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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s1

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
244
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
69.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2384
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0223
actual -0.0868

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002701-1.23%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002687-1.22%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002687-1.41%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002994-2.63%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002669-0.97%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002671-0.88%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.00272-0.91%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002742-0.82%0.002735-1.08%0.0159✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002805-1.05%0.00272-4.06%0.0289✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002723-1.00%0.002725-0.91%0.0002✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002794-1.08%0.003075+8.85%0.1114✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002807-1.15%0.002695-5.11%0.0263✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002759-1.11%0.002695-3.41%0.0135✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002715-1.08%0.002745+0.00%0.0067✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002854-1.26%0.002765-4.33%0.0162✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002908-1.08%0.002835-3.57%0.0031✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003195-1.68%0.00275-15.38%0.1078✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003095-1.12%0.002825-9.74%0.0592✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002994-1.19%0.00284-6.27%0.0322✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002894-1.22%0.00279-4.78%0.0144✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002979-1.02%0.002745-8.80%0.0463✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002926-1.14%0.00289-2.36%0.0093✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002891-0.84%0.00294+0.86%0.0047✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002968-1.08%0.00325+8.33%0.0661✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003102-1.20%0.00313-0.32%0.0130✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003351-2.01%0.00303-11.40%0.1044✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002874-0.72%0.00293+1.21%0.0145✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002785-0.52%0.00301+7.50%0.0721✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002823-0.59%0.00296+4.23%0.0570✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002924-0.72%0.002915-1.02%0.0261✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002871-0.81%0.003+3.63%0.0811✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002517-0.12%0.00314+24.60%0.1869✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002622-0.29%0.00342+30.04%0.2323✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002867-0.98%0.002895+0.00%0.0253✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002639-0.79%0.0028+5.26%0.0242✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002394-0.24%0.00284+18.33%0.0847✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002445-0.42%0.002945+19.96%0.0709✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002541-0.14%0.002895+13.75%0.0384✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.00257-0.40%0.00252-2.33%0.0677✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002684-0.58%0.00263-2.59%0.0653✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002729-0.59%0.002895+5.46%0.0207✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002588-0.64%0.00266+2.11%0.0296✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002835-0.89%0.0024-16.08%0.1428✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002714-0.23%0.002455-9.74%0.0694✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002633+0.31%0.002545-3.05%0.0245✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002691+0.61%0.00258-3.55%0.0030✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.00276+0.56%0.0027-1.64%0.0069✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.00265+0.56%0.002745+4.17%0.0615✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002895+0.53%0.002605-9.55%0.0586✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002913-0.57%0.00286-2.39%0.0302✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003165-1.41%0.00272-15.26%0.1639✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.002988-1.23%0.002625-13.22%0.1362✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002544-0.63%0.002675+4.49%0.0084✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002526-0.73%0.002745+7.86%0.0633✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002757-1.00%0.002635-5.39%0.0681✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002818-0.76%0.00288+1.41%0.0097✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002659-0.98%0.00293+9.12%0.1174✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002673-1.19%0.00321+18.67%0.1965✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002834-1.08%0.003025+5.58%0.0701✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003014-1.34%0.00256-16.20%0.1624✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002913-1.43%0.002545-13.87%0.1499✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003002-1.25%0.002785-8.39%0.0690✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002965-2.48%0.00284-6.58%0.1398✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003018-2.65%0.002685-13.39%0.2717✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002956-2.75%0.002705-11.02%0.3412✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003138-2.85%0.002865-11.30%0.3338✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.00297-2.30%0.003055+0.49%0.2166✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003009-2.31%0.002955-4.06%0.2443✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002858-2.28%0.00304+3.93%0.1831✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002853-2.47%0.00304+3.93%0.1042✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003106-2.63%0.0031-2.82%0.0854✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002877-2.32%0.00304+3.23%0.0421✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003321-3.03%0.00323-5.69%0.0297✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002968-2.38%0.00304+0.00%0.0262✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003018-2.35%0.00308-0.32%0.0206✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003229-2.46%0.002925-11.63%0.0984✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.00361-3.09%0.002925-21.48%0.2095✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004641-6.81%0.00319-35.94%0.3740✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.00294-1.66%0.002945-1.51%0.0004✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003125-1.73%0.003425+7.70%0.0926✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003222-2.08%0.00304-7.60%0.0554✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003205-1.38%0.00309-4.92%0.0312✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003094-1.15%0.00331+5.75%0.0727✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003164-1.59%0.003725+15.86%0.1620✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003402-1.39%0.00498+44.35%0.3836✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003575-1.52%0.00299-17.63%0.1779✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003595-1.50%0.00318-12.88%0.1236✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003705-1.98%0.00329-12.96%0.1263✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003639-1.52%0.00325-12.04%0.1187✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003639-1.39%0.00313-15.18%0.1540✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003772-1.63%0.003215-16.17%0.1610✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.00392-2.01%0.00345-13.75%0.1354✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003897-2.09%0.00363-8.79%0.0805✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003825-1.43%0.00365-5.93%0.0516✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004045-1.58%0.00378-8.03%0.0656✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004007-1.43%0.003695-9.10%0.0826✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004163-1.22%0.00369-12.46%0.1201✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