XCH

Chia · native · gru_s1

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0299

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0032

actual -0.0031

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.4712	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.5042	-0.51%	1.4765	-2.35%	0.0161	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5602	-0.46%	1.512	-3.54%	0.0429	✓	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5631	-0.44%	1.5675	-0.16%	0.0045	✗	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5944	-0.57%	1.57	-2.09%	0.0219	✓	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5964	-0.32%	1.6035	+0.12%	0.0057	✗	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5907	-0.36%	1.6015	+0.31%	0.0131	✗	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.5706	-0.34%	1.5965	+1.30%	0.0107	✗	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.6194	-0.74%	1.576	-3.40%	0.0113	✓	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5784	-0.48%	1.6315	+2.87%	0.0193	✗	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5792	-0.71%	1.586	-0.28%	0.0233	✗	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5834	-0.64%	1.5905	-0.19%	0.0030	✓	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.5061	-0.98%	1.5935	+4.77%	0.0528	✗	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.46	-0.61%	1.521	+3.54%	0.0325	✗	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4852	-0.65%	1.469	-1.74%	0.0043	✓	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.5625	-0.32%	1.495	-4.63%	0.0233	✓	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5779	-0.35%	1.5675	-1.01%	0.0047	✓	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.58	-0.35%	1.5835	-0.13%	0.0092	✗	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.5685	-0.38%	1.5855	+0.70%	0.0057	✓	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.5245	-0.62%	1.5745	+2.64%	0.0300	✗	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5911	-0.50%	1.534	-4.07%	0.0333	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.6128	-0.75%	1.599	-1.60%	0.0206	✓	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5857	-0.46%	1.625	+2.01%	0.0253	✗	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.5419	-1.03%	1.593	+2.25%	0.0309	✗	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5708	-0.55%	1.558	-1.36%	0.0002	✓	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.6433	-0.35%	1.5795	-4.21%	0.0400	✓	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.647	-0.39%	1.649	-0.27%	0.0013	✓	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.6231	-0.42%	1.6535	+1.44%	0.0209	✗	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.5326	-0.74%	1.63	+5.57%	0.0616	✗	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.62	-0.37%	1.544	-5.04%	0.0345	✓	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.7032	-1.03%	1.626	-5.52%	0.0434	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.5325	-0.45%	1.721	+11.79%	0.0804	✗	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.527	-0.55%	1.5395	+0.26%	0.0086	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4975	-0.46%	1.5355	+2.06%	0.0227	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.4069	-1.03%	1.5045	+5.84%	0.0394	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3767	-0.27%	1.4215	+2.97%	0.0307	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.362	-0.37%	1.3805	+0.99%	0.0100	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.4688	-0.15%	1.367	-7.07%	0.0579	✓	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4762	-0.19%	1.471	-0.54%	0.0109	✓	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4909	-0.21%	1.479	-1.00%	0.0055	✓	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4875	-0.10%	1.494	+0.34%	0.0041	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4916	-0.10%	1.489	-0.27%	0.0055	✓	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5688	-0.11%	1.493	-4.93%	0.0405	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.6151	-0.21%	1.5705	-2.97%	0.0272	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.6389	-0.37%	1.6185	-1.61%	0.0092	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.4943	+0.05%	1.645	+10.14%	0.1040	✓	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4511	+0.11%	1.4935	+3.04%	0.0256	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.417	+0.07%	1.4495	+2.37%	0.0215	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.4404	-0.04%	1.416	-1.73%	0.0054	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4154	-0.25%	1.441	+1.55%	0.0106	✓	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.441	-0.48%	1.419	-2.00%	0.0147	✓	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.422	-0.10%	1.448	+1.72%	0.0267	✗	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4116	-0.10%	1.4235	+0.74%	0.0008	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.3821	-0.10%	1.413	+2.13%	0.0265	✗	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.3992	-0.02%	1.3835	-1.14%	0.0143	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.4111	+0.01%	1.3995	-0.82%	0.0104	