XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s1

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +1d

assessed

315

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

56.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0390

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0047

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.082275	0.081743	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.08196	0.081442	-0.63%	0.082275	+0.38%	0.0064	✗	1.63
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.077846	-0.48%	0.08196	+4.77%	0.0303	✗	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.076024	-0.41%	0.078225	+2.48%	0.0069	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.076435	-0.37%	0.076335	-0.50%	0.0020	✓	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.078382	-0.36%	0.07672	-2.47%	0.0338	✓	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.082377	-0.43%	0.078665	-4.91%	0.0438	✓	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.085195	-0.58%	0.08273	-3.45%	0.0172	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.080014	-0.31%	0.08569	+6.77%	0.0577	✗	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.082393	-0.32%	0.08026	-2.90%	0.0037	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.080257	-0.29%	0.08266	+2.70%	0.0031	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.088032	-0.42%	0.08049	-8.95%	0.0535	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.086933	-0.44%	0.088405	+1.24%	0.0029	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.084271	-0.41%	0.08732	+3.20%	0.0289	✗	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.083392	-0.42%	0.084615	+1.04%	0.0010	✓	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.087155	-0.50%	0.08374	-4.40%	0.0116	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.089335	-0.52%	0.087595	-2.46%	0.0208	✗	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.094216	-0.63%	0.0898	-5.28%	0.0443	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.095722	-0.62%	0.09481	-1.56%	0.0042	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.095035	-0.65%	0.096315	+0.69%	0.0190	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.092686	-0.68%	0.095655	+2.50%	0.0271	✗	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.095471	-0.71%	0.09332	-2.94%	0.0164	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.094211	-0.68%	0.09615	+1.36%	0.0042	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.095056	-0.74%	0.09486	-0.95%	0.0005	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.097491	-0.80%	0.095765	-2.56%	0.0214	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.105045	-0.99%	0.09828	-7.36%	0.0460	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.110159	-1.17%	0.10609	-4.82%	0.0386	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.112712	-1.67%	0.111465	-2.76%	0.0178	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.109251	-1.44%	0.11463	+3.41%	0.0541	✗	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.089437	-0.63%	0.11085	+23.17%	0.2145	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.095684	-0.72%	0.09	-6.61%	0.0264	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.097074	-0.93%	0.096375	-1.65%	0.0000	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.088676	-0.63%	0.09799	+9.81%	0.0015	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.091566	-0.67%	0.089235	-3.20%	0.0244	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.093107	-0.75%	0.092185	-1.74%	0.0167	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.0872	-0.25%	0.093815	+7.32%	0.0140	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.081163	+0.23%	0.08742	+7.96%	0.0702	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.082134	+0.31%	0.080975	-1.11%	0.0260	✗	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083998	+0.10%	0.08188	-2.43%	0.0245	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.078209	+0.53%	0.083915	+7.87%	0.0447	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080468	+0.51%	0.077795	-2.83%	0.0251	✗	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082912	+0.52%	0.08006	-2.93%	0.0360	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.08456	+0.56%	0.08248	-1.91%	0.0377	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089588	+0.45%	0.08409	-5.71%	0.0309	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098595	+0.26%	0.089185	-9.31%	0.0970	✗	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.093281	+0.37%	0.09834	+5.81%	0.0660	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089981	+0.45%	0.09294	+3.75%	0.0584	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093538	+0.45%	0.08958	-3.80%	0.0538	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093613	+0.44%	0.09312	-0.09%	0.0085	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.096842	+0.39%	0.0932	-3.39%	0.0056	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083472	+0.23%	0.09647	+15.84%	0.0559	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082756	+0.14%	0.08328	+0.77%	0.0084	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.083981	+0.13%	0.08264	-1.47%	0.0080	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.084121	+0.04%	0.08387	-0.26%	0.0209	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.086849	-0.02%	0.08409	-3.20%	0.0215	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.084468	-0.11%	0.08687	+2.73%	0.0206	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.089947	-0.29%	0.084565	-6.26%	0.0164	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.087429	-0.33%	0.09021	+2.84%	0.0082	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.09006	-0.45%	0.08772	-3.04%	0.0354	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.096767	-0.62%	0.09047	-7.09%	0.0590	