MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · gru_s1

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

100.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.0737

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1467

actual -1.2204

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.002403	-20.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.002331	-21.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001556	-13.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001663	-14.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001554	-13.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001772	-15.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.001953	-17.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.001984	-18.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.001885	-16.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001747	-14.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.001841	-14.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001619	-11.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001634	-10.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001659	-10.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.001857	-11.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.00206	-14.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002023	-14.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002339	-18.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002003	-13.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001567	-8.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001552	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001568	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002218	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.002781	-10.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003178	-12.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.0032	-12.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.003807	-16.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004066	-17.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.003789	-15.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.003864	-15.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004005	-17.28%	0.003037	-37.29%	0.2537	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.004348	-18.69%	0.002985	-44.18%	0.3459	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.003889	-12.90%	0.0018	-59.70%	0.7923	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.003764	-11.82%	0.001942	-54.51%	0.6692	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.00485	-13.43%	0.001786	-68.12%	1.0130	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.004941	-10.30%	0.002094	-61.99%	0.9224	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.003922	-9.72%	0.002361	-45.64%	0.5752	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005394	-8.91%	0.002423	-59.08%	0.8833	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.007525	-11.96%	0.002253	-73.64%	1.2484	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.005599	-10.93%	0.002043	-67.50%	1.0871	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.007499	-10.77%	0.002155	-74.36%	1.3035	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.004502	-29.24%	0.001829	-71.24%	0.9808	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.006901	-18.36%	0.001829	-78.36%	1.4079	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.008484	-19.09%	0.001849	-82.37%	1.5768	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.016751	-6.18%	0.002105	-88.21%	2.1147	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017019	-5.47%	0.002412	-86.60%	2.0054	✓	1.00