XCH

Chia · native · gru_s1

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

71.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1442

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0255

actual -0.0875

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.4152	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4564	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.4989	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5026	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5223	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5125	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5125	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.4898	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5481	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.4954	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5123	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5055	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4484	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.3952	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.42	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.4857	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.4902	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5068	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.4978	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.471	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5257	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5495	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.518	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.4977	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5181	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.567	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.5782	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.5743	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.5151	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.5997	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.7056	-0.89%	1.4765	-14.21%	0.1141	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.4919	-3.09%	1.512	-1.79%	0.0015	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.4953	-2.62%	1.5675	+2.08%	0.0431	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4651	-2.62%	1.57	+4.35%	0.0617	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.3579	-4.47%	1.6035	+12.80%	0.1355	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3097	-5.13%	1.6015	+16.01%	0.1690	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.2934	-5.39%	1.5965	+16.79%	0.1719	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.4011	-4.75%	1.576	+7.14%	0.1001	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4049	-5.01%	1.6315	+10.31%	0.1166	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4321	-4.14%	1.586	+6.16%	0.0788	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4288	-4.04%	1.5905	+6.82%	0.0747	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4371	-3.74%	1.5935	+6.73%	0.0690	✗	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5225	-3.06%	1.521	-3.15%	0.0222	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.5754	-2.66%	1.469	-9.24%	0.0863	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.6218	-1.41%	1.495	-9.12%	0.1023	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.4932	-0.02%	1.5675	+4.95%	0.0171	✗	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4612	+0.81%	1.5835	+9.24%	0.0447	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.4235	+0.53%	1.5855	+11.97%	0.0601	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.4533	+0.86%	1.5745	+9.26%	0.0553	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4031	-1.12%	1.534	+8.10%	0.0383	✗	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.4355	-0.86%	1.599	+10.43%	0.0556	✗	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4096	-0.98%	1.625	+14.16%	0.1068	✗	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4122	-0.06%	1.593	+12.74%	0.0720	✗	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.4014	+1.30%	1.558	+12.61%	0.0673	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.4375	+2.72%	1.5795	+12.86%	0.0453	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.4856	+5.29%	1.649	+16.87%	0.0738	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.4413	+4.55%	1.6535	+19.95%	0.1003	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.4457	+4.23%	1.63	+17.52%	0.0752	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.4589	+5.11%	1.544	+11.24%	0.0146	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.5454	+3.37%	1.626	+8.76%	0.0214	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.5656	+3.96%	1.721	+14.28%	0.0122	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.6236	+6.71%	1.5395	+1.18%	0.0782	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.4578	+1.20%	1.5355	+6.59%	0.0204	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4003	-3.16%	1.5045	+4.05%	0.0540	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3039	-5.45%	1.4215	+3.08%	0.0477	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3279	-3.98%	1.3805	-0.18%	0.1009	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.2995	-5.59%	1.367	-0.69%	0.1062	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.2457	-6.20%	1.471	+10.77%	0.0148	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2196	-6.51%	1.479	+13.38%	0.0280	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2295	-6.50%	1.494	+13.61%	0.0380	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2232	-5.98%	1.489	+14.45%	0.0347	✓	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.2868	-4.22%	1.493	+11.13%	0.0038	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3148	-4.24%	1.5705	+14.38%	0.0248	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.2771	