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.100669	-0.96%	0.09737	-4.20%	0.0562	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.092835	-0.94%	0.10164	+8.45%	0.0782	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.100148	-1.43%	0.09372	-7.76%	0.0435	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.088122	-0.84%	0.1016	+14.32%	0.0490	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.07997	-0.55%	0.08887	+10.52%	0.0365	✗	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.075429	-0.61%	0.08041	+5.96%	0.0333	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.075676	-0.53%	0.07589	-0.25%	0.0017	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.074393	-0.58%	0.07608	+1.68%	0.0150	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.075454	-0.51%	0.074825	-1.34%	0.0042	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.075938	-0.55%	0.07584	-0.68%	0.0023	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.074992	-0.48%	0.07636	+1.33%	0.0285	✗	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.073585	-0.45%	0.075355	+1.94%	0.0234	✗	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.078077	-0.57%	0.07392	-5.86%	0.0519	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.078174	-0.64%	0.078525	-0.20%	0.0134	✗	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.076203	-0.53%	0.07868	+2.70%	0.0542	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.075709	-0.49%	0.07661	+0.69%	0.0132	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.075343	-0.54%	0.076085	+0.44%	0.0094	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.074672	-0.54%	0.075755	+0.90%	0.0002	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.074559	-0.55%	0.07508	+0.15%	0.0149	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.077438	-0.59%	0.07497	-3.76%	0.0452	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.077201	-0.49%	0.077895	+0.41%	0.0049	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.075683	-0.42%	0.07758	+2.08%	0.0255	✗	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.074884	-0.35%	0.076	+1.13%	0.0027	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.073344	-0.28%	0.07515	+2.18%	0.0258	✗	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.077731	-0.41%	0.07355	-5.77%	0.0113	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.076886	-0.34%	0.07805	+1.17%	0.0036	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.083138	-0.49%	0.07715	-7.66%	0.0759	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.078567	-0.36%	0.08355	+5.96%	0.0580	✗	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.084881	-0.43%	0.07885	-7.51%	0.0377	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.082936	-0.38%	0.08525	+2.40%	0.0047	✗	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.084307	-0.41%	0.08325	-1.65%	0.0173	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.080924	-0.28%	0.08465	+4.31%	0.0665	✗	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.084636	-0.31%	0.08115	-4.42%	0.0196	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.083417	-0.28%	0.0849	+1.49%	0.0269	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084773	-0.33%	0.08365	-1.65%	0.0415	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.080227	-0.22%	0.08505	+5.78%	0.0469	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.082505	-0.24%	0.0804	-2.78%	0.0234	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.084976	-0.26%	0.0827	-2.93%	0.0469	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.086141	-0.30%	0.0852	-1.39%	0.0138	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.091641	-0.39%	0.0864	-6.09%	0.0391	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092785	-0.44%	0.092	-1.29%	0.0028	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.089184	-0.35%	0.0932	+4.13%	0.0144	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.088543	-0.35%	0.0895	+0.73%	0.0435	✗	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.090567	-0.37%	0.08885	-2.26%	0.0184	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.091509	-0.37%	0.0909	-1.03%	0.0018	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.095012	-0.41%	0.09185	-3.72%	0.0572	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.090587	-0.34%	0.0954	+4.95%	0.0284	✗	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.098325	-0.48%	0.0909	-8.00%	0.0521	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.108428	-0.71%	0.0988	-9.52%	0.0769	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.106004	-0.61%	0.1092	+2.39%	0.0197	✗	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.10593	-0.63%	0.10665	+0.05%	0.0052	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.105938	-0.71%	0.1066	-0.09%	0.0076	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.094645	-0.48%	0.1067	+12.20%	0.0949	✗	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.09045	-0.39%	0.0951	+4.74%	0.0129	✗	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.086335	-0.31%	0.0908	+4.85%	0.0163	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.104222	-0.65%	0.0866	-17.45%	0.1498	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.095376	-0.44%	0.1049	+9.50%	0.0806	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.100287	-0.56%	0.0958	-5.01%	0.0360	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.102971	-0.70%	0.10085	-2.75%	0.0194	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.103964	-0.89%	0.1037	-1.14%	0.0089	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.091522	-0.52%	0.1049	+14.02%	0.1653	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.088375	-0.48%	0.092	+3.60%	0.0788	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.084481	-0.43%	0.0888	+4.66%	0.0805	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.08872	-0.54%	0.08485	-4.88%	0.0615	