NIULAI

? · · gru_s1

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +30d

assessed

25

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

84.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3176

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1297

actual -0.2998

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.056863	-9.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.056496	-9.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.052803	-8.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.053558	-8.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.054232	-8.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.058761	-9.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.060559	-10.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.062412	-10.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.066413	-11.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.064285	-10.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.070211	-11.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.070863	-11.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.065853	-11.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.065005	-11.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.063655	-11.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.06987	-11.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.067915	-11.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.072798	-11.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.070989	-11.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.077634	-11.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.088089	-11.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.092999	-11.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.093238	-11.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.102776	-11.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.092404	-11.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.094007	-11.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.092568	-11.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.089232	-11.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.095232	-11.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.099836	-11.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.095597	-11.29%	0.06254	-41.97%	0.3634	✓	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.088723	-12.23%	0.0625	-38.17%	0.3821	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.094489	-12.44%	0.05795	-46.30%	0.4996	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.104657	-12.51%	0.058765	-50.87%	0.5970	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.092243	-13.20%	0.059455	-44.05%	0.5030	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.086882	-13.59%	0.065015	-35.34%	0.3579	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.102812	-14.12%	0.06738	-43.71%	0.5055	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.105088	-14.04%	0.06963	-43.04%	0.4541	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.100111	-14.50%	0.07463	-36.26%	0.3726	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.114709	-14.98%	0.07206	-46.59%	0.5213	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.107123	-14.82%	0.07927	-36.97%	0.3816	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.103488	-14.74%	0.080075	-34.03%	0.3365	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.068777	-12.48%	0.07419	-5.59%	0.0228	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.088632	-13.21%	0.0731	-28.42%	0.2332	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.071538	-12.38%	0.071685	-12.20%	0.0495	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.079271	-12.91%	0.079075	-13.12%	0.0652	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.103676	-14.00%	0.0768	-36.30%	0.3716	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.074531	-11.40%	0.08235	-2.10%	0.0175	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.085175	-11.56%	0.08011	-16.82%	0.1032	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.06943	-10.78%	0.08755	+12.50%	0.1429	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.074306	-10.86%	0.09927	+19.09%	0.1977	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.090772	-11.76%	0.104825	+1.90%	0.0823	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.089316	-11.99%	0.10513	+3.60%	0.0889	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.052901	-3.71%	0.115845	+110.86%	0.7192	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.054102	-3.49%	0.10403	+85.57%	0.5722	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.