QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s1

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +1d

assessed

186

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

59.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0537

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0046

actual -0.0099

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007656	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007981	-0.30%	0.00768	-4.06%	0.0365	✓	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008434	-0.31%	0.008005	-5.38%	0.0614	✓	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008638	-0.31%	0.00846	-2.37%	0.0195	✓	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008914	-0.34%	0.008665	-3.13%	0.0336	✓	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.00891	-0.39%	0.008945	+0.00%	0.0050	✗	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.009019	-0.34%	0.008945	-1.16%	0.0030	✓	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008839	-0.35%	0.00905	+2.03%	0.0189	✗	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008965	-0.61%	0.00887	-1.66%	0.0008	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.009084	-0.51%	0.00902	-1.20%	0.0175	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009588	-0.39%	0.00913	-5.14%	0.0260	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009698	-0.38%	0.009625	-1.13%	0.0180	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009399	-0.33%	0.009735	+3.23%	0.0299	✗	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009376	-0.30%	0.00943	+0.27%	0.0045	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009314	-0.27%	0.009405	+0.70%	0.0287	✗	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009898	-0.33%	0.00934	-5.94%	0.0315	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010182	-0.32%	0.00993	-2.79%	0.0228	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.011011	-0.44%	0.010215	-7.64%	0.0668	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011378	-0.59%	0.01106	-3.36%	0.0480	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010897	-0.53%	0.011445	+4.47%	0.0463	✗	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010232	-0.37%	0.010955	+6.67%	0.0723	✗	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010379	-0.39%	0.01027	-1.44%	0.0261	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010705	-0.65%	0.01042	-3.29%	0.0262	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011295	-0.58%	0.010775	-5.15%	0.0493	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010769	-0.48%	0.01136	+4.99%	0.0646	✗	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011148	-0.69%	0.01082	-3.61%	0.0303	✓	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010219	-0.40%	0.011225	+9.41%	0.0905	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009971	-0.39%	0.01026	+2.50%	0.0317	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010076	-0.53%	0.01001	-1.18%	0.0067	✓	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009879	-0.61%	0.01013	+1.91%	0.0455	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009644	-0.63%	0.00994	+2.42%	0.0348	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.00852	-0.41%	0.009705	+13.44%	0.0713	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008678	-0.37%	0.008555	-1.78%	0.0135	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008659	-0.47%	0.00871	+0.11%	0.0020	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008592	-0.56%	0.0087	+0.69%	0.0404	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008627	-0.50%	0.00864	-0.35%	0.0009	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008783	-0.59%	0.00867	-1.87%	0.0190	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008674	-0.41%	0.008835	+1.44%	0.0469	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.00888	-0.51%	0.00871	-2.41%	0.0350	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009775	-0.40%	0.008925	-9.07%	0.0859	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010069	-0.41%	0.009815	-2.92%	0.0261	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010592	-0.45%	0.01011	-4.98%	0.0536	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011259	-0.41%	0.01064	-5.88%	0.0388	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011095	-0.41%	0.011305	+1.48%	0.0204	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012709	-0.98%	0.01114	-13.21%	0.1257	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010747	-0.36%	0.012835	+19.01%	0.1913	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010781	-0.73%	0.010785	-0.69%	0.0052	✓	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009639	-0.99%	0.01086	+11.56%	0.1177	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008282	-0.45%	0.009735	+17.01%	0.1810	✗	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007437	-0.64%	0.00832	+11.16%	0.0707	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007899	-0.65%	0.007485	-5.85%	0.0528	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008501	-0.57%	0.00795	-7.02%	0.0553	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008795	-0.62%	0.00855	-3.39%	0.0365	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008917	-0.59%	0.00885	-1.34%	0.0023	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009385	-0.58%	0.00897	-4.98%	0.0488	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010466	-0.51%	0.00944	-10.27%	0.0833	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.009951	-0.64%	0.01052	+5.04%	0.0458	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011045	-0.77%	0.010015	-10.02%	0.1019	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011536	-0.68%	0.01113	-4.18%	0.0320	✓	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011614	-0.74%	0.011615	-0.73%	0.0100	