8=======>

2021-12-24 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3403
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+24.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.3%
in alpha space · 80.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.6502-13.00%0.5018-73.54%0.9676✓0.668.1M2022-01-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.3048-12.34%2.24-40.58%0.0513✓1.0011.9M2022-01-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.669128-12.21%0.609-20.10%0.4993✗1.7614.6M2022-01-23
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61113.7433-11.96%7.243-53.60%0.6676✓-0.08133k2022-01-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.189298-11.88%0.16077-25.16%0.3840✗1.6224k2022-01-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.319954-11.39%0.2245-37.83%0.0478✓0.91388k2022-01-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.019507-10.97%0.00841-61.62%0.5038✓1.0039.8M2022-01-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.5687-10.41%0.90224-48.47%0.2165✓1.006.7M2022-01-23
HIVEHivenative1.5931.4283-10.34%0.839-47.33%0.0865✓1.3210.4M2022-01-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.401-10.33%2.649-30.16%0.0877✓1.003.5M2022-01-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.714.0969-10.21%7.33-53.31%0.6611✓-0.024.8M2022-01-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7241.2537-9.77%17.17-62.45%0.2530✓1.858.8M2022-01-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1540.0067-9.38%24.37-44.80%0.0832✓1.714.7M2022-01-23
MANADecentralandEthereum3.53.1764-9.25%2.1145-39.59%0.1098✓0.889.0M2022-01-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1111.0049-9.13%5.9-51.28%0.4432✓0.532.7M2022-01-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.694622-8.55%0.4546-40.15%0.0086✓1.285.1M2022-01-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.7869-8.22%1.0945-43.78%0.2532✓0.701.3M2022-01-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93105.7815-7.96%64.85-43.57%0.1072✓1.13142.8M2022-01-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.187902-7.35%0.1069-47.29%0.1780✓1.144.3M2022-01-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.1049-7.07%0.8434-29.07%0.0675✓1.00190k2022-01-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.2251-6.75%0.76101-42.08%0.1193✗1.761.6M2022-01-23
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.015469-6.31%0.00983-40.46%0.1375✓0.941.4M2022-01-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.035855-6.25%0.022662-40.75%0.1141✓1.0212.1M2022-01-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.631114-6.22%0.331-50.82%0.2261✓1.243.0M2022-01-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.1778-6.03%2.57-53.36%0.3629✓1.006.5M2022-01-23
ZENHorizenBase70.5366.3218-5.97%35.77-49.28%0.1071✓1.511.4M2022-01-23
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21292.0831-5.86%0.8591-61.18%0.2285✓1.952.1M2022-01-23
KCSKuCoinnative22.8121.4786-5.84%15.88-30.38%0.2663✗1.6821.0M2022-01-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.436582-5.69%0.5547+19.83%0.7215✗1.431.2M2022-01-23
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.5579-5.63%4.37-9.52%0.2955✗1.001.5M2022-01-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.073726-5.60%0.0335-57.11%0.3462✓1.312.5M2022-01-23
XVGVergenative0.017980.016985-5.54%0.00969-46.11%0.1606✓1.192.8M2022-01-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.6397-5.49%1.611-42.32%0.1633✓0.982.2M2022-01-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.0582-5.37%0.596-46.70%0.0726✓1.492.5M2022-01-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.754539-5.28%0.5301-33.45%0.0697✗1.257.7M2022-01-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.384899-5.24%0.2697-33.60%0.1584✗1.524.4M2022-01-23
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.2941-5.12%5.21-51.98%0.3589✓0.951.6M2022-01-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.194.9247-5.11%3.02-41.81%0.0442✓1.3228.7M2022-01-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.103068-5.09%0.0576-46.96%0.1208✓1.373.0M2022-01-23
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.3972-5.03%2.49-46.22%0.2311✓1.002.5M2022-01-23
UMAUMAEthereum9.569.08-5.02%6.38-33.26%0.0113✓1.084.1M2022-01-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.5326-4.89%6.129-38.85%0.2295✓0.63455k2022-01-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.000034388-4.85%0.0000225-37.74%0.0866✓1.002.2M2022-01-23
