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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s1

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
250
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
56.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0778
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0067
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002727-0.29%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002711-0.31%0.002735+0.55%0.0116✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002713-0.46%0.00272-0.18%0.0109✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.00304-1.13%0.002725-11.38%0.1073✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002688-0.26%0.003075+14.10%0.1270✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002689-0.23%0.002695+0.00%0.0038✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002738-0.24%0.002695-1.82%0.0086✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002759-0.22%0.002745-0.72%0.0117✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002828-0.25%0.002765-2.47%0.0042✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002744-0.22%0.002835+3.09%0.0173✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002818-0.23%0.00275-2.65%0.0064✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002833-0.24%0.002825-0.53%0.0102✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002784-0.22%0.00284+1.79%0.0165✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002739-0.22%0.00279+1.64%0.0102✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002881-0.33%0.002745-5.02%0.0340✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002932-0.27%0.00289-1.70%0.0063✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003232-0.56%0.00294-9.54%0.0925✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003119-0.34%0.00325+3.83%0.0495✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003019-0.36%0.00313+3.30%0.0166✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002917-0.45%0.00303+3.41%0.0354✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003002-0.26%0.00293-2.66%0.0205✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002952-0.28%0.00301+1.69%0.0054✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002908-0.24%0.00296+1.54%0.0187✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.00299-0.35%0.002915-2.83%0.0272✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003128-0.37%0.003-4.46%0.0309✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003389-0.89%0.00314-8.19%0.0770✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002887-0.27%0.00342+18.13%0.1656✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002795-0.20%0.002895+3.39%0.0388✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002833-0.23%0.0028-1.41%0.0119✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002935-0.34%0.00284-3.57%0.0123✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002881-0.48%0.002945+1.73%0.0266✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002518-0.10%0.002895+14.88%0.0841✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002626-0.16%0.00252-4.18%0.0403✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002881-0.47%0.00263-9.15%0.0953✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002651-0.33%0.002895+8.83%0.0399✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002398-0.09%0.00266+10.83%0.1016✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002451-0.15%0.0024-2.24%0.0276✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002543-0.08%0.002455-3.54%0.0049✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002577-0.13%0.002545-1.36%0.0278✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002695-0.19%0.00258-4.44%0.0382✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002739-0.23%0.0027-1.64%0.0148✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002598-0.28%0.002745+5.37%0.0472✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002841-0.66%0.002605-8.92%0.0674✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002713-0.25%0.00286+5.15%0.0544✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002623-0.07%0.00272+3.62%0.0429✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002674-0.05%0.002625-1.87%0.0048✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002743-0.06%0.002675-2.55%0.0309✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002634-0.03%0.002745+4.17%0.0396✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002876-0.13%0.002635-8.51%0.0721✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002921-0.32%0.00288-1.71%0.0607✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003184-0.82%0.00293-8.72%0.0820✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003-0.81%0.00321+6.12%0.0823✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002554-0.24%0.003025+18.16%0.1551✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002538-0.28%0.00256+0.59%0.0158✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002776-0.31%0.002545-8.62%0.0919✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002831-0.33%0.002785-1.94%0.0138✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002676-0.34%0.00284+5.77%0.0450✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002694-0.41%0.002685-0.74%0.0091✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002854-0.38%0.002705-5.58%0.0484✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003042-0.44%0.002865-6.22%0.0757✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002942-0.44%0.003055+3.38%0.0291✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003024-0.51%0.002955-2.80%0.0073✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003017-0.75%0.00304+0.00%0.0642✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003081-0.62%0.00304-1.94%0.0748✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003022-0.59%0.0031+1.97%0.0643✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003206-0.73%0.00304-5.88%0.0571✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003026-0.47%0.00323+6.25%0.0356✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003066-0.46%0.00304-1.30%0.0052✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002913-0.42%0.00308+5.30%0.0551✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002911-0.47%0.002925+0.00%0.0132✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003172-0.56%0.002925-8.31%0.0813✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002933-0.41%0.00319+8.32%0.0854✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003398-0.80%0.002945-14.01%0.1418✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.003025-0.48%0.003425+12.66%0.1250✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003076-0.46%0.00304-1.62%0.0117✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003293-0.51%0.00309-6.65%0.0637✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003694-0.84%0.00331-11.14%0.1104✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004821-3.20%0.003725-25.20%0.2577✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002978-0.39%0.00498+66.56%0.5153✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003167-0.42%0.00299-5.97%0.0561✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003269-0.64%0.00318-3.34%0.0277✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003239-0.34%0.00329+1.23%0.0175✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003119-0.34%0.00325+3.83%0.0409✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.0032-0.45%0.00313-2.64%0.0279✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003439-0.31%0.003215-6.81%0.0645✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003618-0.34%0.00345-4.96%0.0472✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003638-0.34%0.00363-0.55%0.0016✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003762-0.49%0.00365-3.44%0.0367✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003682-0.34%0.00378+2.30%0.0300✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003678-0.33%0.003695+0.14%0.0052✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003821-0.36%0.00369-3.78%0.0382✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003981-0.47%0.003835-4.13%0.0410✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003958-0.55%0.004+0.50%0.0090✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003868-0.31%0.00398+2.58%0.0326✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004095-0.37%0.00388-5.60%0.0521✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004051-0.35%0.00411+1.11%0.0141✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004203-0.29%0.004065-3.56%0.0307✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004303-0.40%0.004215-2.43%0.0203✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004498-0.70%0.00432-4.64%0.0444✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003693+0.09%0.00453+22.76%0.2031✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004105+0.13%0.00369-10.00%0.1025✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004245-0.00%0.0041-3.42%0.0376✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004355-0.01%0.004245-2.53%0.0257✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004716-0.08%0.004355-7.73%0.0814✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.00532-0.18%0.00472-11.44%0.1162✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004923+0.05%0.00533+8.33%0.0833✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006218-0.36%0.00492-21.15%0.2407✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007391-0.53%0.00624-16.02%0.1736✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008055-0.68%0.00743-8.38%0.0795✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007755-0.58%0.00811+3.97%0.0464✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.00821-0.67%0.0078-5.63%0.0494✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008497-0.74%0.008265-3.45%0.0246✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007856-0.68%0.00856+8.22%0.0919✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008537-0.74%0.00791-8.02%0.0723✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.00895-1.54%0.0086-5.39%0.0458✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.00708-0.43%0.00909+27.85%0.2532✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007773-0.60%0.00711-9.08%0.0915✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008047-0.65%0.00782-3.46%0.0290✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007949-0.57%0.0081+1.31%0.0203✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007839-0.52%0.007995+1.46%0.0152✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008552-0.68%0.00788-8.48%0.0892✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.00891-0.89%0.00861-4.23%0.0407✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008631-0.68%0.00899+3.45%0.0443✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009432-1.03%0.00869-8.81%0.0870✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009071-0.81%0.00953+4.21%0.0532✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008863-0.75%0.009145+2.41%0.0343✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009623-0.90%0.00893-8.03%0.0837✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010049-1.29%0.00971-4.62%0.0403✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009414-1.53%0.01018+6.49%0.0755✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.00833-0.83%0.00956+13.81%0.1404✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009316-1.62%0.0084-11.30%0.0988✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007438-0.70%0.00947+26.44%0.2462✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007353-0.63%0.00749+1.22%0.0183✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007487-0.70%0.0074-1.86%0.0008✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006514-0.25%0.00754+15.47%0.1451✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007167-0.45%0.00653-9.31%0.1015✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007784-0.59%0.0072-8.05%0.0798✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008041-0.49%0.00783-3.09%0.0078✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.00786-0.38%0.00808+2.41%0.0263✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008775-0.73%0.00789-10.75%0.1314✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009023-0.73%0.00884-2.75%0.0219✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009682-0.70%0.00909-6.77%0.0749✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012135-3.15%0.00975-22.19%0.2978✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009269-1.23%0.01253+33.51%0.2733✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008833-0.87%0.009385+5.33%0.0584✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.01062-3.46%0.00891-19.00%0.1713✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007249-0.56%0.011+50.89%0.4156✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007463-0.82%0.00729-3.12%0.0306✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007627-0.57%0.007525-1.89%0.0272✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008851-0.88%0.00767-14.11%0.1491✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009849-1.17%0.00893-10.39%0.0970✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010533-1.10%0.009965-6.43%0.0549✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011972-1.67%0.01065-12.53%0.1158✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013439-2.82%0.012175-11.97%0.1033✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012906-2.30%0.01383+4.69%0.0693✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017142-3.18%0.01321-25.39%0.2598✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019462-5.29%0.017705-13.84%0.0943✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016659-4.48%0.02055+17.83%0.2117✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017403-4.48%0.01744-4.28%0.0047✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.02127-6.26%0.01822-19.70%0.1519✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016322-5.05%0.02269+32.00%0.3399✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.020297-6.98%0.01719-21.22%0.1758✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.00649-4.35%0.02182+221.59%1.2296✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004272-2.91%0.006785+54.20%0.4830✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002436-0.17%0.0044+80.33%0.5999✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002426-0.17%0.00244+0.41%0.0220✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002373-0.28%0.00243+2.10%0.0146✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002266-0.17%0.00238+4.85%0.0455✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002234-0.26%0.00227+1.34%0.0441✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002346-0.36%0.00224-4.88%0.0528✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.00229-0.44%0.002355+2.39%0.0155✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002399-0.46%0.0023-4.56%0.0579✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002464-0.66%0.00241-2.82%0.0204✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002407-0.52%0.00248+2.48%0.0242✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.00263-0.58%0.00242-8.51%0.1076✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002724-0.76%0.002645-3.64%0.0367✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.00293-0.68%0.002745-6.95%0.0579✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002896-0.83%0.00295+1.03%0.0321✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003075-1.45%0.00292-6.41%0.0350✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002714-1.31%0.00312+13.45%0.1268✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003242-0.87%0.00275-15.90%0.1668✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003315-1.33%0.00327-2.68%0.0035✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003412-0.97%0.00336-2.47%0.0161✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003233-1.15%0.003445+5.35%0.0408✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003522-1.06%0.00327-8.15%0.0804✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003488-1.62%0.00356+0.42%0.0053✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003436-1.13%0.003545+2.01%0.0564✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003472-1.65%0.003475-1.56%0.0185✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003772-1.76%0.00353-8.07%0.0921✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003568-1.02%0.00384+6.52%0.0691✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003539-1.16%0.003605+0.70%0.0098✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003475-1.85%0.00358+1.13%0.0335✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003972-1.07%0.00354-11.83%0.1709✓1.10
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