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011694	-0.73%	0.0117	-0.68%	0.0050	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011876	-0.78%	0.01178	-1.59%	0.0023	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011939	-0.92%	0.01197	-0.66%	0.0451	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.01192	-1.00%	0.01205	+0.08%	0.0266	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011846	-1.11%	0.01204	+0.50%	0.0392	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011566	-0.72%	0.01198	+2.83%	0.0326	✗	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011493	-0.75%	0.01165	+0.60%	0.0075	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011236	-0.57%	0.01158	+2.48%	0.0325	✗	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011425	-0.65%	0.0113	-1.74%	0.0116	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011441	-1.03%	0.0115	-0.52%	0.0110	✗	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010931	-0.54%	0.01156	+5.19%	0.0558	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.011096	-0.40%	0.01099	-1.35%	0.0082	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011649	-0.43%	0.01114	-4.79%	0.0404	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011865	-0.51%	0.0117	-1.89%	0.0037	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.01179	-0.50%	0.011925	+0.63%	0.0120	✗	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011797	-0.53%	0.01185	-0.08%	0.0043	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011659	-0.52%	0.01186	+1.19%	0.0107	✗	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011425	-0.56%	0.01172	+2.00%	0.0289	✗	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011559	-0.57%	0.01149	-1.16%	0.0115	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011317	-0.37%	0.011625	+2.33%	0.0210	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012225	-0.45%	0.01136	-7.49%	0.0730	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012197	-0.43%	0.01228	+0.24%	0.0006	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011668	-0.28%	0.01225	+4.70%	0.0493	✗	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012208	-0.31%	0.0117	-4.45%	0.0242	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.01319	-0.38%	0.012245	-7.52%	0.0821	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013945	-0.32%	0.01324	-5.36%	0.0523	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013958	-0.30%	0.01399	-0.07%	0.0008	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015629	-0.45%	0.014	-10.83%	0.0967	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.015146	-0.48%	0.0157	+3.15%	0.0279	✗	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014727	-0.36%	0.01522	+2.98%	0.0313	✗	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016811	-0.47%	0.01478	-12.49%	0.1224	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016839	-0.48%	0.01689	-0.18%	0.0099	✗	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.017001	-0.61%	0.01692	-1.08%	0.0019	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017321	-0.71%	0.017105	-1.95%	0.0221	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.01702	-0.52%	0.017445	+1.96%	0.0207	✗	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.018281	-0.78%	0.01711	-7.14%	0.0654	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.018379	-0.98%	0.018425	-0.73%	0.0034	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019645	-1.77%	0.01856	-7.20%	0.0576	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.017122	-0.88%	0.02	+15.77%	0.1631	✗	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018746	-2.01%	0.017275	-9.70%	0.0794	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013429	-0.31%	0.01913	+42.02%	0.3521	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.017022	-0.60%	0.01347	-21.34%	0.2371	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.029596	-5.29%	0.017125	-45.20%	0.5471	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013113	-0.28%	0.03125	+137.64%	0.8686	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013483	-0.35%	0.01315	-2.81%	0.0255	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012657	-0.41%	0.01353	+6.45%	0.0672	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011957	-0.15%	0.01271	+6.14%	0.0610	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012622	-0.22%	0.011975	-5.34%	0.0528	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.01284	-0.27%	0.01265	-1.75%	0.0148	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012292	-0.27%	0.012875	+4.46%	0.0466	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011961	-0.40%	0.012325	+2.62%	0.0303	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011079	-0.10%	0.01201	+8.30%	0.0823	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014567	-1.51%	0.01109	-25.02%	0.2763	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010193	+0.13%	0.01479	+45.28%	0.3769	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009133	+0.25%	0.01018	+11.75%	0.1060	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010245	+0.14%	0.00911	-10.95%	0.1169	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.00954	+0.31%	0.01023	+7.57%	0.0697	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009706	+0.32%	0.00951	-1.71%	0.0205	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009547	+0.39%	0.009675	+1.74%	0.0135	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010483	+0.32%	0.00951	-9.00%	0.0993	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011027	+0.25%	0.01045	-5.00%	0.0570	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012108	+0.15%	0.011	-9.02%	0.0996	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012168	+0.19%	0.01209	-0.45%	0.0044	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011725	