PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s1

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +30d

assessed

139

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

59.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2004

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0319

actual +0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.549838	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.550582	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.570216	-7.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.582429	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.580217	-8.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.566811	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.597497	-8.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.547785	-7.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.540327	-7.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.573099	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.566759	-8.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.618044	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.619843	-8.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.604891	-8.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.588844	-8.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.603893	-8.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.604755	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.67602	-8.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.735114	-9.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.654286	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.678048	-9.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.640577	-8.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.650774	-9.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.620184	-8.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.610892	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.598138	-8.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.567514	-8.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.602298	-8.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.567602	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.535065	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.534939	-7.51%	0.59875	+3.52%	0.1259	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.531587	-7.36%	0.59595	+3.85%	0.1333	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.478134	-6.71%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2472	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.498218	-7.47%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.2373	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.497661	-7.58%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.2318	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.479911	-6.87%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.2154	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.480808	-6.71%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2734	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.45996	-5.58%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2193	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.468302	-5.73%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.2049	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.45224	-4.71%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2901	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.458573	-4.60%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2743	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.467687	-4.56%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3406	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.469805	-4.57%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3400	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.460538	-3.70%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3411	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.430468	-1.74%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3848	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.438593	-2.21%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3895	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.419425	-0.85%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4261	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.415816	+0.10%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5502	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.414132	+0.59%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6456	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.416752	+1.97%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5285	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.408753	+0.65%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5778	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.415475	+0.38%	0.702	+69.61%	0.4989	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.418529	+1.45%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5224	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.420791	+0.90%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4583	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.428307	+0.77%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4307	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.426019	+1.41%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.4097	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.433673	+4.25%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3390	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.425756	+4.25%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4230	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.436413	+3.90%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3282	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.462112	+3.27%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.2103	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.422573	+3.90%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.2913	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.407138	+3.70%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3186	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.43176	+2.65%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1651	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.396565	-0.21%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.2957	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.387438	-2.58%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3114	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.36901	-4.87%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3232	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.355069	-3.64%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3572	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.352781	-4.02%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3065	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.362256	-3.73%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.2933	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.358234	-2.97%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2590	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.366101	-3.16%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2560	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.366569	-3.25%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2694	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.3762	-3.94%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2400	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.383551	-4.29%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1827	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.389927	-4.64%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0789	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.376127	-4.26%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1350	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.376204	-4.32%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0872	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.377261	-4.48%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0567	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.377551	-4.27%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0374	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.383092	-4.56%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0075	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.3932	-5.21%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0183	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.41519	-5.68%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0533	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.419601	-5.71%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0672	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.414403	-4.87%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0411	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.432339	-4.19%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0551	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.422498	-2.71%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0284	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.419508	-1.69%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0266	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.397225	-0.31%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0065	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.384435	+1.68%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.0610	✓	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.391375	+1.42%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1015	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.393192	+2.01%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0036	✓	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.391184	+2.93%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0249	✓	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.37651	+3.39%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.0775	✓	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.354532	+3.88%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.0947	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.337433	+4.03%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.1544	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.36042	+3.01%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.0735	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.375874	+2.54%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0189	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.399583	+1.21%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0798	✗	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.398958	+1.36%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0558	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.393862	+1.71%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0582	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.391443	+1.91%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0290	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.396718	+1.53%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0508	✗	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.420407	+1.13%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0701	✗	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.421545	+1.07%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0511	✗	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.418245	+0.98%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0252	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.398329	+1.36%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0190	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.405441	+1.49%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0388	✗	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.420815	+1.52%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0661	✗	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.413787	+2.02%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0498	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.398381	+1.89%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0063	✓	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.422835	+0.65%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0204	✗	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.426401	+0.47%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0287	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.418918	+0.62%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0567	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.418934	+0.71%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0310	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.420563	+0.73%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0538	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.454839	+0.01%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0517	✗	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.458517	-0.30%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0783	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.457412	-0.53%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1436	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.428799	+0.23%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1327	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.435494	+0.21%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1269	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.456959	-0.42%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1726	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.493845	-1.63%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2604	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.526672	-2.75%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3658	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.533696	-3.14%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4424	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.539568	-3.39%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.5075	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.544182	-3.54%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4398	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.574696	-4.69%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4480	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.531943	-3.62%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2977	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.53595	-3.91%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.3072	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.5577	-4.63%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3639	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.554816	-4.75%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3674	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.562937	-5.05%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3637	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.581169	-5.78%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3353	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.529544	-4.35%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2388	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.557549	-4.92%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.3041	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.553438	-4.92%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3462	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.567954	-5.77%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3500	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.593848	-6.64%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3596	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.604521	-6.14%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.4077	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.605561	-6.38%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4444	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.575112	-6.24%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.3096	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.57194	-6.18%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2889	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.563916	-6.87%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2631	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.578942	-8.35%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2415	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.572963	-8.41%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1566	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.56738	-8.21%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0773	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.560332	-8.00%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0549	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.573902	-8.38%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.0832	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.583342	-8.71%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.0962	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.558309	-8.28%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.566084	-8.31%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.566751	-8.19%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0848	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.596575	-8.56%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0844	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.585254	-8.37%	0.551	-13.73%	0.1162	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.603233	-8.63%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.1115	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.579676	-8.22%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1722	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.53203	-7.46%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3248	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.584876	-7.85%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1192	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.660069	-8.60%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.694056	-9.04%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.654249	-8.09%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0688	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.683275	-7.70%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0880	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.647057	-7.88%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1736	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.705203	-8.04%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.739197	-7.65%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0537	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.831652	-8.69%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0697	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.888421	-11.44%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1420	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.778976	-10.08%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0338	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.588522	-6.91%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3639	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.