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.3794	+0.07%	1.411	+2.36%	0.0133	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.3873	+0.02%	1.3785	-0.61%	0.0103	✗	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.3879	-0.01%	1.387	-0.07%	0.0031	✗	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.493	-0.13%	1.388	-7.16%	0.0841	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.5025	-0.23%	1.495	-0.73%	0.0112	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.5161	-0.35%	1.506	-1.02%	0.0048	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.4345	-0.41%	1.5215	+5.62%	0.0112	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4393	-0.46%	1.4405	-0.38%	0.0417	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3743	-0.34%	1.446	+4.86%	0.0050	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.378	-0.36%	1.379	-0.29%	0.0019	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3714	-0.37%	1.383	+0.47%	0.0134	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.3236	-0.33%	1.3765	+3.65%	0.0416	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.3	-0.35%	1.328	+1.80%	0.0208	✗	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.3105	-0.34%	1.3045	-0.80%	0.0011	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2971	-0.30%	1.315	+1.08%	0.0135	✗	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.3397	-0.28%	1.301	-3.16%	0.0278	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3683	-0.34%	1.3435	-2.15%	0.0138	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.3308	-0.17%	1.373	+3.00%	0.0427	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.4033	-0.16%	1.333	-5.16%	0.0507	✓	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.3104	-0.09%	1.4055	+7.17%	0.0699	✗	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3621	-0.14%	1.3115	-3.85%	0.0458	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4557	-0.26%	1.364	-6.54%	0.0608	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.5071	-0.35%	1.4595	-3.50%	0.0391	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.5331	-0.41%	1.5125	-1.75%	0.0211	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.7116	-1.06%	1.5395	-11.01%	0.1055	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.451	-0.34%	1.73	+18.82%	0.1673	✗	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.4106	-0.38%	1.456	+2.82%	0.0324	✗	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.4247	-0.76%	1.416	-1.36%	0.0159	✗	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3595	-0.66%	1.4355	+4.90%	0.0458	✗	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.3247	-0.69%	1.3685	+2.59%	0.0320	✗	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.259	-0.20%	1.334	+5.75%	0.0563	✗	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.3149	-0.39%	1.2615	-4.43%	0.0253	✓	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2716	-0.54%	1.32	+3.25%	0.0272	✗	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1529	-0.27%	1.2785	+10.60%	0.1014	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1544	-0.35%	1.156	-0.22%	0.0106	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2339	-0.45%	1.1585	-6.53%	0.0535	✓	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.2029	-0.22%	1.2395	+2.82%	0.0339	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.2048	-0.10%	1.2055	-0.04%	0.0125	✓	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2786	-0.15%	1.206	-5.82%	0.0642	✓	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.3207	-0.21%	1.2805	-3.25%	0.0297	✓	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3615	-0.41%	1.3235	-3.18%	0.0385	✓	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.3867	-0.34%	1.367	-1.76%	0.0156	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4746	-0.47%	1.3915	-6.07%	0.0484	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.3944	-0.72%	1.4815	+5.48%	0.0634	✗	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.396	-0.28%	1.4045	+0.32%	0.0240	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.4181	-0.62%	1.4	-1.89%	0.0037	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.4463	-0.29%	1.427	-1.62%	0.0131	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4775	-0.60%	1.4505	-2.42%	0.0147	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.5267	-0.67%	1.4865	-3.29%	0.0370	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.5126	-0.06%	1.537	+1.55%	0.0063	✗	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5551	-0.09%	1.5135	-2.76%	0.0158	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.6169	-0.16%	1.5565	-3.89%	0.0311	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.5989	-0.13%	1.6195	+1.16%	0.0085	✗	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6537	-0.14%	1.601	-3.32%	0.0376	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.677	-0.15%	1.656	-1.40%	0.0186	✓	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.7266	-0.22%	1.6795	-2.95%	0.0391	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.7495	-0.20%	1.7305	-1.28%	0.0286	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.7154	-0.41%	1.753	+1.77%	