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2021-12-23 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3155
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.3%
in alpha space · 81.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-31.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.23561.899-15.06%0.4454-80.08%1.2016✓0.678.3M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.943.4406-12.67%2.08-47.21%0.1318✓1.0012.1M2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.217130.190835-12.11%0.15638-27.98%0.4035✗1.6229k2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023680.020833-12.02%0.00793-66.51%0.5944✓1.0035.6M2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.66650.588189-11.75%0.5482-17.75%0.5807✗1.7512.6M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.36280.321522-11.38%0.2179-39.94%0.0516✓0.91401k2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative1.65031.4692-10.97%0.7987-51.60%0.1183✓1.3211.4M2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.69081.5107-10.65%0.80696-52.27%0.2570✓1.007.2M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum3.67983.2941-10.48%2.0434-44.47%0.1491✓0.889.0M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8383.4447-10.25%2.567-33.12%0.0774✓1.003.6M2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum49.5444.5467-10.08%16.11-67.48%0.3277✓1.869.4M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.4340.0364-9.89%23.84-46.34%0.1190✗1.725.2M2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum2.08461.8903-9.32%1.0381-50.20%0.3371✓0.711.3M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.7510.671-9.18%5.61-52.26%0.4452✓0.532.7M2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78340.711477-9.18%0.4385-44.03%0.0073✓1.286.5M2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche121.37110.9681-8.57%59.8-50.73%0.1965✓1.14148.6M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.371.2542-8.45%0.7106-48.13%0.1967✓1.00193k2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.22120.203227-8.13%0.0799-63.88%0.5067✓1.154.3M2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.34251.2444-7.30%0.71467-46.76%0.1013✗1.771.8M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN11.76410.909-7.27%6.944-40.97%0.4867✓-0.09129k2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.8911.0969-6.67%6.96-41.46%0.4793✓-0.034.6M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum2.3162.1616-6.67%0.7316-68.41%0.3587✓1.952.2M2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.017050.015915-6.66%0.0094-44.87%0.1783✓0.941.5M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0390080.036411-6.66%0.020108-48.45%0.2139✓1.0213.0M2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6890.644294-6.49%0.319-53.70%0.2411✓1.243.2M2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase72.4567.9743-6.18%35.28-51.30%0.0937✓1.511.5M2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative23.31621.8796-6.16%15.129-35.11%0.2571✗1.6921.7M2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.184.8628-6.12%4.82-6.95%0.3626✗1.001.7M2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.9722.7916-6.07%1.506-49.33%0.2521✓0.982.3M2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47680.448397-5.96%0.5658+18.67%0.7635✗1.431.3M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.018430.017374-5.73%0.00935-49.27%0.1784✓1.192.8M2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038680.000036465-5.73%0.00002053-46.92%0.2030✓1.002.1M2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.925.5827-5.70%2.1-64.53%0.6063✓1.006.6M2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11160.105263-5.68%0.0543-51.34%0.1540✓1.373.1M2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum9.839.2805-5.59%6.11-37.84%0.0167✓1.084.1M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81730.771653-5.59%0.5076-37.89%0.0469✓1.257.7M2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.194.9162-5.28%2.89-44.32%0.0415✓1.3228.7M2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10941.0532-5.07%0.5834-47.41%0.0394✓1.482.7M2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021160.02013-4.87%0.01275-39.74%0.2358✓0.5961k2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum4.774.5391-4.84%2.46-48.43%0.2411✓1.002.5M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash167.41159.3073-4.84%94.59-43.50%0.0308✓1.3213.6M2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.38610.367735-4.76%0.2645-31.49%0.2353✗1.524.4M2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.2098-4.74%0.64-49.61%0.2653✓1.002.4M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113740.108375-4.72%0.06237-45.16%0.3393✓0.57143k2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum10.5210.0411-4.55%5.06-51.90%0.3314✓0.951.7M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2699.8041-4.53%5.8-43.52%0.2909✓0.63455k2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8861270.847122-4.40%0.518861-41.45%0.0876✓1.084.3M2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.063190.060479-4.29%0.036765-41.82%0.0471✗1.479.8M2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3890.372365-4.28%0.2331-40.08%0.0055✓1.286.4M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase189.2792181.782-3.96%83.9941-55.62%0.3498✓1.14728k2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.29521.2441-3.94%0.78-39.78%0.0799✓1.0423.6M2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13940.133912-3.94%0.0732-47.49%0.2107✓1.06445k2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.5643-3.93%2.34-36.93%0.0419✓1.02807k2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.31310.300856-3.91%0.1764-43.66%0.0574✓1.286.6M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.067385-3.87%0.0326-53.50%0.2444✓1.302.5M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5212.0392-3.84%6.06-51.60%0.7911✓-0.285.3M2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.51262.4175-3.79%1.65-34.33%0.0572✗1.18172k2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73360.707051-3.62%0.4163-43.25%0.0529✓1.2814.9M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9710.5883-3.48%8.68-20.88%0.0881✗0.771.6M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,557.5630,459.85-3.48%22,897.64-27.44%0.0928✓0.526.9M2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018580.017953-3.37%0.00998-46.29%0.1235✓1.253.5M2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.4103.7786-3.37%50.17-53.29%0.3686✓0.969.0M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46971.4203-3.36%0.9512-35.28%0.0038✓1.0734.9M2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3011.2614-3.05%0.711-45.35%0.2140✓0.974.4M2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.751.697-3.03%0.9-48.57%0.0009✓1.711.6M2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9831.9239-2.98%1.161-41.45%0.0171✓1.317.6M2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22970.222933-2.95%0.1135-50.59%0.2184