-4.20%	1.6185	+21.42%	0.0873	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3543	-3.64%	1.645	+17.04%	0.0378	✗	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.2709	-3.09%	1.4935	+13.88%	0.0108	✓	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3262	-2.77%	1.4495	+6.27%	0.0881	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4167	-2.93%	1.416	-2.98%	0.1737	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.4588	-3.55%	1.441	-4.73%	0.2065	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.4749	-4.20%	1.419	-7.83%	0.2009	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.6317	-5.68%	1.448	-16.30%	0.2831	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.3894	-4.57%	1.4235	-2.23%	0.1409	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3573	-4.15%	1.413	-0.21%	0.1154	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.3999	-2.48%	1.3835	-3.62%	0.1522	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3294	-2.86%	1.3995	+2.27%	0.0812	✓	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.2987	-2.65%	1.411	+5.77%	0.0699	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2214	-3.18%	1.3785	+9.27%	0.0206	✓	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.2929	-2.06%	1.387	+5.08%	0.0462	✓	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2514	-2.12%	1.388	+8.56%	0.0260	✓	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1292	-2.32%	1.495	+29.33%	0.1625	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1376	-1.81%	1.506	+30.00%	0.1768	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2311	-0.68%	1.5215	+22.75%	0.1096	✗	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.1833	-1.84%	1.4405	+19.49%	0.1406	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.1756	-2.52%	1.446	+19.90%	0.1667	✗	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2431	-2.92%	1.379	+7.69%	0.1037	✗	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.2875	-2.72%	1.383	+4.50%	0.0751	✗	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.331	-2.64%	1.3765	+0.69%	0.0459	✗	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.3514	-2.88%	1.328	-4.56%	0.0093	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4437	-2.55%	1.3045	-11.95%	0.0837	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.3746	-2.13%	1.315	-6.37%	0.0282	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.3512	-3.49%	1.301	-7.07%	0.0506	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.3822	-3.14%	1.3435	-5.85%	0.0261	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.3972	-3.67%	1.373	-5.34%	0.0189	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4337	-3.55%	1.333	-10.33%	0.0802	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.4703	-4.34%	1.4055	-8.56%	0.0637	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.4653	-3.18%	1.3115	-13.35%	0.1381	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5125	-2.82%	1.364	-12.37%	0.1131	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.5653	-3.35%	1.4595	-9.88%	0.0761	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.5462	-3.42%	1.5125	-5.53%	0.0268	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6024	-3.24%	1.5395	-7.04%	0.0441	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6243	-3.29%	1.73	+3.01%	0.0526	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.6749	-3.21%	1.456	-15.86%	0.1542	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.688	-3.71%	1.416	-19.22%	0.2086	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.6591	-3.68%	1.4355	-16.66%	0.2167	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5033	-3.91%	1.3685	-12.53%	0.1427	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.5521	-4.01%	1.334	-17.50%	0.2092	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.5807	-1.88%	1.2615	-21.69%	0.2749	✓	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6563	-2.11%	1.32	-21.99%	0.2962	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.67	-2.05%	1.2785	-25.01%	0.3274	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.6685	-2.20%	1.156	-32.24%	0.4102	✓	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.7535	-3.28%	1.1585	-36.10%	0.4454	✓	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.8375	-3.39%	1.2395	-34.83%	0.4202	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8301	-3.70%	1.2055	-36.57%	0.4581	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.8115	-4.10%	1.206	-36.16%	0.4195	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.8486	-3.99%	1.2805	-33.50%	0.3829	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9124	-4.33%	1.3235	-33.79%	0.3933	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.9296	-4.57%	1.367	-32.39%	0.3374	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	1.9608	-5.02%	1.3915	-32.60%	0.3187	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	1.9835	-5.01%	1.4815	-29.05%	0.2699	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.0019	-6.17%	1.4045	-34.17%	0.3445	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.0209	-6.61%	1.4	-35.30%	0.3344	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	1.9003	-6.02%	1.427	-29.43%	0.2894	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	1.905	-6.48%	1.4505	-28.79%	0.2756	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.8697	-6.58%	1.4865	-25.73%	0.2701	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	1.9205	-6.70%	1.537	-25.33%	0.2455	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.0253	-7.65%	1.5135	-30.98%	0.2790	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.0411	-7.89%	1.5565	-29.76%	0.2714	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	1.8824	-7.09%	1.6195	-20.06%	0.1916	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.0013	-8.15%	1.601	-26.53%	0.2556	