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2021-12-20 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2988
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.0%
in alpha space · 67.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53720.464239-13.58%0.8466+57.59%0.8186✗1.8310.2M2022-01-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.55101.6345-10.49%82.64-27.22%0.0717✓1.14164.3M2022-01-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018090.016314-9.82%0.01172-35.21%0.2120✓1.0030.7M2022-01-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.38951.258-9.46%1.1693-15.85%0.0448✓0.997.8M2022-01-19
MANADecentralandEthereum3.19012.9065-8.89%2.7346-14.28%0.0426✓0.8710.9M2022-01-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.4891-8.20%3.282-13.65%0.0575✓1.003.7M2022-01-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.31750.293282-7.63%0.2983-6.05%0.1209✗0.88693k2022-01-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.2190.20231-7.62%0.1191-45.62%0.3914✓1.173.9M2022-01-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.194660.179963-7.55%0.19913+2.30%0.2957✗1.6434k2022-01-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.459.6636-7.53%8.43-19.33%0.0778✓0.504.2M2022-01-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,818.4334,069.12-7.47%32,142.29-12.70%0.0125✓0.606.2M2022-01-19
HIVEHivenative1.41.2961-7.42%1.1386-18.67%0.0276✓1.3212.4M2022-01-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.10761.0272-7.25%0.95676-13.61%0.1392✗1.771.5M2022-01-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.22.9841-6.75%3.33+4.06%0.2284✗1.0011.9M2022-01-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0931.8108-6.69%32.43-4.87%0.2269✗1.756.0M2022-01-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.3737.7242-6.55%22.14-45.16%0.3035✓1.9313.8M2022-01-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.4781-6.51%4.35-9.19%0.0897✗1.001.8M2022-01-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0358470.033556-6.39%0.026624-25.73%0.1120✓1.0115.0M2022-01-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.62641.5231-6.35%1.462-10.11%0.0356✓0.651.4M2022-01-19
LRCLoopringEthereum2.01891.8976-6.01%1.1835-41.38%0.2395✓1.962.3M2022-01-19
KCSKuCoinnative21.10319.8475-5.95%19.951-5.46%0.2097✗1.7223.4M2022-01-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.765.4184-5.93%3.1-46.18%0.4397✓1.009.3M2022-01-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.52211.4321-5.91%0.7592-50.12%0.5788✓0.478.8M2022-01-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1263-5.36%0.93-21.85%0.0728✓1.002.3M2022-01-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.62860.595602-5.25%0.5784-7.99%0.1161✗1.227.7M2022-01-19
ZECZcashZcash157.02148.9182-5.16%125.87-19.84%0.0039✓1.3813.6M2022-01-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2419.7135-5.15%7.272-28.99%0.2108✓0.66388k2022-01-19
IMXImmutableEthereum4.284.0642-5.04%3.56-16.82%0.0138✓1.002.8M2022-01-19
GITCOINGITCOIN8.9558.5399-4.64%10.274+14.73%0.1589✗-0.22119k2022-01-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.42130.401844-4.62%0.5701+35.32%0.5149✗1.391.8M2022-01-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.018.6075-4.47%10.21+13.32%0.1516✗-0.163.7M2022-01-19
SCSiacoinnative0.014930.014284-4.32%0.0127-14.94%0.0092✓0.911.9M2022-01-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6070.581396-4.22%0.469-22.73%0.0675✓1.243.4M2022-01-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1411.6369-4.14%8.35-31.22%0.3711✓-0.335.9M2022-01-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3122.2172-4.10%2.219-4.02%0.1094✗0.923.3M2022-01-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.099140.095165-4.01%0.0853-13.96%0.0469✓0.53143k2022-01-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031220.000029978-3.98%0.00002726-12.68%0.0236✓1.001.9M2022-01-19
XVGVergenative0.016640.016037-3.62%0.01267-23.86%0.0953✓1.183.1M2022-01-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019250.018562-3.58%0.01585-17.66%0.0926✓0.5567k2022-01-19
ZENHorizenBase61.4959.3062-3.55%49.93-18.80%0.0100✓1.532.2M2022-01-19
RADRadworksEthereum9.539.1931-3.54%7.01-26.44%0.1574✓0.962.0M2022-01-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0950.091653-3.52%0.0774-18.53%0.0076✓1.363.4M2022-01-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35320.340959-3.47%0.2982-15.57%0.0209✓1.306.8M2022-01-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.04831.0131-3.36%0.9271-11.56%0.0916✗1.523.4M2022-01-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.113.9734-3.32%4.19+1.95%0.2098✗1.3228.7M2022-01-19
