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2021-12-30 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3283
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+29.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.6%
in alpha space · 89.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,122.0848,134.30+2.15%38,191.10-18.95%0.0213✓1.00750.8M2022-01-29
TRXTRONTron0.0778530.079402+1.99%0.060341-22.49%0.0753✗0.95607k2022-01-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0221420.022573+1.95%0.014518-34.43%0.1862✗1.212.4M2022-01-29
XYMSymbolnative0.1880.191618+1.92%0.1739-7.50%0.0160✓0.54393k2022-01-29
NANOnanopayBase3.48683.5466+1.72%2.3362-33.00%0.1945✗1.06819k2022-01-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,186.0047,874.15+1.46%38,181.60-19.08%0.0210✗0.989,2042022-01-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.462.4915+1.28%1.72-30.08%0.1498✗1.054.2M2022-01-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.878.9493+0.89%5.93-33.15%0.2834✗0.611.0M2022-01-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9420.0815+0.71%16.24-18.56%0.0693✓1.3469.7M2022-01-29
QTUMQtumQtum8.83848.8969+0.66%5.9616-32.55%0.0985✗1.44280k2022-01-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0632.0757+0.61%1.493-27.63%0.0905✗1.143.2M2022-01-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.9634.9208-0.11%20.29-41.96%0.3256✓1.0323.3M2022-01-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1711830.170455-0.43%0.143169-16.36%0.0598✗1.115.5M2022-01-29
XEMNEMnative0.12550.124922-0.46%0.1047-16.57%0.0559✗1.11158k2022-01-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.5327.3915-0.50%18.75-31.89%0.1094✓1.2875.5M2022-01-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08280.082373-0.52%0.0653-21.14%0.0039✓1.0918k2022-01-29
COMPCompoundEthereum199.64198.6066-0.52%123.06-38.36%0.2357✓1.16220k2022-01-29
XVSVenusEthereum15.3715.2854-0.55%8.22-46.52%0.3802✓1.144.7M2022-01-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7824.6365-0.58%20.18-18.56%0.1018✗1.4324.1M2022-01-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.079110.078649-0.58%0.05052-36.14%0.1785✓1.2621.7M2022-01-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.728.6653-0.63%6.08-30.28%0.1947✓0.761.1M2022-01-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0795.038-0.81%4.042-20.42%0.0951✓0.60798k2022-01-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV122.49121.4641-0.84%92.7-24.32%0.0677✓0.963.7M2022-01-29
FTTFTXEthereum38.8938.5419-0.90%41.73+7.30%0.3006✗1.0520.7M2022-01-29
DASHDashDash133.04131.8218-0.92%96.55-27.43%0.0420✓1.282.0M2022-01-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.70814.6623-0.97%3.1573-32.94%0.1166✓1.305.0M2022-01-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5734.2184-1.02%25.34-26.70%0.0802✓1.054.7M2022-01-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.0631.7252-1.04%26.24-18.15%0.0492✓0.67518k2022-01-29
ETHEthereumEthereum3,710.023,669.49-1.09%2,603.74-29.82%0.1229✓1.05752.6M2022-01-29
DODODODOEthereum0.8630.852447-1.22%0.508-41.14%0.2057✓1.488.7M2022-01-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.137.0359-1.32%5.16-27.63%0.1759✓0.641.1M2022-01-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17713.1351-1.32%2.9824-6.13%0.2054✗1.223.3M2022-01-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05490.054163-1.34%0.04089-25.52%0.0486✓1.1115k2022-01-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.088510.087312-1.35%0.06396-27.74%0.0058✓1.454.0M2022-01-29
UNIUniswapEthereum17.8117.5487-1.47%11.16-37.34%0.1806✓1.2915.5M2022-01-29
SOLSolanaSolana172.52169.9418-1.49%96.25-44.21%0.3470✓1.05248.9M2022-01-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.4515.2106-1.55%13.15-14.89%0.0018✓0.681.4M2022-01-29
XLMStellarStellar0.2680.263832-1.56%0.203491-24.07%0.0445✓1.0229.6M2022-01-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.093.041-1.59%1.92-37.86%0.1862✓1.303.2M2022-01-29
XTZTezosTezos4.34074.2705-1.62%3.0915-28.78%0.0443✓1.334.9M2022-01-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20070.197447-1.62%0.1205-39.96%0.3047✓0.90655k2022-01-29
ADACardanoCardano1.35851.3364-1.62%1.0603-21.95%0.0046✓1.08114.6M2022-01-29
