MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s1

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 402

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

120

of 134 predictions shown

direction hit

67.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3247

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0249

actual -0.1811

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000324	0.000323183	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003162	0.000319344	+0.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000365241	+0.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000362903	+1.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000420046	+0.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000437635	+0.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.00045617	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000434206	-4.13%	0.000324	-28.46%	0.3180	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000391629	-13.68%	0.0003162	-30.31%	0.2436	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000452139	-19.24%	0.0003632	-35.13%	0.2171	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000520224	-21.95%	0.00035745	-46.37%	0.3764	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000424853	-39.57%	0.0004181	-40.53%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000312279	+0.74%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000318229	+0.39%	–	pending	–	–	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.00032056	+0.43%	–	pending	–	–	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000394629	-0.77%	–	pending	–	–	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.00039948	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000394972	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000442654	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000484473	-1.77%	0.00031	-37.15%	0.1917	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000477362	-1.82%	0.000317	-34.80%	0.3120	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000461803	-1.72%	0.0003192	-32.07%	0.2540	✓	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000457812	-1.69%	0.0003977	-14.60%	0.1650	✓	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000490276	-2.20%	0.0004024	-19.73%	0.1830	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000527046	-2.81%	0.0003984	-26.54%	0.1657	✓	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000502334	-3.53%	0.000448	-13.96%	0.0052	✓	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000529418	-2.66%	0.0004932	-9.32%	0.0108	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000534818	-2.95%	0.0004862	-11.78%	0.0388	✗	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000497072	-2.38%	0.0004699	-7.72%	0.0420	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000488004	-2.44%	0.0004657	-6.90%	0.0137	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000489165	-2.05%	0.0005013	+0.38%	0.0163	✓	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000535082	-2.71%	0.0005423	-1.40%	0.0631	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000529764	-2.26%	0.0005207	-3.93%	0.0185	✓	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000492255	-1.31%	0.0005439	+9.04%	0.0291	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000502752	-1.42%	0.0005511	+8.06%	0.0048	✓	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000495827	-1.13%	0.0005092	+1.54%	0.0719	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000514629	-1.34%	0.0005002	-4.10%	0.0140	✓	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000527519	-1.91%	0.0004994	-7.14%	0.0572	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000492036	+0.33%	0.00055	+12.15%	0.0185	✓	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000512907	-0.25%	0.000542	+5.41%	0.0378	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000532246	-0.31%	0.0004988	-6.57%	0.0585	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.00049446	+1.78%	0.00051	+4.98%	0.1435	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000568689	-0.23%	0.0005015	-12.02%	0.1843	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000584261	-1.01%	0.0005216	-11.62%	0.0529	✓	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000610044	-1.59%	0.0005378	-13.24%	0.0337	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000619881	-1.68%	0.0004904	-22.22%	0.0656	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.00061123	-1.59%	0.0005142	-17.21%	0.0548	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000657992	-1.04%	0.0005339	-19.70%	0.0601	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000632218	+0.62%	0.0004858	-22.68%	0.0148	✗	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000794255	-4.05%	0.00057	-31.14%	0.0854	✗	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000686785	+1.00%	0.0005902	-13.21%	0.1574	✗	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.00071869	+1.22%	0.0006199	-12.69%	0.2285	✗	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000616717	+4.33%	0.0006305	+6.67%	0.1504	✗	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000672489	+3.78%	0.0006211	-4.15%	0.2918	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000616691	+4.42%	0.0006649	+12.58%	0.1235	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000706568	+2.43%	0.0006283	-8.92%	0.0733	✓	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.00076065	+0.67%	0.0008278	+9.56%	0.1539	✓	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000793605	+0.46%	0.00068	-13.92%	0.2276	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000806447	+0.68%	0.00071	-11.36%	0.3067	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000823113	+0.38%	0.0005911	-27.91%	0.1719	✓	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000707294	+4.01%	0.000648	-4.71%	0.3664	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000682577	+6.04%	0.0005906	-8.25%	0.1036	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000730915	+5.93%	0.0006898	-0.03%	0.0905	✓	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000782505	+5.74%	0.0007556	+2.11%	0.0399	✓	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000759071	+6.91%	0.00079	+11.27%	0.0745	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000861577	