UMAUMAEthereum8.758.4619-3.29%8.26-5.60%0.1067✗1.103.9M2022-01-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66920.647589-3.23%0.6838+2.18%0.1969✗1.207.8M2022-01-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.25632.1905-2.92%2.0509-9.10%0.0747✗1.18169k2022-01-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13030.126502-2.91%0.1012-22.33%0.0939✓1.09603k2022-01-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57423.4759-2.75%3.6546+2.25%0.0387✗-0.10372k2022-01-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017280.016805-2.75%0.01394-19.33%0.0379✓1.263.6M2022-01-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579810.056444-2.65%0.051115-11.84%0.0785✗1.5013.8M2022-01-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.26740.260483-2.59%0.2463-7.89%0.0944✗1.277.0M2022-01-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.659.4049-2.54%10.22+5.91%0.1704✗0.741.9M2022-01-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07991.0539-2.40%1.0492-2.84%0.1089✗0.9623.6M2022-01-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1951.1664-2.40%0.96-19.67%0.0769✓0.994.6M2022-01-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7550840.737474-2.33%0.684968-9.29%0.0537✗1.074.8M2022-01-19
MOVRMoonriverBase176.9138172.9952-2.21%120.5322-31.87%0.2258✓1.141.1M2022-01-19
MINAMina Protocolnative3.163.0901-2.21%3.39+7.28%0.2091✗0.98821k2022-01-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin152.71149.5821-2.05%136.2-10.81%0.0764✗1.4360.7M2022-01-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6711.6381-1.97%1.294-22.56%0.0830✓1.297.6M2022-01-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.29781.2734-1.88%1.2659-2.46%0.1185✗1.0535.8M2022-01-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19910.195401-1.86%0.151-24.16%0.1141✓1.218.9M2022-01-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.046640.045781-1.84%0.03718-20.28%0.0950✓0.9515.8M2022-01-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62220.611046-1.79%0.5244-15.72%0.0071✓1.2314.9M2022-01-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.6391.0133-1.75%71.82-22.47%0.1239✓0.9510.6M2022-01-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.30170.296887-1.60%0.366+21.31%0.3838✗1.474.9M2022-01-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.947.8177-1.54%6.36-19.90%0.1268✓0.671.1M2022-01-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.86295.7821-1.38%5.4486-7.07%0.0812✗1.18833k2022-01-19
GTGateEthereum5.83545.7566-1.35%7.1+21.67%0.3068✗0.825.1M2022-01-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,946.163,895.41-1.29%3,085.27-21.82%0.1046✓1.08768.5M2022-01-19
BANDBandEthereum5.064.9991-1.20%4.91-2.96%0.1221✗1.182.8M2022-01-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum23.7523.4913-1.09%19.03-19.87%0.0847✓1.062.9M2022-01-19
QNTQuantEthereum174.01172.197-1.04%135.59-22.08%0.1334✓0.8912.3M2022-01-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1965-1.04%2.91-9.91%0.0237✗0.991.3M2022-01-19
SOLSolanaSolana174.06172.2673-1.03%135.33-22.25%0.1205✓1.02281.0M2022-01-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2391.2265-1.01%1.537+24.05%0.3543✗1.081.6M2022-01-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06520.064543-1.01%0.0486-25.46%0.1225✓1.362.9M2022-01-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.28425.9507-1.01%369.1-14.22%0.0187✓1.0514.2M2022-01-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9393.9012-0.96%3.956+0.43%0.1116✗0.82780k2022-01-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089010.088261-0.84%0.07218-18.91%0.0288✓1.456.7M2022-01-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.511.4979-0.80%1.17-22.52%0.0467✓1.692.0M2022-01-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054060.053663-0.73%0.04692-13.21%0.0001✓1.1322k2022-01-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8884.8542-0.69%4-18.17%0.0302✓1.385.2M2022-01-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.315.206-0.61%14.85-2.94%0.0588✗0.691.6M2022-01-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.8382.8217-0.58%2.623-7.58%0.0279✗0.85104k2022-01-19
FTTFTXEthereum40.5740.3467-0.55%46.67+15.04%0.2724✗1.0725.2M2022-01-19
