XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s1

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +7d

assessed

308

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

58.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1002

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0315

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.076672	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.075287	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.073536	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.073867	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.075612	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.079337	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.081954	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.076999	-4.06%	0.07959	-0.83%	0.0113	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.079188	-4.20%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0091	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.077034	-4.29%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0110	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.084625	-4.28%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0670	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.083338	-4.56%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0297	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.080542	-4.81%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0460	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.07949	-5.08%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0672	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.083071	-5.16%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0038	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.085262	-5.05%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0126	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.090024	-5.05%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0388	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.091502	-5.00%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0175	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.090517	-5.37%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0016	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.088162	-5.53%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0042	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.091182	-5.17%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0258	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.089845	-5.29%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0200	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.090593	-5.40%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0450	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.092971	-5.40%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0242	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.100486	-5.28%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.0834	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.105527	-5.33%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1049	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.107926	-5.85%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1539	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.104649	-5.59%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.0943	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.086517	-3.87%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.1094	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.092785	-3.72%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0809	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.094203	-3.86%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.1002	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.086452	-3.12%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1442	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.089373	-3.05%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1633	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.090886	-3.12%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1730	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.085629	-2.05%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.1067	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080446	-0.65%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0434	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.08144	-0.54%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0415	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083531	-0.46%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0077	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.078207	+0.53%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0520	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080537	+0.60%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0627	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.08299	+0.62%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0556	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084562	+0.56%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0368	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089813	+0.70%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0638	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098402	+0.06%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1252	✗	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.093615	+0.73%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0906	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.090767	+1.32%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0793	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.094236	+1.20%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.1086	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.094576	+1.48%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0847	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.098444	+2.05%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0582	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083753	+0.57%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0405	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082894	+0.31%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1467	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.084248	+0.45%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0874	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.083839	-0.30%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0135	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.086614	-0.29%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0425	✗	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.083738	-0.98%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0725	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.089791	-0.46%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0538	✗	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.08688	-0.96%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0100	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.089096	-1.52%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0544	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.095498	-1.92%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1222	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.099034	-2.56%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1624	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.091255	-2.63%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0709	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.098345	-3.20%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1423	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.085704	-3.56%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.0748	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.077371	-3.78%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0482	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.072836	-4.02%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0566	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.07314	-3.86%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0042	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.071961	-3.83%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0361	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.07313	-3.57%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0439	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.073597	-3.62%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0041	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.072764	-3.44%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0065	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071417	-3.39%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0146	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.075697	-3.60%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0242	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.075795	-3.67%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0094	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.074034	-3.36%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0588	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.073527	-3.36%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0762	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.073056	-3.56%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0898	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.072553	-3.37%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0578	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.072548	-3.23%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0469	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.075455	-3.13%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0520	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.075471	-2.72%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0311	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.07404	-2.58%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0021	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.073349	-2.40%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0138	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.071932	-2.20%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0033	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.075983	-2.65%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0015	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.07537	-2.31%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0213	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.0813	-2.69%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0474	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.077098	-2.22%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0114	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.083123	-2.49%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0492	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.08127	-2.38%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0442	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.082639	-2.38%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.0886	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.079601	-1.91%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0124	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.0832	-2.00%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0275	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.082118	-1.83%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0757	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083376	-1.97%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0223	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.079164	-1.54%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0599	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.081309	-1.68%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0342	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.083635	-1.84%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0079	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.084662	-2.01%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0717	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.089767	-2.43%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.0838	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.090788	-2.59%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1133	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087454	-2.29%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.0910	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.08669	-2.43%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.0958	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.088465	-2.68%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.0910	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.089264	-2.82%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0410	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.092551	-2.99%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.0834	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.088308	-2.85%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0201	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.09559	-3.25%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0649	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.105251	-3.62%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1206	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.102979	-3.44%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1513	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.102887	-3.48%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1404	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.102861	-3.60%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1522	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.09233	-2.91%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0079	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.088514	-2.52%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0287	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.084683	-2.21%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0434	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.101232	-3.50%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0036	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.092958	-2.97%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0527	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.097351	-3.47%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0261	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.09973	-3.83%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0156	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.100507	-4.19%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.0926	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.089251	-2.99%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0402	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.086245	-2.88%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.1019	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.082404	-2.88%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3320	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.08633	-3.22%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1965	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.090913	-3.59%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.2062	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.09665	-4.12%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1554	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.093989	-3.90%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1874	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.105471	-6.33%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0587	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.087399	-4.27%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0880	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.085919	-4.69%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0443	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.085402	-4.69%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.1048	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.082961	-4.64%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1335	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.078296	-5.21%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2543	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.072131	-4.34%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.3220	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.060326	-1.43%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5536	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.064723	-2.08%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2523	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.067914	-2.98%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.2101	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.067342	-2.83%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2294	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.064651	-1.30%	0.087	+32.82%	0.2150	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.066024	-1.46%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1666	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.080915	-4.13%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0659	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.088834	-5.40%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3162	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.082154	-4.69%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1036	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.087148	-6.29%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0543	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.083834	-5.91%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0194	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.0852	-6.37%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0073	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.083259	-6.13%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0421	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.08962	-6.16%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1437	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.081264	-4.51%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3643	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.084278	-4.34%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.2150	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.082285	-4.38%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2539	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.077955	-4.11%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.2076	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.080635	-4.35%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1817	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.079154	-3.71%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1584	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.085615	-4.55%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1930	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.08341	-4.35%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0852	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.07887	-3.41%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1299	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.080685	-3.66%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0582	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.080472	-3.74%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0190	