XMRMoneroMonero225.01221.2952-1.65%153.67-31.71%0.1589✓0.982.9M2022-01-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111260.109288-1.77%0.08979-19.30%0.0398✗1.1229k2022-01-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0483.9746-1.81%3.009-25.67%0.1415✓0.65514k2022-01-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.555.4394-1.99%5.4-2.70%0.2345✗1.154.3M2022-01-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4030.394822-2.03%0.251-37.72%0.2947✓0.7545k2022-01-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06545.9365-2.12%4.851-20.02%0.0511✗1.20653k2022-01-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6241.5891-2.15%1.364-16.01%0.1316✗1.357.9M2022-01-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.273.1996-2.15%2.42-25.99%0.0691✓1.001.1M2022-01-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.048920.047802-2.29%0.03035-37.96%0.2623✓0.919.1M2022-01-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash431.58421.6848-2.29%299.03-30.71%0.1307✓1.019.8M2022-01-29
QNTQuantEthereum178.71174.6025-2.30%97.51-45.44%0.3777✓0.979.8M2022-01-29
XECeCashnative0.000109590.000106969-2.39%0.00007692-29.81%0.1200✓1.009.0M2022-01-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0123.4352-2.39%14.12-41.19%0.2844✓1.061.5M2022-01-29
KSMKusamaHydration280.04273.2911-2.41%171.16-38.88%0.2336✓1.121.5M2022-01-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32221.2894-2.48%1.7284+30.72%0.5200✗1.081.0M2022-01-29
BANDBandEthereum5.134.9977-2.58%3.51-31.58%0.0991✓1.212.4M2022-01-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.94143.9965-2.67%110.84-25.08%0.0238✓1.3649.4M2022-01-29
CBKCobakEthereum2.912.831-2.71%2.245-22.85%0.0473✓0.8865k2022-01-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3028.0763-2.72%6.128-26.19%0.0100✓1.27392k2022-01-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5331.4913-2.72%0.924-39.73%0.2086✓1.293.8M2022-01-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.9933.0523-2.76%20.73-39.01%0.1443✓1.531.3M2022-01-29
LRCLoopringEthereum1.99751.9353-3.12%0.9684-51.52%0.2862✓1.931.5M2022-01-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13170.127362-3.29%0.0817-37.97%0.2191✓1.07344k2022-01-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.0391.8707-3.32%49.58-47.83%0.4121✓0.977.4M2022-01-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64660.624515-3.42%0.4104-36.53%0.1461✓1.3011.8M2022-01-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.80783.6774-3.43%3.4878-8.40%0.0785✓-0.12409k2022-01-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016530.015963-3.43%0.0104-37.08%0.1559✓1.302.4M2022-01-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.370.357062-3.50%0.2425-34.46%0.1175✓1.284.3M2022-01-29
GTGateEthereum6.81526.5702-3.59%6.7736-0.61%0.2052✗0.834.0M2022-01-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.119.746-3.60%9.17-9.30%0.0972✗0.751.4M2022-01-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.2080.200389-3.66%0.121-41.83%0.2454✓1.235.7M2022-01-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0337990.032556-3.68%0.022029-34.82%0.1707✓1.058.9M2022-01-29
MOVRMoonriverBase185.6988178.8143-3.71%79.3124-57.29%0.5690✓1.16648k2022-01-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0617870.059446-3.79%0.039999-35.26%0.0974✓1.427.9M2022-01-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum30,177.9029,017.09-3.85%24,297.65-19.49%0.0535✓0.5910.4M2022-01-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2671.218-3.87%0.731-42.30%0.3105✓0.952.8M2022-01-29
UMAUMAEthereum9.328.9446-4.03%6.08-34.76%0.1502✓1.124.1M2022-01-29
ZECZcashZcash153.9147.6559-4.06%96.39-37.37%0.1411✓1.3611.8M2022-01-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7954090.763135-4.06%0.565434-28.91%0.0654✓1.122.8M2022-01-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09810.094062-4.12%0.0636-35.17%0.1013✓1.381.9M2022-01-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.574.3806-4.14%3.0631-32.97%0.2024✓0.7425k2022-01-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.3298.9334-4.24%6.001-35.67%0.2738✓0.59368k2022-01-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.28960.277269-4.26%0.1844-36.33%0.1329✓1.315.6M2022-01-29
AAVEAaveEthereum262.93251.4957-4.35%154.04-41.41%0.2531✓1.1311.4M2022-01-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100850.096339-4.47%0.0727-27.91%0.1455✓0.6574k2022-01-29
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.4288-4.49%2.31-35.65%0.1702✓1.07787k2022-01-29