ZECZcashZcash165.18157.3841-4.72%97.58-40.93%0.0326✓1.3213.6M2022-01-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.1741-4.54%0.66-46.34%0.2385✓1.002.4M2022-01-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.105238-4.47%0.06514-40.87%0.2865✓0.57143k2022-01-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.5089-4.26%0.9895-37.21%0.0599✓1.0734.9M2022-01-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.132165-4.16%0.0783-43.22%0.1663✓1.06445k2022-01-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.81535-4.15%0.54463-35.97%0.0384✓1.083.7M2022-01-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6331,235.83-4.12%25,099.20-22.96%0.0432✓0.527.0M2022-01-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.059657-4.11%0.039977-35.75%0.0945✗1.479.5M2022-01-23
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748180.5167-4.07%84.9691-54.85%0.3699✓1.14720k2022-01-23
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.4713-4.06%1.6289-36.76%0.0173✓1.18152k2022-01-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.2332-4.02%0.8156-36.52%0.0620✓1.0422.8M2022-01-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.018947-3.92%0.01258-36.21%0.2100✓0.5960k2022-01-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.36762-3.92%0.2414-36.91%0.0097✓1.276.2M2022-01-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0810.6565-3.82%8.96-19.13%0.0878✗0.771.5M2022-01-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3411.869-3.82%6.52-47.16%0.6944✓-0.284.9M2022-01-23
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.4151-3.53%2.44-31.07%0.0073✓1.02807k2022-01-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018105-3.49%0.01032-44.99%0.1404✓1.253.2M2022-01-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.291071-3.49%0.1855-38.49%0.0182✓1.286.2M2022-01-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.673271-3.40%0.4151-40.44%0.0512✓1.2814.0M2022-01-23
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33261.7125-3.19%158.72-41.29%0.1390✓1.0711.4M2022-01-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62101.2909-3.18%54.81-47.61%0.2891✓0.968.8M2022-01-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2481-3.02%0.731-43.20%0.2087✓0.974.1M2022-01-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9416-2.87%1.154-42.27%0.0768✓1.317.9M2022-01-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.654-2.70%0.85-50.00%0.0889✓1.711.5M2022-01-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.4847-2.70%3.5571-0.68%0.0087✓-0.09384k2022-01-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35157.0875-2.64%112.35-30.37%0.1337✗1.3958.6M2022-01-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.5113-2.54%4.4346-33.62%0.0182✓1.19876k2022-01-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.211709-2.48%0.1139-47.54%0.2058✓1.236.5M2022-01-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2195.0896-2.48%2.9942-42.63%0.2774✓0.7529k2022-01-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.048338-2.23%0.02905-41.24%0.2005✓0.9112.1M2022-01-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3424.7983-2.14%14.05-44.55%0.2056✓1.072.7M2022-01-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9234.1993-2.06%19.45-44.30%0.0508✓1.521.3M2022-01-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.056787-2.06%0.0379-34.63%0.0274✓1.1217k2022-01-23
KSMKusamaHydration288.88283.3738-1.91%191.51-33.71%0.0234✓1.091.5M2022-01-23
GTGateEthereum6.31286.1933-1.89%6.1111-3.20%0.2566✗0.804.6M2022-01-23
BANDBandEthereum5.635.5234-1.89%3.59-36.23%0.0279✓1.193.0M2022-01-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.5639-1.83%0.881-44.70%0.1332✓1.315.2M2022-01-23
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.0817-1.82%2.095-33.26%0.0995✓0.85100k2022-01-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8726.3865-1.80%34.65+28.95%0.5633✗0.8640.2M2022-01-23
QNTQuantEthereum199.57196.059-1.76%109.75-45.01%0.2633✓0.9412.0M2022-01-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.3501-1.74%2.7981-17.93%0.2429✗1.253.4M2022-01-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.4694-1.72%2.41-31.73%0.0311✓0.991.3M2022-01-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3632-1.62%1.4593+5.32%0.4310✗1.081.4M2022-01-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.4825-1.54%12.97-22.52%0.0064✓0.691.4M2022-01-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.120197-1.40%0.08478-30.45%0.0222✗1.1030k2022-01-23
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000115673-1.39%0.00007477-36.26%0.1022✓0.9911.7M2022-01-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.0996-1.38%3.138-24.51%0.0138✓0.83714k2022-01-23
