XCH

Chia · native · gru_s1

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0809

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0115

actual -0.0213

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.4496	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4797	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5342	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.538	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5654	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5689	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5635	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.5432	-2.08%	1.4765	-6.31%	0.0557	✓	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5868	-2.74%	1.512	-7.32%	0.0466	✓	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5484	-2.37%	1.5675	-1.17%	0.0113	✓	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5485	-2.64%	1.57	-1.29%	0.0301	✗	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5513	-2.65%	1.6035	+0.63%	0.0482	✗	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4758	-2.97%	1.6015	+5.29%	0.0920	✗	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.4349	-2.32%	1.5965	+8.68%	0.1025	✗	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4595	-2.38%	1.576	+5.42%	0.0933	✗	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.5376	-1.91%	1.6315	+4.08%	0.0818	✗	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5492	-2.17%	1.586	+0.16%	0.0610	✗	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5539	-1.99%	1.5905	+0.32%	0.0498	✗	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.5419	-2.07%	1.5935	+1.21%	0.0504	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.4995	-2.25%	1.521	-0.85%	0.0330	✗	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5636	-2.21%	1.469	-8.13%	0.0326	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5816	-2.67%	1.495	-8.00%	0.0537	✓	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5577	-2.21%	1.5675	-1.60%	0.0110	✓	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.5127	-2.90%	1.5835	+1.64%	0.0248	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.547	-2.06%	1.5855	+0.38%	0.0086	✓	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.6163	-1.98%	1.5745	-4.52%	0.0287	✓	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.6201	-2.02%	1.534	-7.23%	0.0578	✓	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.598	-1.96%	1.599	-1.90%	0.0030	✓	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.511	-2.14%	1.625	+5.25%	0.0793	✗	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.6016	-1.50%	1.593	-2.03%	0.0137	✓	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.6772	-2.54%	1.558	-9.47%	0.0496	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.5129	-1.73%	1.5795	+2.60%	0.0212	✗	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.5084	-1.77%	1.649	+7.39%	0.0680	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4808	-1.58%	1.6535	+9.90%	0.0893	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.3845	-2.60%	1.63	+14.67%	0.1150	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3628	-1.28%	1.544	+11.84%	0.0763	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.3484	-1.36%	1.626	+18.95%	0.1259	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.457	-0.96%	1.721	+17.00%	0.1243	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4639	-1.02%	1.5395	+4.09%	0.0273	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.481	-0.87%	1.5355	+2.78%	0.0155	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.48	-0.60%	1.5045	+1.04%	0.0023	✓	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.485	-0.53%	1.4215	-4.79%	0.0427	✓	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5632	-0.46%	1.3805	-12.10%	0.1132	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.6089	-0.60%	1.367	-15.54%	0.1479	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.6354	-0.58%	1.471	-10.58%	0.1012	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.5038	+0.69%	1.479	-0.97%	0.0060	✓	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4643	+1.02%	1.494	+3.07%	0.0364	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.4279	+0.84%	1.489	+5.16%	0.0602	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.4491	+0.56%	1.493	+3.61%	0.0653	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4138	-0.36%	1.5705	+10.68%	0.0979	✗	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.4356	-0.85%	1.6185	+11.77%	0.1122	✗	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.42	-0.25%	1.645	+15.56%	0.1432	✗	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4101	-0.20%	1.4935	+5.70%	0.0353	✗	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.382	-0.11%	1.4495	+4.77%	0.0356	✗	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.405	+0.39%	1.416	+1.18%	0.0062	✗	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.4233	+0.87%	1.441	+2.13%	0.0049	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.3905	+0.87%	1.419	+2.94%	0.0334	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.3959	+0.64%	1.448	+4.40%	