O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s1

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 357

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

118

of 119 predictions shown

direction hit

61.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0332

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0035

actual -0.0030

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.43434	0.432462	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-21	oos	0.43252	0.430817	-0.39%	0.43434	+0.42%	0.0070	✗	0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.437377	-0.43%	0.43252	-1.53%	0.0181	✓	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.406159	-0.34%	0.439245	+7.78%	0.0713	✗	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.425595	-0.38%	0.407545	-4.60%	0.0423	✓	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.443245	-0.40%	0.42721	-4.00%	0.0409	✓	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.456964	-0.42%	0.445015	-3.03%	0.0257	✓	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.45353	-0.44%	0.4589	+0.74%	0.0158	✗	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.459198	-0.41%	0.455525	-1.21%	0.0116	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.471166	-0.43%	0.46111	-2.56%	0.0114	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.481814	-0.48%	0.47322	-2.26%	0.0272	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.478348	-0.48%	0.48416	+0.73%	0.0264	✗	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.475636	-0.56%	0.480645	+0.49%	0.0047	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.447783	-0.37%	0.47832	+6.43%	0.0632	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.452982	-0.36%	0.449425	-1.14%	0.0143	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.469859	-0.41%	0.454605	-3.64%	0.0216	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.500664	-0.47%	0.47178	-6.21%	0.0442	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.504964	-0.45%	0.503025	-0.83%	0.0025	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.510794	-0.45%	0.50726	-1.14%	0.0022	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.510437	-0.45%	0.513105	+0.07%	0.0059	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.518098	-0.44%	0.51275	-1.47%	0.0119	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.536515	-0.47%	0.5204	-3.46%	0.0283	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.549982	-0.56%	0.539035	-2.54%	0.0283	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.562794	-0.58%	0.55308	-2.30%	0.0169	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.526685	-0.48%	0.566075	+6.96%	0.0709	✗	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.536708	-0.47%	0.52923	-1.86%	0.0068	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.541145	-0.47%	0.53924	-0.82%	0.0039	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.545757	-0.47%	0.543685	-0.85%	0.0060	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.548689	-0.49%	0.548345	-0.56%	0.0014	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.54292	-0.47%	0.55141	+1.09%	0.0155	✗	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.556095	-0.48%	0.54546	-2.38%	0.0018	✓	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.542508	-0.42%	0.55875	+2.56%	0.0317	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.547417	-0.47%	0.54479	-0.95%	0.0449	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.563983	-0.50%	0.550025	-2.97%	0.0245	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.570047	-0.51%	0.566845	-1.07%	0.0085	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.556667	-0.39%	0.572975	+2.52%	0.0076	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.534691	-0.25%	0.55887	+4.26%	0.0424	✗	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.526022	-0.15%	0.536045	+1.75%	0.0129	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.544495	-0.28%	0.52681	-3.52%	0.0062	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.506333	+0.07%	0.54605	+7.92%	0.0620	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.541415	-0.04%	0.506	-6.58%	0.0632	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.548068	+0.03%	0.541645	-1.14%	0.0123	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.533868	+0.26%	0.54789	+2.90%	0.0194	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.526919	+0.36%	0.53246	+1.41%	0.0279	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.535886	+0.40%	0.525035	-1.63%	0.0188	✗	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.547006	+0.44%	0.53373	-2.00%	0.0183	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.538491	+0.59%	0.54462	+1.73%	0.0236	✓	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.538745	+0.71%	0.53535	+0.08%	0.0113	✗	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.558084	+0.72%	0.53493	-3.46%	0.0439	✗	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.565269	+0.80%	0.55411	-1.19%	0.0043	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.553682	+0.68%	0.56077	+1.97%	0.0281	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.561122	+0.58%	0.549935	-1.43%	0.0192	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.556436	+0.60%	0.55791	+0.87%	0.0151	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.535947	+0.38%	0.55311	+3.59%	0.0221	✓	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.532076	+0.18%	0.53392	+0.53%	0.0095	✓	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.453397	+0.25%	0.5311	+17.43%	0.1541	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.437567	+0.22%	0.452265	+3.59%	0.0608	