-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.79491.6863-6.05%0.9235-48.55%0.3467✓1.1130.0M2022-02-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.640.598586-6.47%0.5361-16.23%0.2094✗1.39650k2022-02-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.2936.606-6.83%26.33-32.99%0.1210✓0.9143.4M2022-02-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.173.8664-7.28%2.18-47.72%0.3433✓1.003.4M2022-02-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.536.0382-7.53%3.11-52.37%0.3529✓1.3529.3M2022-02-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.7212.4718-9.10%7.54-45.04%0.5037✓-0.003.7M2022-02-02
GITCOINGITCOIN13.61212.2243-10.19%7.564-44.43%0.4929✓-0.0698k2022-02-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84130.739843-12.06%0.4666-44.54%0.0671✓1.7131.9M2022-02-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.