0.0044	✗	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5659	+0.09%	1.7225	+10.10%	0.1177	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.6188	+0.11%	1.5645	-3.25%	0.0435	✗	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.6139	+0.18%	1.617	+0.37%	0.0082	✓	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6928	+0.05%	1.611	-4.79%	0.0486	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.7075	+0.15%	1.692	-0.76%	0.0132	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.7075	+0.09%	1.705	-0.06%	0.0170	✓	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.8116	-0.08%	1.706	-5.90%	0.0380	✓	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.8992	-0.15%	1.813	-4.68%	0.0298	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8965	-0.21%	1.902	+0.08%	0.0061	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.887	-0.11%	1.9005	+0.61%	0.0199	✗	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.923	-0.13%	1.889	-1.90%	0.0276	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9922	-0.34%	1.9255	-3.68%	0.0420	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	2.0151	-0.34%	1.999	-1.14%	0.0128	✗	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	2.0554	-0.44%	2.022	-2.06%	0.0010	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.079	-0.43%	2.0645	-1.13%	0.0022	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.1265	-0.33%	2.088	-2.13%	0.0261	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.1579	-0.28%	2.1335	-1.41%	0.0302	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	2.0189	-0.16%	2.164	+7.02%	0.0564	✗	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	2.0328	-0.20%	2.022	-0.74%	0.0050	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	2.0007	-0.04%	2.037	+1.77%	0.0143	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	2.0561	-0.11%	2.0015	-2.77%	0.0232	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.1888	-0.19%	2.0585	-6.13%	0.0408	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.2072	-0.40%	2.193	-1.04%	0.0030	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	2.0285	+0.12%	2.216	+9.38%	0.0562	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.1767	-0.11%	2.026	-7.02%	0.0694	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.1992	-0.08%	2.179	-1.00%	0.0278	✗	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.1996	-0.15%	2.201	-0.09%	0.0037	✗	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.2465	-0.16%	2.203	-2.09%	0.0159	✗	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.4578	-0.45%	2.25	-8.87%	0.0314	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.3291	-0.36%	2.469	+5.63%	0.0869	✗	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.3484	-0.32%	2.3375	-0.79%	0.0023	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.4342	-0.52%	2.356	-3.72%	0.0376	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.324	-0.26%	2.447	+5.02%	0.0534	✗	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.5789	-0.49%	2.33	-10.09%	0.0923	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.6903	-0.62%	2.5915	-4.27%	0.0207	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.9373	-0.79%	2.707	-8.56%	0.0658	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.7392	-0.57%	2.9605	+7.46%	0.0746	✗	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.9081	-1.29%	2.755	-6.48%	0.0578	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.9221	-0.58%	2.946	+0.24%	0.0058	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.3199	-1.50%	2.939	-12.80%	0.0998	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.5538	-2.25%	3.3705	-7.29%	0.0537	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.2687	-2.41%	3.6355	+8.54%	0.0992	✗	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.7935	-1.31%	3.3495	+18.34%	0.1834	✗	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.64	-0.66%	2.8305	+6.51%	0.0746	✗	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.5961	-0.69%	2.6575	+1.66%	0.0309	✗	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3733	-0.72%	2.614	+9.35%	0.1072	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.5097	-1.33%	2.3905	-6.02%	0.0267	✓	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4819	-1.67%	2.5435	+0.77%	0.0050	✓	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.1926	-0.97%	2.524	+14.00%	0.1550	✗	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.2976	-0.97%	2.214	-4.57%	0.0227	✓	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.4248	-0.34%	2.32	-4.64%	0.0389	✓	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3296	-0.45%	2.433	+3.97%	0.0261	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.3754	-1.19%	2.34	-2.66%	0.0202	✓	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.1713	-0.51%	2.404	+10.15%	0.0998	✗	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.1056	-0.28%	2.1825	+3.36%	0.0512	✗	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.1056	-0.75%	2.1115	-0.47%	0.0022	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.111	-0.19%	2.1215	+0.31%	0.0049	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1264	