MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s1

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

160

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

73.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0818

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0113

actual -0.0431

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.04495	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.044851	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042413	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043027	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042832	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044194	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045642	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044432	-2.33%	0.04613	+1.41%	0.0015	✓	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044645	-2.33%	0.04599	+0.61%	0.0164	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.04349	-2.07%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0000	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042657	-2.30%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0303	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.04544	-2.76%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0046	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042013	-2.36%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.1028	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040481	-2.38%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1648	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040009	-2.45%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1205	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043152	-2.69%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0878	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.04499	-2.70%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0292	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048528	-3.02%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0356	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047721	-2.92%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0276	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048366	-3.22%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0846	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.044834	-3.21%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0434	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048128	-4.00%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1044	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040499	-3.04%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0955	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.040697	-3.06%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0951	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.040886	-3.12%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1632	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042527	-3.13%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.1104	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043422	-3.14%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1350	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.044971	-3.34%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0225	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043515	-3.11%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1336	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042328	-2.98%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0010	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045104	-3.10%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0273	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.043929	-2.97%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0161	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.041588	-3.26%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0084	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041029	-3.20%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0285	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039653	-3.00%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.1001	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.03486	-1.22%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1130	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034326	-0.56%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.0980	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034137	+0.17%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1422	✓	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035516	-0.54%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1132	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035613	+0.40%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1175	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037208	+0.36%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0669	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037937	+0.83%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0164	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.037622	+2.05%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0607	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.039441	+2.06%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0960	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042672	+1.25%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1738	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.041406	+3.08%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1315	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.041228	+4.16%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0850	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.042123	+4.91%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0803	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.041121	+6.56%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0422	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.042675	+6.50%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0574	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.038807	+5.77%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0228	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.039172	+4.63%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0530	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.03965	+4.51%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0035	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037725	+2.81%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0012	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039477	+2.78%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0106	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.038161	+2.01%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0205	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040176	+2.67%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0194	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040073	+1.43%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0579	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039219	+0.82%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0264	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040361	+0.43%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0546	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.04264	-0.51%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1490	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040063	-0.44%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0635	✓	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042149	-0.78%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1106	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037334	-1.26%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0798	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034182	-2.03%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0304	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031286	-2.38%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0418	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031411	-2.45%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0253	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030841	-2.25%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0428	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030577	-2.09%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0031	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030526	-2.00%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0357	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031925	-2.23%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0229	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032473	-2.25%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0499	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032443	-2.10%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0367	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035398	-2.75%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1068	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.034973	-2.80%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0586	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035113	-2.91%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0754	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034264	-2.88%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0531	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034505	-2.94%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0364	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.03498	-3.02%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0251	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034779	-2.96%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0367	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.03556	-3.08%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0133	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035434	-2.95%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0149	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035494	-2.76%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0296	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035606	-2.56%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0556	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036196	-2.17%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0079	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035707	-1.89%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0049	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038758	-2.05%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0827	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039005	-1.80%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0562	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.04247	-1.80%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1128	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041857	-1.57%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1047	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042821	-1.54%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1320	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042677	-1.13%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1358	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043316	-0.86%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1279	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043073	-0.66%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0285	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042532	-0.58%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0360	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043748	-0.69%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0255	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044184	-0.66%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0275	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043073	-0.52%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0056	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045692	-0.89%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0843	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047517	-1.06%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1128	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048469	-1.16%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1434	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046771	-1.03%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1536	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045747	-0.76%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0591	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.04634	-0.73%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0641	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047092	-0.71%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0786	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047613	-0.72%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0460	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047011	-0.67%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0358	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049853	-0.93%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0540	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048994	-0.84%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0043	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050773	-1.07%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.1003	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051804	-1.18%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1202	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050494	-1.05%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.1000	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.04912	-0.91%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0634	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044887	-0.56%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0021	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044942	-0.64%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0034	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047642	-0.93%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0491	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045373	-0.69%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0333	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046906	-0.73%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0423	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046429	-0.60%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0395	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046274	-0.51%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0296	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050241	-0.89%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0851	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054776	-1.32%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1062	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055045	-1.40%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0567	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.05565	-1.47%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1180	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053955	-1.36%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0405	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056118	-1.62%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1066	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060815	-2.18%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1944	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056143	-1.69%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0151	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056418	-1.86%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0583	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058906	-2.28%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0035	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.061114	-2.79%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0165	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.060955	-2.80%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.1030	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046534	-0.25%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2049	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046056	-0.07%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3145	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042996	+1.12%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2274	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047464	+0.54%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1180	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.05009	-0.02%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1264	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048826	+0.71%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2089	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.046068	+3.29%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2533	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.047791	+3.65%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0630	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.051551	+1.94%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.1085	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.055191	+1.66%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2234	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.055158	+1.10%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0700	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.058444	-1.16%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0103	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.059875	-1.80%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0220	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.06189	-1.85%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0292	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061076	-0.89%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.0970	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.062894	-0.80%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0765	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.066616	-1.35%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0558	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.066744	-1.41%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0727	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.071925	-2.69%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1160	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.075224	-2.79%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1649	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.077908	-2.80%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1732	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.078822	-1.86%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2182	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.083841	-3.63%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2260	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.080104	-1.84%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1291	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080429	-0.85%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1600	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.084614	-1.61%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1391	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.088016	-2.14%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1232	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.090427	-2.48%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1018	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.097178	-3.07%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1437	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.101972	-3.23%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1143	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.100196	-3.07%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1821	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.10635	-3.12%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2235	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.114928	-3.07%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2297	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.123024	-3.07%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2532	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.121577	-3.13%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2387	✓	1.00