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.093687	-0.65%	0.0892	-5.41%	0.0261	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.099913	-0.88%	0.0943	-6.45%	0.0755	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.096989	-0.83%	0.1008	+3.07%	0.0244	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.110359	-1.99%	0.0978	-13.14%	0.0861	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.090454	-0.93%	0.1126	+23.33%	0.2470	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.089243	-1.01%	0.0913	+1.28%	0.0387	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.088848	-0.84%	0.09015	+0.61%	0.0007	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.08628	-0.83%	0.0896	+2.99%	0.0049	✓	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.081797	-0.97%	0.087	+5.33%	0.0390	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.075007	-0.52%	0.0826	+9.55%	0.0971	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061227	+0.04%	0.0754	+23.20%	0.1582	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.066095	-0.01%	0.0612	-7.41%	0.0712	✓	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069925	-0.11%	0.0661	-5.57%	0.0238	✓	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.069256	-0.06%	0.07	+1.01%	0.0164	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065627	+0.19%	0.0693	+5.80%	0.0021	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.067135	+0.20%	0.0655	-2.24%	0.0204	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.08416	-0.28%	0.067	-20.62%	0.1734	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.093213	-0.73%	0.0844	-10.12%	0.0943	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.085846	-0.41%	0.0939	+8.93%	0.1485	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.092216	-0.84%	0.0862	-7.31%	0.0230	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.088515	-0.66%	0.093	+4.38%	0.0930	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.090244	-0.83%	0.0891	-2.09%	0.0090	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.087961	-0.83%	0.091	+2.59%	0.0262	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.094319	-1.24%	0.0887	-7.12%	0.0586	✓	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.084552	-0.64%	0.0955	+12.22%	0.1378	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.08745	-0.74%	0.0851	-3.41%	0.0028	✓	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.085445	-0.70%	0.0881	+2.38%	0.0612	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.080845	-0.56%	0.08605	+5.84%	0.0566	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.083715	-0.69%	0.0813	-3.56%	0.0360	✓	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.0818	-0.49%	0.0843	+2.55%	0.0048	✓	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.08899	-0.79%	0.0822	-8.36%	0.0363	✓	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.08653	-0.77%	0.0897	+2.87%	0.0345	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.081281	-0.45%	0.0872	+6.80%	0.0560	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.083347	-0.48%	0.08165	-2.51%	0.0170	✓	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.083211	-0.46%	0.08375	+0.18%	0.0159	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.086229	-0.54%	0.0836	-3.58%	0.0169	✓	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.088492	-0.57%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0013	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.09566	-0.72%	0.089	-7.63%	0.0326	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.093574	-0.66%	0.09635	+2.28%	0.0059	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.095405	-0.67%	0.0942	-1.93%	0.0102	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.101629	-0.75%	0.09605	-6.20%	0.0338	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.106443	-0.84%	0.1024	-4.61%	0.0302	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.105248	-0.90%	0.10735	+1.08%	0.0083	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.108832	-1.24%	0.1062	-3.63%	0.0330	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.105506	-1.03%	0.1102	+3.38%	0.0402	✗	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.099227	-0.82%	0.1066	+6.55%	0.0942	✗	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.09199	-0.60%	0.10005	+8.10%	0.0758	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.087951	-0.51%	0.09255	+4.69%	0.0349	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.089258	-0.49%	0.0884	-1.45%	0.0301	✓	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.090173	-0.47%	0.0897	-0.99%	0.0033	✓	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.090685	-0.46%	0.0906	-0.55%	0.0081	✓	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.090792	-0.45%	0.0911	-0.11%	0.0293	✓	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.092579	-0.51%	0.0912	-1.99%	0.0246	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.0956	-0.52%	0.09305	-3.17%	0.0170	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.09787	-0.54%	0.0961	-2.34%	0.0002	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.100141	-0.55%	0.0984	-2.28%	0.0054	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.099616	-0.53%	0.1007	+0.55%	0.0071	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.099557	-0.49%	0.10015	+0.10%	0.0026	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.100578	-0.47%	0.10005	-0.99%	0.0093	✗	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.101262	-0.48%	0.10105	-0.69%	0.0034	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.102077	-0.51%	0.10175	-0.83%	0.0368	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.103984	-0.59%	0.1026	-1.91%	0.0223	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.103262	-0.57%	0.1046	+0.72%	0.0262	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.108729	-0.57%	