PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s1

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +7d

assessed

162

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

64.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0913

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0145

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.583252	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.581927	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.604253	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.61837	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.615953	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.601319	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.635371	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.579545	-2.11%	0.59875	+1.13%	0.0159	✓	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.572308	-2.09%	0.59595	+1.95%	0.0208	✓	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.607155	-2.60%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0213	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.601033	-2.54%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0529	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.657416	-2.99%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0289	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.659173	-2.98%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0595	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.642173	-2.86%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0243	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.623619	-2.73%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0548	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.638938	-2.96%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0778	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.638947	-2.86%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0091	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.717293	-3.21%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1253	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.781977	-3.92%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1265	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.694907	-3.25%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0127	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.720866	-3.50%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0763	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.678755	-3.31%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0401	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.690409	-3.70%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0459	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.657054	-3.39%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0092	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.646111	-3.66%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1250	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.63101	-3.82%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2419	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.598496	-3.10%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1804	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.635957	-3.87%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1584	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.598282	-3.32%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1570	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.561235	-3.22%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2501	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.561273	-2.96%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.2092	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.555778	-3.15%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.2112	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.499547	-2.54%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2509	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.523316	-2.81%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1452	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.523273	-2.83%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2136	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.503836	-2.22%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1548	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.504594	-2.10%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0887	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.479765	-1.52%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1345	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.487406	-1.88%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1228	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.469486	-1.08%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0662	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.476279	-0.92%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1032	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.485098	-1.01%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.0870	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.485459	-1.39%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0605	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.472969	-1.10%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.0966	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.440404	+0.53%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1133	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.449213	+0.16%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1044	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.429935	+1.64%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1160	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.424326	+2.15%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1374	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.421325	+2.34%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1626	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.421199	+3.06%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1786	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.412184	+1.50%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1451	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.419027	+1.24%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0408	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.418334	+1.40%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0679	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.419703	+0.64%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0021	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.426514	+0.34%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0319	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.420658	+0.13%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0278	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.418281	+0.55%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0267	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.409285	+0.22%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0015	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.41918	-0.21%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0084	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.443747	-0.84%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0715	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.40529	-0.35%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0288	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.391923	-0.17%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0779	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.418526	-0.49%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0049	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.394685	-0.68%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0436	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.392601	-1.28%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0243	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.381051	-1.77%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0849	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.364008	-1.22%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1877	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.362964	-1.25%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0950	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.37171	-1.22%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0338	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.365657	-0.96%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1155	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.373837	-1.11%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0495	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.374622	-1.13%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0504	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.386219	-1.39%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0016	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.394412	-1.58%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0696	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.401677	-1.77%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0826	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.386782	-1.54%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0213	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.386962	-1.59%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0428	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.388563	-1.62%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0250	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.388232	-1.56%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0200	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.394651	-1.68%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0057	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.406934	-1.90%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0171	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.43076	-2.14%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0574	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.435624	-2.11%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1109	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.427422	-1.88%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0907	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.443102	-1.81%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1136	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.428064	-1.42%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0832	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.421362	-1.25%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0488	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.396441	-0.50%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0456	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.378126	+0.01%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1563	✓	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.385537	-0.09%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1473	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.385137	-0.08%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1262	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.379971	-0.02%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1728	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.365384	+0.34%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1793	✓	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.343524	+0.65%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2254	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.326948	+0.80%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2016	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.351617	+0.49%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0707	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.367655	+0.30%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0499	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.394673	-0.03%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0243	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.393525	-0.02%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0393	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.38741	+0.04%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0669	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.384443	+0.09%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1246	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.390831	+0.02%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1988	✗	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.414911	-0.19%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1738	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.41608	-0.24%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1304	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.413033	-0.28%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0443	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.392523	-0.12%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0010	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.398895	-0.15%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0373	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.413554	-0.23%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0786	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.405239	-0.09%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0311	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.391192	+0.05%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0603	✓	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.419316	-0.19%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0075	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.423403	-0.23%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0272	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.415742	-0.15%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0612	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.41566	-0.08%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0460	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417517	+0.00%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0203	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.452863	-0.43%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1157	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.457239	-0.58%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1625	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.457666	-0.47%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0903	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.42766	-0.03%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0109	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.434572	-0.01%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0452	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.45771	-0.26%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0947	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.498486	-0.71%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1800	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.535609	-1.10%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1695	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.544234	-1.23%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1740	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.551131	-1.32%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1877	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.556371	-1.38%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2682	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.591617	-1.89%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3114	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.544379	-1.36%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1680	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.549693	-1.44%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0883	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.574553	-1.74%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0578	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.572561	-1.71%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0373	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.582274	-1.79%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0416	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.603881	-2.09%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0680	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.545826	-1.40%	0.603	+8.92%	0.1001	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.577767	-1.47%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0535	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.574001	-1.39%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0386	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.592427	-1.70%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0199	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.62337	-2.00%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0730	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.634902	-1.43%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0782	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.637314	-1.47%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0395	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.604692	-1.42%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0868	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.601899	-1.26%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0099	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.594963	-1.74%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0168	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.614669	-2.70%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0435	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.608439	-2.74%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1496	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.601817	-2.63%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.2038	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.593834	-2.50%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2105	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.609579	-2.69%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.1022	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.620757	-2.85%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1307	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.592742	-2.62%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1502	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.600802	-2.69%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1301	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.601202	-2.61%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0849	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.634077	-2.81%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.621973	-2.62%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.64111	-2.89%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0302	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.615164	-2.60%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0797	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.563099	-2.05%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0902	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.619656	-2.37%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.701783	-2.83%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1227	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.73853	-3.21%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1052	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.69222	-2.75%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0337	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.719128	-2.86%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0410	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.683668	-2.67%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0561	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.744909	-2.87%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2118	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.777514	-2.86%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1426	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.877954	-3.61%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1352	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.951941	-5.11%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1891	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.825898	-4.66%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1345	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.618149	-2.22%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1670	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.