-0.54%	2.115	-1.08%	0.0176	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.1328	-0.71%	2.138	-0.47%	0.0036	✓	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.1588	-0.70%	2.148	-1.20%	0.0093	✓	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.2563	-0.14%	2.174	-3.78%	0.0564	✓	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.2678	-0.05%	2.2595	-0.42%	0.0093	✓	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2606	-0.06%	2.269	+0.31%	0.0094	✗	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.2691	-0.06%	2.262	-0.37%	0.0072	✗	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.365	-0.04%	2.2705	-4.04%	0.0280	✓	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.3528	-0.05%	2.366	+0.51%	0.0045	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.4537	-0.09%	2.354	-4.15%	0.0434	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.5925	-0.23%	2.456	-5.48%	0.0460	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.7662	-0.53%	2.5985	-6.56%	0.0633	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.5652	-0.78%	2.781	+7.56%	0.0626	✗	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.4602	-0.62%	2.5855	+4.44%	0.0449	✗	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.3807	-0.51%	2.4755	+3.45%	0.0189	✗	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.4325	-0.49%	2.393	-2.11%	0.0026	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.2826	-0.24%	2.4445	+6.84%	0.0820	✗	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.2999	-0.65%	2.288	-1.17%	0.0246	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.1936	-0.04%	2.315	+5.49%	0.0506	✗	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.1546	-0.06%	2.1945	+1.79%	0.0116	✗	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.2361	-0.24%	2.156	-3.81%	0.0338	✓	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.2288	-0.25%	2.2415	+0.31%	0.0344	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.3034	-0.61%	2.2345	-3.58%	0.0050	✓	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.2753	-0.12%	2.3175	+1.73%	0.0174	✗	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3898	-0.36%	2.278	-5.02%	0.0612	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.3146	-0.21%	2.3985	+3.41%	0.0277	✗	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3812	-0.26%	2.3195	-2.85%	0.0171	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.3125	-0.15%	2.3875	+3.09%	0.0022	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3578	-0.49%	2.316	-2.26%	0.0162	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.3356	-0.42%	2.3695	+1.02%	0.0061	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.3886	-0.10%	2.3455	-1.90%	0.0222	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.4118	+0.01%	2.391	-0.85%	0.0094	✗	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.5032	-0.03%	2.4115	-3.69%	0.0227	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.6033	-0.11%	2.504	-3.91%	0.0376	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5997	-0.26%	2.606	-0.02%	0.0157	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.6304	-0.04%	2.6065	-0.95%	0.0188	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.6703	-0.10%	2.6315	-1.55%	0.0101	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.6018	-0.12%	2.673	+2.61%	0.0274	✗	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.8085	-0.35%	2.605	-7.57%	0.0462	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.8296	-0.44%	2.8185	-0.83%	0.0258	✗	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.81	-0.28%	2.842	+0.85%	0.0024	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.7275	-0.22%	2.818	+3.09%	0.0366	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.6102	-0.39%	2.7335	+4.31%	0.0105	✗	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.6412	-0.46%	2.6205	-1.24%	0.0049	✗	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6853	-0.23%	2.6535	-1.41%	0.0067	✗	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.7299	-0.04%	2.6915	-1.45%	0.0209	✓	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.8329	-0.15%	2.731	-3.74%	0.0208	✓	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.1253	-0.80%	2.837	-9.95%	0.0667	✓	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	2.9672	-0.50%	3.1505	+5.65%	0.0705	✗	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.7736	-0.19%	2.982	+7.30%	0.0500	✗	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7325	-0.06%	2.779	+1.65%	0.0010	✓	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.6563	+0.05%	2.734	+2.98%	0.0256	✓	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.6021	+0.08%	2.655	+2.12%	0.0154	✓	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.5712	+0.08%	2.6	+1.21%	0.0074	✓	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.5287	+0.09%	2.569	+1.68%	0.0130	✓	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5381	+0.02%	2.5265	-0.43%	0.0224	✗	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5545	-0.14%	2.5375	-0.80%	0.0373	✓	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.5069	+0.06%	2.558	