UPROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s1

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 192

Track record at +7d

assessed

57

of 64 predictions shown

direction hit

59.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4288

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0585

actual +0.0597

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.28138	0.269199	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.281425	0.268212	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.263482	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.237628	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.211255	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.222452	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.267607	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.265082	-5.31%	0.28138	+0.51%	0.0009	✓	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.260378	-5.10%	0.281425	+2.57%	0.0084	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.275034	-7.51%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0138	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.196202	-1.13%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2352	✗	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.227348	-3.80%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0071	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.205624	-1.37%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1546	✗	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.204316	-0.71%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3485	✗	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.198832	+0.42%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3314	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.226409	-1.21%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2327	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.237888	-2.36%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2800	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.257006	-3.53%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1655	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.274356	-4.67%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.0854	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.278345	-4.12%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2466	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.265882	-2.75%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2106	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.288571	-3.77%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3038	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.378922	-6.65%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.4959	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.365755	-7.11%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4523	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.283566	-2.62%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1189	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.30324	-3.75%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1014	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.344741	-5.41%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.1797	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.321208	-4.36%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1711	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.325021	-4.39%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.0916	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.371941	-5.90%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.1070	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.44535	-7.79%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.0677	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.508347	-8.75%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.4916	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.431216	-6.69%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.3775	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.451394	-7.05%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.2746	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.532687	-8.91%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5222	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.43959	-7.11%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.3834	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.357293	-4.41%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0314	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.310346	-2.70%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2752	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.356034	-3.99%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3406	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.362286	-4.41%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1841	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.340202	-3.89%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.2996	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.364183	-4.69%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4225	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.375637	-5.25%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2337	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.394196	-5.88%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0255	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.468164	-6.73%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3466	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.517133	-7.31%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3209	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.623492	-8.21%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4527	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.712399	-9.86%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.6667	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.580295	-8.04%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.3864	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.699153	-9.16%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5073	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.750394	-10.47%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.5957	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.768983	-12.04%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4400	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.778075	-14.91%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3393	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.463252	-11.70%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.3488	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.299301	-7.72%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9507	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.228298	-5.37%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9934	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.25073	-5.27%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.1094	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.331053	-11.06%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.9509	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.151781	-3.66%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7654	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.186429	-6.15%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5955	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.133342	-5.36%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3706	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.082456	-3.11%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3544	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.107313	-3.06%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.8164	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.101766	-3.45%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8610	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.