XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s1

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +30d

assessed

285

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1836

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0855

actual -0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.071586	-10.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.070382	-10.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.068531	-10.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.06872	-10.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.070208	-10.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.073742	-10.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.076537	-10.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.071251	-11.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.073557	-11.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.071046	-11.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.078522	-11.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.076907	-11.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.073909	-12.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.072594	-13.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.076128	-13.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.078635	-12.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.083224	-12.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.084815	-11.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.083357	-12.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.081304	-12.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.084548	-12.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.082618	-12.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.083406	-12.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.085688	-12.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.093618	-11.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.098928	-11.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.102443	-10.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.099586	-10.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.081838	-9.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.089015	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.091719	-6.40%	0.07959	-18.78%	0.0697	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.081609	-8.55%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.0752	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.084622	-8.20%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1142	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.086297	-8.01%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1387	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.079923	-8.58%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1124	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.074975	-7.41%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0046	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.07603	-7.15%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0129	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.078924	-5.95%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0463	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.073563	-5.44%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0024	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.076505	-4.44%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0306	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.079589	-3.51%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0112	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.08122	-3.41%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0447	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.087429	-1.97%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.1089	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.09569	-2.70%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.1973	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.091492	-1.56%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1267	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089442	-0.15%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.1004	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093302	+0.20%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.1031	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.094929	+1.86%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.1218	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.100733	+4.42%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.1213	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083052	-0.27%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0419	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082545	-0.11%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0127	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.084455	+0.70%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0167	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.083366	-0.86%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0232	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.086971	+0.12%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0265	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.083845	-0.85%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.1144	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.092928	+3.01%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.1080	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.08882	+1.25%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1637	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090556	+0.10%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0987	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097522	+0.16%	0.09	-7.57%	0.1749	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101498	-0.14%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2001	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093332	-0.41%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1176	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.102656	+1.04%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.1897	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.084919	-4.45%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.0597	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.074719	-7.08%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0233	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.06928	-8.71%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0012	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.069356	-8.84%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.0832	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.068214	-8.84%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.0859	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.069272	-8.66%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1212	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.069792	-8.60%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.1811	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.068895	-8.57%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1392	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.067582	-8.57%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.0960	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.071672	-8.73%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1178	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.07203	-8.45%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.0887	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.070289	-8.25%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0448	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.069562	-8.57%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0131	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.069273	-8.56%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0672	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.068751	-8.43%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0237	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.06875	-8.30%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0132	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.071085	-8.74%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0486	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.07079	-8.75%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1358	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.069548	-8.49%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1291	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.068837	-8.40%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1396	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.067475	-8.26%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.0980	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.071872	-7.92%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.0912	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.0712	-7.71%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1141	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.076949	-7.90%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.1724	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.072703	-7.80%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1236	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.078955	-7.38%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1234	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.077057	-7.44%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0566	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.078609	-7.14%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0151	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.075975	-6.38%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0333	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.080066	-5.69%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0038	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.07955	-4.90%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0222	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.080412	-5.45%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.0865	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.076127	-5.31%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0031	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.07845	-5.14%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0239	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.080559	-5.45%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0503	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.081431	-5.75%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0536	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.086199	-6.31%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.0846	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.087252	-6.38%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1136	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.083171	-7.07%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1428	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.082717	-6.90%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0474	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.084353	-7.20%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.0728	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.085077	-7.37%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1219	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.087989	-7.77%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.1875	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.083937	-7.66%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.1678	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.091049	-7.85%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2154	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.100612	-7.86%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3083	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.098092	-8.02%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2417	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.098017	-8.05%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2430	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.09829	-7.88%	0.076	-28.77%	0.2810	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.088072	-7.39%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.1895	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.084226	-7.24%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2049	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.080421	-7.13%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.1714	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.095383	-9.07%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.2894	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.087436	-8.73%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1354	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.091461	-9.31%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2251	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.093733	-9.61%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2026	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.094739	-9.69%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2232	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.084464	-8.19%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.0654	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.081877	-7.80%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.0631	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.07844	-7.55%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0304	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.081924	-8.16%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0553	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.086164	-8.63%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0357	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.091406	-9.32%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.1567	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.088997	-9.00%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1184	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.10156	-9.80%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.1635	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.083726	-8.30%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0758	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.082386	-8.61%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1483	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.081127	-9.46%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1563	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.078818	-9.40%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1844	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.074929	-9.29%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1653	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.068549	-9.09%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2769	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.057025	-6.82%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.4135	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.060841	-7.96%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.4144	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.063549	-9.22%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3773	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.0628	-9.38%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.4527	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.060294	-7.95%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.5216	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.061412	-8.34%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4936	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.074452	-11.79%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3729	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.081928	-12.75%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2970	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.075132	-12.84%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.3543	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.079599	-14.41%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.3640	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.076267	-14.40%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.4463	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.077738	-14.57%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5859	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.07616	-14.14%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.5253	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.083336	-12.74%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4845	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.075321	-11.49%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.6358	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.078576	-10.81%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6459	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.076621	-10.96%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5719	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.072531	-10.79%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.5398	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.075229	-10.76%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.4077	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.073665	-10.38%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4729	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.079739	-11.10%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4630	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.077698	-10.90%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5723	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.073289	-10.24%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5990	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.074849	-10.63%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6851	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.074573	-10.80%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4626	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.077	-11.19%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.4154	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.0788	-11.46%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.4209	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.084982	-11.80%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3836	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.083222	-11.65%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3405	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.084816	-11.70%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2427	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.090185	-11.93%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0344	