0.0457	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.3965	+0.61%	1.4235	+2.56%	0.0226	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.4953	+0.02%	1.413	-5.48%	0.0560	✗	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.5021	-0.26%	1.3835	-8.13%	0.0930	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.5172	-0.29%	1.3995	-8.02%	0.0763	✓	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.4232	-1.20%	1.411	-2.05%	0.0729	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4165	-2.04%	1.3785	-4.67%	0.1342	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3498	-2.12%	1.387	+0.58%	0.1296	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3585	-1.77%	1.388	+0.36%	0.1490	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3485	-2.04%	1.495	+8.61%	0.0774	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.2997	-2.13%	1.506	+13.40%	0.0216	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2751	-2.25%	1.5215	+16.63%	0.0045	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2851	-2.27%	1.4405	+9.54%	0.0023	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2741	-2.07%	1.446	+11.15%	0.0535	✗	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.3227	-1.54%	1.379	+2.64%	0.0270	✗	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3506	-1.63%	1.383	+0.73%	0.0170	✗	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.3154	-1.32%	1.3765	+3.26%	0.0702	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3887	-1.20%	1.328	-5.51%	0.0213	✓	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.2975	-1.07%	1.3045	-0.53%	0.0296	✗	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3485	-1.14%	1.315	-3.59%	0.0144	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4386	-1.43%	1.301	-10.86%	0.0852	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.4864	-1.72%	1.3435	-11.17%	0.0945	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.5092	-1.97%	1.373	-10.82%	0.1004	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.6729	-3.30%	1.333	-22.95%	0.2445	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.429	-1.85%	1.4055	-3.47%	0.0413	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3896	-1.87%	1.3115	-7.38%	0.0816	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.4024	-2.31%	1.364	-4.98%	0.0225	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3386	-2.18%	1.4595	+6.65%	0.0790	✗	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.3055	-2.13%	1.5125	+13.38%	0.1450	✗	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2446	-1.34%	1.5395	+22.04%	0.2150	✗	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.2981	-1.66%	1.73	+31.06%	0.3053	✗	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2543	-1.90%	1.456	+13.88%	0.1643	✗	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1402	-1.36%	1.416	+22.49%	0.2287	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1414	-1.48%	1.4355	+23.91%	0.2324	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2218	-1.43%	1.3685	+10.41%	0.1337	✗	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.1913	-1.18%	1.334	+10.66%	0.1378	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.1942	-0.98%	1.2615	+4.60%	0.0704	✗	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2655	-1.17%	1.32	+3.08%	0.0351	✗	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.3061	-1.31%	1.2785	-3.40%	0.0158	✓	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3448	-1.63%	1.156	-15.44%	0.1534	✓	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.37	-1.55%	1.1585	-16.74%	0.1814	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.455	-1.79%	1.2395	-16.33%	0.1739	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.3751	-2.09%	1.2055	-14.17%	0.1471	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.3809	-1.36%	1.206	-13.86%	0.1679	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.3991	-1.95%	1.2805	-10.27%	0.0989	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.4293	-1.46%	1.3235	-8.76%	0.0874	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4572	-1.97%	1.367	-8.04%	0.0615	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.505	-2.08%	1.3915	-9.47%	0.0848	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.5052	-0.55%	1.4815	-2.11%	0.0413	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5455	-0.71%	1.4045	-9.77%	0.1127	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.6022	-1.07%	1.4	-13.55%	0.1170	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.5847	-1.02%	1.427	-10.87%	0.1065	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6387	-1.05%	1.4505	-12.41%	0.1292	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6614	-1.08%	1.4865	-11.49%	0.1282	✓	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.7107	-1.15%	1.537	-11.18%	0.1256	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.7352	-1.02%	1.5135	-13.66%	0.1630	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.704	-1.07%	1.5565	-9.64%	0.1468	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5648	+0.02%	1.6195	+3.52%	0.0156	✗	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.6188	