UPROBINHOOD
? · · gru_s1
- token id
- #949
- symbol
- UPROBINHOOD
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-11
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +30d
assessed
34
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
76.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.6335
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1553
actual -0.3130
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.28138 | 0.255894 | -9.06% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.281425 | 0.254796 | -9.46% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.277585 | 0.248547 | -10.46% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.24885 | 0.223436 | -10.21% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21966 | 0.196628 | -10.49% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.23107 | 0.206651 | -10.57% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.28208 | 0.247792 | -12.16% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.279945 | 0.244662 | -12.60% | – | pending | – | – | 2.33 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.27437 | 0.239502 | -12.71% | – | pending | – | – | 2.33 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.297375 | 0.254875 | -14.29% | – | pending | – | – | 2.31 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.198445 | 0.177402 | -10.60% | – | pending | – | – | 2.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.23632 | 0.20676 | -12.51% | – | pending | – | – | 2.06 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.20848 | 0.184539 | -11.48% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.20578 | 0.182199 | -11.46% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.19801 | 0.176065 | -11.08% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.22919 | 0.201535 | -12.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.96 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.24363 | 0.211745 | -13.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.96 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.266405 | 0.229621 | -13.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.94 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.28781 | 0.245692 | -14.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.92 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.290305 | 0.248842 | -14.28% | – | pending | – | – | 1.94 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.27341 | 0.235756 | -13.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.95 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.29989 | 0.256564 | -14.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.92 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.40591 | 0.341905 | -15.77% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.39374 | 0.330727 | -16.00% | – | pending | – | – | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.291185 | 0.250676 | -13.91% | – | pending | – | – | 2.08 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.31507 | 0.268949 | -14.64% | – | pending | – | – | 2.06 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.36447 | 0.307872 | -15.53% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.33586 | 0.285029 | -15.13% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.33996 | 0.287799 | -15.34% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.39528 | 0.330969 | -16.27% | – | pending | – | – | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.482965 | 0.398199 | -17.55% | 0.28138 | -41.74% | 0.3045 | ✓ | 1.84 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.55709 | 0.460642 | -17.31% | 0.281425 | -49.48% | 0.4392 | ✓ | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.46212 | 0.385873 | -16.50% | 0.277585 | -39.93% | 0.3640 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.485615 | 0.403795 | -16.85% | 0.24885 | -48.76% | 0.4958 | ✓ | 1.58 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.58476 | 0.484821 | -17.09% | 0.21966 | -62.44% | 0.8134 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.47322 | 0.396504 | -16.21% | 0.23107 | -51.17% | 0.6206 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.37378 | 0.318252 | -14.86% | 0.28208 | -24.53% | 0.2083 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.318955 | 0.273757 | -14.17% | 0.279945 | -12.23% | 0.0831 | ✓ | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.37084 | 0.316243 | -14.72% | 0.27437 | -26.01% | 0.1865 | ✓ | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.379015 | 0.322368 | -14.95% | 0.297375 | -21.54% | 0.1654 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.353985 | 0.301335 | -14.87% | 0.198445 | -43.94% | 0.4810 | ✓ | 1.12 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.382085 | 0.323368 | -15.37% | 0.23632 | -38.15% | 0.4021 | ✓ | 1.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.396465 | 0.333423 | -15.90% | 0.20848 | -47.42% | 0.5581 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.41882 | 0.349759 | -16.49% | 0.20578 | -50.87% | 0.5834 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.50196 | 0.418283 | -16.67% | 0.19801 | -60.55% | 0.7884 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.55791 | 0.462478 | -17.11% | 0.22919 | -58.92% | 0.7536 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.679235 | 0.559739 | -17.59% | 0.24363 | -64.13% | 0.8945 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.790295 | 0.649106 | -17.87% | 0.266405 | -66.29% | 0.9621 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.63101 | 0.522377 | -17.22% | 0.28781 | -54.39% | 0.6784 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.76968 | 0.634357 | -17.58% | 0.290305 | -62.28% | 0.8236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.838135 | 0.678008 | -19.11% | 0.27341 | -67.38% | 0.9972 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.87428 | 0.702039 | -19.70% | 0.29989 | -65.70% | 0.9425 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.91438 | 0.729572 | -20.21% | 0.40591 | -55.61% | 0.6479 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.52462 | 0.43632 | -16.83% | 0.39374 | -24.95% | 0.1768 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.32435 | 0.284949 | -12.15% | 0.291185 | -10.23% | 0.0430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.24126 | 0.215961 | -10.49% | 0.31507 | +30.59% | 0.2960 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.26469 | 0.24073 | -9.05% | 0.36447 | +37.70% | 0.3645 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.37223 | 0.327539 | -12.01% | 0.33586 | -9.77% | 0.0371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.15754 | 0.148252 | -5.90% | 0.33996 | +115.79% | 0.7580 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.19865 | 0.188585 | -5.07% | 0.39528 | +98.98% | 0.6739 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.1409 | 0.133131 | -5.51% | 0.482965 | +242.77% | 1.1852 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.0851 | 0.077975 | -8.37% | 0.55709 | +554.63% | 1.8496 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.1107 | 0.10458 | -5.53% | 0.46212 | +317.45% | 1.4503 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.1054 | 0.096187 | -8.74% | 0.485615 | +360.74% | 1.5124 | ✗ | 1.00 |