LSKLiskEthereum2.44172.3302-4.57%1.6081-34.14%0.1305✓1.14147k2022-01-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033760.000032191-4.65%0.00002166-35.84%0.1292✓1.272.1M2022-01-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.0772-4.67%0.66-41.59%0.2798✓1.002.3M2022-01-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0411.475-4.69%6.65-44.77%0.5830✓-0.183.7M2022-01-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019450.01853-4.73%0.01347-30.75%0.1875✓0.6343k2022-01-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6974.4739-4.75%3.258-30.64%0.1700✓0.701.0M2022-01-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.1928.7396-4.80%29.1-3.61%0.2029✗0.9141.9M2022-01-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41890.398538-4.86%0.5693+35.90%0.6532✗1.41793k2022-01-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72830.692801-4.87%0.5251-27.90%0.0098✓1.276.2M2022-01-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.691.6072-4.90%0.85-49.70%0.2751✓1.721.2M2022-01-29
ZENHorizenBase61.5858.5108-4.98%41.64-32.38%0.0227✓1.511.0M2022-01-29
LUNATerraTerra 284.8480.5696-5.03%50.93-39.97%0.2485✓1.005.3M2022-01-29
SCSiacoinnative0.015310.014515-5.19%0.01015-33.70%0.1555✓0.96910k2022-01-29
XVGVergenative0.017110.016219-5.21%0.01002-41.44%0.2302✓1.202.5M2022-01-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.91990.87135-5.28%0.9037-1.76%0.2466✗1.00146k2022-01-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07870.074541-5.28%0.0362-54.00%0.4307✓1.391.7M2022-01-29
KCSKuCoinnative21.04819.9301-5.31%17.542-16.66%0.2197✗1.6517.5M2022-01-29
RADRadworksEthereum10.8310.2544-5.31%5.34-50.69%0.4725✓0.861.3M2022-01-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.114.8376-5.33%2.99-41.49%0.2018✓1.3328.7M2022-01-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.598972-5.52%0.333-47.48%0.3205✓1.272.8M2022-01-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6432.495-5.60%1.758-33.48%0.1354✓1.022.2M2022-01-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.37130.350319-5.65%0.31-16.51%0.1872✗1.474.4M2022-01-29
STORJStorjEthereum1.7551.6539-5.76%1.154-34.24%0.1936✓0.79946k2022-01-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche101.7395.8141-5.82%71.95-29.27%0.0497✓1.13127.7M2022-01-29
IMXImmutableEthereum5.144.8384-5.87%2.83-44.94%0.3262✓1.002.8M2022-01-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42661.3427-5.88%0.8302-41.81%0.2846✓0.9323.6M2022-01-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.18560.17442-6.02%0.11-40.73%0.2186✓1.152.9M2022-01-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.0636.6359-6.21%20.07-48.62%0.2180✓1.836.8M2022-01-29
HIVEHivenative1.51791.421-6.38%0.952-37.28%0.1071✓1.406.4M2022-01-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2031.1246-6.52%0.5968-50.39%0.3377✓1.412.3M2022-01-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.334.0468-6.54%2.34-45.96%0.3376✓1.003.6M2022-01-29
API3Api3Ethereum4.424.1296-6.57%3.69-16.52%0.0976✗1.001.2M2022-01-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.69560.649053-6.69%0.4637-33.34%0.0571✓1.333.2M2022-01-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.3237.6199-6.70%27.09-32.81%0.0235✓1.673.0M2022-01-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.19471.1128-6.86%0.84787-29.03%0.1039✗1.791.4M2022-01-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.72991.6095-6.96%0.9693-43.97%0.2726✓1.1231.7M2022-01-29
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28793.0553-7.07%2.372-27.86%0.0544✓0.957.1M2022-01-29
UOSUltraEthereum1.48451.3789-7.12%1.0479-29.41%0.0687✓0.984.8M2022-01-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5793.3216-7.19%2.667-25.48%0.0094✓1.002.7M2022-01-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20.185495-7.25%0.18677-6.62%0.3412✗1.599,2352022-01-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.33490.309437-7.60%0.2671-20.24%0.0512✓0.94293k2022-01-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.9811.0165-8.04%6.1-49.08%0.4713✓0.571.4M2022-01-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.9311.8282-8.52%7.35-43.16%0.4858✓-0.054.6M2022-01-29
SUSHISushiEthereum10.259.3489-8.79%4.19-59.12%0.5238✓1.3316.5M2022-01-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.69111.5372-9.10%0.4988-70.50%0.9541✓0.824.7M2022-01-29
GITCOINGITCOIN12.77511.5739-9.40%7.324-42.67%0.4799✓-0.11119k2022-01-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021660.019456-10.18%0.00723-66.62%0.7798✓1.0034.3M2022-01-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.724.1483-12.11%2.36-50.00%0.3539✓1.0015.2M2022-01-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94030.825063-12.26%0.6022-35.96%0.0412✓1.6929.3M2022-01-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.