+0.11%	1.601	-0.99%	0.0654	✗	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.6198	+0.54%	1.656	+2.79%	0.0194	✗	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6926	+0.04%	1.6795	-0.74%	0.0411	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.7126	+0.44%	1.7305	+1.50%	0.0135	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.707	+0.06%	1.753	+2.75%	0.0413	✓	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.7984	-0.80%	1.7225	-4.99%	0.0127	✗	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.8817	-1.07%	1.5645	-17.74%	0.1354	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8789	-1.14%	1.617	-14.92%	0.1008	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.8689	-1.06%	1.611	-14.72%	0.0915	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.9056	-1.03%	1.692	-12.13%	0.0720	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9686	-1.52%	1.705	-14.71%	0.1002	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.9882	-1.67%	1.706	-15.63%	0.1065	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	2.0231	-2.01%	1.813	-12.18%	0.0702	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.0478	-1.93%	1.902	-8.91%	0.0410	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.0924	-1.93%	1.9005	-10.92%	0.0615	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.1252	-1.79%	1.889	-12.71%	0.1147	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	1.9964	-1.27%	1.9255	-4.77%	0.0352	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	2.0084	-1.40%	1.999	-1.87%	0.0054	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.9863	-0.76%	2.022	+1.02%	0.0276	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	2.0374	-1.02%	2.0645	+0.29%	0.0456	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.1583	-1.58%	2.088	-4.79%	0.0794	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.1723	-1.97%	2.1335	-3.72%	0.0521	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	2.0242	-0.09%	2.164	+6.81%	0.0202	✗	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.1607	-0.84%	2.022	-7.21%	0.0983	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.1761	-1.13%	2.037	-7.45%	0.0629	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.1756	-1.24%	2.0015	-9.15%	0.0482	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.2122	-1.68%	2.0585	-8.51%	0.0035	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.394	-3.04%	2.193	-11.18%	0.0161	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.276	-2.63%	2.216	-5.20%	0.1109	✗	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.2932	-2.67%	2.026	-14.01%	0.0462	✗	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.3705	-3.13%	2.179	-10.95%	0.0814	✗	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.2772	-2.27%	2.201	-5.54%	0.0942	✗	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.5112	-3.10%	2.203	-14.99%	0.0046	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.6134	-3.46%	2.25	-16.88%	0.0427	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.8442	-3.93%	2.469	-16.60%	0.0734	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.6629	-3.34%	2.3375	-15.15%	0.0911	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.8128	-4.52%	2.356	-20.03%	0.1434	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.8373	-3.46%	2.447	-16.74%	0.1234	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.199	-5.09%	2.33	-30.87%	0.2740	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.4022	-6.42%	2.5915	-28.72%	0.2388	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.1305	-6.54%	2.707	-19.18%	0.1357	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.7127	-4.16%	2.9605	+4.59%	0.0841	✗	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.5889	-2.58%	2.755	+3.67%	0.0668	✗	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.5503	-2.44%	2.946	+12.70%	0.1599	✗	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3427	-2.00%	2.939	+22.94%	0.2678	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.4701	-2.89%	3.3705	+32.51%	0.3495	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4332	-3.60%	3.6355	+44.04%	0.4217	✗	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.1678	-2.09%	3.3495	+51.29%	0.4800	✗	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.2769	-1.86%	2.8305	+22.00%	0.2741	✗	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.4047	-1.16%	2.6575	+9.23%	0.1551	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3053	-1.48%	2.614	+11.71%	0.1550	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.3349	-2.87%	2.3905	-0.56%	0.0363	✗	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.1528	-1.36%	2.5435	+16.54%	0.1551	✗	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.1045	-0.33%	2.524	+19.54%	0.2048	✗	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.0974	-1.14%	2.214	+4.36%	0.0581	✗	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.108	-0.33%	2.32	+9.69%	0.0784	✗	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1145	-1.10%	2.433	+13.80%	0.1063	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.1179	-1.40%	