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2021-12-27 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3289
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+27.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.2%
in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0811670.081167+0.00%0.056164-30.80%0.0668✗0.94648k2022-01-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1878140.185693-1.13%0.143059-23.83%0.0887✗1.095.5M2022-01-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,717.7749,937.84-1.54%36,840.63-27.36%0.0155✗1.00744.5M2022-01-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.29215.1929-1.87%3.0743-41.91%0.0911✓1.365.2M2022-01-26
XVSVenusEthereum16.8416.4512-2.31%7.92-52.97%0.3714✓1.134.8M2022-01-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,195.6049,962.22-2.41%36,316.90-29.06%0.0069✓0.988,5662022-01-26
GTGateEthereum6.83956.6664-2.53%6.3615-6.99%0.1909✗0.744.3M2022-01-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7444.6215-2.58%3.038-35.96%0.1592✓0.81719k2022-01-26
XMRMoneroMonero220.72214.9021-2.64%148.42-32.76%0.0787✓0.912.8M2022-01-26
AAVEAaveEthereum277.6270.0502-2.72%146.64-47.18%0.2819✓1.0311.4M2022-01-26
ETHEthereumEthereum4,038.643,905.31-3.30%2,465.00-38.96%0.1352✓1.02760.7M2022-01-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.61033.4886-3.37%2.6906-25.47%0.1410✗1.253.1M2022-01-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3614.2137-3.38%2.887-33.80%0.1497✓0.71487k2022-01-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79430.766182-3.54%0.5015-36.86%0.0327✓1.226.8M2022-01-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum26.7125.7497-3.60%13-51.33%0.4578✓0.711.6M2022-01-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47090.453731-3.65%0.5301+12.57%0.6115✗1.431.0M2022-01-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.0222.1796-3.65%15.24-33.80%0.0167✓1.2369.7M2022-01-26
UNIUniswapEthereum19.1118.4042-3.69%10.58-44.64%0.1422✓1.2914.6M2022-01-26
XLMStellarStellar0.3002880.288886-3.80%0.196933-34.42%0.0655✓0.9933.6M2022-01-26
XECeCashnative0.000118590.00011386-3.99%0.00007183-39.43%0.1480✓0.9810.2M2022-01-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash465.3445.4172-4.27%289.23-37.84%0.1114✓1.0012.3M2022-01-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.210.200925-4.32%0.0991-52.81%0.3426✓1.143.8M2022-01-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124840.119399-4.36%0.08331-33.27%0.0158✓1.0829k2022-01-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3372.2329-4.46%1.401-40.05%0.1172✓1.093.3M2022-01-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.459.027-4.48%5.62-40.53%0.2651✓0.651.0M2022-01-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084430.080602-4.53%0.0472-44.10%0.1577✓1.1821.1M2022-01-26
DODODODOEthereum1.0170.970675-4.56%0.501-50.74%0.2049✓1.439.2M2022-01-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.393.2351-4.57%1.73-48.97%0.2207✓1.273.0M2022-01-26
SOLSolanaSolana195.74186.7776-4.58%92.18-52.91%0.4132✓0.92255.1M2022-01-26
QTUMQtumQtum9.99889.5289-4.70%5.5942-44.05%0.0967✓1.36299k2022-01-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.78148.4261-4.72%107-31.31%0.1083✗1.3654.4M2022-01-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0638330.0608-4.75%0.041779-34.55%0.0749✗1.418.2M2022-01-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4660.443736-4.78%0.247-47.00%0.3616✓0.7045k2022-01-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.017.6268-4.78%4.91-38.70%0.2399✓0.631.0M2022-01-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.446.1294-4.82%4.63-28.11%0.0723✗1.105.1M2022-01-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1610.6191-4.85%8.86-20.61%0.0662✗0.771.4M2022-01-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.6135.7634-4.91%24.34-35.28%0.0657✓1.005.1M2022-01-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.82.6614-4.95%1.63-41.79%0.1797✓0.974.4M2022-01-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum28.2426.8414-4.95%19.86-29.67%0.1367✗1.3722.9M2022-01-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.46083.2864-5.04%3.594+3.85%0.0602✗-0.09395k2022-01-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241650.022946-5.05%0.014587-39.64%0.0630✓1.222.3M2022-01-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.55.2186-5.12%3.788-31.13%0.1193✓0.63798k2022-01-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.338.8475-5.17%5.68-39.12%0.2076✓0.741.1M2022-01-26
BANDBandEthereum5.875.5565-5.34%3.44-41.40%0.1124✓1.152.6M2022-01-26
