PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s1

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +1d

assessed

168

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

53.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0380

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0046

actual +0.0003

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.595201	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.592872	-0.52%	0.59875	+0.47%	0.0083	✗	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.616148	-0.54%	0.59595	-3.80%	0.0420	✓	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.630663	-0.55%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0267	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.628364	-0.61%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0106	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.611878	-0.48%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0276	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.648809	-0.70%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0529	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.589301	-0.46%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1083	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.582068	-0.42%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0125	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.619827	-0.57%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0471	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.613421	-0.53%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0059	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.673085	-0.68%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0757	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.674857	-0.68%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0008	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.657018	-0.62%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0312	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.637509	-0.56%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0307	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.653944	-0.68%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0095	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.653707	-0.61%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0217	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.735277	-0.78%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1101	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.80347	-1.28%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0765	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.712692	-0.77%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1235	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.740087	-0.93%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0312	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.696107	-0.84%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0724	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.709042	-1.10%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0171	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.674047	-0.89%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0622	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.663141	-1.12%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0243	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.647566	-1.30%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0413	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.612815	-0.78%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0680	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.652755	-1.33%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0573	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.612861	-0.96%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0783	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.57417	-0.99%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0748	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.573675	-0.82%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0230	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.56797	-1.02%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0211	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.509242	-0.65%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0842	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.534481	-0.74%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0414	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.53447	-0.75%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0050	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.512516	-0.54%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0203	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.512731	-0.52%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0037	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.485299	-0.38%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0572	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.493906	-0.57%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0004	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.473133	-0.31%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0418	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.479375	-0.28%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0077	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.488044	-0.41%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0154	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.488503	-0.77%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0000	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.47458	-0.77%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0453	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.437453	-0.15%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0899	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.446947	-0.35%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0173	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.423769	+0.18%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0627	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.416463	+0.26%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0131	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.412852	+0.28%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0054	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.41026	+0.38%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0110	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.406482	+0.09%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0086	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.414074	+0.04%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0191	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.412714	+0.04%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0067	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.416528	-0.13%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0130	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.424245	-0.19%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0151	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.419027	-0.26%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0129	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.414809	-0.29%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0216	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.406912	-0.36%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0176	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.417857	-0.52%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0247	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.443643	-0.86%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0532	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.404338	-0.58%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0979	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.39079	-0.46%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0381	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.418137	-0.59%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0601	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.395864	-0.39%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0540	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.395839	-0.47%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0021	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.385966	-0.50%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0255	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.367181	-0.36%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0546	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.366287	-0.34%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0038	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.375017	-0.34%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0198	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.368146	-0.29%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0218	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.376818	-0.33%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0198	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.377677	-0.32%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0010	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.390187	-0.37%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0291	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.399048	-0.42%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0176	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.406894	-0.49%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0123	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.391266	-0.40%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0443	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.391597	-0.41%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0032	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.393341	-0.41%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0021	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.392875	-0.39%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0065	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.399787	-0.40%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0156	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.412962	-0.44%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0307	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.437822	-0.54%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0539	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.442649	-0.53%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0082	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.433407	-0.50%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0266	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.448682	-0.57%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0236	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.43185	-0.55%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0425	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.424131	-0.60%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0235	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.397223	-0.31%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0713	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.377284	-0.22%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0584	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.384969	-0.24%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0206	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.384381	-0.28%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0034	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.378819	-0.32%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0199	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.363502	-0.18%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0476	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.341057	-0.07%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0669	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.324287	-0.02%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0479	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.349633	-0.08%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0766	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.366103	-0.12%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0449	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.394074	-0.18%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0756	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.392907	-0.18%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0044	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.386642	-0.16%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0213	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.383565	-0.14%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0106	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.390167	-0.15%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0271	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.414853	-0.20%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0545	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.416207	-0.21%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0011	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.41331	-0.21%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0104	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.392358	-0.16%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0513	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.398789	-0.18%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0176	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.413607	-0.22%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0315	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.40482	-0.19%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0257	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.390473	-0.13%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0369	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.419425	-0.16%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0718	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.423719	-0.16%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0104	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.415815	-0.13%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0174	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.415557	-0.11%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0024	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417145	-0.09%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0068	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.45392	-0.19%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0812	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.458714	-0.26%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0096	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.458967	-0.19%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0027	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.427485	-0.07%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0731	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.434289	-0.07%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0155	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.458352	-0.12%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0522	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.501007	-0.21%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0889	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.539991	-0.29%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0749	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.54927	-0.31%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0131	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.556671	-0.33%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0117	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.562293	-0.33%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0056	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.599976	-0.50%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0610	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.550175	-0.31%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0929	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.555966	-0.32%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0064	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.582429	-0.40%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0429	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.580373	-0.37%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0073	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.590643	-0.38%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0147	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.613807	-0.49%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0356	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.55205	-0.28%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1109	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.584647	-0.30%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0600	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.580496	-0.28%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0107	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.600691	-0.33%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0284	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.63354	-0.40%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0494	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.642255	-0.29%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0164	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.644533	-0.35%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0002	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.611751	-0.27%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0732	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.608187	-0.23%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0100	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.603489	-0.33%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0301	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.628039	-0.58%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0019	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.621952	-0.58%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0374	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.614763	-0.54%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0193	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.605998	-0.50%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0160	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.622824	-0.57%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0210	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.634965	-0.63%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.60539	-0.54%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0741	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.613942	-0.56%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0100	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.614048	-0.53%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.648532	-0.59%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0536	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.635289	-0.53%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0107	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.655947	-0.64%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.628267	-0.53%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0487	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.572968	-0.34%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0882	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.632026	-0.42%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0924	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.718091	-0.57%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1174	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.757084	-0.78%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0382	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.7075	-0.60%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0876	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.734707	-0.76%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.698219	-0.60%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0362	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.761396	-0.72%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0657	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.793931	-0.81%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0193	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.899022	-1.29%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1104	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.981772	-2.14%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0940	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.848093	-2.10%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1622	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.628705	-0.55%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3183	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.