2.34	+8.94%	0.0811	✗	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.142	-1.47%	2.404	+10.58%	0.0968	✗	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.2541	-0.24%	2.1825	-3.41%	0.0687	✓	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.2655	-0.16%	2.1115	-6.94%	0.1262	✓	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2596	-0.11%	2.1215	-6.21%	0.1076	✓	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.2716	+0.05%	2.115	-6.85%	0.0956	✗	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.3675	+0.07%	2.138	-9.64%	0.1009	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.3525	-0.06%	2.148	-8.75%	0.1011	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.4529	-0.13%	2.174	-11.48%	0.1284	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.5898	-0.34%	2.2595	-13.05%	0.1167	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.7556	-0.91%	2.269	-18.41%	0.1696	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.5467	-1.50%	2.262	-12.51%	0.1182	✓	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.4443	-1.26%	2.2705	-8.28%	0.0885	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.3663	-1.12%	2.366	-1.13%	0.0470	✓	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.4191	-1.04%	2.354	-3.70%	0.0458	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.2759	-0.53%	2.456	+7.34%	0.0726	✗	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.283	-1.38%	2.5985	+12.25%	0.0984	✗	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.1878	-0.31%	2.781	+26.73%	0.2064	✗	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.1473	-0.40%	2.5855	+19.92%	0.1637	✗	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.224	-0.78%	2.4755	+10.44%	0.0928	✗	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.212	-1.01%	2.393	+7.09%	0.0452	✗	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.2808	-1.58%	2.4445	+5.48%	0.0414	✗	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.2613	-0.73%	2.288	+0.44%	0.0314	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3666	-1.33%	2.315	-3.48%	0.0588	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.304	-0.67%	2.1945	-5.39%	0.0896	✓	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3667	-0.87%	2.156	-9.70%	0.1179	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.2967	-0.83%	2.2415	-3.22%	0.0857	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3357	-1.43%	2.2345	-5.70%	0.0640	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.3149	-1.30%	2.3175	-1.19%	0.0661	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.3718	-0.80%	2.278	-4.73%	0.1108	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.4036	-0.33%	2.3985	-0.54%	0.0597	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4909	-0.52%	2.3195	-7.37%	0.1060	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5885	-0.67%	2.3875	-8.38%	0.1240	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5836	-0.88%	2.316	-11.15%	0.1350	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.6203	-0.43%	2.3695	-9.96%	0.1378	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.6573	-0.59%	2.3455	-12.25%	0.1368	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.5904	-0.56%	2.391	-8.21%	0.0876	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.7892	-1.04%	2.4115	-14.44%	0.1230	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.8104	-1.11%	2.504	-11.89%	0.0779	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.7938	-0.86%	2.606	-7.52%	0.0422	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.7161	-0.63%	2.6065	-4.65%	0.0083	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.5993	-0.81%	2.6315	+0.42%	0.0354	✗	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.6293	-0.91%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0478	✗	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6765	-0.56%	2.605	-3.21%	0.0225	✗	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.7227	-0.30%	2.8185	+3.20%	0.0482	✗	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.8203	-0.59%	2.842	+0.18%	0.0070	✗	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.0921	-1.85%	2.818	-10.55%	0.0546	✓	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	2.9504	-1.06%	2.7335	-8.33%	0.0307	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.7675	-0.41%	2.6205	-5.70%	0.0025	✓	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7302	-0.14%	2.6535	-2.94%	0.0018	✓	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.6589	+0.15%	2.6915	+1.37%	0.0173	✓	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.6074	+0.28%	2.731	+5.04%	0.0534	✓	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.5778	+0.34%	2.837	+10.43%	0.0840	✓	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.5347	+0.32%	3.1505	+24.70%	0.1732	✓	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5428	+0.21%	2.982	+17.52%	0.0865	✓	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5595	+0.06%	2.779	+8.64%	0.0003	✓	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.5169	+0.45%	2.734	+9.12%	0.0344	✓	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.6022	