QNTQuantEthereum206.05195.0016-5.36%97.63-52.62%0.3988✓0.9211.9M2022-01-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6861.5953-5.38%0.856-49.23%0.2087✓1.294.1M2022-01-26
DASHDashDash151.04142.9092-5.38%93.16-38.32%0.0363✓1.232.0M2022-01-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.40140.379659-5.42%0.2561-36.20%0.0662✗1.444.7M2022-01-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11610.109779-5.44%0.0645-44.44%0.0918✓1.382.5M2022-01-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.41120.4638-5.45%90.62-28.88%0.0239✓0.973.7M2022-01-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.011.9004-5.45%0.8-60.20%0.3289✓1.681.5M2022-01-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,759.2030,010.12-5.51%24,190.20-23.83%0.0437✓0.548.7M2022-01-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000039050.000036874-5.57%0.00002111-45.94%0.2381✓1.002.4M2022-01-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin39.237.0057-5.60%19.28-50.82%0.3299✓1.0122.1M2022-01-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08970.084631-5.65%0.0618-31.10%0.0207✓1.0518k2022-01-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.9729.2085-5.69%18.05-41.72%0.0891✓1.2377.1M2022-01-26
SUSHISushiEthereum9.158.6285-5.70%4.26-53.44%0.2690✓1.3715.8M2022-01-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73750.695368-5.71%0.4047-45.13%0.1685✓1.1712.5M2022-01-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8761370.826028-5.72%0.530813-39.41%0.1135✓1.033.0M2022-01-26
XTZTezosTezos5.10164.8098-5.72%2.9426-42.32%0.0826✓1.285.3M2022-01-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21940.206768-5.76%0.115-47.58%0.3161✓0.85701k2022-01-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.017668-5.82%0.01035-44.83%0.1449✓1.222.8M2022-01-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.30561.2294-5.83%0.5576-57.29%0.3119✓1.502.3M2022-01-26
COMPCompoundEthereum237.34223.4861-5.84%125.05-47.31%0.2397✓1.07239k2022-01-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.63.3893-5.85%2.32-35.56%0.0718✓0.961.2M2022-01-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.5932.5547-5.88%20.41-40.99%0.2642✓0.63572k2022-01-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.5937.2546-5.90%18.91-52.24%0.2201✓1.431.3M2022-01-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum13.0312.252-5.97%6.13-52.95%0.7765✓-0.264.5M2022-01-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.098160.09229-5.98%0.0491-49.98%0.1633✓1.464.8M2022-01-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.6827.8948-6.01%32.35+9.00%0.4226✗0.8640.2M2022-01-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058160.054635-6.06%0.03832-34.11%0.0185✓1.0516k2022-01-26
LSKLiskEthereum2.54712.3925-6.07%1.6506-35.20%0.0230✓1.09147k2022-01-26
KCSKuCoinnative22.97621.5736-6.10%16.167-29.64%0.2398✗1.6518.6M2022-01-26
NANOnanopayBase3.96523.7125-6.37%2.3802-39.97%0.1116✓1.04798k2022-01-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8841.7629-6.43%1.333-29.25%0.1349✗1.307.9M2022-01-26
API3Api3Ethereum5.134.8002-6.43%3.78-26.32%0.0807✗1.001.2M2022-01-26
ADACardanoCardano1.51641.4185-6.45%1.0784-28.88%0.0557✓1.03120.2M2022-01-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.228490.213708-6.47%0.16532-27.65%0.2509✗1.5918k2022-01-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4151.3234-6.48%1.7265+22.01%0.6020✗1.051.2M2022-01-26
ZECZcashZcash169.76158.6854-6.52%89.84-47.08%0.1759✓1.2311.8M2022-01-26
FTTFTXEthereum42.639.7969-6.58%36.48-14.37%0.2333✗1.0020.7M2022-01-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8115.697-6.62%12.63-24.87%0.0009✓0.681.4M2022-01-26
STORJStorjEthereum2.05411.9155-6.75%1.068-48.01%0.3565✓0.711.2M2022-01-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0373250.0348-6.76%0.020906-43.99%0.1827✓1.0210.0M2022-01-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.0349.3542-6.78%5.876-41.44%0.0535✓1.29411k2022-01-26
XVGVergenative0.019080.017786-6.78%0.00978-48.74%0.2187✓1.192.8M2022-01-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3251.2338-6.88%0.746-43.70%0.2013✓0.943.1M2022-01-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14530.135178-6.97%0.0799-45.01%0.1871✓1.06376k2022-01-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.321.228-6.97%0.67-49.24%0.2862✓1.002.4M2022-01-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.02620.024373-6.97%0.0078-70.23%0.8197✓1.0035.6M2022-01-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.33720.313475-7.04%0.1727-48.78%0.1934✓1.265.8M2022-01-26