004261-1.38%0.003835-11.23%0.1017✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004439-2.00%0.004-11.70%0.0985✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003705+0.41%0.00398+7.86%0.0772✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004126+0.63%0.00388-5.37%0.0570✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004241-0.09%0.00411-3.18%0.0296✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004349-0.14%0.004065-6.66%0.0624✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004689-0.66%0.004215-10.70%0.1076✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005271-1.11%0.00432-18.95%0.1967✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004909-0.23%0.00453-7.93%0.0705✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006105-2.16%0.00369-40.87%0.4935✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007234-2.64%0.0041-44.82%0.5791✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007864-3.03%0.004245-47.66%0.6161✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007574-2.89%0.004355-44.17%0.5513✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008008-3.11%0.00472-42.89%0.5234✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008286-3.20%0.00533-37.73%0.4363✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007673-2.99%0.00492-37.80%0.4355✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008332-3.11%0.00624-27.44%0.2765✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008693-4.36%0.00743-18.26%0.1438✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006955-2.18%0.00811+14.06%0.1726✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007608-2.72%0.0078-0.26%0.0406✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007867-2.88%0.008265+2.04%0.0617✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.00778-2.69%0.00856+7.07%0.1044✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.00767-2.66%0.00791+0.38%0.0272✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008335-3.19%0.0086-0.12%0.0126✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008658-3.69%0.00909+1.11%0.0296✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008399-3.35%0.00711-18.18%0.1861✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009139-4.10%0.00782-17.94%0.1787✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008806-3.70%0.0081-11.43%0.1019✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008607-3.62%0.007995-10.47%0.0896✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009316-4.05%0.00788-18.85%0.1876✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009695-4.76%0.00861-15.42%0.1341✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009089-4.92%0.00899-5.96%0.0208✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008086-3.74%0.00869+3.45%0.0600✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008995-5.01%0.00953+0.63%0.0569✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007261-3.05%0.009145+22.10%0.2303✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007189-2.86%0.00893+20.68%0.2133✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007333-2.74%0.00971+28.78%0.2961✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006431-1.51%0.01018+55.90%0.4786✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007029-2.37%0.00956+32.78%0.3264✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007608-2.84%0.0084+7.28%0.1165✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007878-2.50%0.00947+17.20%0.2112✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007705-2.34%0.00749-5.07%0.0112✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008534-3.46%0.0074-16.29%0.1448✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008776-3.45%0.00754-17.05%0.1670✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009382-3.77%0.00653-33.03%0.3853✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011532-7.96%0.0072-42.54%0.6148✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.00893-4.85%0.00783-16.57%0.2669✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008516-4.42%0.00808-9.32%0.2172✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010093-8.24%0.00789-28.27%0.3882✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007067-3.06%0.00884+21.26%0.1248✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007259-3.53%0.00909+20.80%0.1281✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007423-3.22%0.00975+27.12%0.1844✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008567-4.07%0.01253+40.31%0.3551✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009511-4.55%0.009385-5.82%0.0257✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010172-4.49%0.00891-16.34%0.1372✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011511-5.46%0.011-9.65%0.0474✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012826-7.26%0.00729-47.29%0.5736✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.01237-6.36%0.007525-43.04%0.5029✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016288-8.01%0.00767-56.68%0.7541✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.01823-11.29%0.00893-56.55%0.7142✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015714-9.90%0.009965-42.86%0.4538✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016405-9.96%0.01065-41.55%0.4265✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.019762-12.90%0.012175-46.34%0.4733✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015328-10.83%0.01383-19.55%0.0843✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.018708-14.26%0.01321-39.46%0.3380✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006225-8.25%0.017705+160.94%1.0988✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004193-4.71%0.02055+367.05%1.6699✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.00244-0.00%0.01744+614.75%2.0561✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002425-0.21%0.01822+649.79%2.0639✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002365-0.62%0.02269+853.36%2.2829✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002256-0.64%0.01719+657.27%2.0107✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002216-1.09%0.02182+874.11%2.3297✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002315-1.71%0.006785+188.11%1.0805✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.00225-2.15%0.0044+91.30%0.6482✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002347-2.62%0.00244+1.24%0.0047✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.0024-3.22%0.00243-2.02%0.0115✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002345-3.11%0.00238-1.65%0.0088✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002556-3.37%0.00227-14.18%0.1652✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002643-3.72%0.00224-18.40%0.2366✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002838-3.79%0.002355-20.17%0.2439✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.0028-4.10%0.0023-21.23%0.2282✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002959-5.17%0.00241-22.76%0.2037✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002614-4.94%0.00248-9.82%0.0654✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003119-4.60%0.00242-25.99%0.2635✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003184-5.23%0.002645-21.28%0.1607✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003279-4.82%0.002745-20.32%0.1467✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003102-5.13%0.00295-9.79%0.0500✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003375-5.19%0.00292-17.98%0.1636✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003339-5.82%0.00312-11.99%0.1280✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003294-5.20%0.00275-20.86%0.2050✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003322-5.89%0.00327-7.37%0.0205✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003613-5.92%0.00336-12.50%0.1136✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003432-4.80%0.003445-4.44%0.0405✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003401-5.01%0.00327-8.66%0.0680✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003332-5.87%0.00356+0.56%0.0472✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003831-4.59%0.003545-11.71%0.1240✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003909-5.00%0.003475-15.55%0.1577✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003839-5.10%0.00353-12.73%0.1450✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003671-4.65%0.00384-0.26%0.0054✓1.10
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