+0.21%	0.012145	+3.80%	0.0328	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012558	+0.19%	0.0117	-6.66%	0.0693	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.01338	+0.15%	0.012535	-6.18%	0.0642	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012407	+0.21%	0.01336	+7.92%	0.0731	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.01207	+0.21%	0.01238	+2.78%	0.0252	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012903	+0.18%	0.012045	-6.48%	0.0691	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013429	+0.21%	0.01288	-3.88%	0.0416	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013782	+0.27%	0.0134	-2.51%	0.0279	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014887	+0.25%	0.013745	-7.44%	0.0802	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015543	+0.22%	0.01485	-4.26%	0.0456	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015478	+0.34%	0.01551	+0.55%	0.0019	✓	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017092	+0.28%	0.015425	-9.50%	0.1026	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017994	+0.13%	0.017045	-5.15%	0.0549	✗	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017852	+0.24%	0.01797	+0.90%	0.0064	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017998	+0.38%	0.01781	-0.67%	0.0088	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019662	+0.27%	0.01793	-8.57%	0.0924	✗	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019996	+0.13%	0.01961	-1.80%	0.0224	✗	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.021014	+0.02%	0.01997	-4.95%	0.0512	✗	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021514	-0.07%	0.02101	-2.42%	0.0280	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021971	-0.36%	0.02153	-2.36%	0.0345	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022356	-0.35%	0.02205	-1.72%	0.0215	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.02141	-0.28%	0.022435	+4.49%	0.0461	✗	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022281	-0.35%	0.02147	-3.98%	0.0359	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.02104	-0.29%	0.02236	+5.97%	0.0604	✗	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.0216	-0.28%	0.0211	-2.59%	0.0259	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.023016	-0.38%	0.02166	-6.25%	0.0673	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.022045	-0.34%	0.023105	+4.45%	0.0422	✗	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.023028	-0.42%	0.02212	-4.35%	0.0393	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.022121	-0.31%	0.023125	+4.21%	0.0455	✗	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024437	-0.36%	0.02219	-9.52%	0.0940	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.02493	-0.48%	0.024525	-2.10%	0.0220	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.02693	-0.56%	0.02505	-7.50%	0.0722	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025873	-0.74%	0.02708	+3.89%	0.0478	✗	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027817	-0.47%	0.026065	-6.74%	0.0657	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028509	-0.49%	0.02795	-2.44%	0.0215	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.028298	-0.48%	0.02865	+0.76%	0.0099	✗	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.028259	-0.48%	0.028435	+0.14%	0.0030	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.028002	-0.46%	0.028395	+0.94%	0.0077	✗	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028988	-0.49%	0.02813	-3.43%	0.0256	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.028159	-0.46%	0.02913	+2.97%	0.0318	✗	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.028196	-0.40%	0.02829	-0.07%	0.0012	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027798	-0.40%	0.02831	+1.43%	0.0176	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029116	-0.52%	0.02791	-4.65%	0.0414	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.02925	-0.58%	0.02927	-0.51%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.030148	-0.50%	0.02942	-2.90%	0.0267	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029872	-0.49%	0.0303	+0.93%	0.0320	✗	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030145	-0.58%	0.03002	-0.99%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030719	-0.52%	0.03032	-1.81%	0.0262	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.030233	-0.48%	0.03088	+1.65%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031469	-0.51%	0.03038	-3.95%	0.0337	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031811	-0.53%	0.03163	-1.09%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.03314	-0.78%	0.03198	-4.25%	0.0606	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034586	-0.73%	0.0334	-4.13%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.03403	-0.73%	0.03484	+1.63%	0.0310	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034957	-0.72%	0.03428	-2.64%	0.0059	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034686	-0.67%	0.03521	+0.83%	0.0318	✗	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035767	-0.80%	0.03492	-3.15%	0.0371	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.035413	-0.75%	0.036055	+1.05%	0.0155	✗	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.03682	-0.94%	0.03568	-4.01%	0.0209	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035565	-0.88%	0.03717	+3.60%	0.0432	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034436	-0.89%	0.03588	+3.27%	0.0170	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033574	-0.90%	0.034745	+2.55%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034956	-1.09%	0.03388	-4.13%	0.0586	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034837	-1.26%	0.03534	+0.17%	0.0399	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.