+0.03%	2.655	+2.06%	0.0141	✗	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7315	-0.31%	2.6	-5.11%	0.0451	✓	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.8373	-1.24%	2.569	-10.58%	0.0706	✓	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.687	-0.26%	2.5265	-6.22%	0.0807	✓	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6619	+0.20%	2.5375	-4.48%	0.0432	✗	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.6333	+0.49%	2.558	-2.39%	0.0317	✗	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.7196	-0.40%	2.5055	-8.24%	0.0858	✓	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.702	+0.39%	2.6015	-3.34%	0.0670	✗	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.6555	+0.07%	2.74	+3.26%	0.0118	✗	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6297	-0.05%	2.873	+9.20%	0.0298	✗	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.4371	+1.32%	2.694	+11.99%	0.0462	✓	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.6267	+0.83%	2.6565	+1.98%	0.0404	✗	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7322	-0.27%	2.6205	-4.34%	0.0191	✓	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.6831	+0.68%	2.7305	+2.46%	0.0295	✓	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.675	+0.71%	2.6915	+1.34%	0.0320	✓	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.6408	+1.04%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0014	✓	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7553	+1.41%	2.631	-3.17%	0.0654	✗	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.9422	+0.79%	2.4055	-17.59%	0.1604	✗	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.9459	+0.65%	2.605	-11.00%	0.0722	✗	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.9783	+0.40%	2.7395	-7.65%	0.0698	✗	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.1055	+0.27%	2.665	-13.95%	0.1318	✗	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.9311	+0.83%	2.656	-8.63%	0.0891	✗	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.8649	+1.81%	2.6135	-7.13%	0.1007	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	3.0219	+0.97%	2.717	-9.22%	0.0996	✗	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.0671	-0.03%	2.919	-4.86%	0.0350	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.0985	+0.88%	2.927	-4.70%	0.0437	✗	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.2724	+0.53%	2.9665	-8.86%	0.0819	✗	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.4284	+0.14%	3.097	-9.54%	0.1075	✗	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.3473	+0.49%	2.907	-12.73%	0.1207	✗	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.1748	+3.28%	2.814	-8.46%	0.1655	✗	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.3692	+0.69%	2.993	-10.55%	0.0200	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.3845	+0.73%	3.068	-8.69%	0.0097	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.4753	+0.63%	3.0715	-11.06%	0.0099	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.4658	+1.07%	3.255	-5.07%	0.0453	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.5605	+0.38%	3.4235	-3.48%	0.1160	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.7435	-0.20%	3.331	-11.20%	0.1064	✗	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.8965	-0.70%	3.074	-21.66%	0.1425	✗	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	4.0273	-0.47%	3.346	-17.31%	0.0790	✗	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.194	-0.70%	3.36	-20.45%	0.0031	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.1742	-0.59%	3.4535	-17.75%	0.0387	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	4.0028	-0.12%	3.429	-14.44%	0.0006	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.1926	-0.44%	3.547	-15.77%	0.0061	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.1649	-0.43%	3.751	-10.33%	0.0243	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.3086	-0.54%	3.924	-9.42%	0.0197	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.5569	-0.78%	4.0465	-11.89%	0.1159	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.4853	-0.77%	4.2235	-6.56%	0.0717	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.5783	-0.81%	4.199	-9.02%	0.0231	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.8393	-1.24%	4.0075	-18.21%	0.0851	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.918	-1.11%	4.211	-15.32%	0.0697	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.926	-1.00%	4.183	-15.93%	0.0782	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	5.0464	-1.16%	4.332	-15.15%	0.0662	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.3452	-1.50%	4.5925	-15.37%	0.0455	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.364	-1.85%	4.52	-17.29%	0.0714	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	5.1161	-1.89%	4.6155	-11.49%	0.1224	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.3576	-3.46%	4.9	-11.70%	0.1286	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.9218	-3.10%	4.973	-2.09%	0.0557	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	5.1075	-2.11%	4.9755	-4.64%	0.0985	