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.094585	-11.89%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0651	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.093488	-11.97%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0749	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.096945	-12.03%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0128	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.094272	-11.56%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0357	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.089394	-10.65%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0781	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.082963	-10.36%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.3140	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.078921	-10.72%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.4442	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.07997	-10.85%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2805	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.080958	-10.64%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2616	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.081539	-10.49%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1658	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.081387	-10.76%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1559	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.082831	-10.98%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.1105	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.085584	-10.94%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1603	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.087499	-11.08%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0266	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.08952	-11.10%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0343	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.088696	-11.44%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0232	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.087995	-12.05%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.0704	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.088732	-12.19%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0221	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.089036	-12.50%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0300	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.088908	-13.35%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0129	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.090613	-13.37%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.0679	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.089397	-13.92%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.1467	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.094106	-13.94%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.1391	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.110909	-12.94%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.2883	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.122957	-12.67%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4052	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.114068	-12.96%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3277	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.116775	-12.85%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3229	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.123038	-12.12%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.3592	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.107947	-13.12%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3009	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.120026	-12.20%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3160	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.114705	-12.00%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2332	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.107957	-12.34%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.1791	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.108929	-12.65%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.1572	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.114168	-12.38%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2177	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.105048	-12.53%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.2870	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.106382	-12.55%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.3655	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.103048	-12.19%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.3936	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.097749	-11.38%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3083	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.104839	-11.97%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3726	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.094774	-10.59%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2396	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.084352	-9.15%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.0843	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.08069	-8.67%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0404	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.079199	-8.33%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0175	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.081209	-8.39%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0303	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.081804	-8.34%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0381	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.086087	-8.08%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0254	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.092937	-7.53%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0464	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.091136	-6.72%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0476	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.090814	-5.94%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0290	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.085845	-5.72%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0073	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.087537	-5.57%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0389	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.08929	-5.26%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0843	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.093405	-5.65%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0410	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.102202	-5.76%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.1047	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.112505	-5.10%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.2004	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.117959	-4.72%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.1062	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.10274	-4.38%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2397	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.104634	-5.09%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2273	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.103085	-4.86%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1906	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.101223	-4.95%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2490	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.095019	-4.60%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2594	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.094378	-4.81%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2285	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.086535	-4.91%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.3108	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.087964	-5.47%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2647	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.08917	-5.94%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2629	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.09238	-6.40%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2560	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.110432	-7.16%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.1342	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.106766	-6.51%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1514	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.107293	-7.27%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.1370	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.097702	-6.60%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0975	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.091426	-6.33%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0403	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.095013	-6.76%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.0675	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.086583	-5.58%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0043	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.088926	-6.00%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0231	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.096117	-7.04%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0376	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.082825	-4.91%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0226	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.082705	-4.94%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0555	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.084235	-5.94%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0874	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.089801	-7.13%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0119	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.088474	-7.02%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0317	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.087451	-6.62%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0172	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.086521	-6.31%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0002	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.089612	-7.23%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0484	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.093685	-8.33%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0976	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.089416	-7.05%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1793	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.09415	-7.88%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1737	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.090919	-6.56%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0870	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.087219	-5.04%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1315	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.078546	-3.74%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2408	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.077824	-3.98%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2780	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.079928	-4.45%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.2179	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.079142	-4.19%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2319	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.080456	-3.99%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1403	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.08021	-4.23%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2458	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.077385	-1.92%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0842	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.089141	-6.02%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2538	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.089125	-6.28%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4385	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.095838	-7.80%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3577	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.094283	-6.93%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4799	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.098164	-7.65%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3754	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.110041	-10.43%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4701	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.112187	-10.75%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4617	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.126257	-12.93%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3946	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.121397	-12.29%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.4053	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.111061	-11.04%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.5271	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.106426	-10.26%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4848	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.115144	-10.81%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4416	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.111452	-10.41%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.4156	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.110448	-10.10%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4896	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.113508	-9.91%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4433	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.10905	-9.58%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4684	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.120908	-9.64%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4879	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.118927	-9.49%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5588	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.127694	-9.05%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.5224	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.131804	-8.91%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4401	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.129682	-9.19%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4871	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.147482	-8.85%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.3316	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.146182	-9.60%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3469	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.137208	-10.50%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.2337	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.146932	-10.68%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0950	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.143325	-10.98%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0895	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.150618	-10.98%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0231	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.146782	-11.09%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.1212	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.15913	-10.95%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0050	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.187802	-10.23%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0119	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.170708	-10.06%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0426	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.172788	-10.29%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1359	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.178197	-10.36%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.1842	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.176077	-9.98%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.1579	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.154627	-9.57%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.0976	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.146143	-9.34%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1341	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.14859	-9.29%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1224	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.144059	-8.94%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0168	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.141803	-8.75%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0383	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.139716	-8.74%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1175	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.127581	-8.71%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0646	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.121611	-8.70%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0381	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.121557	-8.60%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.118571	-8.72%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.117099	-8.80%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0642	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.117828	-8.87%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0270	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.124999	-8.76%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0212	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.119589	-8.85%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0332	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.108566	-9.00%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1502	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.113849	-9.10%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1374	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.121185	-9.19%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0798	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.122994	-9.06%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1592	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.138051	-8.91%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0795	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.142489	-8.78%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0629	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.135317	-8.82%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1887	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.149191	-8.61%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0999	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.