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.8361-1.31%4.66-41.31%0.0549✓1.3814.9M2022-01-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27447.1197-1.14%302.74-33.06%0.0432✓1.0313.7M2022-01-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.6722-1.13%5.02-35.31%0.2099✓0.631.0M2022-01-23
FTTFTXEthereum42.6842.2006-1.12%35.99-15.67%0.1983✗1.0621.8M2022-01-23
SOLSolanaSolana190.65188.5423-1.11%99.82-47.64%0.2917✓1.02257.1M2022-01-23
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.275673-1.06%0.201066-27.84%0.0242✗1.0136.2M2022-01-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.213951-1.04%0.1477-31.68%0.0774✓0.87776k2022-01-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.081981-1.04%0.05184-37.42%0.0509✓1.2121.7M2022-01-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.091754-0.88%0.05508-40.50%0.0119✓1.484.8M2022-01-23
DASHDashDash149.49148.2291-0.84%99.58-33.39%0.0301✗1.272.2M2022-01-23
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2228.3215-0.82%128.28-44.27%0.2059✓1.10239k2022-01-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.9734-0.81%3.1436-37.30%0.0003✓1.365.2M2022-01-23
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.4548-0.79%3.0753-31.51%0.0651✗1.295.4M2022-01-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4237.1356-0.76%25.17-32.74%0.0346✓1.056.1M2022-01-23
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.654,021.81-0.69%2,541.19-37.25%0.1058✓1.05768.5M2022-01-23
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.3839-0.69%1.1249-19.28%0.1533✗1.07124.4M2022-01-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.7894-0.65%22.3-34.43%0.1892✓0.67649k2022-01-23
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.904002-0.55%0.507-44.22%0.0831✓1.479.3M2022-01-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.08839-0.46%0.0613-30.97%0.0027✓1.0921k2022-01-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.067-0.42%1.82-40.91%0.0870✓1.293.2M2022-01-23
XEMNEMnative0.13590.135332-0.42%0.0976-28.18%0.0433✗1.10202k2022-01-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.5615-0.25%21.28-22.98%0.2145✗1.4024.1M2022-01-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.6613-0.23%6.033-30.50%0.0885✗1.33511k2022-01-23
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.244555+0.02%0.1617-33.87%0.2549✗0.47410k2022-01-23
XMRMoneroMonero204.44204.5134+0.04%156.73-23.34%0.0682✓0.992.7M2022-01-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.186619+0.16%0.141702-23.95%0.0997✓1.116.1M2022-01-23
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.8091+0.17%5.815-40.62%0.0353✗1.44349k2022-01-23
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.8935+0.40%8.17-48.39%0.2817✗1.145.0M2022-01-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.079.1066+0.40%5.85-35.50%0.1803✗0.78836k2022-01-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58130.1619+0.45%93.79-27.62%0.0060✓0.993.2M2022-01-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.7482+0.49%3.94-31.12%0.0020✓1.115.0M2022-01-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0044.0254+0.54%2.945-26.45%0.0713✗0.71473k2022-01-23
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.5941+0.54%11.43-34.69%0.0111✓1.3114.6M2022-01-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.3103+0.67%3.844-27.13%0.1039✗0.65846k2022-01-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1728.4701+1.07%18.82-33.19%0.0079✓1.2577.3M2022-01-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4736.9009+1.18%19.51-46.50%0.2942✗1.0223.1M2022-01-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6051,371.62+1.30%36,274.40-28.47%0.0158✗0.989,2792022-01-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.7596+1.35%16.67-22.36%0.1749✓1.3169.7M2022-01-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.2971+1.37%1.421-37.29%0.1062✗1.113.4M2022-01-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.373397+1.47%0.278-24.46%0.0401✗0.7645k2022-01-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.059.2279+1.97%5.92-34.59%0.2150✗0.681.0M2022-01-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3851,981.45+2.22%36,282.47-28.65%0.0220✓1.00750.8M2022-01-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.8116+2.24%1.7-38.18%0.1602✗1.024.7M2022-01-23
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.7314+2.45%2.227-38.85%0.1572✗1.06819k2022-01-23
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.082923+2.51%0.057499-28.92%0.0411✗0.96659k2022-01-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.023949+2.96%0.015019-35.43%0.0601✗1.202.2M2022-01-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.