NIULAI

? · · gru_s1

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +1d

assessed

54

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

55.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0921

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0114

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.062071	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.06193	-0.91%	0.06254	+0.06%	0.0143	✗	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057615	-0.58%	0.0625	+7.85%	0.0609	✗	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058436	-0.56%	0.05795	-1.39%	0.0052	✓	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059203	-0.42%	0.058765	-1.16%	0.0192	✓	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064648	-0.56%	0.059455	-8.55%	0.0815	✓	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.066954	-0.63%	0.065015	-3.51%	0.0179	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.069188	-0.64%	0.06738	-3.23%	0.0368	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.073952	-0.91%	0.06963	-6.70%	0.0327	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071605	-0.63%	0.07463	+3.57%	0.0171	✗	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.078533	-0.93%	0.07206	-9.10%	0.0532	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.079299	-0.97%	0.07927	-1.01%	0.0133	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073732	-0.62%	0.080075	+7.93%	0.0763	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.072716	-0.53%	0.07419	+1.49%	0.0055	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071351	-0.47%	0.0731	+1.97%	0.0519	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.078439	-0.80%	0.071685	-9.35%	0.0536	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076291	-0.66%	0.079075	+2.96%	0.0392	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.08165	-0.85%	0.0768	-6.74%	0.0496	✓	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079606	-0.63%	0.08235	+2.80%	0.0064	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.086919	-0.72%	0.08011	-8.50%	0.0853	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.098383	-0.89%	0.08755	-11.81%	0.1115	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.103825	-0.95%	0.09927	-5.30%	0.0651	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.104154	-0.93%	0.104825	-0.29%	0.0077	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.114424	-1.23%	0.10513	-9.25%	0.0875	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.102994	-1.00%	0.115845	+11.36%	0.1341	✗	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.104748	-1.03%	0.10403	-1.71%	0.0076	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.103241	-1.02%	0.10584	+1.47%	0.0196	✗	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.099698	-0.94%	0.104305	+3.64%	0.0500	✗	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.10632	-1.01%	0.10064	-6.30%	0.0550	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.111064	-1.12%	0.10741	-4.38%	0.0055	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.106576	-1.11%	0.112325	+4.23%	0.0586	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.100103	-0.98%	0.10777	+6.61%	0.0213	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.106792	-1.04%	0.10109	-6.32%	0.0536	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.118022	-1.34%	0.107915	-9.79%	0.0959	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.105031	-1.17%	0.11962	+12.56%	0.0725	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.099543	-1.00%	0.10627	+5.69%	0.0627	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.118153	-1.30%	0.10055	-16.01%	0.1687	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.120555	-1.39%	0.11971	-2.08%	0.0267	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.115617	-1.26%	0.12225	+4.41%	0.0380	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.132615	-1.71%	0.11709	-13.22%	0.1185	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.12349	-1.81%	0.134925	+7.28%	0.0879	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.117975	-2.81%	0.125765	+3.61%	0.0552	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.077865	-0.92%	0.12138	+54.46%	0.4665	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.100322	-1.77%	0.078585	-23.05%	0.2421	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.080829	-1.01%	0.102125	+25.08%	0.2420	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.089989	-1.13%	0.08165	-10.29%	0.0816	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.117424	-2.60%	0.09102	-24.50%	0.2610	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.083161	-1.14%	0.12056	+43.32%	0.3694	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.094639	-1.74%	0.08412	-12.66%	0.0981	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.076981	-1.08%	0.09631	+23.76%	0.1741	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.082328	-1.24%	0.07782	-6.65%	0.0551	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.100482	-2.32%	0.08336	-18.97%	0.1719	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.096997	-4.42%	0.10287	+1.37%	0.0473	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.0545	-0.80%	0.10148	+84.71%	0.6289	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055434	-1.12%	0.05494	-2.00%	0.0140	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.