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.083175	-4.07%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0430	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.085205	-4.26%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0381	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.091714	-4.81%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0476	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.090028	-4.43%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0044	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.091747	-4.48%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0444	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.097517	-4.77%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0629	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.102048	-4.94%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1108	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.100949	-4.94%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1046	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.104101	-5.53%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1358	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.101375	-4.90%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0703	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.095664	-4.38%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0186	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.088899	-3.94%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0839	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.084814	-4.06%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1600	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.086147	-3.96%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1634	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.087031	-3.94%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1681	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.087608	-3.83%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1984	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.087632	-3.91%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1339	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.089164	-4.18%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0201	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.092194	-4.07%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0752	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.094251	-4.22%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1069	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.096327	-4.34%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0693	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.095713	-4.43%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0730	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.095235	-4.81%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0581	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.095955	-5.04%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0154	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.096345	-5.31%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0094	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.096884	-5.57%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0076	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.098633	-5.70%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0299	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.098025	-5.61%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0643	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.102992	-5.81%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0636	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.12007	-5.75%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.1890	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.132322	-6.02%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3287	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.123732	-5.58%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2595	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.126313	-5.74%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2502	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.13175	-5.89%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2584	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.117456	-5.47%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.1838	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.128844	-5.75%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2142	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.122767	-5.82%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0398	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.116342	-5.53%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.1268	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.11772	-5.60%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0352	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.122561	-5.94%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0458	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.113214	-5.73%	0.14	+16.57%	0.1015	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.114721	-5.70%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0442	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.111027	-5.39%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0920	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.104935	-4.86%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0967	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.110915	-6.87%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0058	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.101384	-4.36%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1453	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.090311	-2.73%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2902	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.086587	-2.00%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2821	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.084924	-1.71%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2941	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.08693	-1.94%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2791	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.087382	-2.09%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2198	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.091398	-2.40%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.3049	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.097851	-2.64%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1463	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.095554	-2.20%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0195	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.094649	-1.97%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0183	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.089787	-1.39%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0024	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.091312	-1.50%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0259	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.092679	-1.67%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0500	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.097119	-1.90%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0122	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.105979	-2.28%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0542	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.115531	-2.55%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.0993	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.12032	-2.81%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1399	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.105295	-2.01%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0453	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.107734	-2.28%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.1024	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.105871	-2.29%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1071	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.104056	-2.29%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0372	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.097549	-2.06%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0846	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.097026	-2.14%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1202	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.089377	-1.78%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1964	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.091313	-1.87%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0156	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.092679	-2.24%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0881	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.096032	-2.70%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0607	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.114682	-3.59%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0669	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.110177	-3.52%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0507	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.111082	-3.99%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1496	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.101203	-3.25%	0.091	-13.00%	0.0974	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.095052	-2.61%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0260	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.09872	-3.12%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0471	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.089648	-2.24%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0459	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.092062	-2.68%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1826	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.099533	-3.74%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0377	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.085937	-1.34%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.2061	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.085758	-1.43%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.1092	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.087695	-2.07%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1470	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.094079	-2.71%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.1010	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.092728	-2.55%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0346	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.091619	-2.17%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0209	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.090754	-1.73%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.0968	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.094396	-2.28%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0062	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.098963	-3.17%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0382	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.094161	-2.12%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0257	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.099218	-2.92%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0120	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.095446	-1.91%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0140	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.091586	-0.29%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0062	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.082974	+1.68%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1200	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.08241	+1.68%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.1871	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.084725	+1.28%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2133	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.083987	+1.68%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1666	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.085647	+2.20%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1654	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.085623	+2.24%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1637	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.083153	+5.39%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0079	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.096036	+1.25%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0242	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.095999	+0.95%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0491	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.103561	-0.37%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0523	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.102151	+0.84%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0026	✓	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.10654	+0.23%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0578	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.119913	-2.39%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0636	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.12264	-2.43%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2712	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.138055	-4.79%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.0964	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.132471	-4.28%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0541	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.12214	-2.17%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.1026	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.117288	-1.11%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1231	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.126299	-2.17%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1078	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.122164	-1.80%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1456	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.12088	-1.60%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1680	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.123775	-1.77%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1634	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.11911	-1.24%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1297	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.130575	-2.41%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0640	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.128255	-2.39%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.1055	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.136543	-2.75%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.0950	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.140357	-3.00%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0294	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.13821	-3.21%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0348	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.156239	-3.44%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0374	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.15579	-3.66%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.0847	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.147544	-3.75%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1343	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.15804	-3.93%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2588	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.154506	-4.03%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2220	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.162087	-4.20%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2457	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.158002	-4.30%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2231	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.170775	-4.43%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2029	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.198953	-4.90%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2449	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.181324	-4.47%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1051	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.183765	-4.59%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.0942	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.1893	-4.78%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1557	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.185479	-5.17%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1074	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.163519	-4.37%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0488	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.154595	-4.10%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.1026	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.157212	-4.02%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2272	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.151723	-4.09%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1492	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.148907	-4.18%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.2170	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.146933	-4.03%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2710	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.134826	-3.52%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3420	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.128758	-3.33%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2659	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.128474	-3.40%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2282	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.125878	-3.10%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2523	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.124417	-3.10%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2567	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.125286	-3.10%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2240	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.132441	-3.33%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1508	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.127119	-3.11%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.1038	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.11664	-2.23%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.1129	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.12217	-2.46%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0688	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.129735	-2.78%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.13163	-2.68%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0493	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.147012	-2.99%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1337	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.151192	-3.21%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0769	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.144104	-2.89%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0693	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.158004	-3.21%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2014	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.