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.0157	-8.42%	1.656	-24.76%	0.1871	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.0134	-8.61%	1.6795	-23.76%	0.1609	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.0425	-9.22%	1.7305	-23.09%	0.0944	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.2212	-10.04%	1.753	-29.00%	0.0904	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.1383	-8.52%	1.7225	-26.31%	0.0068	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.149	-8.79%	1.5645	-33.60%	0.1373	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.2205	-9.26%	1.617	-33.92%	0.1282	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.1395	-8.18%	1.611	-30.86%	0.0989	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.35	-9.32%	1.692	-34.71%	0.1469	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.4503	-9.48%	1.705	-37.02%	0.1641	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.6645	-10.00%	1.706	-42.37%	0.2446	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.5041	-9.11%	1.813	-34.19%	0.1442	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.6696	-9.38%	1.902	-35.44%	0.1790	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.6457	-9.98%	1.9005	-35.34%	0.1750	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.0401	-9.80%	1.889	-43.95%	0.3243	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.2548	-10.47%	1.9255	-47.04%	0.3649	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.0099	-10.14%	1.999	-40.32%	0.2531	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.6101	-7.79%	2.022	-28.56%	0.1096	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.5011	-5.88%	2.0645	-22.31%	0.0553	✓	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.4844	-4.96%	2.088	-20.12%	0.0371	✓	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3293	-2.56%	2.1335	-10.75%	0.0743	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.5135	-1.18%	2.164	-14.92%	0.0500	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4665	-2.28%	2.022	-19.89%	0.0050	✓	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.203	-0.50%	2.037	-7.99%	0.1458	✗	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.3374	+0.75%	2.0015	-13.73%	0.1116	✓	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.4029	-1.24%	2.0585	-15.39%	0.1092	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3075	-1.39%	2.193	-6.28%	0.1738	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.36	-1.83%	2.216	-7.82%	0.1494	✗	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.1676	-0.68%	2.026	-7.17%	0.1716	✗	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.1589	+2.25%	2.179	+3.20%	0.2581	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.1717	+2.37%	2.201	+3.75%	0.1949	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.124	+0.43%	2.203	+4.16%	0.2023	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1326	-0.25%	2.25	+5.24%	0.1770	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.1381	-0.46%	2.469	+14.94%	0.2176	✗	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.1405	-1.54%	2.3375	+7.52%	0.1344	✗	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.2133	-2.04%	2.356	+4.27%	0.0885	✗	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.2107	-2.57%	2.447	+7.84%	0.1262	✗	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2227	-1.74%	2.33	+3.01%	0.0757	✗	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.2597	-0.48%	2.5915	+14.14%	0.1677	✗	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.3613	-0.20%	2.707	+14.41%	0.1647	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.359	+0.21%	2.9605	+25.76%	0.2311	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.4918	+1.46%	2.755	+12.17%	0.1053	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.6568	+2.24%	2.946	+13.37%	0.1196	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.8516	+2.54%	2.939	+5.68%	0.0580	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.6476	+2.40%	3.3705	+30.36%	0.2297	✓	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.5329	+2.32%	3.6355	+46.86%	0.3456	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.4277	+1.45%	3.3495	+39.97%	0.2930	✓	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.4934	+2.00%	2.8305	+15.79%	0.1151	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.3474	+2.60%	2.6575	+16.15%	0.1210	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.3645	+2.14%	2.614	+12.92%	0.0710	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.2158	+0.97%	2.3905	+8.93%	0.0342	✓	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.1775	+1.00%	2.5435	+17.97%	0.0876	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.2733	+1.42%	2.524	+12.60%	0.0567	✓	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.2259	-0.39%	2.214	-0.92%	0.1068	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.3309	+0.58%	2.32	+0.11%	0.0921	✗	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.2735	-0.20%	2.433	+6.80%	0.0259	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3819	-0.69%	2.34	-2.44%	0.1110	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.3388	+0.83%	2.404	+3.64%	0.0683	✗	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3946	+0.30%	2.1825	-8.59%	0.1774	✗	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.2824	-1.45%	2.1115	-8.83%	0.2097	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3431	-1.11%	2.1215	-10.47%	0.2244	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.2937	-2.21%	2.115	-9.83%	0.2204	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.312	-3.30%	2.138	-10.58%	0.2085	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3559	-2.31%	2.148	-10.93%	0.2244	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4576	-1.85%	2.174	-13.18%	0.2352	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5639	-1.62%	2.2595	-13.30%	0.2181	