O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s1

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 357

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

112

of 119 predictions shown

direction hit

71.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0793

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0134

actual -0.0298

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.43434	0.426847	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-21	oos	0.43252	0.425667	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.431492	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.401338	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.420122	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.436905	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.450129	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.446954	-1.88%	0.43434	-4.65%	0.0419	✓	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.452215	-1.93%	0.43252	-6.20%	0.0602	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.464136	-1.92%	0.439245	-7.18%	0.0540	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.473551	-2.19%	0.407545	-15.82%	0.1508	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.470717	-2.07%	0.42721	-11.12%	0.0846	✓	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.467447	-2.27%	0.445015	-6.96%	0.0376	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.441363	-1.79%	0.4589	+2.11%	0.0469	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.44628	-1.83%	0.455525	+0.20%	0.0172	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.462691	-1.93%	0.46111	-2.26%	0.0089	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.49321	-1.95%	0.47322	-5.93%	0.0250	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.497498	-1.92%	0.48416	-4.55%	0.0002	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.503577	-1.86%	0.480645	-6.33%	0.0287	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.502564	-1.99%	0.47832	-6.71%	0.0377	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.510208	-1.96%	0.449425	-13.64%	0.1145	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.528206	-2.01%	0.454605	-15.66%	0.1296	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.540391	-2.29%	0.47178	-14.70%	0.1340	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.552683	-2.37%	0.503025	-11.14%	0.1060	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.518397	-2.05%	0.50726	-4.15%	0.0374	✓	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.528706	-1.95%	0.513105	-4.85%	0.0445	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.533244	-1.92%	0.51275	-5.69%	0.0416	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.537898	-1.91%	0.5204	-5.10%	0.0359	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.541153	-1.86%	0.539035	-2.24%	0.0072	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.535915	-1.75%	0.55308	+1.40%	0.0373	✗	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.549893	-1.59%	0.566075	+1.31%	0.0537	✗	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.53745	-1.35%	0.52923	-2.86%	0.0026	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.539031	-2.00%	0.53924	-1.96%	0.0243	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.554981	-2.09%	0.543685	-4.09%	0.0435	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.560793	-2.13%	0.548345	-4.30%	0.0474	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.548333	-1.89%	0.55141	-1.33%	0.0578	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.529236	-1.27%	0.54546	+1.76%	0.0417	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.522855	-0.75%	0.55875	+6.06%	0.0389	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.539473	-1.20%	0.54479	-0.23%	0.0716	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.50774	+0.34%	0.550025	+8.70%	0.0378	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.5407	-0.17%	0.566845	+4.65%	0.0097	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.549184	+0.24%	0.572975	+4.58%	0.0077	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.540108	+1.44%	0.55887	+4.96%	0.0360	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.535836	+2.06%	0.536045	+2.10%	0.0217	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.546761	+2.44%	0.52681	-1.30%	0.0086	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.558544	+2.56%	0.54605	+0.26%	0.0137	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.554239	+3.53%	0.506	-5.48%	0.0557	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.557987	+4.31%	0.541645	+1.26%	0.0040	✓	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.578857	+4.47%	0.54789	-1.12%	0.0303	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.589876	+5.19%	0.53246	-5.05%	0.0550	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.574478	+4.46%	0.525035	-4.53%	0.1003	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.58121	+4.18%	0.53373	-4.33%	0.0962	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.578639	+4.62%	0.54462	-1.53%	0.0662	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.554325	+3.82%	0.53535	+0.27%	0.0627	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.548167	+3.21%	0.53493	+0.72%	0.0412	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.467209	+3.30%	0.55411	+22.52%	0.1516	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.451381	+3.39%	0.56077	+28.44%	0.2060	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.457041	+2.22%	0.549935	+22.99%	0.2052	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.453035	