MOE
MOE · Mantle · gru_s1
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 399
Track record at +30d
assessed
92
of 133 predictions shown
direction hit
84.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.8770
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1571
actual -0.8731
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003449 | 0.000297894 | -13.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.00031306 | -13.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000309909 | -13.30% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000358069 | -14.36% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.000372436 | -14.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.00038957 | -15.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000383871 | -15.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.000383489 | -15.48% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000466047 | -16.76% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.000549349 | -17.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000558565 | -20.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000311037 | +0.33% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.000316689 | -0.10% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.00031779 | -0.44% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000388485 | -2.32% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000394004 | -2.09% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000389416 | -2.25% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.000433478 | -3.24% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.000474409 | -3.81% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.000467008 | -3.95% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000452796 | -3.64% | – | pending | – | – | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.000448807 | -3.63% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.000479509 | -4.35% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.000515867 | -4.87% | – | pending | – | – | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000496136 | -4.72% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.000514512 | -5.40% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000520658 | -5.52% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000481833 | -5.37% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000462892 | -7.46% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.000457435 | -8.40% | – | pending | – | – | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000492698 | -10.42% | – | pending | – | – | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000485923 | -10.35% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000453068 | -9.17% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000461553 | -9.50% | – | pending | – | – | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.000456946 | -8.88% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000471851 | -9.54% | – | pending | – | – | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000483331 | -10.13% | – | pending | – | – | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000452641 | -7.70% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.000469876 | -8.62% | – | pending | – | – | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000484827 | -9.19% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000451371 | -7.09% | – | pending | – | – | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.000512777 | -10.04% | 0.00031 | -45.61% | 0.3579 | ✓ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000520951 | -11.73% | 0.000317 | -46.29% | 0.2589 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.0005401 | -12.87% | 0.0003192 | -48.51% | 0.2374 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.000544718 | -13.61% | 0.0003977 | -36.92% | 0.1000 | ✓ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.000536141 | -13.68% | 0.0004024 | -35.21% | 0.0661 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000572315 | -13.92% | 0.0003984 | -40.08% | 0.2225 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.00054829 | -12.73% | 0.000448 | -28.70% | 0.0850 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000684092 | -17.36% | 0.0004932 | -40.42% | 0.0548 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000588781 | -13.41% | 0.0004862 | -28.50% | 0.0813 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000612879 | -13.68% | 0.0004699 | -33.82% | 0.2011 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000525152 | -11.16% | 0.0004657 | -21.21% | 0.0519 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.00056952 | -12.11% | 0.0005013 | -22.64% | 0.1367 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000524998 | -11.11% | 0.0005423 | -8.18% | 0.0819 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000601921 | -12.74% | 0.0005207 | -24.51% | 0.0178 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.000646102 | -14.49% | 0.0005439 | -28.02% | 0.1455 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.000671358 | -15.02% | 0.0005511 | -30.24% | 0.1275 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000678877 | -15.25% | 0.0005092 | -36.43% | 0.0770 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000691095 | -15.72% | 0.0005002 | -39.00% | 0.2105 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000591082 | -13.08% | 0.0004994 | -26.56% | 0.2873 | ✗ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000567999 | -11.76% | 0.00055 | -14.56% | 0.3820 | ✗ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000604422 | -12.40% | 0.000542 | -21.45% | 0.2085 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000643859 | -12.99% | 0.0004988 | -32.59% | 0.2338 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000624281 | -12.07% | 0.00051 | -28.17% | 0.2930 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.000705759 | -12.87% | 0.0005015 | -38.09% | 0.2085 | ✗ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.000770914 | -13.38% | 0.0005216 | -41.39% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.000924681 | -15.17% | 0.0005378 | -50.66% | 0.0395 | ✓ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001171 | -16.97% | 0.0004904 | -65.22% | 0.2933 | ✓ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.001141 | -16.68% | 0.0005142 | -62.47% | 0.2608 | ✓ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.001281 | -17.33% | 0.0005339 | -65.55% | 0.3371 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.001298 | -17.35% | 0.0004858 | -69.06% | 0.2516 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.001221 | -16.93% | 0.00057 | -61.22% | 0.1248 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001321 | -17.46% | 0.0005902 | -63.11% | 0.4020 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.001199 | -16.73% | 0.0006199 | -56.95% | 0.2760 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.001122 | -16.24% | 0.0006305 | -52.95% | 0.2740 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.001447 | -17.80% | 0.0006211 | -64.71% | 0.4505 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001186 | -15.89% | 0.0006649 | -52.84% | 0.2003 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.001442 | -16.15% | 0.0006283 | -63.47% | 0.3204 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.001726 | -15.78% | 0.0008278 | -59.62% | 0.4664 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.002043 | -14.87% | 0.00068 | -71.67% | 0.4699 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.002158 | -13.67% | 0.00071 | -71.60% | 0.4451 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.002052 | -12.32% | 0.0005911 | -74.74% | 0.6696 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.002463 | -9.44% | 0.000648 | -76.18% | 0.7219 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.002885 | -6.92% | 0.0005906 | -80.95% | 1.1241 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.003809 | -7.32% | 0.0006898 | -83.22% | 1.3018 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.004197 | -8.57% | 0.0007556 | -83.54% | 1.4575 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.004551 | -9.35% | 0.00079 | -84.26% | 1.5287 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.00567 | -11.26% | 0.000801 | -87.46% | 1.7283 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.005783 | -12.78% | 0.00082 | -87.63% | 1.7173 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.004371 | -10.43% | 0.00068 | -86.07% | 1.7046 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.004534 | -11.44% | 0.0006437 | -87.43% | 1.7911 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.006175 | -15.41% | 0.00069 | -90.55% | 1.9729 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.00786 | -16.82% | 0.00074 | -92.17% | 2.1598 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.009024 | -17.28% | 0.00071 | -93.49% | 2.4719 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.01133 | -17.42% | 0.00081 | -94.10% | 2.5512 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.008679 | -16.31% | 0.00089 | -91.42% | 2.2798 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.010858 | -17.49% | 0.00109 | -91.72% | 2.3987 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.013818 | -17.65% | 0.00141 | -91.60% | 2.3206 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.013137 | -17.95% | 0.00137 | -91.44% | 2.3467 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.016222 | -18.53% | 0.00155 | -92.21% | 2.4012 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.016707 | -19.10% | 0.00157 | -92.40% | 2.4889 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.014662 | -18.36% | 0.00147 | -91.82% | 2.3505 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.018301 | -19.80% | 0.0016 | -92.99% | 2.4250 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.021186 | -19.87% | 0.00144 | -94.55% | 2.5152 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.018236 | -20.30% | 0.00134 | -94.14% | 2.5937 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.016182 | -20.05% | 0.00176 | -91.30% | 2.3173 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.016444 | -21.17% | 0.00141 | -93.24% | 2.4421 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.013215 | -19.91% | 0.00172 | -89.58% | 2.1481 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.010656 | -17.07% | 0.00205 | -84.05% | 1.8621 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.010566 | -17.52% | 0.0024 | -81.26% | 1.7861 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.010887 | -18.08% | 0.0025 | -81.19% | 1.7751 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.009411 | -15.97% | 0.00234 | -79.11% | 1.6126 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.012335 | -20.57% | 0.00272 | -82.49% | 1.5821 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.010014 | -18.05% | 0.0031 | -74.63% | 1.2579 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.006946 | -12.07% | 0.00411 | -47.97% | 0.6153 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.007851 | -13.34% | 0.00459 | -49.34% | 0.5907 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.008545 | -14.29% | 0.00502 | -49.65% | 0.5846 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.008562 | -14.38% | 0.00639 | -36.10% | 0.3824 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.007329 | -12.75% | 0.00663 | -21.07% | 0.2103 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.0066 | -12.23% | 0.00488 | -35.11% | 0.3513 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.006 | -12.02% | 0.00512 | -24.93% | 0.1932 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.006737 | -12.05% | 0.0073 | -4.70% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.00968 | -13.42% | 0.00945 | -15.47% | 0.0628 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.011824 | -13.82% | 0.01091 | -20.48% | 0.0207 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.013526 | -15.93% | 0.01372 | -14.73% | 0.0683 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.010802 | -12.75% | 0.01037 | -16.24% | 0.0380 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.009444 | -12.06% | 0.01316 | +22.53% | 0.4022 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.008726 | -11.23% | 0.01678 | +70.70% | 0.7245 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.009724 | -11.52% | 0.01601 | +45.68% | 0.5548 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.010471 | -11.86% | 0.01991 | +67.59% | 0.7090 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.008392 | -10.63% | 0.02065 | +119.91% | 0.9439 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.008397 | -10.29% | 0.01796 | +91.88% | 0.7841 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.010335 | -10.36% | 0.02282 | +97.92% | 0.8348 | ✗ | 1.00 |