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.447086	-0.01%	0.4366	-2.35%	0.0381	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.44548	-0.15%	0.44712	+0.22%	0.0021	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.429225	-0.20%	0.446145	+3.74%	0.0440	✗	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.440328	-0.29%	0.43008	-2.61%	0.0387	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.434919	-0.34%	0.44159	+1.19%	0.0070	✗	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.50947	-0.53%	0.4364	-14.79%	0.1410	✓	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.478561	-0.42%	0.51216	+6.57%	0.0112	✗	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.483893	-0.47%	0.48057	-1.15%	0.0558	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.481701	-0.54%	0.48616	+0.38%	0.0748	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.455911	-0.50%	0.484325	+5.70%	0.0567	✗	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.447292	-0.48%	0.45821	+1.95%	0.0072	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.453442	-0.45%	0.449445	-1.33%	0.0053	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.440285	-0.41%	0.455485	+3.03%	0.0331	✗	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.443407	-0.42%	0.4421	-0.71%	0.0057	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.437579	-0.40%	0.44526	+1.35%	0.0171	✗	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.444086	-0.41%	0.439325	-1.47%	0.0085	✓	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.451256	-0.42%	0.445895	-1.61%	0.0047	✓	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.469876	-0.46%	0.45317	-4.00%	0.0188	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.465848	-0.45%	0.47207	+0.88%	0.0144	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.475176	-0.46%	0.467935	-1.98%	0.0157	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.478468	-0.46%	0.47738	-0.69%	0.0139	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.487547	-0.48%	0.4807	-1.88%	0.0079	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.501858	-0.52%	0.489915	-2.88%	0.0346	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.496089	-0.51%	0.50446	+1.17%	0.0055	✗	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.477583	-0.47%	0.49863	+3.91%	0.0438	✗	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.513027	-0.55%	0.47985	-6.98%	0.0820	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.493985	-0.50%	0.51585	+3.91%	0.0446	✗	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.499835	-0.55%	0.496455	-1.22%	0.0346	✗	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.476517	-0.49%	0.5026	+4.95%	0.0360	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.484351	-0.59%	0.47888	-1.71%	0.0124	✓	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.479242	-0.54%	0.487225	+1.12%	0.0133	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.475504	-0.48%	0.48183	+0.84%	0.0507	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.507003	-0.60%	0.4778	-6.32%	0.0851	✓	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.483555	-0.49%	0.51004	+4.96%	0.0481	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.540818	-0.80%	0.48595	-10.86%	0.0852	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.588016	-0.62%	0.54517	-7.86%	0.0541	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.615923	-0.67%	0.59166	-4.59%	0.0315	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.621408	-0.77%	0.6201	-0.97%	0.0299	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.585538	-0.67%	0.6262	+6.23%	0.0560	✗	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.571124	-0.67%	0.5895	+2.53%	0.0341	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.562428	-0.71%	0.57496	+1.51%	0.0029	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.518945	-0.56%	0.56643	+8.54%	0.0856	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.55256	-0.62%	0.521855	-6.14%	0.0424	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.552456	-0.62%	0.556	+0.02%	0.0106	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.522275	-0.57%	0.55588	+5.83%	0.0195	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.539434	-0.59%	0.525275	-3.20%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.559827	-0.63%	0.542635	-3.68%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.550475	-0.61%	0.56335	+1.72%	0.0287	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.568169	-0.66%	0.55385	-3.16%	0.0405	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.55093	-0.63%	0.57192	+3.16%	0.0224	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.555142	-0.65%	0.55441	-0.78%	0.0160	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.529487	-0.57%	0.558795	+4.93%	0.0645	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.550256	-0.61%	0.53254	-3.81%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.60493	-0.75%	0.55362	-9.17%	0.0965	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.536886	-0.60%	0.609515	+12.85%	0.1179	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.554292	-0.64%	0.54012	-3.18%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.554692	-0.59%	0.557835	-0.03%	0.0194	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.503071	-0.38%	0.558	+10.50%	0.0794	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.532287	-0.51%	0.505	-5.61%	0.0250	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.486034	-0.40%	0.535035	+9.64%	0.0845	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.426458	-0.27%	0.488	+14.12%	0.1425	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.455724	-0.28%	0.427605	-6.43%	0.0626	✓	1.00