QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s1

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

87.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3277

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0408

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007341	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007701	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008091	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008305	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.00855	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008531	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008648	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008483	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.00867	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008697	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009158	-4.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009238	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.008982	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.008991	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.008975	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.00959	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.00985	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010658	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.010934	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010515	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.009964	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010088	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010486	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.010938	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010565	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010959	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010157	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009978	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.01011	-0.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.010057	+1.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009808	+1.06%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.1993	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008356	-2.33%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0626	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008478	-2.67%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0088	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008434	-3.05%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0148	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008176	-5.37%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0313	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008182	-5.63%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0277	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008289	-6.18%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0195	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008259	-5.18%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0355	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008427	-5.58%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0015	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009308	-5.16%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.0674	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009596	-5.09%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.0639	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010078	-5.28%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.0996	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.010953	-3.11%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.1914	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.010845	-2.65%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.1739	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.01282	-0.12%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3554	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010867	+0.76%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1453	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010902	+0.39%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1277	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009655	-0.83%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0665	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.00821	-1.32%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2911	✗	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.006991	-6.60%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.3751	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.00745	-6.28%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.2444	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008114	-5.10%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.2017	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008341	-5.76%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.2025	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008522	-4.99%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.2414	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.008976	-4.92%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.1287	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010465	-0.52%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0375	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.009749	-2.65%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.0122	✓	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.010843	-2.58%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.1262	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011374	-2.08%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.1594	✓	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011331	-3.16%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.1966	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011309	-4.00%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.2268	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011717	-2.12%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.3372	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011193	-7.11%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.3232	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011081	-7.96%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.3528	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.010981	-8.34%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.3729	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.010715	-8.03%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3468	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.010657	-7.97%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3389	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010483	-7.23%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3624	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.010656	-7.34%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3395	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.010675	-7.65%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2443	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010199	-7.20%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.1616	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010333	-7.25%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.1083	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.010851	-7.26%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.1038	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011084	-7.05%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1293	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011019	-7.01%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0138	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011037	-6.94%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.1647	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.010865	-7.30%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1430	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.010651	-7.30%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2276	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.010741	-7.61%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.4088	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.010527	-7.33%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.4659	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011382	-7.31%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.4832	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011345	-7.39%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4255	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.010945	-6.45%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3465	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011541	-5.75%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3685	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012482	-5.72%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.3993	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013181	-5.79%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3629	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013232	-5.49%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.4067	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.014839	-5.48%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.3843	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014383	-5.50%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.3154	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014009	-5.22%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2712	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.01591	-5.80%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3721	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016053	-5.12%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3678	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016299	-4.71%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3432	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016505	-5.39%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3447	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016182	-5.42%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.3007	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017385	-5.64%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.3982	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017464	-5.91%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.4038	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.018691	-6.54%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.4983	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016595	-3.94%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.3524	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018158	-5.08%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.4382	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013189	-2.08%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1832	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016476	-3.79%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3918	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.02691	-13.89%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.8327	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.01315	-0.00%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0981	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013512	-0.14%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.1322	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.01277	+0.48%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0724	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.012071	+0.80%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0294	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012752	+0.81%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.1041	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012994	+0.93%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.1112	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012519	+1.57%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0969	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.012235	+1.87%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0044	✓	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011319	+2.07%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.0810	✓	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014675	-0.78%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.2331	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010363	+1.80%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.1863	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009273	+1.79%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.3616	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.0104	+1.66%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.2996	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009657	+1.54%	0.014	+47.21%	0.3731	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009872	+2.03%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.4663	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009717	+2.17%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4514	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010679	+2.19%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3294	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011264	+2.40%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4096	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012404	+2.59%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3163	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012443	+2.45%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3274	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.012028	+2.81%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.3742	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012894	+2.87%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.2854	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013692	+2.49%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3002	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012672	+2.35%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.3813	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.01234	+2.45%	0.02	+66.04%	0.4826	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.013076	+1.52%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.2778	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013537	+1.02%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3456	✓	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013895	+1.09%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0314	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014966	+0.78%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1347	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.01561	+0.64%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.6940	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015593	+1.09%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1707	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017069	+0.14%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2324	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017917	-0.30%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3438	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017697	-0.64%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3905	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017765	-0.92%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3374	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.01919	-2.14%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.3974	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019406	-2.82%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4547	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020254	-3.60%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5242	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.020614	-4.26%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6285	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021004	-4.75%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.3872	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.02127	-5.19%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.7935	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020333	-5.30%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8509	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.021131	-5.50%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.7724	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.019916	-5.61%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.7825	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.020373	-5.94%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.7935	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.021666	-6.23%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.9016	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.020705	-6.40%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7440	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.021662	-6.33%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7291	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.020751	-6.49%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.5874	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.022923	-6.53%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.6630	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.023436	-6.44%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7332	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.025321	-6.49%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7449	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.024291	-6.81%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6456	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.026001	-6.97%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.7885	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.026678	-6.88%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8410	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.026547	-6.64%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.7674	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.026598	-6.33%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7348	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.026545	-5.64%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7151	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.027341	-6.14%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6543	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.026682	-5.69%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.5758	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.02687	-5.09%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.5942	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.026619	-4.63%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.4794	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.027802	-5.01%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4486	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.027869	-5.27%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2113	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.028661	-5.41%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.1954	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.028649	-4.57%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.0906	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.028841	-4.88%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1301	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.029156	-5.58%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1070	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.028522	-6.12%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1169	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.029786	-5.83%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2024	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.030083	-5.93%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2319	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.031143	-6.76%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3381	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.032297	-7.30%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3357	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.031842	-7.11%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.3741	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.032769	-6.93%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.3738	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.032728	-6.28%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3113	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.033552	-6.94%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4114	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.033184	-7.00%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.3548	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.034733	-6.56%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4270	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.033627	-6.28%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.2796	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.03231	-7.01%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.2701	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.031521	-6.96%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.1729	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.032536	-7.93%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.2609	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.03288	-6.80%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.1783	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.