+2.10%	0.0365	✓	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.5985	-0.11%	2.5055	-3.69%	0.0260	✓	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7357	-0.16%	2.6015	-5.05%	0.0170	✓	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.8545	-0.65%	2.74	-4.63%	0.0202	✓	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.6879	-0.23%	2.873	+6.64%	0.0164	✗	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6578	+0.05%	2.694	+1.41%	0.0193	✓	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.6226	+0.08%	2.6565	+1.37%	0.0262	✗	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.721	-0.35%	2.6205	-4.03%	0.0219	✓	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.6935	+0.07%	2.7305	+1.45%	0.0008	✗	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.652	-0.06%	2.6915	+1.43%	0.0363	✗	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6254	-0.21%	2.6535	+0.86%	0.0172	✗	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.4077	+0.09%	2.631	+9.37%	0.0389	✓	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.6059	+0.03%	2.4055	-7.66%	0.0729	✗	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7281	-0.42%	2.605	-4.91%	0.0092	✓	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.6673	+0.09%	2.7395	+2.80%	0.0308	✓	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.6594	+0.13%	2.665	+0.34%	0.0025	✓	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.6175	+0.15%	2.656	+1.63%	0.0025	✓	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7257	+0.32%	2.6135	-3.81%	0.0488	✗	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.9252	+0.21%	2.717	-6.92%	0.0614	✗	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.9324	+0.18%	2.919	-0.27%	0.0118	✓	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.9692	+0.09%	2.927	-1.33%	0.0151	✗	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.1001	+0.10%	2.9665	-4.21%	0.0326	✗	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.9121	+0.18%	3.097	+6.54%	0.0505	✓	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.8244	+0.37%	2.907	+3.30%	0.0010	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	2.9971	+0.14%	2.814	-5.98%	0.0540	✗	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.0595	-0.28%	2.993	-2.44%	0.0026	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.076	+0.15%	3.068	-0.11%	0.0113	✓	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.2583	+0.10%	3.0715	-5.64%	0.0571	✗	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.4188	-0.14%	3.255	-4.92%	0.0603	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.3301	-0.03%	3.4235	+2.78%	0.0428	✗	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.0906	+0.54%	3.331	+8.36%	0.0234	✗	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.3464	+0.01%	3.074	-8.13%	0.0887	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.363	+0.09%	3.346	-0.42%	0.0356	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.4594	+0.17%	3.36	-2.71%	0.0159	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.437	+0.23%	3.4535	+0.71%	0.0226	✗	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.5455	-0.04%	3.429	-3.33%	0.0059	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.7506	-0.01%	3.547	-5.44%	0.0292	✗	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.9165	-0.19%	3.751	-4.41%	0.0371	✓	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	4.0445	-0.05%	3.924	-3.03%	0.0405	✗	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.2183	-0.12%	4.0465	-4.19%	0.0423	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.1941	-0.12%	4.2235	+0.58%	0.0058	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	4.0093	+0.05%	4.199	+4.78%	0.0211	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.2094	-0.04%	4.0075	-4.83%	0.0120	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.1809	-0.05%	4.211	+0.67%	0.0129	✗	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.3275	-0.10%	4.183	-3.44%	0.0341	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.5879	-0.10%	4.332	-5.67%	0.0588	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.5161	-0.09%	4.5925	+1.60%	0.0016	✗	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.6098	-0.12%	4.52	-2.07%	0.0428	✗	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.8859	-0.29%	4.6155	-5.81%	0.0417	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.9635	-0.19%	4.9	-1.47%	0.0076	✗	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.9676	-0.16%	4.973	-0.05%	0.0065	✗	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	5.0959	-0.19%	4.9755	-2.55%	0.0228	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.41	-0.30%	5.1055	-5.92%	0.0394	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.4417	-0.43%	5.4265	-0.70%	0.0240	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	5.1919	-0.43%	5.465	+4.80%	0.0073	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.4803	-1.25%	5.2145	-6.04%	0.0543	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	5.0197	-1.17%	5.5495	+9.26%	0.0932	✗	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	5.186	-0.60%	5.079	-2.65%	0.0187	