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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s1

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
221
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
81.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5910
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0585
actual -0.2476

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002685-1.82%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002678-1.54%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002683-1.56%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003001-2.42%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002635-2.23%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.00264-2.04%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002692-1.92%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002721-1.59%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002794-1.44%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002703-1.71%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002779-1.64%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002788-1.85%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002743-1.70%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002705-1.47%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002858-1.10%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002924-0.53%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003222-0.85%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003127-0.10%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003021-0.30%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002933+0.10%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002997-0.44%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002941-0.65%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.00293+0.52%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.003014+0.48%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.00315+0.33%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003436+0.47%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002939+1.54%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002852+1.87%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002902+2.17%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.003034+3.01%–pending––0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.00301+3.97%0.002735-5.53%0.0492✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002581+2.42%0.00272+7.94%0.0339✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002699+2.62%0.002725+3.61%0.0032✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002958+2.18%0.003075+6.22%0.0262✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002677+0.65%0.002695+1.32%0.0466✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002414+0.59%0.002695+12.29%0.0531✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002459+0.18%0.002745+11.81%0.0371✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.00257+0.99%0.002765+8.64%0.0349✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002585+0.18%0.002835+9.88%0.0237✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002699-0.05%0.00275+1.85%0.0316✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.00275+0.17%0.002825+2.91%0.0397✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002614+0.33%0.00284+9.02%0.0108✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002923+2.20%0.00279-2.45%0.0918✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002757+1.36%0.002745+0.92%0.0381✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002678+2.01%0.00289+10.10%0.0341✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002768+3.47%0.00294+9.91%0.0057✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002861+4.24%0.00325+18.40%0.0641✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002743+4.10%0.00313+18.79%0.0636✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.003041+5.58%0.00303+5.21%0.0364✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002995+2.22%0.00293+0.00%0.1051✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003292+2.54%0.00301-6.23%0.1748✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003132+3.53%0.00296-2.15%0.1176✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002598+1.50%0.002915+13.87%0.0235✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002589+1.73%0.003+17.88%0.0844✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002807+0.80%0.00314+12.75%0.0322✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002917+2.71%0.00342+20.42%0.1101✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002741+2.09%0.002895+7.82%0.0027✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002761+2.05%0.0028+3.51%0.0524✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.00293+2.27%0.00284-0.87%0.0916✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003099+1.45%0.002945-3.60%0.1541✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002991+1.20%0.002895-2.03%0.1469✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.00313+2.96%0.00252-17.11%0.2514✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002995-1.48%0.00263-13.49%0.2389✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.002996-3.35%0.002895-6.61%0.2164✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002903-4.51%0.00266-12.50%0.3031✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003091-4.30%0.0024-25.70%0.4521✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002913-4.16%0.002455-19.24%0.3837✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002958-3.96%0.002545-17.37%0.3929✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002807-4.02%0.00258-11.79%0.3072✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002799-4.31%0.0027-7.69%0.2711✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003049-4.41%0.002745-13.95%0.2901✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002821-4.20%0.002605-11.54%0.2158✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003275-4.37%0.00286-16.50%0.1775✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002923-3.84%0.00272-10.53%0.0847✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002969-3.91%0.002625-15.05%0.1240✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.00318-3.91%0.002675-19.18%0.1754✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003566-4.27%0.002745-26.31%0.2758✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004668-6.27%0.002635-47.09%0.5810✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002893-3.24%0.00288-3.68%0.0307✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003068-3.53%0.00293-7.86%0.0185✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003164-3.84%0.00321-2.43%0.0392✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003122-3.94%0.003025-6.92%0.0042✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003027-3.30%0.00256-18.21%0.1331✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003091-3.87%0.002545-20.84%0.1586✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003308-4.12%0.002785-19.28%0.1264✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003497-3.67%0.00284-21.76%0.1536✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003511-3.81%0.002685-26.44%0.2201✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003638-3.75%0.002705-28.44%0.2488✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003555-3.78%0.002865-22.46%0.1669✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003562-3.46%0.003055-17.21%0.1203✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003697-3.59%0.002955-22.95%0.1872✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003856-3.59%0.00304-24.00%0.1985✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003846-3.38%0.00304-23.62%0.2133✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003744-3.50%0.0031-20.10%0.1763✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003957-3.73%0.00304-26.03%0.2636✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003915-3.68%0.00323-20.54%0.1934✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004056-3.77%0.00304-27.88%0.2916✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004162-3.66%0.00308-28.70%0.3031✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.00436-3.76%0.002925-35.43%0.4065✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003563-3.43%0.002925-20.73%0.2033✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.003964-3.32%0.00319-22.20%0.2155✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004096-3.51%0.002945-30.62%0.3303✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004201-3.53%0.003425-21.35%0.2036✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