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5672	-1.51%	2.269	-12.95%	0.2278	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.5737	-2.20%	2.262	-14.04%	0.2492	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.6196	-2.00%	2.2705	-15.06%	0.2699	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.567	-1.46%	2.366	-9.17%	0.2214	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.7949	-0.84%	2.354	-16.48%	0.2704	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.847	+0.17%	2.456	-13.58%	0.2157	✗	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.8093	-0.31%	2.5985	-7.79%	0.1636	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.7415	+0.29%	2.781	+1.74%	0.0668	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.6228	+0.09%	2.5855	-1.34%	0.1107	✗	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.6605	+0.26%	2.4755	-6.71%	0.1506	✗	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6912	-0.01%	2.393	-11.09%	0.1552	✓	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.711	-0.73%	2.4445	-10.49%	0.1691	✓	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.8327	-0.15%	2.288	-19.35%	0.2801	✓	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.1509	+0.01%	2.315	-26.52%	0.3217	✗	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	3.0216	+1.33%	2.1945	-26.41%	0.3193	✗	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.8082	+1.05%	2.156	-22.42%	0.2791	✗	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7441	+0.37%	2.2415	-18.01%	0.2379	✗	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.667	+0.45%	2.2345	-15.84%	0.1748	✗	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.6264	+1.02%	2.3175	-10.87%	0.1538	✗	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.6031	+1.33%	2.278	-11.33%	0.1649	✗	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.573	+1.84%	2.3985	-5.07%	0.0910	✗	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5837	+1.82%	2.3195	-8.59%	0.1386	✗	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.6029	+1.76%	2.3875	-6.67%	0.1583	✗	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.551	+1.82%	2.316	-7.56%	0.1164	✗	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.6472	+1.75%	2.3695	-8.92%	0.1218	✗	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7773	+1.36%	2.3455	-14.40%	0.1257	✗	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.9141	+1.43%	2.391	-16.78%	0.1299	✗	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.7207	+0.99%	2.4115	-10.49%	0.1033	✗	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6741	+0.66%	2.504	-5.74%	0.0574	✗	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.6491	+1.09%	2.606	-0.55%	0.0478	✗	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.7663	+1.31%	2.6065	-4.54%	0.0565	✗	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.7021	+0.40%	2.6315	-2.23%	0.0278	✗	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.6817	+1.06%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0121	✓	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6828	+1.97%	2.605	-0.99%	0.0080	✓	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.4724	+2.78%	2.8185	+17.17%	0.0717	✓	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.6446	+1.52%	2.842	+9.10%	0.0087	✓	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7842	+1.63%	2.818	+2.87%	0.0225	✗	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.6893	+0.91%	2.7335	+2.57%	0.0181	✗	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.6724	+0.62%	2.6205	-1.34%	0.0179	✗	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.6446	+1.19%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0198	✗	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.721	+0.15%	2.6915	-0.94%	0.0599	✗	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.908	-0.38%	2.731	-6.44%	0.0911	✓	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.9196	-0.25%	2.837	-3.07%	0.0560	✓	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.95	-0.56%	3.1505	+6.20%	0.0081	✗	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.0632	-1.09%	2.982	-3.71%	0.0831	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.8936	-0.46%	2.779	-4.40%	0.0850	✓	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.8042	-0.35%	2.734	-2.84%	0.0820	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	2.9639	-0.97%	2.655	-11.29%	0.1522	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.0356	-1.06%	2.6	-15.25%	0.1732	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.0316	-1.30%	2.569	-16.36%	0.1667	✓	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.182	-2.24%	2.5265	-22.38%	0.2272	✓	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.3358	-2.56%	2.5375	-25.88%	0.2646	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.2535	-2.33%	2.558	-23.21%	0.1854	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.0065	-2.20%	2.5055	-18.49%	0.2404	✓	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.2556	-2.70%	2.6015	-22.25%	0.1444	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.2629	-2.89%	2.74	-18.45%	0.1006	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.3398	-3.29%	2.873	-16.81%	0.0590	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.3232	-3.08%	2.694	-21.43%	0.0682	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.435	-3.16%	2.6565	-25.11%	0.0944	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.6141	-3.65%	2.6205	-30.14%	0.0099	✓	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.7745	-3.81%	2.7305	-30.42%	0.0265	✓	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	3.9346	-2.77%	2.6915	-33.49%	0.0206	✓	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.1126	-2.63%	2.6535	-37.17%	0.0669	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.1075	-2.18%	2.631	-37.34%	0.1033	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.907	