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2021-12-23 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4322
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+38.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.4%
in alpha space · 97.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-31.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.082610.082088-0.63%0.05675-31.30%0.0173✓0.95708k2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.23095.1702-1.16%3.0068-42.52%0.0371✓1.365.2M2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1849340.182067-1.55%0.133158-28.00%0.0947✗1.105.5M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,842.2050,053.02-1.55%35,066.43-31.03%0.0156✓1.00750.8M2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,984.8050,013.27-1.91%34,807.70-31.73%0.0010✓0.9810k2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero210.04205.7848-2.03%152.34-27.47%0.0383✗0.912.8M2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum16.1615.8144-2.14%7.59-53.03%0.3167✓1.125.3M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3314.2192-2.58%3.059-29.37%0.0195✓0.81714k2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum247.2240.358-2.77%147.18-40.46%0.1117✓1.0211.4M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51413.4071-3.04%2.7227-22.52%0.2416✗1.254.0M2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum6.2596.0676-3.06%5.6708-9.40%0.2061✗0.744.6M2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1921.4673-3.26%15.86-28.53%0.1528✗1.2369.7M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum18.1817.57-3.36%11.16-38.61%0.0215✓1.2814.2M2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1574.0164-3.38%2.804-32.55%0.0945✓0.71487k2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum4,113.083,966.66-3.56%2,411.90-41.36%0.1179✓1.02768.5M2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2877760.277288-3.64%0.19237-33.15%0.0050✓1.0037.2M2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47680.45758-4.03%0.5658+18.67%0.7433✗1.431.3M2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000114420.000109788-4.05%0.00006839-40.23%0.1102✓0.9811.7M2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8524.7913-4.10%13.19-48.97%0.3686✓0.712.7M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.7436.9254-4.12%291.88-35.95%0.0302✓1.0014.2M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9710.5151-4.15%8.68-20.88%0.0951✗0.771.6M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.288.8866-4.24%5.63-39.33%0.2090✓0.671.1M2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3342.2324-4.35%1.366-41.47%0.0838✓1.103.4M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81730.780704-4.48%0.5076-37.89%0.0252✓1.237.7M2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.283.1324-4.50%1.77-46.04%0.0975✓1.273.2M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.9550.911474-4.56%0.496-48.06%0.0793✓1.4210.8M2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana190.07181.1869-4.67%94.78-50.13%0.3078✓0.92265.5M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.5635.7809-4.74%24.23-35.49%0.0177✓1.006.2M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos4.77314.5469-4.74%2.9521-38.15%0.0414✓1.275.4M2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum195.7186.3795-4.76%98.78-49.52%0.2953✓0.9112.0M2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.178.732-4.78%5.66-38.28%0.1590✓0.74836k2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.22120.210608-4.79%0.0799-63.88%0.5423✓1.154.3M2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.157.7551-4.85%4.8-41.10%0.2443✓0.631.1M2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241130.022935-4.89%0.014961-37.95%0.0266✓1.222.1M2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin163.74155.712-4.90%108.41-33.79%0.1456✗1.3759.6M2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.063190.060089-4.91%0.036765-41.82%0.0348✓1.429.8M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.45.1349-4.91%3.665-32.13%0.1024✓0.63936k2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.120790.114859-4.91%0.07873-34.82%0.0224✓1.0830k2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73360.696919-5.00%0.4163-43.25%0.0806✓1.1714.9M2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum7.36.9337-5.02%4.42-39.45%0.0516✗1.3514.6M2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.60673.4243-5.06%3.6015-0.14%0.0177✓-0.09384k2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6451.5615-5.07%0.87-47.11%0.1031✓1.305.2M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3720.353117-5.08%0.244-34.41%0.0947✓0.7446k2022-01-22
DASHDashDash146.65139.1551-5.11%97.07-33.81%0.0956✗1.232.2M2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.38610.366217-5.15%0.2645-31.49%0.2095✗1.444.4M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.832.6842-5.15%1.62-42.76%0.1439✓0.974.7M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.8528.3908-5.21%6.424-27.43%0.2101✗1.28560k2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.075.7524-5.23%3.78-37.73%0.0113✓1.105.3M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.1832.3841-5.25%21.51-37.07%0.1728✓0.64711k2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.0125.5854-5.27%20.54-23.95%0.2897✗1.3722.9M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5211.8489-5.36%6.06-51.60%0.7685✓-0.265.3M2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.089950.085112-5.38%0.05051-43.85%0.0780✓1.1922.6M2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.81122.6745-5.50%89.24-31.25%0.0411✓0.973.1M2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum10.04769.4919-5.53%5.5565-44.70%0.0260✓1.37349k2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.573.3721-5.54%2.33-34.73%0.0125✓0.961.3M2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.1727.5509-5.55%18.26-37.40%0.0417✓1.2277.3M2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.751.6521-5.59%0.9-48.57%0.0134✓1.671.6M2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2140.201955-5.63%0.1394-34.86%0.0564✓0.85776k2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum43.0840.6513-5.64%33.44-22.38%0.1780✗1.0021.8M2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038680.000036496-5.65%0.00002053-46.92%0.2038✓1.002.1M2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.3826.7715-5.67%29.27+3.14%0.4087✗0.8641.0M2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum230.55217.4031-5.70%120.3-47.82%0.1971✓1.06239k2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018580.017515-5.73%0.00998-46.29%0.1090✓1.223.5M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum5.735.4009-5.74%3.49-39.09%0.0097✓1.153.0M2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08980.084626-5.76%0.0594-33.85%0.0364✓1.0522k2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,557.5629,734.59-5.78%22,897.64-27.44%0.0631✓0.536.9M2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8861270.834622-5.81%0.518861