SCSiacoinnative0.017130.015919-7.07%0.00956-44.19%0.2146✓0.921.2M2022-01-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.95744.6061-7.09%2.8665-42.18%0.2597✓0.6727k2022-01-26
LUNATerraTerra 291.0184.5442-7.10%58.8-35.39%0.0435✓1.006.1M2022-01-26
IMXImmutableEthereum5.55.1041-7.20%3-45.45%0.2118✓1.002.5M2022-01-26
MOVRMoonriverBase211.5789195.9918-7.37%78.4855-62.90%0.6025✓0.98674k2022-01-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23960.22194-7.37%0.1184-50.58%0.2499✓1.186.1M2022-01-26
CBKCobakEthereum3.2673.026-7.38%2.086-36.15%0.1058✓0.8395k2022-01-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3123.9904-7.46%2.541-41.07%0.1317✓1.003.3M2022-01-26
KSMKusamaHydration322.27297.9299-7.55%165.32-48.70%0.2466✓1.071.5M2022-01-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.07831.9208-7.58%0.4593-77.90%1.1981✓0.736.3M2022-01-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5840.2709-7.59%24.1-44.70%0.0293✓1.703.1M2022-01-26
XYMSymbolnative0.23910.220906-7.61%0.1625-32.04%0.1521✓0.48392k2022-01-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07410.068426-7.66%0.034-54.12%0.2833✓1.302.1M2022-01-26
XEMNEMnative0.13910.128336-7.74%0.0977-29.76%0.0637✓1.05175k2022-01-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.41830.385876-7.75%0.235-43.82%0.0870✓1.284.9M2022-01-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37931.2712-7.83%0.8025-41.82%0.1364✓1.0123.6M2022-01-26
UMAUMAEthereum10.759.9037-7.87%5.87-45.40%0.1749✓1.094.1M2022-01-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.37560.345966-7.89%0.2242-40.31%0.1433✓0.91328k2022-01-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.81110.746791-7.93%0.4503-44.48%0.0979✓1.283.6M2022-01-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.8746.3273-7.95%4.2234-38.56%0.0466✓1.12764k2022-01-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.114860.105691-7.98%0.06885-40.06%0.2432✓0.58113k2022-01-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021540.019793-8.11%0.01218-43.45%0.3221✓0.5146k2022-01-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.0498.3032-8.16%49.62-53.64%0.3760✓0.967.6M2022-01-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7230.663906-8.17%0.322-55.46%0.3356✓1.212.9M2022-01-26
ZENHorizenBase70.7264.9051-8.22%36.62-48.22%0.1230✓1.411.2M2022-01-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.66311.5238-8.38%0.9233-44.48%0.1722✓1.0331.7M2022-01-26
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11.0075-8.41%0.8612-21.71%0.1628✗1.00165k2022-01-26
RADRadworksEthereum11.0910.1206-8.74%5.05-54.46%0.3934✓0.941.3M2022-01-26
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.5168-8.89%2.31-40.16%0.1025✓0.99787k2022-01-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.053410.048652-8.91%0.02988-44.06%0.2019✓0.8910.6M2022-01-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.38231.2591-8.91%0.80993-41.41%0.1060✗1.711.5M2022-01-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7998.9231-8.94%6.051-38.25%0.1769✓0.66455k2022-01-26
HIVEHivenative1.8521.6823-9.16%0.8673-53.17%0.2459✓1.307.3M2022-01-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum44.4440.264-9.40%17.02-61.70%0.2746✓1.838.0M2022-01-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.96103.1934-9.45%65.89-42.18%0.1093✓1.06127.7M2022-01-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.284.7769-9.53%2.87-45.64%0.1030✓1.2726.8M2022-01-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.7411.4817-9.88%5.64-55.73%0.5448✓0.521.5M2022-01-26
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74293.3711-9.93%2.1607-42.27%0.1634✓0.888.0M2022-01-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.1612.7485-9.97%7.03-50.35%0.5914✓0.014.8M2022-01-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.72641.546-10.45%1.0283-40.44%0.0903✓0.995.4M2022-01-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.184.6092-11.02%1.91-63.13%0.5613✓1.0012.4M2022-01-26
LRCLoopringEthereum2.25782.0049-11.20%1.0722-52.51%0.0138✓1.911.6M2022-01-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.082.7293-11.39%1.552-49.61%0.2591✓0.962.2M2022-01-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.064.4834-11.39%2.3-54.55%0.3478✓1.004.9M2022-01-26
GITCOINGITCOIN14.10612.456-11.70%6.982-50.50%0.5939✓-0.05129k2022-01-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.88430.772903-12.60%0.6029-31.82%0.3037✗1.7323.5M2022-01-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.