+6.37%	0.000801	-1.11%	0.0267	✓	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000943812	+6.05%	0.00082	-7.87%	0.1994	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001128	+3.52%	0.00068	-37.61%	0.4649	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001424	+1.02%	0.0006437	-54.35%	0.7882	✗	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001386	+1.20%	0.00069	-49.64%	0.6373	✗	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001556	+0.42%	0.00074	-52.26%	0.7304	✗	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.00158	+0.64%	0.00071	-54.78%	0.8410	✗	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001494	+1.61%	0.00081	-44.90%	0.6476	✗	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001619	+1.16%	0.00089	-44.38%	0.6003	✗	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001475	+2.45%	0.00109	-24.31%	0.3474	✗	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001382	+3.15%	0.00141	+5.22%	0.0953	✓	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001761	+0.08%	0.00137	-22.16%	0.1103	✗	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001434	+1.68%	0.00155	+9.93%	0.1194	✓	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001732	+0.67%	0.00157	-8.72%	0.0406	✓	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002053	+0.13%	0.00147	-28.29%	0.1424	✗	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002375	-1.03%	0.0016	-33.33%	0.1349	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002483	-0.69%	0.00144	-42.40%	0.3168	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002347	+0.31%	0.00134	-42.74%	0.4483	✗	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002706	-0.51%	0.00176	-35.29%	0.4114	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003043	-1.82%	0.00141	-54.52%	0.6154	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004019	-2.22%	0.00172	-58.15%	0.7279	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004452	-3.00%	0.00205	-55.34%	0.7048	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004855	-3.30%	0.0024	-52.19%	0.7282	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006195	-3.05%	0.0025	-60.88%	0.9099	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.00639	-3.62%	0.00234	-64.71%	0.8596	✓	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004434	-9.14%	0.00272	-44.26%	0.4864	✓	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.004628	-9.61%	0.0031	-39.45%	0.4382	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.007004	-4.06%	0.00411	-43.70%	0.5402	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009129	-3.39%	0.00459	-51.43%	0.7057	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010512	-3.65%	0.00502	-53.99%	0.8521	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013106	-4.48%	0.00639	-53.43%	0.8071	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010004	-3.53%	0.00663	-36.07%	0.6575	✓	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012636	-3.98%	0.00488	-62.92%	1.1740	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.015946	-4.97%	0.00512	-69.49%	1.3328	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015264	-4.66%	0.0073	-54.40%	1.0226	✓	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.018733	-5.91%	0.00945	-52.54%	0.9554	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.019349	-6.30%	0.01091	-47.17%	0.8038	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.016994	-5.38%	0.01372	-23.61%	0.3947	✓	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.021351	-6.44%	0.01037	-54.56%	0.7093	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.024496	-7.35%	0.01316	-50.23%	0.3796	✓	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.021209	-7.30%	0.01678	-26.66%	0.1134	✓	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.018852	-6.86%	0.01601	-20.90%	0.0488	✓	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.019176	-8.07%	0.01991	-4.55%	0.1456	✗	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.015329	-7.10%	0.02065	+25.15%	0.4311	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012204	-5.03%	0.01796	+39.77%	0.3683	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012139	-5.24%	0.02282	+78.14%	0.5317	✗	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.01256	-5.49%	0.02644	+98.95%	0.4788	✗	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.0107	-4.47%	0.02288	+104.29%	0.6213	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.014456	-6.92%	0.02024	+30.33%	0.3047	✗	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011484	-6.03%	0.02086	+70.70%	0.5557	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007777	-1.55%	0.0165	+108.86%	0.7393	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008778	-3.12%	0.01285	+41.83%	0.4324	✗	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009613	-3.58%	0.01281	+28.49%	0.3417	✗	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009673	-3.27%	0.01329	+32.90%	0.3406	✗	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008292	-1.29%	0.0112	+33.33%	0.3168	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007532	+0.16%	0.01553	+106.52%	0.7455	✓	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006969	+2.19%	0.01222	+79.18%	0.5990	✓	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007685	+0.32%	0.0079	+3.13%	0.0453	✓	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.010848	-2.97%	0.00906	-18.96%	0.1720	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013275	-3.25%	0.00997	-27.33%	0.2126	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015337	-4.68%	0.01	-37.85%	0.3147	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.011981	-3.22%	0.0084	-32.15%	0.2612	✓	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010434	-2.85%	0.00752	-29.98%	0.2856	✓	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009614	-2.20%	0.00682	-30.62%	0.3066	✓	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010701	-2.63%	0.00766	-30.30%	0.3074	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011525	-2.99%	0.01118	-5.89%	0.0199	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009271	-1.27%	0.01372	+46.11%	0.2985	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009233	-1.36%	0.01609	+71.90%	0.4691	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011278	-2.18%	0.01238	+7.37%	0.0614	✗	1.00