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.8231	-3.19%	5.1055	+2.48%	0.0068	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.89	-3.59%	5.4265	+6.99%	0.0062	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.892	-3.63%	5.465	+7.66%	0.0818	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.0287	-3.63%	5.2145	-0.07%	0.0840	✗	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.5908	-3.29%	5.5495	+16.91%	0.2006	✗	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.6027	-2.69%	5.079	+7.38%	0.1024	✗	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.6831	-3.00%	5.2175	+8.07%	0.0981	✗	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.5938	-2.92%	4.982	+5.28%	0.0401	✗	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.5132	-1.23%	5.072	+11.00%	0.0493	✗	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.5791	-1.37%	5.076	+9.34%	0.0100	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.6086	-1.22%	5.218	+11.84%	0.0052	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.727	-1.52%	4.747	-1.10%	0.0599	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.8529	-2.97%	4.73	-5.43%	0.0746	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.5192	-1.18%	4.828	+5.58%	0.0198	✗	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.6856	-2.13%	4.732	-1.16%	0.0176	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.8884	-1.38%	4.5695	-7.82%	0.0655	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.7591	-1.25%	4.6425	-3.67%	0.0418	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.7691	-1.38%	4.6655	-3.53%	0.0034	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.747	-1.53%	4.8	-0.44%	0.0244	✗	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.8003	-1.67%	5.0015	+2.45%	0.0501	✗	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.834	-1.50%	4.573	-6.82%	0.0414	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.4891	-0.45%	4.7875	+6.16%	0.0342	✗	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.5391	-1.14%	4.957	+7.96%	0.0636	✗	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.7802	-1.00%	4.8195	-0.19%	0.0155	✗	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.8156	-1.16%	4.836	-0.74%	0.0332	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	5.023	-0.45%	4.821	-4.46%	0.0491	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.1953	-0.83%	4.882	-6.81%	0.0294	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.243	-0.99%	4.9075	-7.33%	0.0289	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.419	-1.24%	4.5095	-17.81%	0.0626	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.5341	-2.09%	4.5915	-18.76%	0.0865	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.6812	-1.21%	4.8285	-16.04%	0.0808	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.4466	-0.82%	4.872	-11.28%	0.0389	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.4697	-0.86%	5.046	-8.54%	0.0427	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.5613	-0.49%	5.239	-6.26%	0.0765	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.5055	-0.43%	5.2955	-4.23%	0.0547	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.6999	-0.90%	5.487	-4.61%	0.0455	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.8216	-1.18%	5.652	-4.06%	0.0062	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	6.0185	-1.33%	5.751	-5.71%	0.0690	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.5284	+0.43%	5.4915	-0.24%	0.0828	✗	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.9023	+0.06%	5.517	-6.48%	0.0681	✗	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.9721	+0.04%	5.589	-6.37%	0.0399	✗	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.9048	+0.31%	5.5295	-6.06%	0.0393	✗	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.9757	+0.22%	5.752	-3.53%	0.0510	✗	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	6.1125	+0.13%	5.891	-3.50%	0.0841	✗	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	6.1214	+0.24%	6.0995	-0.11%	0.0710	✗	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.2837	+0.39%	5.5045	-12.05%	0.0980	✗	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.2743	+0.60%	5.899	-5.42%	0.1237	✗	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.3081	+0.98%	5.9695	-4.44%	0.1664	✗	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.4909	+0.84%	5.8865	-8.55%	0.2028	✗	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.8165	+0.38%	5.9625	-12.19%	0.2180	✗	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.9275	-0.36%	6.1045	-12.20%	0.1086	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	7.1548	-0.86%	6.1065	-15.38%	0.0575	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	7.2037	-0.82%	6.259	-13.83%	0.0712	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.4239	-0.75%	6.237	-16.62%	0.0428	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.6241	-1.10%	6.247	-18.96%	0.0052	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.7939	-1.60%	6.4365	-18.74%	0.0204	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.7883	-1.94%	6.7905	-14.50%	0.1086	✗	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.8062	