004544-3.73%0.00304-35.59%0.3986✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005134-3.68%0.00309-42.03%0.5013✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004706-4.35%0.00331-32.72%0.3415✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.005888-5.65%0.003725-40.30%0.4521✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007035-5.31%0.00498-32.97%0.3417✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.00764-5.80%0.00299-63.13%0.9366✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007324-6.10%0.00318-59.23%0.8331✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007739-6.36%0.00329-60.19%0.8522✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008003-6.50%0.00325-62.03%0.8974✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007355-7.02%0.00313-60.43%0.8431✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.007973-7.29%0.003215-62.62%0.8921✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008416-7.42%0.00345-62.05%0.8789✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006581-7.44%0.00363-48.95%0.5748✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007236-7.46%0.00365-53.32%0.6658✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007475-7.72%0.00378-53.33%0.6563✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007369-7.82%0.003695-53.78%0.6681✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007285-7.56%0.00369-53.17%0.6696✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007962-7.52%0.003835-55.46%0.7202✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008287-7.82%0.004-55.51%0.7181✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007996-7.99%0.00398-54.20%0.6815✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008745-8.24%0.00388-59.29%0.8075✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008373-8.44%0.00411-55.06%0.7055✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008153-8.70%0.004065-54.48%0.6867✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008861-8.74%0.004215-56.59%0.7462✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009275-8.89%0.00432-57.56%0.7736✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008738-8.60%0.00453-52.62%0.6635✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007685-8.51%0.00369-56.07%0.7371✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.00859-9.30%0.0041-56.71%0.7478✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006828-8.84%0.004245-43.32%0.4742✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006751-8.77%0.004355-41.15%0.4373✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.00686-9.02%0.00472-37.40%0.3602✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.005971-8.55%0.00533-18.38%0.1061✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006542-9.14%0.00492-31.67%0.2900✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007071-9.69%0.00624-20.31%0.1249✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007266-10.07%0.00743-8.04%0.0463✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007082-10.24%0.00811+2.79%0.1530✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007886-10.79%0.0078-11.76%0.0174✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008094-10.96%0.008265-9.08%0.0121✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008679-10.98%0.00856-12.21%0.0376✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011013-12.11%0.00791-36.87%0.5337✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008347-11.07%0.0086-8.36%0.1764✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007914-11.18%0.00909+2.02%0.0358✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009694-11.87%0.00711-35.36%0.4719✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006542-10.27%0.00782+7.27%0.0357✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006746-10.35%0.0081+7.64%0.0438✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006871-10.42%0.007995+4.24%0.0122✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007979-10.65%0.00788-11.76%0.0870✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.008893-10.76%0.00861-13.60%0.0883✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009496-10.83%0.00899-15.59%0.0770✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.010812-11.19%0.00869-28.62%0.2314✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012276-11.24%0.00953-31.09%0.2837✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.01177-10.90%0.009145-30.77%0.2801✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.015601-11.88%0.00893-49.56%0.5740✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.017913-12.83%0.00971-52.75%0.5882✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015334-12.07%0.01018-41.63%0.3602✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016015-12.10%0.00956-47.53%0.4680✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.01959-13.66%0.0084-62.98%0.8028✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015135-11.96%0.00947-44.91%0.3735✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.018605-14.73%0.00749-65.67%0.8143✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006434-5.17%0.0074+9.06%0.4069✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004511+2.53%0.00754+71.36%0.8940✓1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002582+5.82%0.00653+167.62%1.3547✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002539+4.47%0.0072+196.30%1.4034✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002467+3.67%0.00783+228.99%1.5183✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002322+2.28%0.00808+255.95%1.6626✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002274+1.54%0.00789+252.23%1.7019✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002347-0.32%0.00884+275.37%1.5560✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002263-1.62%0.00909+295.22%1.6026✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002326-3.47%0.00975+304.56%1.5915✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002373-4.33%0.01253+405.24%1.7590✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002302-4.88%0.009385+287.81%1.4644✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002498-5.56%0.00891+236.86%1.3049✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002585-5.83%0.011+300.73%1.4797✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002763-6.36%0.00729+147.12%1.0071✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002737-6.27%0.007525+157.71%1.0513✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002914-6.60%0.00767+145.83%1.0044✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002562-6.83%0.00893+224.73%1.2536✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.00301-7.96%0.009965+204.74%1.2034✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003102-7.69%0.01065+216.96%1.2542✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003167-8.08%0.012175+253.41%1.3818✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.00299-8.55%0.01383+322.94%1.5166✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003232-9.22%0.01321+271.07%1.3878✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.00322-9.17%0.017705+399.44%1.6675✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003164-8.96%0.02055+491.37%1.8557✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003225-8.63%0.01744+394.05%1.6837✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003502-8.80%0.01822+374.48%1.6103✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003289-8.76%0.02269+529.40%1.8761✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003256-9.04%0.01719+380.17%1.5747✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003214-9.20%0.02182+516.38%1.8519✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003624-9.74%0.006785+68.99%0.4860✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003706-9.93%0.0044+6.93%0.0463✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003641-9.99%0.00244-39.68%0.5332✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003464-10.01%0.00243-36.88%0.4828✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003618-10.23%0.00238-40.94%0.5516✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.003902-10.40%0.00227-47.88%0.6591✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003429-9.41%0.00224-40.82%0.5951✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.00369-9.78%0.002355-42.42%0.6097✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003789-9.79%0.0023-45.24%0.6719✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.003722-9.77%0.00241-41.58%0.5950✓1.00
2026-04-02oos0.0040950.003697-9.71%0.00248-39.44%0.5619✓1.00
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