-2.51%	2.4055	-39.98%	0.0934	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.1183	-2.20%	2.605	-38.14%	0.0429	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.0958	-2.08%	2.7395	-34.51%	0.0378	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.2394	-2.14%	2.665	-38.48%	0.1077	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.4481	-3.14%	2.656	-42.17%	0.1621	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.3803	-3.09%	2.6135	-42.18%	0.1634	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.528	-1.90%	2.717	-41.13%	0.0697	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.7884	-2.28%	2.919	-40.43%	0.0630	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.853	-2.41%	2.927	-41.14%	0.0840	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.8722	-2.08%	2.9665	-40.38%	0.0669	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	5.0048	-1.97%	3.097	-39.34%	0.0691	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.3117	-2.12%	2.907	-46.43%	0.1560	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.3226	-2.61%	2.814	-48.51%	0.1643	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	5.0527	-3.10%	2.993	-42.60%	0.1230	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.333	-3.90%	3.068	-44.72%	0.1876	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.926	-3.01%	3.0715	-39.53%	0.1437	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	5.0679	-2.87%	3.255	-37.61%	0.1014	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.8817	-2.01%	3.4235	-31.28%	0.0014	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.9309	-2.78%	3.331	-34.33%	0.0266	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.956	-2.36%	3.074	-39.44%	0.1826	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.0726	-2.79%	3.346	-35.88%	0.0022	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.6211	-2.65%	3.36	-29.22%	0.0155	✓	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.6441	-1.82%	3.4535	-26.99%	0.0693	✓	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.6962	-2.73%	3.429	-28.98%	0.0614	✓	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.5735	-3.35%	3.547	-25.04%	0.0597	✓	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.3988	-3.74%	3.751	-17.91%	0.0964	✓	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.4735	-3.64%	3.924	-15.48%	0.0596	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.521	-3.10%	4.0465	-13.27%	0.1480	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.6611	-2.89%	4.2235	-12.01%	0.1209	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.8436	-3.16%	4.199	-16.05%	0.1507	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.4397	-2.91%	4.0075	-12.37%	0.0894	✓	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.6259	-3.38%	4.211	-12.04%	0.1274	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.7454	-4.27%	4.183	-15.61%	0.1587	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.6325	-3.88%	4.332	-10.12%	0.1025	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.6629	-3.58%	4.5925	-5.04%	0.0292	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.6518	-3.51%	4.52	-6.24%	0.0230	✓	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.6973	-3.78%	4.6155	-5.46%	0.0902	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.7645	-2.91%	4.9	-0.15%	0.0666	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.4142	-2.11%	4.973	+10.28%	0.0435	✓	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.5178	-1.61%	4.9755	+8.36%	0.0593	✓	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.7273	-2.10%	5.1055	+5.74%	0.0509	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.7573	-2.35%	5.4265	+11.38%	0.0443	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	4.8871	-3.15%	5.465	+8.30%	0.0075	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.0845	-2.95%	5.2145	-0.47%	0.0096	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.1484	-2.78%	5.5495	+4.80%	0.0651	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.3228	-2.99%	5.079	-7.44%	0.0108	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.4586	-3.42%	5.2175	-7.69%	0.0196	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.5205	-4.01%	4.982	-13.37%	0.0750	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.2798	-3.86%	5.072	-7.64%	0.0506	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.2925	-4.07%	5.076	-7.99%	0.0965	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.3887	-3.58%	5.218	-6.64%	0.1087	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.344	-3.36%	4.747	-14.15%	0.1546	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.5672	-3.21%	4.73	-17.77%	0.1379	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.7133	-3.02%	4.828	-18.04%	0.1100	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	5.8545	-4.02%	4.732	-22.42%	0.1682	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.3507	-2.79%	4.5695	-16.99%	0.1794	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.7123	-3.16%	4.6425	-21.30%	0.1736	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.7987	-2.86%	4.6655	-21.84%	0.1537	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.7316	-2.63%	4.8	-18.46%	0.1258	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.8168	-2.44%	5.0015	-16.12%	0.0915	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	5.9333	-2.81%	4.573	-25.09%	0.2085	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	5.914	-3.15%	4.7875	-21.60%	0.2087	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.0442	-3.43%	4.957	-20.80%	0.1870	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.0341	-3.25%	4.8195	-22.73%	0.2358	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.0174	-3.67%	4.836	-22.59%	0.2896	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.1599	-4.30%	4.821	-25.10%	0.3102	