O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s1

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 354

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 118 predictions shown

direction hit

87.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1092

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0633

actual -0.1436

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.44305	0.412718	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.408642	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.378678	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.396363	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.411304	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.423659	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.421086	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.425016	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.437054	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.444704	-8.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.443444	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.441183	-7.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.415564	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.419666	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.436341	-7.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.467384	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.470546	-7.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.476514	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.472759	-7.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.480068	-7.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.498103	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.510475	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.522846	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.491559	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.503016	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.508274	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.516083	-5.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.521737	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.516189	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.534044	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.521846	-4.21%	0.44305	-18.68%	0.1412	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.51858	-5.72%	0.439245	-20.14%	0.1795	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.535413	-5.55%	0.407545	-28.10%	0.2773	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.541936	-5.42%	0.42721	-25.44%	0.2468	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.523486	-6.33%	0.445015	-20.37%	0.2028	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.506618	-5.49%	0.4589	-14.39%	0.1465	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.500037	-5.08%	0.455525	-13.53%	0.1598	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.522182	-4.37%	0.46111	-15.56%	0.1582	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.486208	-3.91%	0.47322	-6.48%	0.0873	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.518998	-4.18%	0.48416	-10.61%	0.1117	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.526929	-3.83%	0.480645	-12.27%	0.1521	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.514036	-3.46%	0.47832	-10.17%	0.1314	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.514903	-1.93%	0.449425	-14.40%	0.1768	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.526103	-1.43%	0.454605	-14.82%	0.1772	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.536611	-1.47%	0.47178	-13.37%	0.1682	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.53554	+0.04%	0.503025	-6.04%	0.1119	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.535584	+0.12%	0.50726	-5.17%	0.1105	✗	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.556176	+0.37%	0.513105	-7.40%	0.1452	✗	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.57417	+2.39%	0.51275	-8.56%	0.1463	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.547889	-0.37%	0.5204	-5.37%	0.1243	✓	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.560325	+0.43%	0.539035	-3.38%	0.1138	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.566362	+2.40%	0.55308	-0.01%	0.0750	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.548982	+2.82%	0.566075	+6.02%	0.0303	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.552021	+3.94%	0.52923	-0.35%	0.0957	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.473412	+4.68%	0.53924	+19.23%	0.0637	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.468009	+7.19%	0.543685	+24.53%	0.1045	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.475811	+6.42%	0.548345	+22.64%	0.0849	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.473026	+6.03%	0.55141	+23.59%	0.0875	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.458172	+6.53%	0.54546	+26.83%	0.1127	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.461806	+4.58%	0.55875	+26.53%	0.0924	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.452577	+3.71%	0.54479	+24.84%	0.0750	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.533799	+4.23%	0.550025	+7.39%	0.0000	✓	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.476536	-0.84%	0.566845	+17.95%	0.0875	✗	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.468639	-3.60%	0.572975	+17.86%	0.0561	✗	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.452939	-6.48%	0.55887	+15.39%	0.0082	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.425724	-7.09%	0.536045	+16.99%	0.0300	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.413953	-7.90%	0.52681	+17.21%	0.0164	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.418043	-8.22%	0.54605	+19.88%	0.0052	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.405363	-8.31%	0.506	+14.45%	0.0189	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.408426	-8.27%	0.541645	+21.65%	0.0421	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.40239	-8.41%	0.54789	+24.71%	0.0692	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.407777	-8.55%	0.53246	+19.41%	0.0404	✓	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.413817	-8.68%	0.525035	+15.86%	0.0083	✓	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.430678	-8.77%	0.53373	+13.06%	0.0131	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.42491	-9.19%	0.54462	+16.39%	0.0117	✓	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.431768	-9.55%	0.53535	+12.14%	0.0406	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.432763	-9.97%	0.53493	+11.28%	0.0496	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.439614	-10.27%	0.55411	+13.10%	0.0209	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.45107	-10.58%	0.56077	+11.16%	0.0744	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.444361	-10.88%	0.549935	+10.29%	0.0280	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.426324	-11.15%	0.55791	+16.27%	0.0269	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.457916	-11.23%	0.55311	+7.22%	0.1039	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.440606	-11.25%	0.53392	+7.55%	0.0847	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.447326	-11.00%	0.5311	+5.67%	0.0921	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.426618	-10.91%	0.452265	-5.56%	0.2076	✓	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.435761	-10.56%	0.4366	-10.39%	0.3069	✓	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.431472	-10.45%	0.44712	-7.20%	0.2545	✓	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.428592	-10.30%	0.446145	-6.63%	0.2301	✓	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.458729	-10.06%	0.43008	-15.68%	0.3932	✓	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.437352	-10.00%	0.44159	-9.13%	0.2955	✓	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.492955	-9.58%	0.4364	-19.95%	0.3679	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.535594	-9.48%	0.51216	-13.44%	0.2762	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.562328	-9.32%	0.48057	-22.50%	0.2816	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.564331	-9.88%	0.48616	-22.36%	0.2345	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.532218	-9.72%	0.484325	-17.84%	0.0943	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.520254	-9.51%	0.45821	-20.31%	0.1202	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.511391	-9.72%	0.449445	-20.65%	0.1063	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.473061	-9.35%	0.455485	-12.72%	0.0260	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.50464	-9.24%	0.4421	-20.49%	0.1050	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.505253	-9.11%	0.44526	-19.90%	0.1021	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.475027	-9.57%	0.439325	-16.36%	0.0964	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.492049	-9.32%	0.445895	-17.83%	0.0952	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.509965	-9.48%	0.45317	-19.56%	0.1202	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.502438	-9.28%	0.47207	-14.77%	0.0735	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.516492	-9.69%	0.467935	-18.18%	0.1258	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.500514	-9.72%	0.47738	-13.89%	0.0891	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.505576	-9.52%	0.4807	-13.98%	0.0653	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.483859	-9.14%	0.489915	-8.00%	0.0031	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.501593	-9.40%	0.50446	-8.88%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.547752	-10.13%	0.49863	-18.19%	0.1000	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.488541	-9.55%	0.47985	-11.16%	0.0335	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.502663	-9.89%	0.51585	-7.53%	0.0053	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.501999	-10.04%	0.496455	-11.03%	0.0578	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.455981	-9.71%	0.5026	-0.48%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.482076	-9.90%	0.47888	-10.50%	0.0669	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.440401	-9.75%	0.487225	-0.16%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.385925	-9.75%	0.48183	+12.68%	0.1611	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.412515	-9.73%	0.4778	+4.55%	0.0617	✓	1.00