0.10385	-5.03%	0.0094	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.126372	-0.81%	0.10935	-14.17%	0.1195	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.139028	-1.26%	0.1274	-9.52%	0.1243	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.129912	-0.87%	0.1408	+7.44%	0.0742	✗	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.132655	-1.00%	0.13105	-2.20%	0.0251	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.138186	-1.30%	0.134	-4.29%	0.0255	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.123133	-0.90%	0.14	+12.68%	0.0557	✗	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.135012	-1.23%	0.12425	-9.11%	0.0375	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.128655	-1.30%	0.1367	+4.87%	0.0590	✗	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.1218	-1.10%	0.13035	+5.85%	0.0447	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.123282	-1.14%	0.12315	-1.24%	0.0150	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.128479	-1.40%	0.1247	-4.30%	0.0137	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.118509	-1.32%	0.1303	+8.49%	0.0332	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.120053	-1.31%	0.1201	-1.27%	0.0035	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.115858	-1.27%	0.12165	+3.66%	0.0135	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.108992	-1.19%	0.11735	+6.39%	0.0670	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.116467	-2.21%	0.1103	-7.39%	0.0558	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.104852	-1.08%	0.1191	+12.36%	0.1535	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.092298	-0.59%	0.106	+14.16%	0.1407	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.088037	-0.35%	0.09285	+5.09%	0.0215	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.086212	-0.22%	0.08835	+2.26%	0.0075	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.088429	-0.25%	0.0864	-2.54%	0.0153	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.089054	-0.22%	0.08865	-0.67%	0.0038	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.093302	-0.37%	0.08925	-4.70%	0.0076	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.100006	-0.49%	0.09365	-6.82%	0.0132	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.09731	-0.40%	0.1005	+2.87%	0.0166	✗	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.096214	-0.35%	0.0977	+1.19%	0.0223	✗	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.090865	-0.20%	0.09655	+6.04%	0.0026	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.092517	-0.20%	0.09105	-1.78%	0.0066	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.094076	-0.18%	0.0927	-1.64%	0.0182	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098781	-0.22%	0.09425	-4.80%	0.0590	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.108086	-0.34%	0.099	-8.71%	0.0603	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.117912	-0.54%	0.10845	-8.52%	0.0298	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.122883	-0.74%	0.11855	-4.24%	0.0173	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.107072	-0.35%	0.1238	+15.22%	0.1059	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.109792	-0.42%	0.10745	-2.54%	0.0537	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.107885	-0.43%	0.11025	+1.75%	0.0158	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.106059	-0.41%	0.10835	+1.74%	0.0129	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.099277	-0.32%	0.1065	+6.93%	0.0635	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.098814	-0.34%	0.0996	+0.45%	0.0028	✓	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.09081	-0.21%	0.09915	+8.96%	0.0562	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092839	-0.23%	0.091	-2.20%	0.0745	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094571	-0.24%	0.09305	-1.85%	0.0126	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098411	-0.29%	0.0948	-3.95%	0.0190	✓	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.118189	-0.64%	0.0987	-17.02%	0.1238	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.113518	-0.60%	0.11895	+4.16%	0.0830	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.11481	-0.77%	0.1142	-1.30%	0.0997	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.104163	-0.42%	0.1157	+10.61%	0.1161	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097328	-0.28%	0.1046	+7.17%	0.0027	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.101515	-0.38%	0.0976	-4.22%	0.0119	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091497	-0.22%	0.1019	+11.12%	0.0827	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.09434	-0.27%	0.0917	-3.07%	0.0083	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.102893	-0.49%	0.0946	-8.51%	0.0729	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086997	-0.12%	0.1034	+18.71%	0.0885	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086883	-0.13%	0.0871	+0.11%	0.0148	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.0894	-0.17%	0.087	-2.85%	0.0380	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.096446	-0.26%	0.08955	-7.39%	0.0670	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.094916	-0.25%	0.0967	+1.63%	0.0192	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093437	-0.23%	0.09515	+1.60%	0.0034	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.09217	-0.19%	0.09365	+1.41%	0.0040	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.096348	-0.26%	0.09235	-4.40%	0.0199	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.101789	-0.40%	0.0966	-5.48%	0.0231	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.095946	-0.26%	0.1022	+6.24%	0.0618	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.10176	-0.43%	0.0962	-5.87%	0.0358	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.096995	-0.31%	0.1022	+5.04%	0.0324	