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.4675	-4.76%	4.882	-28.11%	0.3132	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.6014	-5.05%	4.9075	-29.41%	0.2352	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	6.7951	-5.84%	4.5095	-37.51%	0.2739	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	6.832	-5.94%	4.5915	-36.79%	0.2896	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.108	-4.97%	4.8285	-35.45%	0.2746	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.3236	-5.00%	4.872	-36.80%	0.2461	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.4813	-5.55%	5.046	-36.29%	0.2811	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.5567	-4.86%	5.239	-34.04%	0.1941	✓	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.6354	-4.83%	5.2955	-33.99%	0.1568	✓	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.6542	-4.85%	5.487	-31.79%	0.1486	✓	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.2469	-5.05%	5.652	-34.93%	0.1416	✓	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.7462	-6.06%	5.751	-38.23%	0.2096	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.5794	-2.53%	5.4915	-29.38%	0.1261	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.9472	-3.81%	5.517	-33.22%	0.1526	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.2823	-1.18%	5.589	-12.09%	0.0668	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.9417	-0.75%	5.5295	-7.63%	0.1562	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.7985	-0.05%	5.752	-0.85%	0.1396	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.3233	-0.44%	5.891	-7.24%	0.1260	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.7636	-1.04%	6.0995	-10.75%	0.1806	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.7164	-1.20%	5.5045	-19.03%	0.1652	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.2485	-1.34%	5.899	-6.86%	0.2281	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.3825	-0.86%	5.9695	-7.28%	0.1957	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.7417	-0.75%	5.8865	-13.34%	0.1436	✗	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.7537	-0.11%	5.9625	-11.81%	0.1937	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.9654	-0.19%	6.1045	-12.53%	0.2151	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.8329	-0.22%	6.1065	-10.83%	0.2943	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.5243	-0.82%	6.259	-4.86%	0.3144	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.6686	-1.20%	6.237	-7.59%	0.3075	✗	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.798	-1.45%	6.247	-9.44%	0.3176	✗	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.7473	-1.68%	6.4365	-6.21%	0.3167	✗	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.8185	-2.30%	6.7905	-2.70%	0.3450	✗	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.0393	-2.06%	6.9525	-3.27%	0.2855	✗	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.0948	-2.17%	7.2165	-0.50%	0.2599	✗	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	6.9284	-2.40%	7.2635	+2.32%	0.2821	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	6.9821	-2.10%	7.48	+4.89%	0.2578	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.3605	-1.94%	7.709	+2.70%	0.2365	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.3597	-1.88%	7.9205	+5.60%	0.3176	✗	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.5072	-1.14%	7.9425	+4.59%	0.2527	✗	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.7116	-1.11%	8.0225	+2.88%	0.2372	✗	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.7417	-0.73%	8.044	+3.14%	0.2096	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	7.0144	-0.81%	8.6855	+22.82%	0.2785	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.4593	-0.83%	9.31	+42.93%	0.4867	✗	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.6202	-0.70%	7.776	-10.42%	0.0721	✗	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.806	-1.12%	8.262	-7.23%	0.1194	✗	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.6681	-0.95%	6.3575	-27.35%	0.1362	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.9082	-0.49%	5.9865	-33.13%	0.2121	✓	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.5373	-0.95%	5.8015	-32.69%	0.1896	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.4265	-1.36%	6.351	-25.65%	0.1437	✓	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.5152	-2.42%	6.8345	-21.68%	0.1186	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.5641	-2.54%	6.798	-22.64%	0.1383	✓	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.3675	-3.10%	6.3335	-26.66%	0.1971	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	7.8962	-3.66%	6.438	-21.45%	0.1530	✓	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.0945	-4.26%	6.7925	-19.66%	0.1359	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.2641	-4.99%	6.761	-22.27%	0.2076	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.0881	-5.57%	6.979	-18.52%	0.1902	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.2675	-5.60%	6.848	-21.80%	0.2353	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.0406	-5.77%	6.5785	-22.91%	0.2264	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.5454	-5.91%	6.7495	-25.68%	0.2145	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.4799	-6.41%	6.898	-23.87%	0.1885	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.5719	-5.98%	6.8625	-24.73%	0.1744	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.0192	-6.32%	6.979	-27.51%	0.1939	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	8.8914	-6.72%	7.1875	-24.60%	0.1657	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	8.8733	-7.53%	7.2525	-24.42%	0.1359	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.1247	-7.50%	7.099	-28.03%	0.1571	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.1773	-6.52%	7.1315	-27.36%	0.1574	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.