✓1.236.8M2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.90386.7057-2.87%4.2394-38.59%0.0154✓1.19876k2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin163.74159.4105-2.64%108.41-33.79%0.1307✗1.3959.6M2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.60673.5133-2.59%3.6015-0.14%0.0073✓-0.09384k2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.1136.2513-2.31%18.76-49.45%0.0926✓1.521.4M2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.3827.7257-2.31%29.27+3.14%0.3752✗0.8641.0M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.050480.049357-2.23%0.02985-40.87%0.1627✓0.9214.3M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum5.735.608-2.13%3.49-39.09%0.0306✓1.193.0M2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6451.6108-2.08%0.87-47.11%0.1304✓1.315.2M2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8525.3294-2.01%13.19-48.97%0.2533✓1.072.7M2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059280.058086-2.01%0.03631-38.75%0.0547✓1.1217k2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum247.2242.3146-1.98%147.18-40.46%0.1029✓1.0711.4M2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.573.5036-1.86%2.33-34.73%0.0410✓0.991.3M2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum6.2596.1431-1.85%5.6708-9.40%0.2170✗0.804.6M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration291.44286.0854-1.84%190.08-34.78%0.0032✓1.091.5M2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.089950.088334-1.80%0.05051-43.85%0.1089✓1.2122.6M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51413.455-1.68%2.7227-22.52%0.2277✗1.254.0M2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43811.415-1.60%1.5039+4.58%0.4610✗1.081.4M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3314.2629-1.57%3.059-29.37%0.0219✓0.83714k2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.11265.0331-1.55%2.9642-42.02%0.2512✓0.7530k2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum195.7192.6897-1.54%98.78-49.52%0.3198✓0.9412.0M2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8516.5928-1.53%12.62-25.10%0.0169✓0.691.5M2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.158.0346-1.42%4.8-41.10%0.2786✓0.641.1M2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum3.1113.0675-1.40%1.979-36.39%0.1233✓0.85101k2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos4.77314.7102-1.32%2.9521-38.15%0.0134✗1.295.4M2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2877760.2841-1.28%0.19237-33.15%0.0155✓1.0137.2M2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.120790.119257-1.27%0.07873-34.82%0.0068✓1.1030k2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.283.2386-1.26%1.77-46.04%0.1244✓1.293.2M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.7450.368-1.17%291.88-35.95%0.0520✓1.0314.2M2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum43.0842.5828-1.15%33.44-22.38%0.1518✗1.0621.8M2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2140.211576-1.13%0.1394-34.86%0.0948✓0.87776k2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000114420.000113146-1.11%0.00006839-40.23%0.1362✓0.9911.7M2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.47431.458-1.10%1.0713-27.34%0.0896✗1.07130.4M2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana190.07188.0963-1.04%94.78-50.13%0.3066✓1.02265.5M2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.23095.1768-1.03%3.0068-42.52%0.0384✓1.365.2M2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.096750.095905-0.87%0.04896-49.40%0.1230✓1.485.9M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.9550.947196-0.82%0.496-48.06%0.1011✓1.4710.8M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.5637.2992-0.69%24.23-35.49%0.0415✓1.056.2M2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum4,113.084,084.82-0.69%2,411.90-41.36%0.1377✓1.05768.5M2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.13930.138346-0.69%0.0944-32.23%0.0256✗1.10202k2022-01-22
DASHDashDash146.65145.658-0.68%97.07-33.81%0.0646✗1.272.2M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.1833.9684-0.62%21.51-37.07%0.2078✓0.67711k2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08980.089261-0.60%0.0594-33.85%0.0013✓1.0922k2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum230.55229.7333-0.35%120.3-47.82%0.2391✓1.10239k2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.076.0516-0.30%3.78-37.73%0.0561✓1.125.3M2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.25180.251048-0.30%0.1498-40.51%0.3412✓0.47410k2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.8528.8305-0.24%6.424-27.43%0.1774✗1.33560k2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum10.047610.0318-0.16%5.5565-44.70%0.0537✓1.45349k2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.0127.0352+0.09%20.54-23.95%0.2454✓1.4022.9M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum18.1818.2039+0.13%11.16-38.61%0.0018✗1.3114.2M2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero210.04210.3716+0.16%152.34-27.47%0.0457✓0.992.8M2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum7.37.3184+0.25%4.42-39.45%0.0057✓1.3714.6M2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum16.1616.203+0.27%7.59-53.03%0.3359✗1.145.3M2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1849340.185436+0.27%0.133158-28.00%0.0814✓1.115.5M2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.81130.2555+0.34%89.24-31.25%0.0110✗0.993.1M2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.179.2166+0.51%5.66-38.28%0.1989✗0.78836k2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1822+0.61%2.804-32.55%0.1338✗0.72487k2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.1729.4003+0.79%18.26-37.40%0.0115✗1.2577.3M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.45.449+0.91%3.665-32.13%0.1550✗0.65936k2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.3537.753+1.08%19.01-49.10%0.3082✗1.0223.1M2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1922.4397+1.13%15.86-28.53%0.1393✓1.3169.7M2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3342.3616+1.18%1.366-41.47%0.1353✗1.113.4M2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,984.8051,688.16+1.38%34,807.70-31.73%0.0298✗0.9810k2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3720.37753+1.49%0.244-34.41%0.1559✗0.7646k2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.289.4663+2.01%5.63-39.33%0.2674✗0.681.1M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.832.888+2.05%1.62-42.76%0.2003✗1.024.7M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase3.75053.8297+2.11%2.0461-45.44%0.2313✗1.06819k2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.082610.084568+2.37%0.05675-31.30%0.0408✗0.96708k2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,842.2052,050.47+2.38%35,066.43-31.03%0.0235✗1.00750.8M2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241130.024827+2.96%0.014961-37.95%0.0585✗1.212.1M2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.