KSMKusamaHydration263.85262.4105-0.55%243.71-7.63%0.0572✗1.101.5M2022-01-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20370.202616-0.53%0.1712-15.95%0.0643✓0.88756k2022-01-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.16673.1503-0.52%3.1421-0.78%0.1435✗1.234.7M2022-01-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4091.4031-0.42%1.222-13.27%0.0184✗1.325.6M2022-01-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.9014.8828-0.37%3.9939-18.51%0.1091✓0.7731k2022-01-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.9931.8825-0.34%26.81-16.19%0.0949✓0.66754k2022-01-19
XECeCashnative0.000106380.000106091-0.27%0.00009227-13.26%0.0209✓1.0013.4M2022-01-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108770.108515-0.23%0.10044-7.66%0.0551✗1.1231k2022-01-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.3830.3382-0.14%26.13-13.99%0.0298✗1.511.6M2022-01-19
XYMSymbolnative0.24050.240411-0.04%0.1786-25.74%0.2426✓0.46434k2022-01-19
XLMStellarStellar0.258390.258565+0.07%0.245567-4.96%0.0659✓0.9940.4M2022-01-19
XTZTezosTezos4.10644.1101+0.09%3.8849-5.39%0.1000✓1.324.7M2022-01-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5434.6138+0.21%31.27-9.47%0.0239✓1.066.5M2022-01-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08360.083801+0.24%0.0761-8.97%0.0356✓1.1124k2022-01-19
DASHDashDash127.33127.7846+0.36%126.8-0.42%0.1406✓1.252.2M2022-01-19
ADACardanoCardano1.23811.2427+0.38%1.3366+7.96%0.1953✓1.03131.8M2022-01-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.71122.2384+0.43%109.45-10.07%0.0077✓1.002.5M2022-01-19
XMRMoneroMonero188.84189.9515+0.59%201.62+6.77%0.1758✓0.982.9M2022-01-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1671790.168352+0.70%0.161705-3.27%0.0921✓1.125.3M2022-01-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.7537+0.73%7.57-12.89%0.0513✗0.79838k2022-01-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4117.4665+0.75%7.009-5.42%0.0967✓1.35635k2022-01-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos21.5321.7063+0.82%37.07+72.18%0.6334✓0.8342.5M2022-01-19
XEMNEMnative0.12490.125961+0.85%0.1126-9.85%0.0186✓1.10202k2022-01-19
DODODODOEthereum0.8110.818591+0.94%0.701-13.56%0.0191✓1.4710.9M2022-01-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0335.0809+0.95%4.793-4.77%0.0178✓0.641.0M2022-01-19
QTUMQtumQtum8.97189.0587+0.97%7.4032-17.48%0.0271✗1.47356k2022-01-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.7982+1.02%2.47-10.83%0.0274✓1.283.0M2022-01-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.8635.2631+1.16%27.59-20.85%0.1231✗1.0321.2M2022-01-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.115.1729+1.23%4.9-4.11%0.0736✓1.085.5M2022-01-19
XVSVenusEthereum14.8415.0541+1.44%12.52-15.63%0.0477✗1.156.6M2022-01-19
AAVEAaveEthereum181.01183.6459+1.46%210.15+16.10%0.2505✓0.9811.0M2022-01-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,868.2047,589.51+1.54%41,724.00-10.98%0.0140✓0.9915k2022-01-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7113.7695+1.58%3.627-2.26%0.0421✓0.68544k2022-01-19
COMPCompoundEthereum188.43191.651+1.71%172.8-8.29%0.0223✓1.06236k2022-01-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.355275+1.80%0.349+0.00%0.0703✓0.7454k2022-01-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7522.1796+1.97%26.53+21.98%0.3368✓1.3320.8M2022-01-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.042.0849+2.20%1.709-16.23%0.0665✗1.113.4M2022-01-19
UNIUniswapEthereum14.5214.8435+2.23%15.12+4.13%0.1705✓1.2814.2M2022-01-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.065580.067172+2.43%0.07162+9.21%0.1817✓0.9922.6M2022-01-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0824.6723+2.46%24.06-0.08%0.1228✓1.2575.1M2022-01-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.7819.271+2.61%21.56+14.80%0.2649✓1.2969.7M2022-01-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,926.0748,242.62+2.81%41,674.27-11.19%0.0277✓1.00750.8M2022-01-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.468.7021+2.86%7.67-9.34%0.0466✗0.671.1M2022-01-19
SUSHISushiEthereum5.485.6379+2.88%6.05+10.40%0.2256✓1.3112.7M2022-01-19
TRXTRONTron0.077610.079982+3.06%0.069192-10.85%0.0284✓0.98798k2022-01-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0222820.022993+3.19%0.01895-14.95%0.0473✗1.231.9M2022-01-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.4691+3.31%2.09-12.55%0.0530✗0.964.9M2022-01-19
NANOnanopayBase3.28883.3982+3.33%3.0555-7.09%0.0172✓1.04798k2022-01-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.