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.9152	-1.34%	5.2175	+4.73%	0.0670	✗	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.997	-1.48%	4.982	-1.77%	0.0015	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.9991	-1.52%	5.072	-0.08%	0.0580	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.1413	-1.47%	5.076	-2.72%	0.0102	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.6841	-1.32%	5.218	+9.92%	0.0670	✗	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.6767	-1.13%	4.747	+0.36%	0.0009	✓	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.769	-1.22%	4.73	-2.03%	0.0197	✓	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.6767	-1.17%	4.828	+2.03%	0.0099	✓	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.5621	-0.16%	4.732	+3.56%	0.0141	✗	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.633	-0.20%	4.5695	-1.57%	0.0025	✗	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.656	-0.20%	4.6425	-0.49%	0.0263	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.7847	-0.32%	4.6655	-2.80%	0.0113	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.9416	-1.20%	4.8	-4.03%	0.0303	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.5631	-0.22%	5.0015	+9.37%	0.0827	✗	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.7507	-0.77%	4.573	-4.48%	0.0403	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.9464	-0.21%	4.7875	-3.42%	0.0249	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.8106	-0.18%	4.957	+2.85%	0.0268	✗	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.8256	-0.21%	4.8195	-0.34%	0.0185	✗	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.8059	-0.31%	4.836	+0.31%	0.0077	✗	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.8635	-0.38%	4.821	-1.25%	0.0143	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.8861	-0.44%	4.882	-0.52%	0.0049	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.5048	-0.10%	4.9075	+8.83%	0.0395	✗	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.566	-0.55%	4.5095	-1.79%	0.0008	✓	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.8108	-0.37%	4.5915	-4.91%	0.0180	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.8454	-0.55%	4.8285	-0.89%	0.0287	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	5.0443	-0.03%	4.872	-3.45%	0.0043	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.2319	-0.14%	5.046	-3.68%	0.0008	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.2849	-0.20%	5.239	-1.07%	0.0083	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.474	-0.24%	5.2955	-3.49%	0.0045	✗	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.6106	-0.73%	5.487	-2.92%	0.0307	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.7403	-0.19%	5.652	-1.72%	0.0047	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.4863	-0.10%	5.751	+4.73%	0.0134	✗	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.5106	-0.12%	5.4915	-0.46%	0.0077	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.587	-0.04%	5.517	-1.29%	0.0318	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.5287	-0.01%	5.589	+1.08%	0.0122	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.7433	-0.15%	5.5295	-3.87%	0.0084	✗	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.8739	-0.29%	5.752	-2.36%	0.0015	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	6.0777	-0.36%	5.891	-3.42%	0.0676	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.5073	+0.05%	6.0995	+10.81%	0.0149	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.9028	+0.06%	5.5045	-6.69%	0.0010	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.9726	+0.05%	5.899	-1.18%	0.0047	✗	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.8933	+0.12%	5.9695	+1.41%	0.0141	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.9679	+0.09%	5.8865	-1.27%	0.0068	✗	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	6.108	+0.06%	5.9625	-2.33%	0.0377	✗	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	6.1066	+0.00%	6.1045	-0.03%	0.0538	✗	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.2662	+0.12%	6.1065	-2.44%	0.0096	✗	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.2462	+0.15%	6.259	+0.35%	0.0237	✗	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.2604	+0.21%	6.237	-0.16%	0.0431	✗	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.4503	+0.21%	6.247	-2.94%	0.0248	✗	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.7987	+0.12%	6.4365	-5.21%	0.0280	✗	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.9517	-0.01%	6.7905	-2.33%	0.0670	✗	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	7.2091	-0.10%	6.9525	-3.66%	0.0106	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	7.2568	-0.09%	7.2165	-0.65%	0.0199	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.4734	-0.09%	7.2635	-2.89%	0.0076	✗	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.6966	-0.16%	7.48	-2.97%	0.0055	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.8898	-0.39%	7.709	-2.67%	0.0410	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.902	-0.51%	7.9205	-0.28%	0.0943	✗	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.9466	