-2.70%	6.9525	-13.34%	0.0704	✗	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.9095	-1.67%	7.2165	-10.29%	0.0857	✗	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.4685	-2.50%	7.2635	-16.37%	0.0816	✗	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.8998	-4.41%	7.48	-19.66%	0.0084	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.6179	-2.03%	7.709	-0.86%	0.1227	✗	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.9443	-3.85%	7.9205	-4.13%	0.1387	✗	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.3373	-0.32%	7.9425	+24.93%	0.2500	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.9983	+0.20%	8.0225	+34.01%	0.3236	✓	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.8347	+0.57%	8.044	+38.65%	0.2982	✓	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.325	-0.41%	8.6855	+36.76%	0.3253	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.7905	-0.64%	9.31	+36.22%	0.3962	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.7473	-0.75%	7.776	+14.39%	0.2514	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.309	-0.39%	8.262	+30.45%	0.3572	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.4091	-0.45%	6.3575	-1.25%	0.0919	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.735	-0.85%	5.9865	-11.87%	0.0335	✓	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.7145	-0.69%	5.8015	-14.19%	0.0140	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.9066	-1.04%	6.351	-9.00%	0.0183	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.7624	-1.25%	6.8345	-0.20%	0.0640	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.5285	-0.76%	6.798	+3.34%	0.0625	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.6817	-1.01%	6.3335	-6.16%	0.0330	✓	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.805	-1.35%	6.438	-6.67%	0.0301	✓	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.7976	-0.95%	6.7925	-1.02%	0.0356	✓	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.9707	-0.12%	6.761	-3.12%	0.0943	✓	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.1634	-0.33%	6.979	-2.90%	0.0753	✓	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.2277	-0.34%	6.848	-5.58%	0.1355	✓	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	7.0926	-0.09%	6.5785	-7.33%	0.1382	✓	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	7.122	-0.13%	6.7495	-5.36%	0.1186	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.4375	-0.91%	6.898	-8.10%	0.1022	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.4218	-1.05%	6.8625	-8.51%	0.0331	✓	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.5334	-0.80%	6.979	-8.10%	0.0105	✓	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.7368	-0.78%	7.1875	-7.83%	0.0082	✓	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.7142	-1.09%	7.2525	-7.01%	0.0267	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	7.0168	-0.77%	7.099	+0.39%	0.0595	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.5233	+0.15%	7.1315	+9.49%	0.1837	✓	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.5813	-1.14%	7.506	-13.53%	0.0153	✓	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.8211	-0.95%	7.5005	-15.78%	0.0515	✓	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.6506	-1.15%	7.594	-13.22%	0.0620	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.839	-1.26%	7.798	-12.89%	0.0455	✓	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.5191	-1.16%	7.799	-9.52%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.3962	-1.71%	7.0715	-17.22%	0.0714	✓	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.6121	-1.31%	6.5135	-25.36%	0.1999	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.6592	-1.45%	8.6805	-1.21%	0.0067	✓	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.513	-1.42%	8.906	+3.13%	0.0057	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.0868	-1.34%	8.751	+6.77%	0.0175	✗	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.3252	-1.53%	8.952	+5.88%	0.0159	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.5425	-1.79%	8.6195	-0.90%	0.0950	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.4065	-1.85%	8.5425	-0.26%	0.1036	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.5738	-2.10%	8.7265	-0.35%	0.1004	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.3712	-1.90%	8.787	+2.98%	0.0604	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.8768	-2.26%	8.6355	-4.92%	0.0752	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.8344	-2.50%	8.1965	-9.54%	0.0940	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.8366	-3.08%	8.4545	-7.27%	0.0589	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.3695	-2.69%	8.698	-9.66%	0.0469	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.2131	-3.35%	8.565	-10.14%	0.0176	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.298	-3.11%	8.7575	-8.74%	0.0039	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.577	-2.91%	8.533	-13.49%	0.0395	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.5695	-2.52%	9.082	-7.49%	0.0235	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.