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.091724	-0.14%	0.0973	+5.93%	0.0048	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081783	+0.22%	0.09185	+12.56%	0.1335	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081264	+0.26%	0.0816	+0.68%	0.0419	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.083838	+0.23%	0.08105	-3.11%	0.0069	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.082867	+0.32%	0.08365	+1.27%	0.0130	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.084185	+0.46%	0.0826	-1.43%	0.0405	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.084186	+0.52%	0.0838	+0.06%	0.0222	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.080029	+1.43%	0.08375	+6.15%	0.1553	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.095259	+0.43%	0.0789	-16.82%	0.1417	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.095522	+0.44%	0.09485	-0.26%	0.0753	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.104168	+0.21%	0.0951	-8.51%	0.0013	✓	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.10188	+0.57%	0.10395	+2.62%	0.0330	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.106833	+0.50%	0.1013	-4.70%	0.0005	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.122569	-0.23%	0.1063	-13.47%	0.0187	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.125396	-0.24%	0.12285	-2.27%	0.0091	✓	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.143667	-0.92%	0.1257	-13.31%	0.0073	✓	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.137227	-0.85%	0.145	+4.77%	0.0539	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.124525	-0.26%	0.1384	+10.85%	0.0832	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.118645	+0.04%	0.12485	+5.27%	0.0070	✓	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.128707	-0.30%	0.1186	-8.13%	0.0172	✓	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.124135	-0.21%	0.1291	+3.78%	0.0492	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.122645	-0.17%	0.1244	+1.26%	0.0139	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.125725	-0.22%	0.12285	-2.50%	0.0257	✓	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.12048	-0.10%	0.126	+4.48%	0.0182	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.133251	-0.41%	0.1206	-9.87%	0.0075	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.130881	-0.39%	0.1338	+1.83%	0.0490	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.139798	-0.43%	0.1314	-6.41%	0.0259	✓	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.144087	-0.42%	0.1404	-2.97%	0.0164	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.142206	-0.42%	0.1447	+1.33%	0.0194	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.160956	-0.52%	0.1428	-11.74%	0.0887	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.160854	-0.52%	0.1618	+0.06%	0.0304	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.152564	-0.48%	0.1617	+5.48%	0.0519	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.163614	-0.54%	0.1533	-6.81%	0.0737	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.160196	-0.50%	0.1645	+2.17%	0.0129	✗	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.168259	-0.56%	0.161	-4.85%	0.0403	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.164223	-0.53%	0.1692	+2.48%	0.0439	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.177577	-0.63%	0.1651	-7.61%	0.0660	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.206976	-1.06%	0.1787	-14.58%	0.0905	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.18832	-0.78%	0.2092	+10.22%	0.1086	✗	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.190884	-0.89%	0.1898	-1.45%	0.0679	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.196788	-1.01%	0.1926	-3.12%	0.0462	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.193095	-1.28%	0.1988	+1.64%	0.0113	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.169503	-0.88%	0.1956	+14.39%	0.1119	✗	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.159898	-0.81%	0.171	+6.08%	0.0531	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.162558	-0.76%	0.1612	-1.59%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.156807	-0.88%	0.1638	+3.54%	0.0290	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.153941	-0.94%	0.1582	+1.80%	0.0360	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.1518	-0.85%	0.1554	+1.50%	0.0227	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.138868	-0.63%	0.1531	+9.55%	0.0917	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.132459	-0.56%	0.13975	+4.92%	0.0522	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.132177	-0.62%	0.1332	+0.15%	0.0127	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.129258	-0.49%	0.133	+2.39%	0.0265	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.127783	-0.48%	0.1299	+1.17%	0.0292	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.128695	-0.47%	0.1284	-0.70%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.136187	-0.59%	0.1293	-5.62%	0.0555	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.130515	-0.52%	0.137	+4.42%	0.0459	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119146	-0.13%	0.1312	+9.97%	0.0660	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.124998	-0.20%	0.1193	-4.75%	0.0379	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.133047	-0.30%	0.12525	-6.14%	0.0415	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.134914	-0.25%	0.13345	-1.33%	0.0274	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.15089	-0.44%	0.13525	-10.76%	0.0893	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.155363	-0.54%	0.15155	-2.98%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.147764	-0.43%	0.1562	+5.26%	0.0558	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.16236	-0.54%	0.1484	-9.10%	0.0651	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.