QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s1

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

67.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1497

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0166

actual -0.0673

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.00758	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007902	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008341	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008542	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008807	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008794	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.00891	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008734	-1.53%	0.00768	-13.42%	0.1381	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008846	-1.93%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.0987	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008967	-1.78%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0590	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009468	-1.63%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0688	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.00957	-1.69%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0465	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009284	-1.55%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0221	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009272	-1.42%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0294	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009217	-1.32%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0177	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009789	-1.42%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0532	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010062	-1.49%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0524	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010861	-1.80%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.0899	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.01119	-2.23%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1185	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010735	-2.01%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.1071	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010114	-1.52%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0357	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010252	-1.62%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.0897	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010559	-2.01%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.0799	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011123	-2.09%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1128	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.01064	-1.66%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0165	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010995	-2.05%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0366	✗	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010133	-1.24%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0738	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009895	-1.14%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0323	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.009986	-1.43%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0512	✗	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.0098	-1.41%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.1237	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009562	-1.48%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.2086	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008429	-1.47%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.2135	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008582	-1.47%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2337	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008549	-1.74%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1483	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008444	-2.26%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0782	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008481	-2.18%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0849	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008618	-2.46%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0345	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008539	-1.96%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0414	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008719	-2.31%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0677	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009627	-1.92%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1428	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009917	-1.91%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1695	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010427	-2.00%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.1860	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011158	-1.30%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2305	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011002	-1.24%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.1905	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012641	-1.51%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.3637	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010745	-0.37%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1460	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010732	-1.17%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.0607	✓	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009537	-2.03%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0849	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008217	-1.24%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.3172	✗	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007253	-3.10%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.4334	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007708	-3.05%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.3571	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008326	-2.62%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.4275	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008586	-2.98%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.2035	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008718	-2.81%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.2053	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009174	-2.82%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0428	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010342	-1.70%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2254	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.009762	-2.53%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.2518	✓	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.010832	-2.67%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3001	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011337	-2.39%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.2787	✓	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011379	-2.74%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.2508	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011433	-2.95%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.2522	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011649	-2.68%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2063	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011572	-3.97%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.1596	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011543	-4.13%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2362	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011496	-4.04%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.1881	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011272	-3.25%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1347	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011223	-3.08%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1327	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011018	-2.49%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.0984	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.0112	-2.61%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.1119	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011187	-3.23%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0400	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010768	-2.02%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0428	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010946	-1.74%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0770	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011474	-1.93%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0089	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.01167	-2.14%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0145	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011601	-2.10%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0056	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011612	-2.09%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0102	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011475	-2.09%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0160	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011243	-2.15%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0105	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011373	-2.17%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0154	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011168	-1.69%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0421	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012041	-1.95%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0229	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012014	-1.93%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0351	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011534	-1.42%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0075	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012056	-1.55%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0239	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.013015	-1.70%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1313	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.01376	-1.64%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1705	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013773	-1.62%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1905	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015375	-2.07%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2098	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014903	-2.08%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1841	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014522	-1.75%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2067	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016521	-2.18%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.2974	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016556	-2.15%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2088	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016702	-2.36%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1591	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016981	-2.66%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1817	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016709	-2.34%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0672	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017886	-2.92%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1581	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017942	-3.33%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.1951	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019059	-4.71%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1292	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016798	-2.76%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0038	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018222	-4.75%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0761	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013304	-1.23%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2691	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016739	-2.25%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0238	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.027578	-11.75%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.4018	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013033	-0.89%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3536	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013391	-1.03%	0.02	+47.82%	0.4009	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012584	-0.99%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3184	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011923	-0.43%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4729	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012569	-0.64%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0688	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012783	-0.72%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.2925	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012253	-0.59%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9366	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011921	-0.74%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.0992	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011093	+0.03%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.2012	✓	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014368	-2.86%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.1279	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010292	+1.10%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1667	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009248	+1.52%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3188	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010351	+1.18%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2212	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009683	+1.82%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2426	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.00986	+1.91%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.1984	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009729	+2.31%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1319	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010646	+1.87%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3273	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.01116	+1.45%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.1001	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.01221	+0.99%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.3037	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.01229	+1.20%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.1947	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011846	+1.25%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2305	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012684	+1.19%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2782	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013506	+1.09%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3566	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012539	+1.28%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1843	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.01219	+1.21%	0.011	-8.68%	0.1033	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.013009	+1.00%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0743	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013552	+1.13%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.1103	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.01394	+1.42%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1752	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.015046	+1.32%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1825	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015691	+1.17%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1605	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015727	+1.96%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2396	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017311	+1.56%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3627	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.018137	+0.93%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3406	✗	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.01805	+1.35%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.2967	✗	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.018318	+2.16%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2847	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019911	+1.54%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2916	✗	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.02012	+0.75%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2605	✗	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.021077	+0.32%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.3150	✗	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021469	-0.28%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2390	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021731	-1.45%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2159	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022058	-1.68%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2511	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021152	-1.48%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.2106	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.021989	-1.66%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1557	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020811	-1.37%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0713	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021344	-1.46%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0498	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022659	-1.93%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.0933	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021701	-1.89%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0044	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022651	-2.05%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0208	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021819	-1.67%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0261	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024076	-1.83%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0783	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024505	-2.18%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1605	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026428	-2.41%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2077	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025401	-2.55%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.0977	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027338	-2.19%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2107	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.027999	-2.27%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.1928	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.0278	-2.23%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2305	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027772	-2.20%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1368	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027549	-2.06%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.1061	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028489	-2.20%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0553	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027711	-2.05%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0679	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027787	-1.85%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0024	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027421	-1.75%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0368	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.02866	-2.09%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0095	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028776	-2.19%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029658	-2.12%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0662	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029435	-1.95%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0164	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029665	-2.16%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030192	-2.23%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.0876	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029687	-2.28%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1070	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.030875	-2.39%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.0782	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031181	-2.50%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.0828	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032361	-3.11%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1131	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.033739	-3.16%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.1891	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033207	-3.13%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1493	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034107	-3.13%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1311	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.033887	-2.96%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1078	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.034847	-3.35%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1101	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034501	-3.30%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.03584	-3.58%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0450	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.034658	-3.41%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0371	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.033519	-3.53%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0229	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.032689	-3.52%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0547	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.033951	-3.93%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.03385	-4.05%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0381	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.