-0.95%	7.9425	-1.00%	0.0350	✗	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	8.0197	-0.30%	8.0225	-0.27%	0.0234	✗	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.6313	-0.62%	8.044	-7.39%	0.0229	✓	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	9.1494	-1.73%	8.6855	-6.71%	0.0730	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.7146	-0.79%	9.31	+19.73%	0.1501	✗	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	8.1183	-1.74%	7.776	-5.88%	0.0276	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.3482	-0.15%	8.262	+29.96%	0.2351	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.9912	+0.08%	6.3575	+6.20%	0.0974	✓	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.809	+0.13%	5.9865	+3.19%	0.0055	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.3421	-0.14%	5.8015	-8.65%	0.0157	✓	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.826	-0.12%	6.351	-7.07%	0.0177	✓	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.7856	-0.18%	6.8345	+0.54%	0.0006	✓	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.3321	-0.02%	6.798	+7.33%	0.0643	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.4328	-0.08%	6.3335	-1.62%	0.0326	✓	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.776	-0.24%	6.438	-5.22%	0.0281	✓	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.7489	-0.18%	6.7925	+0.47%	0.0451	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.9563	-0.32%	6.761	-3.12%	0.0129	✓	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.8174	-0.45%	6.979	+1.91%	0.0295	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.5643	-0.22%	6.848	+4.10%	0.0037	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.7274	-0.33%	6.5785	-2.53%	0.0309	✓	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.8609	-0.54%	6.7495	-2.15%	0.0292	✓	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.8329	-0.43%	6.898	+0.52%	0.0265	✓	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.9815	+0.04%	6.8625	-1.67%	0.0060	✗	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.1863	-0.02%	6.979	-2.90%	0.0024	✗	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.2493	-0.04%	7.1875	-0.90%	0.0353	✓	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	7.1015	+0.03%	7.2525	+2.16%	0.0000	✓	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	7.1322	+0.01%	7.099	-0.46%	0.0154	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.4822	-0.32%	7.1315	-4.99%	0.0233	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.4744	-0.35%	7.506	+0.07%	0.0407	✗	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.5734	-0.27%	7.5005	-1.23%	0.0217	✗	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.7803	-0.23%	7.594	-2.62%	0.0061	✗	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.7651	-0.43%	7.798	-0.01%	0.0015	✓	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	7.0426	-0.41%	7.799	+10.29%	0.0462	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.5151	+0.02%	7.0715	+8.57%	0.1135	✓	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.6442	-0.42%	6.5135	-24.96%	0.2081	✓	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.8855	-0.23%	8.6805	-2.53%	0.0096	✓	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.7226	-0.33%	8.906	+1.77%	0.0055	✗	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.916	-0.40%	8.751	-2.25%	0.0087	✗	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.5929	-0.31%	8.952	+3.86%	0.0313	✗	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.4908	-0.60%	8.6195	+0.90%	0.0064	✗	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.7063	-0.23%	8.5425	-2.11%	0.0201	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.7642	-0.26%	8.7265	-0.69%	0.0184	✓	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.6176	-0.21%	8.787	+1.75%	0.0028	✗	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.1824	-0.17%	8.6355	+5.36%	0.0149	✗	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.4382	-0.19%	8.1965	-3.05%	0.0264	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.6752	-0.26%	8.4545	-2.80%	0.0465	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.5428	-0.26%	8.698	+1.55%	0.0066	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.7265	-0.35%	8.565	-2.20%	0.0185	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.5112	-0.26%	8.7575	+2.63%	0.0220	✗	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	9.0507	-0.34%	8.533	-6.04%	0.0185	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	9.0236	-0.41%	9.082	+0.24%	0.0060	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	9.0414	-0.83%	9.0605	-0.63%	0.0087	✗	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.579	-0.51%	9.1175	-5.30%	0.0268	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.449	-0.87%	9.628	+1.01%	0.0229	✗	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.537	-0.62%	9.532	-0.67%	0.0011	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.8164	-0.48%	9.596	-2.72%	0.0097	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.7785	-0.39%	9.864	+0.48%	0.0030	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.