-41.45%0.0925✓1.034.3M2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.51262.3641-5.91%1.65-34.33%0.0450✓1.09172k2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11160.104987-5.93%0.0543-51.34%0.1475✓1.383.1M2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.1134.9085-5.93%18.76-49.45%0.0832✓1.451.4M2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.3535.0972-6.03%19.01-49.10%0.2388✓1.0123.1M2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.47431.3838-6.14%1.0713-27.34%0.1296✗1.04130.4M2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10941.0408-6.18%0.5834-47.41%0.0275✓1.482.7M2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9831.8595-6.23%1.161-41.45%0.0116✓1.307.6M2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43811.3484-6.24%1.5039+4.58%0.5022✗1.061.4M2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3011.2185-6.34%0.711-45.35%0.1878✓0.944.4M2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.11264.7845-6.42%2.9642-42.02%0.2267✓0.6830k2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8515.7677-6.42%12.62-25.10%0.0300✓0.681.5M2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.184.8469-6.43%4.82-6.95%0.3659✗1.001.7M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration291.44272.5921-6.47%190.08-34.78%0.0330✓1.061.5M2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13940.130256-6.56%0.0732-47.49%0.1830✓1.06445k2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.217130.202692-6.65%0.15638-27.98%0.3329✗1.5929k2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative23.31621.7598-6.67%15.129-35.11%0.2530✗1.6621.7M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase3.75053.4992-6.70%2.0461-45.44%0.1493✓1.04819k2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash167.41156.1875-6.70%94.59-43.50%0.0421✓1.2413.6M2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059280.055302-6.71%0.03631-38.75%0.0280✓1.0617k2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.018430.017178-6.79%0.00935-49.27%0.1685✓1.182.8M2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78340.729899-6.83%0.4385-44.03%0.0346✓1.286.5M2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.096750.09011-6.86%0.04896-49.40%0.0607✓1.485.9M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase189.2792175.6635-7.19%83.9941-55.62%0.3763✓0.97728k2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8383.5605-7.23%2.567-33.12%0.0443✓1.003.6M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023680.021966-7.24%0.00793-66.51%0.6473✓1.0035.6M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0390080.036163-7.29%0.020108-48.45%0.2055✓1.0313.0M2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum3.1112.8832-7.32%1.979-36.39%0.0643✓0.84101k2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.017050.015795-7.36%0.0094-44.87%0.1742✓0.931.5M2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.90386.3876-7.48%4.2394-38.59%0.0075✓1.12876k2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3890.359555-7.57%0.2331-40.08%0.0400✓1.276.4M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.4341.0617-7.58%23.84-46.34%0.0907✗1.715.2M2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum4.774.403-7.69%2.46-48.43%0.2106✓1.002.5M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.36280.334618-7.77%0.2179-39.94%0.0915✓0.91401k2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.13930.128424-7.81%0.0944-32.23%0.0829✗1.05202k2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum2.08461.9191-7.94%1.0381-50.20%0.3479✓0.721.3M2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.31310.288204-7.95%0.1764-43.66%0.0222✓1.266.6M2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.29521.1916-8.00%0.78-39.78%0.0492✓1.0123.6M2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22970.211238-8.04%0.1135-50.59%0.1792✓1.196.8M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113740.104533-8.09%0.06237-45.16%0.2995✓0.58143k2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum9.839.0341-8.10%6.11-37.84%0.0113✓1.084.1M2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.1667-8.14%0.64-49.61%0.2290✓1.002.4M2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021160.019438-8.14%0.01275-39.74%0.2294✓0.5261k2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46971.35-8.14%0.9512-35.28%0.0296✓1.0234.9M2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.25180.231208-8.18%0.1498-40.51%0.2527✓0.49410k2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.371.2567-8.27%0.7106-48.13%0.1986✓1.00193k2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2699.4024-8.44%5.8-43.52%0.2352✓0.67455k2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative1.65031.5099-8.51%0.7987-51.60%0.1536✓1.3011.4M2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6890.629985-8.57%0.319-53.70%0.2273✓1.223.2M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.050480.046106-8.67%0.02985-40.87%0.1036✓0.8914.3M2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.498.0182-8.74%50.17-53.29%0.3089✓0.979.0M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.063956-8.77%0.0326-53.50%0.1921✓1.302.5M2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.3755-9.02%2.34-36.93%0.0013✓0.99807k2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase72.4565.8404-9.12%35.28-51.30%0.0997✓1.411.5M2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.194.7141-9.17%2.89-44.32%0.0105✓1.2928.7M2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum10.529.5337-9.38%5.06-51.90%0.2803✓0.951.7M2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.8910.77-9.42%6.96-41.46%0.4328✓0.014.6M2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum49.5444.8098-9.55%16.11-67.48%0.3335✓1.869.4M2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.34251.2096-9.90%0.71467-46.76%0.1126✗1.721.8M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.7510.5858-9.91%5.61-52.26%0.4390✓0.532.7M2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche121.37109.0637-10.14%59.8-50.73%0.2038✓1.07148.6M2022-01-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.23562.0042-10.35%0.4454-80.08%1.2326✓0.738.3M2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.925.2852-10.72%2.1-64.53%0.5515✓1.006.6M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.943.5105-10.90%2.08-47.21%0.1519✓1.0012.1M2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.69081.5044-11.02%0.80696-52.27%0.2524✓1.007.2M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN11.76410.4334-11.31%6.944-40.97%0.4256✓-0.05129k2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum3.67983.2562-11.51%2.0434-44.47%0.1352✓0.899.0M2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.66650.587346-11.88%0.5482-17.75%0.5716✗1.7212.6M2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.9722.607-12.28%1.506-49.33%0.1891✓0.972.3M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum2.3162.0015-13.58%0.7316-68.41%0.2910✓1.932.2M2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.