+1.54%	0.55791	+25.05%	0.2215	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.436008	+1.38%	0.55311	+28.61%	0.2429	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.444697	+0.70%	0.53392	+20.91%	0.1836	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.437466	+0.24%	0.5311	+21.70%	0.1796	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.510763	-0.27%	0.452265	-11.69%	0.1164	✓	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.476617	-0.82%	0.4366	-9.15%	0.1642	✓	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.479038	-1.47%	0.44712	-8.03%	0.1922	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.474187	-2.09%	0.446145	-7.88%	0.2972	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.448952	-2.02%	0.43008	-6.14%	0.2874	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.440323	-2.03%	0.44159	-1.75%	0.2558	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.446258	-2.03%	0.4364	-4.19%	0.2668	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.433794	-1.88%	0.51216	+15.85%	0.0984	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.436897	-1.88%	0.48057	+7.93%	0.0760	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.431343	-1.82%	0.48616	+10.66%	0.0116	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.437589	-1.86%	0.484325	+8.62%	0.0797	✗	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.444387	-1.94%	0.45821	+1.11%	0.0199	✗	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.462176	-2.10%	0.449445	-4.79%	0.0097	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.458128	-2.10%	0.455485	-2.66%	0.0296	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.466952	-2.18%	0.4421	-7.39%	0.0188	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.469928	-2.24%	0.44526	-7.37%	0.0380	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.478469	-2.34%	0.439325	-10.33%	0.0630	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.491964	-2.48%	0.445895	-11.61%	0.0883	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.48614	-2.50%	0.45317	-9.12%	0.0788	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.468138	-2.44%	0.47207	-1.62%	0.0174	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.501922	-2.70%	0.467935	-9.29%	0.1139	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.483555	-2.60%	0.47738	-3.84%	0.0551	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.488786	-2.75%	0.4807	-4.36%	0.0069	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.466319	-2.62%	0.489915	+2.30%	0.0345	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.473353	-2.85%	0.50446	+3.54%	0.0594	✗	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.468568	-2.75%	0.49863	+3.49%	0.0670	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.465302	-2.62%	0.47985	+0.43%	0.0728	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.495027	-2.94%	0.51585	+1.14%	0.0797	✗	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.472807	-2.70%	0.496455	+2.16%	0.0801	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.527014	-3.33%	0.5026	-7.81%	0.0401	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.573819	-3.02%	0.47888	-19.06%	0.1350	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.60077	-3.12%	0.487225	-21.43%	0.1548	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.604492	-3.47%	0.48183	-23.05%	0.1937	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.570157	-3.28%	0.4778	-18.95%	0.1905	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.556402	-3.23%	0.51004	-11.29%	0.0764	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.547367	-3.37%	0.48595	-14.21%	0.1231	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.506264	-2.99%	0.54517	+4.47%	0.0542	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.538933	-3.07%	0.59166	+6.41%	0.0724	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.539062	-3.03%	0.6201	+11.55%	0.1168	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.509111	-3.08%	0.6262	+19.21%	0.1607	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.52604	-3.06%	0.5895	+8.64%	0.0992	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.545619	-3.15%	0.57496	+2.06%	0.0365	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.536974	-3.05%	0.56643	+2.27%	0.0571	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.553331	-3.25%	0.521855	-8.75%	0.0679	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.536602	-3.21%	0.556	+0.29%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.541094	-3.17%	0.55588	-0.52%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.517173	-2.89%	0.525275	-1.36%	0.0431	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.537113	-2.98%	0.542635	-1.98%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.58899	-3.37%	0.56335	-7.57%	0.0553	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.524017	-2.98%	0.55385	+2.54%	0.0300	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.540656	-3.08%	0.57192	+2.52%	0.0291	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.541542	-2.95%	0.55441	-0.64%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.493649	-2.25%	0.558795	+10.65%	0.0451	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.521146	-2.60%	0.53254	-0.47%	0.0402	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.477	-2.25%	0.55362	+13.45%	0.0821	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.419115	-1.99%	0.609515	+42.54%	0.3233	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.448047	-1.96%	0.54012	+18.19%	0.1458	✗	1.00