MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s1

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

131

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

55.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1045

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0052

actual -0.0274

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000344389	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000362325	-0.24%	0.0003449	-5.04%	0.0464	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000357425	-0.01%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0027	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000416892	-0.29%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1518	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000434735	-0.26%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0467	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000457006	-0.28%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0459	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000452016	-0.20%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0214	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000453245	-0.10%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.00055791	-0.35%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.1881	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000663491	-0.45%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.1863	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000698514	-0.64%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.0235	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000310739	+0.24%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000317386	+0.12%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0552	✓	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000319812	+0.19%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0294	✗	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000397222	-0.12%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0836	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000401861	-0.13%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0012	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000397249	-0.29%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0047	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.00044742	-0.13%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1342	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000491933	-0.26%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0199	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000485087	-0.23%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0563	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000468954	-0.20%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0318	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000464928	-0.17%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0172	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000499765	-0.31%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0210	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000539187	-0.57%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0066	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000514721	-1.15%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0445	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000541595	-0.42%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0261	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000548104	-0.54%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0052	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000507275	-0.38%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0461	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000496418	-0.76%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0333	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000495501	-0.78%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0149	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000544011	-1.09%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0824	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000538207	-0.70%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0911	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000497173	-0.33%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0279	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000507692	-0.45%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0195	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000499435	-0.41%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0200	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000519489	-0.40%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0169	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000532551	-0.98%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0317	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000491225	+0.17%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0037	✓	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000514401	+0.04%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0296	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.00053407	+0.03%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0600	✗	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000487911	+0.43%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0503	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000570018	+0.00%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0905	✗	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000589724	-0.08%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1496	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000618051	-0.30%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0280	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000628987	-0.24%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0892	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000619043	-0.33%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0399	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000664193	-0.11%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1772	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.00062994	+0.26%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0203	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000820517	-0.88%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0256	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000681908	+0.28%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0499	✗	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000711721	+0.24%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.1023	✗	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000594956	+0.65%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1878	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000651716	+0.57%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1150	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000594638	+0.68%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2508	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000693062	+0.47%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0570	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000757443	+0.24%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0735	✓	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000791589	+0.20%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0357	✗	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.00080265	+0.21%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0304	✗	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000820927	+0.11%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0508	✓	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000683844	+0.57%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1240	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000648503	+0.75%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0127	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000694946	+0.72%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0707	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000745095	+0.69%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0654	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000715664	+0.80%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0838	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000815859	+0.72%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1420	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000896317	+0.71%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1316	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001095	+0.50%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1659	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001413	+0.24%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3345	✗	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001374	+0.29%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0867	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001553	+0.18%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1607	✗	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001573	+0.19%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0147	✗	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001474	+0.30%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0651	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001603	+0.18%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0855	✗	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001446	+0.38%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1042	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001347	+0.49%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1100	✓	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001758	-0.10%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1432	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001418	+0.55%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.0888	✓	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001726	+0.32%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.1041	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002052	+0.09%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.1194	✗	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002395	-0.20%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0836	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002498	-0.09%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0706	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002347	+0.31%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0136	✗	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002727	+0.24%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1288	✗	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003106	+0.20%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.1173	✗	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004101	-0.21%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2168	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004575	-0.33%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.1038	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.005002	-0.36%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.1128	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006331	-0.92%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2396	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006524	-1.60%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0526	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004874	-0.12%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.1992	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.005115	-0.09%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0731	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.007253	-0.65%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2689	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009359	-0.96%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2565	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010796	-1.05%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2512	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013453	-1.95%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.1944	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010282	-0.85%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.1840	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.013029	-1.00%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2891	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016516	-1.57%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2271	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.01583	-1.13%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0600	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.01954	-1.86%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1951	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020153	-2.40%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0809	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017733	-1.26%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2379	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022424	-1.73%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1613	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025677	-2.89%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0459	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022256	-2.73%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0531	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019803	-2.16%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1403	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020084	-3.72%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0055	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.015953	-3.31%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2315	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012654	-1.52%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1964	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012585	-1.75%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0081	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013018	-2.05%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0372	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011071	-1.15%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2109	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.015043	-3.13%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2784	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011819	-3.28%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2629	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007863	-0.47%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4567	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008976	-0.92%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0900	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009852	-1.18%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0914	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009877	-1.23%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0303	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.00835	-0.59%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1837	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007488	-0.42%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1372	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006815	-0.07%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.1039	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007649	-0.14%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1187	✓	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011092	-0.78%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3421	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013536	-1.34%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1332	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015604	-3.02%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1290	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012173	-1.67%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2633	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010617	-1.15%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1240	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009765	-0.66%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0954	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010887	-0.94%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1160	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011702	-1.50%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009353	-0.40%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1933	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009327	-0.35%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0136	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011429	-0.87%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1609	✓	1.00